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*The author of this computation has been verified*
R Software Module: /rwasp_multipleregression.wasp (opens new window with default values)
Title produced by software: Multiple Regression
Date of computation: Tue, 21 Dec 2010 13:19:50 +0000
 
Cite this page as follows:
Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292937481bs3vtd2d0tjp7o7.htm/, Retrieved Tue, 21 Dec 2010 14:18:12 +0100
 
BibTeX entries for LaTeX users:
@Manual{KEY,
    author = {{YOUR NAME}},
    publisher = {Office for Research Development and Education},
    title = {Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, URL http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292937481bs3vtd2d0tjp7o7.htm/},
    year = {2010},
}
@Manual{R,
    title = {R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing},
    author = {{R Development Core Team}},
    organization = {R Foundation for Statistical Computing},
    address = {Vienna, Austria},
    year = {2010},
    note = {{ISBN} 3-900051-07-0},
    url = {http://www.R-project.org},
}
 
Original text written by user:
 
IsPrivate?
No (this computation is public)
 
User-defined keywords:
 
Dataseries X:
» Textbox « » Textfile « » CSV «
6.3 2 4.5 1 6.6 42 3 1 3 2.1 1.8 69 2547 4603 624 3 5 4 9.1 0.7 27 10.55 179.5 180 4 4 4 15.8 3.9 19 0.023 0.3 35 1 1 1 5.2 1 30.4 160 169 392 4 5 4 10.9 3.6 28 3.3 25.6 63 1 2 1 8.3 1.4 50 52.16 440 230 1 1 1 11 1.5 7 0.425 6.4 112 5 4 4 3.2 0.7 30 465 423 281 5 5 5 6.3 2.1 3.5 0.075 1.2 42 1 1 1 8.6 0 50 3 25 28 2 2 2 6.6 4.1 6 0.785 3.5 42 2 2 2 9.5 1.2 10.4 0.2 5 120 2 2 2 3.3 0.5 20 27.66 115 148 5 5 5 11 3.4 3.9 0.12 1 16 3 1 2 4.7 1.5 41 85 325 310 1 3 1 10.4 3.4 9 0.101 4 28 5 1 3 7.4 0.8 7.6 1.04 5.5 68 5 3 4 2.1 0.8 46 521 655 336 5 5 5 7.7 1.4 2.6 0.005 0.14 21.5 5 2 4 17.9 2 24 0.01 0.25 50 1 1 1 6.1 1.9 100 62 1320 267 1 1 1 11.9 1.3 3.2 0.023 0.4 19 4 1 3 10.8 2 2 0.048 0.33 30 4 1 3 13.8 5.6 5 1.7 6.3 12 2 1 1 14.3 3.1 6.5 3.5 10.8 120 2 1 1 15.2 1.8 12 0.48 15.5 140 2 2 2 10 0.9 20.2 10 115 170 4 4 4 11.9 1.8 13 1.62 11.4 17 2 1 2 6.5 1.9 27 192 180 115 4 4 4 7.5 0.9 18 2.5 12.1 31 5 5 5 10.6 2.6 4.7 0.28 1.9 21 3 1 3 7.4 2.4 9.8 4.235 50.4 52 1 1 1 8.4 1.2 29 etc...
 
Output produced by software:

Enter (or paste) a matrix (table) containing all data (time) series. Every column represents a different variable and must be delimited by a space or Tab. Every row represents a period in time (or category) and must be delimited by hard returns. The easiest way to enter data is to copy and paste a block of spreadsheet cells. Please, do not use commas or spaces to seperate groups of digits!


Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time14 seconds
R Server'Gwilym Jenkins' @ 72.249.127.135


Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation
SWS[t] = + 12.9287686106582 + 0.106606074538538PS[t] + 0.000246988712017691L[t] + 0.00318595520151939WB[t] -0.00132557005859304WBR[t] -0.0132700427644034TG[t] + 1.31878955543532P[t] + 0.186037336578466S[t] -2.61378468965366D[t] + e[t]


Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares
VariableParameterS.D.T-STAT
H0: parameter = 0
2-tail p-value1-tail p-value
(Intercept)12.92876861065822.3700195.45515e-062e-06
PS0.1066060745385380.528930.20160.8415050.420753
L0.0002469887120176910.0447020.00550.9956250.497812
WB0.003185955201519390.0056940.55950.5795970.289798
WBR-0.001325570058593040.003393-0.39060.6985750.349287
TG-0.01327004276440340.007165-1.85220.0729650.036482
P1.318789555435321.1458131.1510.2580190.129009
S0.1860373365784660.6801240.27350.7861470.393074
D-2.613784689653661.587451-1.64650.1091470.054573


Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics
Multiple R0.735505789285703
R-squared0.540968766072785
Adjusted R-squared0.429688466938915
F-TEST (value)4.86131660575427
F-TEST (DF numerator)8
F-TEST (DF denominator)33
p-value0.000508434878703889
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics
Residual Standard Deviation2.89799308463584
Sum Squared Residuals277.146009313706


Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals
Time or IndexActualsInterpolation
Forecast
Residuals
Prediction Error
16.38.88123953957267-2.58123953957267
22.11.301640590118870.798359409881132
39.15.981294671766153.11870532823385
415.811.77549139844494.02450860155511
55.23.876964016755811.32303598324419
610.911.5371120663796-0.637112066379641
78.38.5122275146907-0.212227514690696
8118.479990601298452.52000939870155
93.24.65788455312067-1.45788455312067
106.311.4858544965062-5.18585449650618
118.610.3280598677158-1.72805986771578
126.610.5899395367817-3.98993953678175
139.59.242953196448620.257046803551381
143.35.4139390689726-2.1139390689726
151111.9937652039783-0.99376520397835
164.78.08820380129715-3.38820380129715
1710.411.8555415111292-1.45554151112918
187.48.80651146290563-1.40651146290563
192.13.81352586561612-1.71352586561612
207.79.30406740791544-1.60406740791544
2117.911.37514902000106.52485097999898
226.16.951736552899-0.851736552899002
2311.910.43540059721811.46459940278193
2410.810.36393043131630.436069568683673
2513.813.57465384873020.225346151269844
2614.311.87511418099532.42488581900466
2715.29.02888474966416.1711152503359
28106.217383784494583.78261621550542
2911.910.48437648798921.41562351201077
306.57.54920352718501-1.04920352718501
317.57.064925050958180.435074949041824
3210.69.227859771620971.37214022837903
337.411.3347274468650-3.93472744686496
348.48.6400807555717-0.240080755571703
355.77.80885273613695-2.10885273613695
364.96.46851569620575-1.56851569620575
373.25.39395233742796-2.19395233742796
38119.974339411107531.02566058889247
394.96.62103484299272-1.72103484299272
4013.211.69398188568351.50601811431646
419.75.526548565703064.17345143429694
4212.813.6631419478192-0.86314194781921


Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
p-valuesAlternative Hypothesis
breakpoint indexgreater2-sidedless
120.8898139921747520.2203720156504960.110186007825248
130.8676323100151040.2647353799697920.132367689984896
140.8212059546673940.3575880906652120.178794045332606
150.7478501571058080.5042996857883840.252149842894192
160.8220350946879420.3559298106241150.177964905312057
170.8364838593861220.3270322812277570.163516140613878
180.7756936725912280.4486126548175440.224306327408772
190.7585907318328490.4828185363343030.241409268167151
200.6931283845910820.6137432308178350.306871615408918
210.8707333155990690.2585333688018620.129266684400931
220.8174937453845810.3650125092308380.182506254615419
230.745442984341790.5091140313164210.254557015658210
240.6423458797472880.7153082405054240.357654120252712
250.5278718621270490.9442562757459010.472128137872951
260.4260660798410850.852132159682170.573933920158915
270.7901211601822740.4197576796354510.209878839817726
280.8779815844375630.2440368311248730.122018415562437
290.7692777388167620.4614445223664760.230722261183238
300.6151825105085020.7696349789829960.384817489491498


Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
Description# significant tests% significant testsOK/NOK
1% type I error level00OK
5% type I error level00OK
10% type I error level00OK
 
Charts produced by software:
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292937481bs3vtd2d0tjp7o7/107fr01292937574.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292937481bs3vtd2d0tjp7o7/107fr01292937574.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292937481bs3vtd2d0tjp7o7/1t5tr1292937574.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292937481bs3vtd2d0tjp7o7/1t5tr1292937574.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292937481bs3vtd2d0tjp7o7/2t5tr1292937574.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292937481bs3vtd2d0tjp7o7/2t5tr1292937574.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292937481bs3vtd2d0tjp7o7/3t5tr1292937574.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292937481bs3vtd2d0tjp7o7/3t5tr1292937574.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292937481bs3vtd2d0tjp7o7/44wsu1292937574.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292937481bs3vtd2d0tjp7o7/44wsu1292937574.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292937481bs3vtd2d0tjp7o7/54wsu1292937574.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292937481bs3vtd2d0tjp7o7/54wsu1292937574.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292937481bs3vtd2d0tjp7o7/64wsu1292937574.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292937481bs3vtd2d0tjp7o7/64wsu1292937574.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292937481bs3vtd2d0tjp7o7/7e5sx1292937574.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292937481bs3vtd2d0tjp7o7/7e5sx1292937574.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292937481bs3vtd2d0tjp7o7/87fr01292937574.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292937481bs3vtd2d0tjp7o7/87fr01292937574.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292937481bs3vtd2d0tjp7o7/97fr01292937574.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292937481bs3vtd2d0tjp7o7/97fr01292937574.ps (open in new window)


 
Parameters (Session):
par1 = 1 ; par2 = Do not include Seasonal Dummies ; par3 = No Linear Trend ;
 
Parameters (R input):
par1 = 1 ; par2 = Do not include Seasonal Dummies ; par3 = No Linear Trend ;
 
R code (references can be found in the software module):
library(lattice)
library(lmtest)
n25 <- 25 #minimum number of obs. for Goldfeld-Quandt test
par1 <- as.numeric(par1)
x <- t(y)
k <- length(x[1,])
n <- length(x[,1])
x1 <- cbind(x[,par1], x[,1:k!=par1])
mycolnames <- c(colnames(x)[par1], colnames(x)[1:k!=par1])
colnames(x1) <- mycolnames #colnames(x)[par1]
x <- x1
if (par3 == 'First Differences'){
x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n-1,k), dimnames=list(1:(n-1), paste('(1-B)',colnames(x),sep='')))
for (i in 1:n-1) {
for (j in 1:k) {
x2[i,j] <- x[i+1,j] - x[i,j]
}
}
x <- x2
}
if (par2 == 'Include Monthly Dummies'){
x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,11), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('M', seq(1:11), sep ='')))
for (i in 1:11){
x2[seq(i,n,12),i] <- 1
}
x <- cbind(x, x2)
}
if (par2 == 'Include Quarterly Dummies'){
x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,3), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('Q', seq(1:3), sep ='')))
for (i in 1:3){
x2[seq(i,n,4),i] <- 1
}
x <- cbind(x, x2)
}
k <- length(x[1,])
if (par3 == 'Linear Trend'){
x <- cbind(x, c(1:n))
colnames(x)[k+1] <- 't'
}
x
k <- length(x[1,])
df <- as.data.frame(x)
(mylm <- lm(df))
(mysum <- summary(mylm))
if (n > n25) {
kp3 <- k + 3
nmkm3 <- n - k - 3
gqarr <- array(NA, dim=c(nmkm3-kp3+1,3))
numgqtests <- 0
numsignificant1 <- 0
numsignificant5 <- 0
numsignificant10 <- 0
for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) {
j <- 0
numgqtests <- numgqtests + 1
for (myalt in c('greater', 'two.sided', 'less')) {
j <- j + 1
gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,j] <- gqtest(mylm, point=mypoint, alternative=myalt)$p.value
}
if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.01) numsignificant1 <- numsignificant1 + 1
if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.05) numsignificant5 <- numsignificant5 + 1
if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.10) numsignificant10 <- numsignificant10 + 1
}
gqarr
}
bitmap(file='test0.png')
plot(x[,1], type='l', main='Actuals and Interpolation', ylab='value of Actuals and Interpolation (dots)', xlab='time or index')
points(x[,1]-mysum$resid)
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test1.png')
plot(mysum$resid, type='b', pch=19, main='Residuals', ylab='value of Residuals', xlab='time or index')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test2.png')
hist(mysum$resid, main='Residual Histogram', xlab='values of Residuals')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test3.png')
densityplot(~mysum$resid,col='black',main='Residual Density Plot', xlab='values of Residuals')
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test4.png')
qqnorm(mysum$resid, main='Residual Normal Q-Q Plot')
qqline(mysum$resid)
grid()
dev.off()
(myerror <- as.ts(mysum$resid))
bitmap(file='test5.png')
dum <- cbind(lag(myerror,k=1),myerror)
dum
dum1 <- dum[2:length(myerror),]
dum1
z <- as.data.frame(dum1)
z
plot(z,main=paste('Residual Lag plot, lowess, and regression line'), ylab='values of Residuals', xlab='lagged values of Residuals')
lines(lowess(z))
abline(lm(z))
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test6.png')
acf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Autocorrelation Function')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test7.png')
pacf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Partial Autocorrelation Function')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test8.png')
opar <- par(mfrow = c(2,2), oma = c(0, 0, 1.1, 0))
plot(mylm, las = 1, sub='Residual Diagnostics')
par(opar)
dev.off()
if (n > n25) {
bitmap(file='test9.png')
plot(kp3:nmkm3,gqarr[,2], main='Goldfeld-Quandt test',ylab='2-sided p-value',xlab='breakpoint')
grid()
dev.off()
}
load(file='createtable')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
myeq <- colnames(x)[1]
myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t] = ', sep='')
for (i in 1:k){
if (mysum$coefficients[i,1] > 0) myeq <- paste(myeq, '+', '')
myeq <- paste(myeq, mysum$coefficients[i,1], sep=' ')
if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != '(Intercept)') {
myeq <- paste(myeq, rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i], sep='')
if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != 't') myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t]', sep='')
}
}
myeq <- paste(myeq, ' + e[t]')
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, myeq)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable1.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,hyperlink('http://www.xycoon.com/ols1.htm','Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares',''), 6, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Variable',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Parameter',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'S.D.',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'T-STAT<br />H0: parameter = 0',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'2-tail p-value',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'1-tail p-value',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:k){
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i],header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,mysum$coefficients[i,1])
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,2],6))
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,3],4))
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,4],6))
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,4]/2,6))
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable2.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics', 2, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple R',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, sqrt(mysum$r.squared))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'R-squared',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$r.squared)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Adjusted R-squared',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$adj.r.squared)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (value)',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[1])
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF numerator)',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[2])
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF denominator)',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[3])
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'p-value',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 1-pf(mysum$fstatistic[1],mysum$fstatistic[2],mysum$fstatistic[3]))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics', 2, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Residual Standard Deviation',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$sigma)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Sum Squared Residuals',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, sum(myerror*myerror))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable3.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals', 4, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Time or Index', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 'Actuals', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 'Interpolation<br />Forecast', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 'Residuals<br />Prediction Error', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:n) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,i, 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,x[i])
a<-table.element(a,x[i]-mysum$resid[i])
a<-table.element(a,mysum$resid[i])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable4.tab')
if (n > n25) {
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'p-values',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Alternative Hypothesis',3,header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'breakpoint index',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'greater',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'2-sided',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'less',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,mypoint,header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,1])
a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2])
a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,3])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable5.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Description',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'# significant tests',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'% significant tests',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'OK/NOK',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'1% type I error level',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant1)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant1/numgqtests)
if (numsignificant1/numgqtests < 0.01) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK'
a<-table.element(a,dum)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'5% type I error level',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant5)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant5/numgqtests)
if (numsignificant5/numgqtests < 0.05) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK'
a<-table.element(a,dum)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'10% type I error level',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant10)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant10/numgqtests)
if (numsignificant10/numgqtests < 0.1) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK'
a<-table.element(a,dum)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable6.tab')
}
 





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