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*The author of this computation has been verified*
R Software Module: /rwasp_multipleregression.wasp (opens new window with default values)
Title produced by software: Multiple Regression
Date of computation: Tue, 21 Dec 2010 10:13:52 +0000
 
Cite this page as follows:
Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292926306bhb3hrhrrcg64oa.htm/, Retrieved Tue, 21 Dec 2010 11:11:49 +0100
 
BibTeX entries for LaTeX users:
@Manual{KEY,
    author = {{YOUR NAME}},
    publisher = {Office for Research Development and Education},
    title = {Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, URL http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292926306bhb3hrhrrcg64oa.htm/},
    year = {2010},
}
@Manual{R,
    title = {R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing},
    author = {{R Development Core Team}},
    organization = {R Foundation for Statistical Computing},
    address = {Vienna, Austria},
    year = {2010},
    note = {{ISBN} 3-900051-07-0},
    url = {http://www.R-project.org},
}
 
Original text written by user:
 
IsPrivate?
No (this computation is public)
 
User-defined keywords:
 
Dataseries X:
» Textbox « » Textfile « » CSV «
695 0 638 0 762 0 635 0 721 0 854 0 418 0 367 0 824 0 687 0 601 0 676 0 740 0 691 0 683 0 594 0 729 0 731 0 386 0 331 0 707 0 715 0 657 0 653 0 642 0 643 0 718 0 654 0 632 0 731 0 392 1 344 1 792 1 852 1 649 1 629 1 685 1 617 1 715 1 715 1 629 1 916 1 531 1 357 1 917 1 828 1 708 1 858 1 775 1 785 1 1006 1 789 1 734 1 906 1 532 1 387 1 991 1 841 1 892 1 782 1 813 1 793 1 978 1 775 1 797 1 946 1 594 1 438 1 1022 1 868 1
 
Output produced by software:

Enter (or paste) a matrix (table) containing all data (time) series. Every column represents a different variable and must be delimited by a space or Tab. Every row represents a period in time (or category) and must be delimited by hard returns. The easiest way to enter data is to copy and paste a block of spreadsheet cells. Please, do not use commas or spaces to seperate groups of digits!


Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time5 seconds
R Server'RServer@AstonUniversity' @ vre.aston.ac.uk


Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation
Y[t] = + 650.5 + 88.95X[t] + e[t]


Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares
VariableParameterS.D.T-STAT
H0: parameter = 0
2-tail p-value1-tail p-value
(Intercept)650.529.36058322.155600
X88.9538.84042.29010.0251210.01256


Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics
Multiple R0.267592548273763
R-squared0.0716057718916461
Adjusted R-squared0.0579529155959351
F-TEST (value)5.24474661863542
F-TEST (DF numerator)1
F-TEST (DF denominator)68
p-value0.0251208221970607
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics
Residual Standard Deviation160.814535120064
Sum Squared Residuals1758569.4


Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals
Time or IndexActualsInterpolation
Forecast
Residuals
Prediction Error
1695650.544.5000000000002
2638650.5-12.4999999999999
3762650.5111.5
4635650.5-15.5
5721650.570.5
6854650.5203.5
7418650.5-232.5
8367650.5-283.5
9824650.5173.5
10687650.536.5
11601650.5-49.5
12676650.525.5
13740650.589.5
14691650.540.5
15683650.532.5
16594650.5-56.5
17729650.578.5
18731650.580.5
19386650.5-264.5
20331650.5-319.5
21707650.556.5
22715650.564.5
23657650.56.49999999999999
24653650.52.49999999999999
25642650.5-8.50000000000001
26643650.5-7.50000000000001
27718650.567.5
28654650.53.49999999999999
29632650.5-18.5
30731650.580.5
31392739.45-347.45
32344739.45-395.45
33792739.4552.55
34852739.45112.55
35649739.45-90.45
36629739.45-110.45
37685739.45-54.45
38617739.45-122.45
39715739.45-24.45
40715739.45-24.45
41629739.45-110.45
42916739.45176.55
43531739.45-208.45
44357739.45-382.45
45917739.45177.55
46828739.4588.55
47708739.45-31.45
48858739.45118.55
49775739.4535.55
50785739.4545.55
511006739.45266.55
52789739.4549.55
53734739.45-5.45
54906739.45166.55
55532739.45-207.45
56387739.45-352.45
57991739.45251.55
58841739.45101.55
59892739.45152.55
60782739.4542.55
61813739.4573.55
62793739.4553.55
63978739.45238.55
64775739.4535.55
65797739.4557.55
66946739.45206.55
67594739.45-145.45
68438739.45-301.45
691022739.45282.55
70868739.45128.55


Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
p-valuesAlternative Hypothesis
breakpoint indexgreater2-sidedless
50.06674612268180370.1334922453636070.933253877318196
60.1324819576314380.2649639152628760.867518042368562
70.4637287754578140.9274575509156280.536271224542186
80.7018211303095810.5963577393808390.298178869690419
90.7035897021191690.5928205957616620.296410297880831
100.60393264371880.79213471256240.3960673562812
110.509643461888010.980713076223980.49035653811199
120.4089127187848380.8178254375696750.591087281215163
130.3393265602946850.678653120589370.660673439705315
140.2585275756073940.5170551512147880.741472424392606
150.1895253174821510.3790506349643020.810474682517849
160.1430533510559010.2861067021118020.8569466489441
170.1067836916018760.2135673832037510.893216308398124
180.0784989827287010.1569979654574020.921501017271299
190.1725612174246830.3451224348493670.827438782575317
200.3723131993170910.7446263986341810.62768680068291
210.3095024140601850.619004828120370.690497585939815
220.2544079885393690.5088159770787380.745592011460631
230.1963292252407650.3926584504815290.803670774759235
240.1475016364263090.2950032728526190.85249836357369
250.1080876182683550.216175236536710.891912381731645
260.07722638598203290.1544527719640660.922773614017967
270.057130300685720.114260601371440.94286969931428
280.03877901525975490.07755803051950990.961220984740245
290.02622135953894150.0524427190778830.973778640461059
300.01855771442323840.03711542884647680.981442285576762
310.02247986140348130.04495972280696260.977520138596519
320.03846710144189650.0769342028837930.961532898558104
330.09795226411808170.1959045282361630.902047735881918
340.1485217097925580.2970434195851170.851478290207442
350.1195811188930620.2391622377861230.880418881106938
360.09634739464521470.1926947892904290.903652605354785
370.07483395652219140.1496679130443830.925166043477809
380.06043471866502970.1208694373300590.93956528133497
390.04601986827124850.0920397365424970.953980131728752
400.03400438756311090.06800877512622190.965995612436889
410.02639404846401160.05278809692802320.973605951535988
420.03827991800456370.07655983600912750.961720081995436
430.04522107362742690.09044214725485380.954778926372573
440.189388942542180.3787778850843610.81061105745782
450.2246111447874150.449222289574830.775388855212585
460.1985679301698590.3971358603397170.801432069830141
470.1601147893252750.3202295786505490.839885210674725
480.1439991762068170.2879983524136340.856000823793183
490.110536828639170.2210736572783390.88946317136083
500.08291197783021280.1658239556604260.917088022169787
510.1307742472917240.2615484945834480.869225752708276
520.09639111750484720.1927822350096940.903608882495153
530.0681745627152150.136349125430430.931825437284785
540.06230329503394470.1246065900678890.937696704966055
550.08570909956189450.1714181991237890.914290900438105
560.3628789510357620.7257579020715230.637121048964238
570.4105252595062320.8210505190124650.589474740493768
580.3324514104264510.6649028208529010.667548589573549
590.2810928986021270.5621857972042540.718907101397873
600.2032365253540670.4064730507081340.796763474645933
610.1385887644002710.2771775288005420.86141123559973
620.08667676069339320.1733535213867860.913323239306607
630.09172013254415080.1834402650883020.908279867455849
640.04899805002399080.09799610004798160.95100194997601
650.02255899021870730.04511798043741470.977441009781293


Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
Description# significant tests% significant testsOK/NOK
1% type I error level00OK
5% type I error level30.0491803278688525OK
10% type I error level120.19672131147541NOK
 
Charts produced by software:
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292926306bhb3hrhrrcg64oa/10n1801292926424.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292926306bhb3hrhrrcg64oa/10n1801292926424.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292926306bhb3hrhrrcg64oa/1ratr1292926424.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292926306bhb3hrhrrcg64oa/1ratr1292926424.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292926306bhb3hrhrrcg64oa/2ratr1292926424.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292926306bhb3hrhrrcg64oa/2ratr1292926424.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292926306bhb3hrhrrcg64oa/3ratr1292926424.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292926306bhb3hrhrrcg64oa/3ratr1292926424.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292926306bhb3hrhrrcg64oa/4jjac1292926424.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292926306bhb3hrhrrcg64oa/4jjac1292926424.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292926306bhb3hrhrrcg64oa/5jjac1292926424.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292926306bhb3hrhrrcg64oa/5jjac1292926424.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292926306bhb3hrhrrcg64oa/6jjac1292926424.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292926306bhb3hrhrrcg64oa/6jjac1292926424.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292926306bhb3hrhrrcg64oa/7csrx1292926424.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292926306bhb3hrhrrcg64oa/7csrx1292926424.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292926306bhb3hrhrrcg64oa/8n1801292926424.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292926306bhb3hrhrrcg64oa/8n1801292926424.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292926306bhb3hrhrrcg64oa/9n1801292926424.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292926306bhb3hrhrrcg64oa/9n1801292926424.ps (open in new window)


 
Parameters (Session):
 
Parameters (R input):
par1 = 1 ; par2 = Do not include Seasonal Dummies ; par3 = No Linear Trend ;
 
R code (references can be found in the software module):
library(lattice)
library(lmtest)
n25 <- 25 #minimum number of obs. for Goldfeld-Quandt test
par1 <- as.numeric(par1)
x <- t(y)
k <- length(x[1,])
n <- length(x[,1])
x1 <- cbind(x[,par1], x[,1:k!=par1])
mycolnames <- c(colnames(x)[par1], colnames(x)[1:k!=par1])
colnames(x1) <- mycolnames #colnames(x)[par1]
x <- x1
if (par3 == 'First Differences'){
x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n-1,k), dimnames=list(1:(n-1), paste('(1-B)',colnames(x),sep='')))
for (i in 1:n-1) {
for (j in 1:k) {
x2[i,j] <- x[i+1,j] - x[i,j]
}
}
x <- x2
}
if (par2 == 'Include Monthly Dummies'){
x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,11), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('M', seq(1:11), sep ='')))
for (i in 1:11){
x2[seq(i,n,12),i] <- 1
}
x <- cbind(x, x2)
}
if (par2 == 'Include Quarterly Dummies'){
x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,3), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('Q', seq(1:3), sep ='')))
for (i in 1:3){
x2[seq(i,n,4),i] <- 1
}
x <- cbind(x, x2)
}
k <- length(x[1,])
if (par3 == 'Linear Trend'){
x <- cbind(x, c(1:n))
colnames(x)[k+1] <- 't'
}
x
k <- length(x[1,])
df <- as.data.frame(x)
(mylm <- lm(df))
(mysum <- summary(mylm))
if (n > n25) {
kp3 <- k + 3
nmkm3 <- n - k - 3
gqarr <- array(NA, dim=c(nmkm3-kp3+1,3))
numgqtests <- 0
numsignificant1 <- 0
numsignificant5 <- 0
numsignificant10 <- 0
for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) {
j <- 0
numgqtests <- numgqtests + 1
for (myalt in c('greater', 'two.sided', 'less')) {
j <- j + 1
gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,j] <- gqtest(mylm, point=mypoint, alternative=myalt)$p.value
}
if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.01) numsignificant1 <- numsignificant1 + 1
if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.05) numsignificant5 <- numsignificant5 + 1
if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.10) numsignificant10 <- numsignificant10 + 1
}
gqarr
}
bitmap(file='test0.png')
plot(x[,1], type='l', main='Actuals and Interpolation', ylab='value of Actuals and Interpolation (dots)', xlab='time or index')
points(x[,1]-mysum$resid)
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test1.png')
plot(mysum$resid, type='b', pch=19, main='Residuals', ylab='value of Residuals', xlab='time or index')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test2.png')
hist(mysum$resid, main='Residual Histogram', xlab='values of Residuals')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test3.png')
densityplot(~mysum$resid,col='black',main='Residual Density Plot', xlab='values of Residuals')
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test4.png')
qqnorm(mysum$resid, main='Residual Normal Q-Q Plot')
qqline(mysum$resid)
grid()
dev.off()
(myerror <- as.ts(mysum$resid))
bitmap(file='test5.png')
dum <- cbind(lag(myerror,k=1),myerror)
dum
dum1 <- dum[2:length(myerror),]
dum1
z <- as.data.frame(dum1)
z
plot(z,main=paste('Residual Lag plot, lowess, and regression line'), ylab='values of Residuals', xlab='lagged values of Residuals')
lines(lowess(z))
abline(lm(z))
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test6.png')
acf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Autocorrelation Function')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test7.png')
pacf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Partial Autocorrelation Function')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test8.png')
opar <- par(mfrow = c(2,2), oma = c(0, 0, 1.1, 0))
plot(mylm, las = 1, sub='Residual Diagnostics')
par(opar)
dev.off()
if (n > n25) {
bitmap(file='test9.png')
plot(kp3:nmkm3,gqarr[,2], main='Goldfeld-Quandt test',ylab='2-sided p-value',xlab='breakpoint')
grid()
dev.off()
}
load(file='createtable')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
myeq <- colnames(x)[1]
myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t] = ', sep='')
for (i in 1:k){
if (mysum$coefficients[i,1] > 0) myeq <- paste(myeq, '+', '')
myeq <- paste(myeq, mysum$coefficients[i,1], sep=' ')
if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != '(Intercept)') {
myeq <- paste(myeq, rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i], sep='')
if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != 't') myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t]', sep='')
}
}
myeq <- paste(myeq, ' + e[t]')
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, myeq)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable1.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,hyperlink('http://www.xycoon.com/ols1.htm','Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares',''), 6, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Variable',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Parameter',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'S.D.',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'T-STAT<br />H0: parameter = 0',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'2-tail p-value',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'1-tail p-value',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:k){
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i],header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,mysum$coefficients[i,1])
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,2],6))
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,3],4))
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,4],6))
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,4]/2,6))
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable2.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics', 2, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple R',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, sqrt(mysum$r.squared))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'R-squared',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$r.squared)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Adjusted R-squared',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$adj.r.squared)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (value)',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[1])
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF numerator)',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[2])
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF denominator)',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[3])
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'p-value',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 1-pf(mysum$fstatistic[1],mysum$fstatistic[2],mysum$fstatistic[3]))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics', 2, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Residual Standard Deviation',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$sigma)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Sum Squared Residuals',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, sum(myerror*myerror))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable3.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals', 4, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Time or Index', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 'Actuals', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 'Interpolation<br />Forecast', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 'Residuals<br />Prediction Error', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:n) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,i, 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,x[i])
a<-table.element(a,x[i]-mysum$resid[i])
a<-table.element(a,mysum$resid[i])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable4.tab')
if (n > n25) {
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'p-values',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Alternative Hypothesis',3,header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'breakpoint index',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'greater',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'2-sided',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'less',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,mypoint,header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,1])
a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2])
a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,3])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable5.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Description',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'# significant tests',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'% significant tests',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'OK/NOK',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'1% type I error level',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant1)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant1/numgqtests)
if (numsignificant1/numgqtests < 0.01) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK'
a<-table.element(a,dum)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'5% type I error level',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant5)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant5/numgqtests)
if (numsignificant5/numgqtests < 0.05) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK'
a<-table.element(a,dum)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'10% type I error level',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant10)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant10/numgqtests)
if (numsignificant10/numgqtests < 0.1) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK'
a<-table.element(a,dum)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable6.tab')
}
 





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Software written by Ed van Stee & Patrick Wessa


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