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*The author of this computation has been verified*
R Software Module: /rwasp_multipleregression.wasp (opens new window with default values)
Title produced by software: Multiple Regression
Date of computation: Sun, 19 Dec 2010 13:09:36 +0000
 
Cite this page as follows:
Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/19/t12927640439tjt8exdomg5i81.htm/, Retrieved Sun, 19 Dec 2010 14:07:23 +0100
 
BibTeX entries for LaTeX users:
@Manual{KEY,
    author = {{YOUR NAME}},
    publisher = {Office for Research Development and Education},
    title = {Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, URL http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/19/t12927640439tjt8exdomg5i81.htm/},
    year = {2010},
}
@Manual{R,
    title = {R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing},
    author = {{R Development Core Team}},
    organization = {R Foundation for Statistical Computing},
    address = {Vienna, Austria},
    year = {2010},
    note = {{ISBN} 3-900051-07-0},
    url = {http://www.R-project.org},
}
 
Original text written by user:
 
IsPrivate?
No (this computation is public)
 
User-defined keywords:
 
Dataseries X:
» Textbox « » Textfile « » CSV «
6,3 0 3 14,3 0,544068044 1 9,1 1,02325246 4 15,8 -1,638272164 1 10,9 0,51851394 1 8,3 1,717337583 1 11 -0,37161107 4 3,2 2,667452953 5 2,1 3,406028945 4 7,4 0,626853415 1 9,5 -0,698970004 2 3,3 1,441852176 5 5,7 -0,124938737 2 7,4 0,017033339 4 11 -0,920818754 2 6,6 -0,105130343 2 2,1 2,716837723 5 17,9 -2 1 12,8 0,544068044 1 6,1 1,792391689 1 6,3 -1,124938737 1 11,9 -1,638272164 3 13,8 0,230448921 1 15,2 -0,318758763 2 10 1 4 11,9 0,209515015 2 6,5 2,283301229 4 7,5 0,397940009 5 10,6 -0,552841969 3 8,4 0,832508913 2 4,9 0,556302501 3 4,7 1,929418926 1 3,2 1,744292983 5 10,4 -0,995678626 3 5,2 2,204119983 4 11 -0,045757491 2 4,9 0,301029996 3 13,2 -0,982966661 2 9,7 0,622214023 4
 
Output produced by software:

Enter (or paste) a matrix (table) containing all data (time) series. Every column represents a different variable and must be delimited by a space or Tab. Every row represents a period in time (or category) and must be delimited by hard returns. The easiest way to enter data is to copy and paste a block of spreadsheet cells. Please, do not use commas or spaces to seperate groups of digits!


Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time5 seconds
R Server'Sir Ronald Aylmer Fisher' @ 193.190.124.24


Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation
SWS[t] = + 11.6991087210001 -1.81485814734191`log(wb)`[t] -0.80621691930904D[t] + e[t]


Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares
VariableParameterS.D.T-STAT
H0: parameter = 0
2-tail p-value1-tail p-value
(Intercept)11.69910872100010.94109512.431400
`log(wb)`-1.814858147341910.37295-4.86622.3e-051.1e-05
D-0.806216919309040.336956-2.39270.0220680.011034


Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics
Multiple R0.757704457897525
R-squared0.574116045517782
Adjusted R-squared0.550455825824325
F-TEST (value)24.2650344314664
F-TEST (DF numerator)2
F-TEST (DF denominator)36
p-value2.12443282854302e-07
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics
Residual Standard Deviation2.66067288469349
Sum Squared Residuals254.850487176355


Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals
Time or IndexActualsInterpolation
Forecast
Residuals
Prediction Error
16.39.28045796307299-2.98045796307299
214.39.905485479329284.39451452067072
39.16.617182979945292.48281702005471
415.813.86612338608991.93387661391007
510.99.95186255317170.94813744682829
68.37.776167697447050.523832302552955
7119.148662421795891.85133757820411
83.22.826975400051610.373024599948394
92.12.29278166284831-0.192781662848311
107.49.75524177428921-2.35524177428921
119.511.3552062888890-1.85520628888904
123.35.05126695557864-1.75126695557864
135.710.3134209671451-4.61342096714508
147.48.44332794970336-1.04332794970336
151111.7578303003042-0.757830300304155
166.610.2774715419084-3.67747154190843
172.12.7373490478625-0.6373490478625
1817.914.52260809637493.37739190362511
1912.89.905485479329292.89451452067071
206.17.63995514168148-1.53995514168148
216.312.9344960337960-6.63449603379604
2211.912.2536895474719-0.353689547471852
2313.810.47465969986813.32534030013194
2415.210.66517682044924.53482317955079
25106.659382896422033.34061710357797
2611.99.706434850418812.19356514958119
276.54.330373205477492.16962679452251
287.56.945819456967940.554180543032061
2910.610.28378771470520.316212285294819
308.48.57578929888921-0.175789298889214
314.98.27084783674645-3.37084783674645
324.77.39127014420428-2.69127014420428
333.24.50237979290602-1.30237979290602
3410.411.0874734296033-0.687473429603286
355.24.474075934897270.725924065102726
361110.16971823772530.8302817622747
374.98.73413122223808-3.83413122223808
3813.211.87061993566341.32938006433665
399.77.3450108547322.35498914526799


Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
p-valuesAlternative Hypothesis
breakpoint indexgreater2-sidedless
60.7121873172712780.5756253654574430.287812682728722
70.5960311729845030.8079376540309950.403968827015497
80.4434690838527910.8869381677055820.556530916147209
90.3149135138370110.6298270276740220.685086486162989
100.3836927797385020.7673855594770050.616307220261498
110.3639318316109670.7278636632219350.636068168389033
120.3027255600901530.6054511201803060.697274439909847
130.5064160308951240.9871679382097510.493583969104876
140.407595650588820.815191301177640.59240434941118
150.312033066007290.624066132014580.68796693399271
160.3728203543123070.7456407086246140.627179645687693
170.2839980627324270.5679961254648540.716001937267573
180.3466173015582190.6932346031164370.653382698441781
190.3554755041632580.7109510083265160.644524495836742
200.2956957853587040.5913915707174080.704304214641296
210.739281585714120.5214368285717610.260718414285881
220.6659482843573990.6681034312852020.334051715642601
230.6974278132594010.6051443734811990.302572186740599
240.8412803651757210.3174392696485570.158719634824279
250.871134828854870.2577303422902580.128865171145129
260.8745770497694590.2508459004610830.125422950230541
270.8811256575186620.2377486849626770.118874342481338
280.8094343216708010.3811313566583980.190565678329199
290.7125472433169350.5749055133661290.287452756683065
300.6065690340720320.7868619318559360.393430965927968
310.6324571558734520.7350856882530960.367542844126548
320.5420138591350830.9159722817298330.457986140864917
330.4010892663909410.8021785327818830.598910733609059


Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
Description# significant tests% significant testsOK/NOK
1% type I error level00OK
5% type I error level00OK
10% type I error level00OK
 
Charts produced by software:
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/19/t12927640439tjt8exdomg5i81/109df01292764168.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/19/t12927640439tjt8exdomg5i81/109df01292764168.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/19/t12927640439tjt8exdomg5i81/1lc071292764168.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/19/t12927640439tjt8exdomg5i81/1lc071292764168.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/19/t12927640439tjt8exdomg5i81/2lc071292764168.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/19/t12927640439tjt8exdomg5i81/2lc071292764168.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/19/t12927640439tjt8exdomg5i81/3lc071292764168.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/19/t12927640439tjt8exdomg5i81/3lc071292764168.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/19/t12927640439tjt8exdomg5i81/4vlh91292764168.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/19/t12927640439tjt8exdomg5i81/4vlh91292764168.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/19/t12927640439tjt8exdomg5i81/5vlh91292764168.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/19/t12927640439tjt8exdomg5i81/5vlh91292764168.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/19/t12927640439tjt8exdomg5i81/6vlh91292764168.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/19/t12927640439tjt8exdomg5i81/6vlh91292764168.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/19/t12927640439tjt8exdomg5i81/76czu1292764168.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/19/t12927640439tjt8exdomg5i81/76czu1292764168.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/19/t12927640439tjt8exdomg5i81/8z4yf1292764168.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/19/t12927640439tjt8exdomg5i81/8z4yf1292764168.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/19/t12927640439tjt8exdomg5i81/9z4yf1292764168.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/19/t12927640439tjt8exdomg5i81/9z4yf1292764168.ps (open in new window)


 
Parameters (Session):
par1 = 1 ; par2 = Do not include Seasonal Dummies ; par3 = No Linear Trend ;
 
Parameters (R input):
par1 = 1 ; par2 = Do not include Seasonal Dummies ; par3 = No Linear Trend ;
 
R code (references can be found in the software module):
library(lattice)
library(lmtest)
n25 <- 25 #minimum number of obs. for Goldfeld-Quandt test
par1 <- as.numeric(par1)
x <- t(y)
k <- length(x[1,])
n <- length(x[,1])
x1 <- cbind(x[,par1], x[,1:k!=par1])
mycolnames <- c(colnames(x)[par1], colnames(x)[1:k!=par1])
colnames(x1) <- mycolnames #colnames(x)[par1]
x <- x1
if (par3 == 'First Differences'){
x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n-1,k), dimnames=list(1:(n-1), paste('(1-B)',colnames(x),sep='')))
for (i in 1:n-1) {
for (j in 1:k) {
x2[i,j] <- x[i+1,j] - x[i,j]
}
}
x <- x2
}
if (par2 == 'Include Monthly Dummies'){
x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,11), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('M', seq(1:11), sep ='')))
for (i in 1:11){
x2[seq(i,n,12),i] <- 1
}
x <- cbind(x, x2)
}
if (par2 == 'Include Quarterly Dummies'){
x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,3), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('Q', seq(1:3), sep ='')))
for (i in 1:3){
x2[seq(i,n,4),i] <- 1
}
x <- cbind(x, x2)
}
k <- length(x[1,])
if (par3 == 'Linear Trend'){
x <- cbind(x, c(1:n))
colnames(x)[k+1] <- 't'
}
x
k <- length(x[1,])
df <- as.data.frame(x)
(mylm <- lm(df))
(mysum <- summary(mylm))
if (n > n25) {
kp3 <- k + 3
nmkm3 <- n - k - 3
gqarr <- array(NA, dim=c(nmkm3-kp3+1,3))
numgqtests <- 0
numsignificant1 <- 0
numsignificant5 <- 0
numsignificant10 <- 0
for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) {
j <- 0
numgqtests <- numgqtests + 1
for (myalt in c('greater', 'two.sided', 'less')) {
j <- j + 1
gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,j] <- gqtest(mylm, point=mypoint, alternative=myalt)$p.value
}
if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.01) numsignificant1 <- numsignificant1 + 1
if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.05) numsignificant5 <- numsignificant5 + 1
if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.10) numsignificant10 <- numsignificant10 + 1
}
gqarr
}
bitmap(file='test0.png')
plot(x[,1], type='l', main='Actuals and Interpolation', ylab='value of Actuals and Interpolation (dots)', xlab='time or index')
points(x[,1]-mysum$resid)
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test1.png')
plot(mysum$resid, type='b', pch=19, main='Residuals', ylab='value of Residuals', xlab='time or index')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test2.png')
hist(mysum$resid, main='Residual Histogram', xlab='values of Residuals')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test3.png')
densityplot(~mysum$resid,col='black',main='Residual Density Plot', xlab='values of Residuals')
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test4.png')
qqnorm(mysum$resid, main='Residual Normal Q-Q Plot')
qqline(mysum$resid)
grid()
dev.off()
(myerror <- as.ts(mysum$resid))
bitmap(file='test5.png')
dum <- cbind(lag(myerror,k=1),myerror)
dum
dum1 <- dum[2:length(myerror),]
dum1
z <- as.data.frame(dum1)
z
plot(z,main=paste('Residual Lag plot, lowess, and regression line'), ylab='values of Residuals', xlab='lagged values of Residuals')
lines(lowess(z))
abline(lm(z))
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test6.png')
acf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Autocorrelation Function')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test7.png')
pacf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Partial Autocorrelation Function')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test8.png')
opar <- par(mfrow = c(2,2), oma = c(0, 0, 1.1, 0))
plot(mylm, las = 1, sub='Residual Diagnostics')
par(opar)
dev.off()
if (n > n25) {
bitmap(file='test9.png')
plot(kp3:nmkm3,gqarr[,2], main='Goldfeld-Quandt test',ylab='2-sided p-value',xlab='breakpoint')
grid()
dev.off()
}
load(file='createtable')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
myeq <- colnames(x)[1]
myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t] = ', sep='')
for (i in 1:k){
if (mysum$coefficients[i,1] > 0) myeq <- paste(myeq, '+', '')
myeq <- paste(myeq, mysum$coefficients[i,1], sep=' ')
if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != '(Intercept)') {
myeq <- paste(myeq, rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i], sep='')
if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != 't') myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t]', sep='')
}
}
myeq <- paste(myeq, ' + e[t]')
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, myeq)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable1.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,hyperlink('http://www.xycoon.com/ols1.htm','Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares',''), 6, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Variable',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Parameter',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'S.D.',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'T-STAT<br />H0: parameter = 0',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'2-tail p-value',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'1-tail p-value',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:k){
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i],header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,mysum$coefficients[i,1])
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,2],6))
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,3],4))
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,4],6))
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,4]/2,6))
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable2.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics', 2, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple R',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, sqrt(mysum$r.squared))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'R-squared',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$r.squared)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Adjusted R-squared',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$adj.r.squared)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (value)',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[1])
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF numerator)',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[2])
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF denominator)',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[3])
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'p-value',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 1-pf(mysum$fstatistic[1],mysum$fstatistic[2],mysum$fstatistic[3]))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics', 2, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Residual Standard Deviation',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$sigma)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Sum Squared Residuals',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, sum(myerror*myerror))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable3.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals', 4, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Time or Index', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 'Actuals', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 'Interpolation<br />Forecast', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 'Residuals<br />Prediction Error', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:n) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,i, 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,x[i])
a<-table.element(a,x[i]-mysum$resid[i])
a<-table.element(a,mysum$resid[i])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable4.tab')
if (n > n25) {
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'p-values',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Alternative Hypothesis',3,header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'breakpoint index',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'greater',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'2-sided',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'less',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,mypoint,header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,1])
a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2])
a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,3])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable5.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Description',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'# significant tests',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'% significant tests',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'OK/NOK',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'1% type I error level',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant1)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant1/numgqtests)
if (numsignificant1/numgqtests < 0.01) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK'
a<-table.element(a,dum)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'5% type I error level',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant5)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant5/numgqtests)
if (numsignificant5/numgqtests < 0.05) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK'
a<-table.element(a,dum)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'10% type I error level',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant10)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant10/numgqtests)
if (numsignificant10/numgqtests < 0.1) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK'
a<-table.element(a,dum)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable6.tab')
}
 





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