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*The author of this computation has been verified*
R Software Module: /rwasp_multipleregression.wasp (opens new window with default values)
Title produced by software: Multiple Regression
Date of computation: Sat, 18 Dec 2010 14:02:17 +0000
 
Cite this page as follows:
Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/18/t12926808701cmfw7vnstvy3nd.htm/, Retrieved Sat, 18 Dec 2010 15:01:23 +0100
 
BibTeX entries for LaTeX users:
@Manual{KEY,
    author = {{YOUR NAME}},
    publisher = {Office for Research Development and Education},
    title = {Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, URL http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/18/t12926808701cmfw7vnstvy3nd.htm/},
    year = {2010},
}
@Manual{R,
    title = {R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing},
    author = {{R Development Core Team}},
    organization = {R Foundation for Statistical Computing},
    address = {Vienna, Austria},
    year = {2010},
    note = {{ISBN} 3-900051-07-0},
    url = {http://www.R-project.org},
}
 
Original text written by user:
 
IsPrivate?
No (this computation is public)
 
User-defined keywords:
 
Dataseries X:
» Textbox « » Textfile « » CSV «
15 2 0 0 9 12 1 1 2 9 9 1 2 1 9 10 0 0 0 9 13 0 0 0 9 16 1 0 0 9 14 0 0 0 9 16 1 1 0 9 10 0 0 0 9 8 2 0 1 10 12 1 0 0 10 15 0 0 0 10 14 0 1 0 10 14 1 1 2 10 12 1 2 1 10 12 0 0 0 10 10 0 0 0 10 4 0 0 0 10 14 0 1 0 10 15 0 0 0 10 16 0 0 0 10 12 0 1 0 10 12 0 0 0 10 12 0 0 1 10 12 1 0 1 9 12 0 0 0 9 11 3 2 1 9 11 1 0 0 9 11 1 1 0 9 11 1 1 0 9 11 3 1 1 9 11 0 0 0 9 15 0 0 0 9 15 0 0 0 9 9 0 0 0 9 16 0 0 0 9 13 0 2 1 9 9 1 0 0 9 16 0 0 0 9 12 0 0 0 9 15 0 0 2 9 5 0 0 0 9 11 2 2 0 9 17 2 2 0 9 9 0 1 1 9 13 0 0 0 9 16 0 0 0 10 16 0 0 0 10 14 2 0 2 10 16 1 0 0 10 11 0 0 0 10 11 0 0 0 10 11 0 0 0 10 12 0 0 0 10 12 1 1 1 10 12 0 0 0 10 14 0 0 0 10 10 2 0 0 10 9 0 2 0 10 12 0 0 1 10 10 0 0 0 10 14 0 0 0 10 8 0 0 0 10 16 1 0 0 10 14 1 0 0 10 14 0 0 0 10 12 0 0 0 10 14 1 0 0 10 7 1 1 1 10 19 0 0 0 10 15 0 0 0 10 8 0 0 0 10 10 0 0 0 10 13 0 0 0 10 13 0 0 0 9 10 0 0 0 9 12 0 0 0 9 15 0 1 1 9 7 1 0 0 9 14 0 0 0 9 10 0 0 0 9 6 0 3 0 9 11 2 0 0 9 etc...
 
Output produced by software:

Enter (or paste) a matrix (table) containing all data (time) series. Every column represents a different variable and must be delimited by a space or Tab. Every row represents a period in time (or category) and must be delimited by hard returns. The easiest way to enter data is to copy and paste a block of spreadsheet cells. Please, do not use commas or spaces to seperate groups of digits!


Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time18 seconds
R Server'Gwilym Jenkins' @ 72.249.127.135


Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation
Popularity[t] = + 11.3072637357884 + 0.102867075172941B[t] -0.120473088007881`2B`[t] + 0.193536916246142`3B`[t] + 0.0624951815495425Month[t] + e[t]


Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares
VariableParameterS.D.T-STAT
H0: parameter = 0
2-tail p-value1-tail p-value
(Intercept)11.30726373578841.9499115.798900
B0.1028670751729410.213030.48290.6295280.314764
`2B`-0.1204730880078810.22302-0.54020.5894580.294729
`3B`0.1935369162461420.2247210.86120.3897820.194891
Month0.06249518154954250.186970.33430.7384170.369209


Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics
Multiple R0.0633220517929961
R-squared0.00400968224327489
Adjusted R-squared-0.00896739030078675
F-TEST (value)0.308982031938301
F-TEST (DF numerator)4
F-TEST (DF denominator)307
p-value0.871893926998178
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics
Residual Standard Deviation2.94501866374813
Sum Squared Residuals2662.65242345623


Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals
Time or IndexActualsInterpolation
Forecast
Residuals
Prediction Error
11512.07545452008002.92454547992003
21212.2391881893916-0.239188189391642
3911.9251781851376-2.92517818513762
41011.8697203697343-1.86972036973428
51311.86972036973431.13027963026570
61611.97258744490724.02741255509277
71411.86972036973432.13027963026571
81611.85211435689944.14788564310065
91011.8697203697343-1.86972036973429
10812.3314866178759-4.33148661787586
111212.0350826264568-0.0350826264567775
121511.93221555128383.06778444871616
131411.81174246327602.18825753672404
141412.30168337094121.69831662905882
151211.98767336668720.0123266333128416
161211.93221555128380.0677844487161635
171011.9322155512838-1.93221555128384
18411.9322155512838-7.93221555128384
191411.81174246327602.18825753672404
201511.93221555128383.06778444871616
211611.93221555128384.06778444871616
221211.81174246327600.188257536724044
231211.93221555128380.0677844487161635
241212.1257524675300-0.125752467529979
251212.1661243611534-0.166124361153378
261211.86972036973430.130279630265706
271112.1309123354835-1.13091233548350
281111.9725874449072-0.972587444907235
291111.8521143568994-0.852114356899354
301111.8521143568994-0.852114356899354
311112.2513854234914-1.25138542349138
321111.8697203697343-0.869720369734294
331511.86972036973433.13027963026571
341511.86972036973433.13027963026571
35911.8697203697343-2.86972036973429
361611.86972036973434.13027963026571
371311.82231110996471.17768889003532
38911.9725874449072-2.97258744490723
391611.86972036973434.13027963026571
401211.86972036973430.130279630265706
411512.25679420222662.74320579777342
42511.8697203697343-6.8697203697343
431111.8345083440644-0.834508344064414
441711.83450834406445.16549165593559
45911.9427841979726-2.94278419797256
461311.86972036973431.13027963026571
471611.93221555128384.06778444871616
481611.93221555128384.06778444871616
491412.5250235341221.47497646587800
501612.03508262645683.96491737354322
511111.9322155512838-0.932215551283836
521111.9322155512838-0.932215551283836
531111.9322155512838-0.932215551283836
541211.93221555128380.0677844487161635
551212.1081464546950-0.108146454695039
561211.93221555128380.0677844487161635
571411.93221555128382.06778444871616
581012.1379497016297-2.13794970162972
59911.6912693752681-2.69126937526808
601212.1257524675300-0.125752467529979
611011.9322155512838-1.93221555128384
621411.93221555128382.06778444871616
63811.9322155512838-3.93221555128384
641612.03508262645683.96491737354322
651412.03508262645681.96491737354322
661411.93221555128382.06778444871616
671211.93221555128380.0677844487161635
681412.03508262645681.96491737354322
69712.1081464546950-5.10814645469504
701911.93221555128387.06778444871616
711511.93221555128383.06778444871616
72811.9322155512838-3.93221555128384
731011.9322155512838-1.93221555128384
741311.93221555128381.06778444871616
751311.86972036973431.13027963026571
761011.8697203697343-1.86972036973429
771211.86972036973430.130279630265706
781511.94278419797263.05721580202744
79711.9725874449072-4.97258744490724
801411.86972036973432.13027963026571
811011.8697203697343-1.86972036973429
82611.5083011057107-5.50830110571065
831112.0754545200802-1.07545452008018
841211.86972036973430.130279630265706
851412.25679420222661.74320579777342
861211.86972036973430.130279630265706
871411.86972036973432.13027963026571
881111.8345083440644-0.834508344064414
891012.1661243611534-2.16612436115338
901312.06325728598040.936742714019563
91811.8697203697343-3.86972036973429
92911.8697203697343-2.86972036973429
93611.9322155512838-5.93221555128384
941212.4221564589491-0.422156458949063
951411.93221555128382.06778444871616
961111.9322155512838-0.932215551283836
97812.2286195427029-4.22861954270292
98711.9322155512838-4.93221555128384
99911.8848062915142-2.88480629151422
1001412.01747661362181.98252338637816
1011311.93221555128381.06778444871616
1021511.93221555128383.06778444871616
103511.9322155512838-6.93221555128384
1041512.12034368879482.87965631120522
1051311.81174246327601.18825753672404
1061211.93221555128380.0677844487161635
107612.0350826264568-6.03508262645678
108711.9322155512838-4.93221555128384
1091311.93221555128381.06778444871616
1101611.91460953844894.08539046155110
1111011.9322155512838-1.93221555128384
1121611.93221555128384.06778444871616
1131511.93221555128383.06778444871616
114811.9322155512838-3.93221555128384
1151111.9322155512838-0.932215551283836
1161311.76433320350631.23566679649366
1171612.03508262645683.96491737354322
1181111.9322155512838-0.932215551283836
1191411.93221555128382.06778444871616
120912.0174766136218-3.01747661362184
121811.9322155512838-3.93221555128384
122812.2286195427029-4.22861954270292
1231112.1379497016297-1.13794970162972
1241211.93221555128380.0677844487161635
1251112.3436838519756-1.3436838519756
1261412.19881629576821.80118370423176
1271112.0174766136218-1.01747661362184
1281411.93221555128382.06778444871616
1291312.40455044611410.595449553885878
1301211.93221555128380.0677844487161635
131411.9322155512838-7.93221555128384
1321512.21101352986802.78898647013202
1331011.9322155512838-1.93221555128384
1341311.98767336668721.01232663331284
1351512.30168337094122.69831662905882
1361211.98767336668720.0123266333128416
1371311.93221555128381.06778444871616
138811.9322155512838-3.93221555128384
1391012.1379497016297-2.13794970162972
1401511.93221555128383.06778444871616
1411611.93221555128384.06778444871616
1421611.93221555128384.06778444871616
1431411.93221555128382.06778444871616
1441412.10814645469501.89185354530496
1451212.1081464546950-0.108146454695039
1461512.13632111421872.8636788857813
1471312.04565127314550.954348726854503
1481611.93221555128384.06778444871616
1491411.93221555128382.06778444871616
150811.9322155512838-3.93221555128384
1511611.81174246327604.18825753672404
1521612.10814645469503.89185354530496
1531211.93221555128380.0677844487161635
1541111.7643332035063-0.764333203506336
1551612.10814645469503.89185354530496
156911.9322155512838-2.93221555128384
1571512.55771546873692.44228453126313
1581212.0975778080063-0.0975778080063198
159912.6781885567447-3.67818855674475
1601011.7361585439827-1.73615854398268
1611312.55771546873690.442284531263133
1621611.97710471999844.02289528000156
1631411.85663163199062.14336836800944
1641612.39398179942543.60601820057460
1651012.1706416362446-2.17064163624458
166811.9947107328334-3.99471073283338
1671212.0799717951714-0.0799717951713801
1681512.48465164049862.51534835950140
1691412.09757780800631.90242219199368
1701412.09757780800631.90242219199368
1711212.2911147242525-0.291114724252462
1721211.94730147306380.0526985269362402
1731011.8268283850559-1.82682838505588
174411.7537645568176-7.75376455681762
1751411.94730147306382.05269852693624
1761511.99471073283343.00528926716662
1771612.09757780800633.90242219199368
1781212.2004448831793-0.200444883179261
1791211.99471073283340.00528926716662115
1801211.87423764482550.125762355174502
1811211.75376455681760.246235443182383
1821212.0975778080063-0.0975778080063198
1831111.9771047199984-0.97710471999844
1841112.3033119583522-1.30331195835220
1851112.4548483935639-1.45484839356393
1861112.2613114773178-1.26131147731778
1871112.0975778080063-1.09757780800632
1881112.3939817994254-1.39398179942540
1891512.09757780800632.90242219199368
1901512.29111472425252.70888527574754
191912.1408383893099-3.1408383893099
1921611.94730147306384.05269852693624
1931312.18824764907950.811752350920479
194911.9594987071635-2.9594987071635
1951611.85663163199064.14336836800944
1961212.0975778080063-0.0975778080063198
1971512.07997179517142.92002820482862
198511.6332914688097-6.63329146880974
1991111.8566316319906-0.856631631990558
2001712.20044488317934.79955511682074
201911.9473014730638-2.94730147306376
2021312.20044488317930.79955511682074
2031612.06777456107163.93222543892836
2041611.87423764482554.1257623551745
2051411.97710471999842.02289528000156
2061612.06777456107163.93222543892836
2071112.0975778080063-1.09757780800632
2081112.2613114773178-1.26131147731778
2091112.0501685482367-1.0501685482367
2101212.0975778080063-0.0975778080063198
2111212.1706416362446-0.170641636244582
2121211.97710471999840.0228952800015609
2131412.17064163624461.82935836375542
2141012.4846516404986-2.48465164049860
215911.8742376448255-2.8742376448255
2161211.87423764482550.125762355174502
2171012.0975778080063-2.09757780800632
2181411.95949870716352.0405012928365
219812.0975778080063-4.09757780800632
2201611.94730147306384.05269852693624
2211412.45484839356391.54515160643607
2221412.18824764907951.81175235092048
2231211.87423764482550.125762355174502
2241411.87423764482552.1257623551745
225711.8742376448255-4.8742376448255
2261912.07997179517146.92002820482862
2271512.38178456532572.61821543467434
228811.9947107328334-3.99471073283338
2291012.0975778080063-2.09757780800632
2301311.97710471999841.02289528000156
2311312.67818855674470.321811443255253
2321012.2911147242525-2.29111472425246
2331212.0975778080063-0.0975778080063198
2341512.18824764907952.81175235092048
235712.1882476490795-5.18824764907952
2361412.18824764907951.81175235092048
2371012.1706416362446-2.17064163624458
238612.2004448831793-6.20044488317926
2391111.9771047199984-0.97710471999844
2401211.95949870716350.0405012928365007
2411412.18283887034431.81716112965568
2421211.85663163199060.143368368009442
2431412.26131147731781.73868852268222
2441112.2735087114175-1.27350871141752
2451012.0975778080063-2.09757780800632
2461312.26131147731780.738688522682217
247812.1882476490795-4.18824764907952
248912.9745925481638-3.97459254816383
249611.9771047199984-5.97710471999844
2501212.0975778080063-0.0975778080063198
2511411.99471073283342.00528926716662
2521111.9594987071635-0.9594987071635
253812.1882476490795-4.18824764907952
254712.0975778080063-5.09757780800632
255911.7537645568176-2.75376455681762
2561412.18283887034431.81716112965568
2571311.99471073283341.00528926716662
2581512.26131147731782.73868852268222
259512.3641785524907-7.36417855249072
2601512.14083838930992.8591616106901
2611311.87423764482551.12576235517450
2621212.1882476490795-0.188247649079521
263612.0975778080063-6.09757780800632
264712.0975778080063-5.09757780800632
2651312.30331195835220.696688041647798
2661612.20044488317933.79955511682074
2671011.8742376448255-1.87423764482550
2681612.09757780800633.90242219199368
2691512.09757780800632.90242219199368
270812.2911147242525-4.29111472425246
2711112.0975778080063-1.09757780800632
2721312.36417855249070.635821447509276
2731611.94730147306384.05269852693624
2741112.4548483935639-1.45484839356393
2751412.06777456107161.93222543892836
276912.3817845653257-3.38178456532566
277811.9367328263750-3.93673282637504
278812.2629400647288-4.2629400647288
2791111.7986537255322-0.79865372553222
2801211.81625973836720.183740261632840
2811112.1424669767209-1.14246697672092
2821412.16007298955591.83992701044414
2831112.1600729895559-1.16007298955586
2841412.03959990154801.96040009845202
2851312.25074283062910.749257169370936
2861212.0395999015480-0.0395999015479815
287412.1600729895559-8.16007298955586
2881512.05720591438292.94279408561708
2891012.2507428306291-2.25074283062906
2901312.05720591438290.942794085617079
2911512.44427974687522.55572025312479
2921212.0572059143829-0.0572059143829212
2931312.16007298955590.839927010444138
294812.0572059143829-4.05720591438292
2951012.2507428306291-2.25074283062906
2961512.16007298955592.83992701044414
2971611.93673282637504.06326717362496
2981612.16007298955593.83992701044414
2991412.05720591438291.94279408561708
3001412.16007298955591.83992701044414
3011212.0572059143829-0.0572059143829212
3021512.05720591438292.94279408561708
3031312.25074283062910.749257169370936
3041612.16007298955593.83992701044414
3051412.25074283062911.74925716937094
306812.0572059143829-4.05720591438292
3071612.05720591438293.94279408561708
3081612.3536099058023.64639009419800
3091211.93673282637500.0632671736249595
3101112.0572059143829-1.05720591438292
3111612.05720591438293.94279408561708
312912.0572059143829-3.05720591438292


Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
p-valuesAlternative Hypothesis
breakpoint indexgreater2-sidedless
80.58523587204930.82952825590140.4147641279507
90.5310383647512060.937923270497590.468961635248794
100.38838495160690.77676990321380.6116150483931
110.4204857072098350.840971414419670.579514292790165
120.5908043148127560.8183913703744890.409195685187244
130.5136223990335110.9727552019329790.486377600966489
140.5863059989949540.8273880020100920.413694001005046
150.4933799547097810.9867599094195630.506620045290219
160.4103880119465120.8207760238930230.589611988053488
170.389027172705440.778054345410880.61097282729456
180.7891576016769030.4216847966461930.210842398323097
190.7582397038892750.4835205922214490.241760296110725
200.7733592467686080.4532815064627830.226640753231392
210.8078093947982130.3843812104035740.192190605201787
220.7586245717417210.4827508565165570.241375428258279
230.7018414253608330.5963171492783340.298158574639167
240.646021157904230.707957684191540.35397884209577
250.5824758701424280.8350482597151440.417524129857572
260.5207321028390230.9585357943219540.479267897160977
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800.3777832088690660.7555664177381320.622216791130934
810.3604431576185030.7208863152370050.639556842381497
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830.3977608037913320.7955216075826640.602239196208668
840.3626102672642870.7252205345285730.637389732735713
850.3385702405294550.677140481058910.661429759470545
860.3058147924752180.6116295849504370.694185207524782
870.2894380397922860.5788760795845720.710561960207714
880.2592458527628580.5184917055257170.740754147237142
890.2483074239241970.4966148478483940.751692576075803
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910.2470070778079560.4940141556159120.752992922192044
920.2469384377508220.4938768755016430.753061562249178
930.3547110487048070.7094220974096130.645288951295193
940.3237612256928350.647522451385670.676238774307165
950.3051193017021150.610238603404230.694880698297885
960.2790666907032380.5581333814064770.720933309296762
970.3167200708086650.633440141617330.683279929191335
980.3802051888179490.7604103776358990.619794811182051
990.3695418515104070.7390837030208130.630458148489593
1000.3534328447673220.7068656895346440.646567155232678
1010.3247643572401990.6495287144803970.675235642759801
1020.3252699953526530.6505399907053050.674730004647347
1030.4811424000134590.9622848000269180.518857599986541
1040.4763634616582670.9527269233165330.523636538341733
1050.4493909680284960.8987819360569910.550609031971504
1060.4153003410027850.830600682005570.584699658997215
1070.5306188748863620.9387622502272770.469381125113638
1080.5907729441413670.8184541117172660.409227055858633
1090.5613917981759160.8772164036481680.438608201824084
1100.5928899178581550.814220164283690.407110082141845
1110.5740993274151080.8518013451697830.425900672584892
1120.6015862665746250.796827466850750.398413733425375
1130.6024302835952010.7951394328095990.397569716404799
1140.6278052527389090.7443894945221830.372194747261091
1150.5988821855357190.8022356289285620.401117814464281
1160.5768784336934390.8462431326131230.423121566306561
1170.5985845170240930.8028309659518130.401415482975907
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1200.5544111786460730.8911776427078540.445588821353927
1210.5804861744163010.8390276511673980.419513825583699
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1240.5543067966912030.8913864066175930.445693203308797
1250.5289495463902170.9421009072195660.471050453609783
1260.5101397518148050.979720496370390.489860248185195
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1280.4628444914467340.9256889828934680.537155508553266
1290.4322249687508770.8644499375017550.567775031249123
1300.3999011338513010.7998022677026010.600098866148699
1310.6070166168302540.7859667663394930.392983383169746
1320.6029331609306260.7941336781387490.397066839069374
1330.5871909912053020.8256180175893960.412809008794698
1340.5586698741744060.8826602516511880.441330125825594
1350.5504387121682010.8991225756635980.449561287831799
1360.5178461808331650.964307638333670.482153819166835
1370.4884912517006680.9769825034013370.511508748299332
1380.5196911136153770.9606177727692450.480308886384622
1390.507208276818310.985583446363380.49279172318169
1400.5049033666495450.990193266700910.495096633350455
1410.527646069562970.944707860874060.47235393043703
1420.5511146380514890.8977707238970230.448885361948511
1430.5324074330758110.9351851338483770.467592566924189
1440.5114599807796990.9770800384406020.488540019220301
1450.4790236772481210.9580473544962410.520976322751879
1460.4720579770727330.9441159541454660.527942022927267
1470.4425200732720420.8850401465440830.557479926727958
1480.4725713447023110.9451426894046220.527428655297689
1490.4582786211810850.916557242362170.541721378818915
1500.479094670505210.958189341010420.52090532949479
1510.5151691280132970.9696617439734060.484830871986703
1520.5417435427450710.9165129145098590.458256457254929
1530.5104861009986080.9790277980027840.489513899001392
1540.4806505889100280.9613011778200560.519349411089972
1550.5112921690810860.9774156618378280.488707830918914
1560.5027034871652240.9945930256695520.497296512834776
1570.4871201339088480.9742402678176960.512879866091152
1580.4547444033687930.9094888067375870.545255596631207
1590.4803303270174550.960660654034910.519669672982545
1600.4592326434386180.9184652868772350.540767356561382
1610.4277084315847730.8554168631695460.572291568415227
1620.4565692316701620.9131384633403230.543430768329838
1630.4405631155644830.8811262311289660.559436884435517
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1680.4245256520771430.8490513041542870.575474347922857
1690.4065088848186030.8130177696372070.593491115181397
1700.3886237170434690.7772474340869380.611376282956531
1710.3583846456325240.7167692912650470.641615354367477
1720.3286463848347290.6572927696694590.671353615165271
1730.3115272485753820.6230544971507630.688472751424618
1740.4918267044057740.9836534088115480.508173295594226
1750.4750759652167350.950151930433470.524924034783265
1760.478962445119530.957924890239060.52103755488047
1770.5070905416419750.985818916716050.492909458358025
1780.4748394178667490.9496788357334970.525160582133251
1790.4425389181258060.8850778362516130.557461081874194
1800.4103744298806460.8207488597612920.589625570119354
1810.3788961330117350.7577922660234710.621103866988264
1820.3483122251532950.696624450306590.651687774846705
1830.3210109207451950.6420218414903890.678989079254805
1840.2968457449076000.5936914898152010.7031542550924
1850.2766512157854250.553302431570850.723348784214575
1860.2543534411759140.5087068823518280.745646558824086
1870.2309976335606780.4619952671213550.769002366439323
1880.2111479643014470.4222959286028950.788852035698553
1890.2136153649334550.4272307298669110.786384635066545
1900.2124806613145990.4249613226291980.787519338685401
1910.2170913747845750.4341827495691510.782908625215425
1920.2375053897236190.4750107794472370.762494610276381
1930.2159004235383290.4318008470766590.78409957646167
1940.2168248021269980.4336496042539950.783175197873002
1950.2400634566671680.4801269133343360.759936543332832
1960.2152352991741450.430470598348290.784764700825855
1970.2158401785916080.4316803571832160.784159821408392
1980.3382495954211510.6764991908423020.661750404578849
1990.3119811521120830.6239623042241660.688018847887917
2000.3796935298218400.7593870596436790.62030647017816
2010.3894179713882880.7788359427765770.610582028611712
2020.3665258108430500.7330516216861010.63347418915695
2030.3906695923129770.7813391846259550.609330407687023
2040.4251363968502810.8502727937005620.574863603149719
2050.4103190635218690.8206381270437370.589680936478131
2060.4387026996275880.8774053992551750.561297300372412
2070.4082364688397990.8164729376795980.591763531160201
2080.3814702838581970.7629405677163930.618529716141803
2090.3558141264942880.7116282529885760.644185873505712
2100.3270715401013940.6541430802027880.672928459898606
2110.2965336710241150.593067342048230.703466328975885
2120.2675067730434450.5350135460868890.732493226956555
2130.2515110191260730.5030220382521470.748488980873927
2140.2392381651353420.4784763302706830.760761834864658
2150.2341470586438360.4682941172876720.765852941356164
2160.2083167453199150.4166334906398290.791683254680085
2170.1909438795916230.3818877591832460.809056120408377
2180.1772946366937290.3545892733874570.822705363306271
2190.1866738433983250.3733476867966500.813326156601675
2200.2027423299415330.4054846598830650.797257670058467
2210.1852114197273210.3704228394546430.814788580272679
2220.1767424564966470.3534849129932930.823257543503353
2230.1549851477217260.3099702954434520.845014852278274
2240.1485305572004810.2970611144009630.851469442799519
2250.1773192174616790.3546384349233590.82268078253832
2260.3228518263693030.6457036527386060.677148173630697
2270.328948927297230.657897854594460.67105107270277
2280.3398914383472890.6797828766945780.660108561652711
2290.31537726128420.63075452256840.6846227387158
2300.2910374335109830.5820748670219650.708962566489017
2310.2676521728737840.5353043457475680.732347827126216
2320.2471426491089510.4942852982179020.752857350891049
2330.2208964148491170.4417928296982350.779103585150883
2340.2326695485945270.4653390971890540.767330451405473
2350.2715942537569570.5431885075139130.728405746243043
2360.2634032776778360.5268065553556720.736596722322164
2370.2427754236778460.4855508473556920.757224576322154
2380.3147373246261760.6294746492523520.685262675373824
2390.2826919661456410.5653839322912820.717308033854359
2400.2509456609998670.5018913219997330.749054339000133
2410.2421740108476670.4843480216953330.757825989152333
2420.2130836301024070.4261672602048150.786916369897593
2430.2013411636904150.4026823273808310.798658836309585
2440.1764136097212890.3528272194425780.823586390278711
2450.1571942952404190.3143885904808380.842805704759581
2460.1395170192561790.2790340385123580.86048298074382
2470.1474378539949740.2948757079899480.852562146005026
2480.1463836386022370.2927672772044740.853616361397763
2490.2073514604657150.414702920931430.792648539534285
2500.1800483212938120.3600966425876240.819951678706188
2510.1725590042893100.3451180085786200.82744099571069
2520.1491519145406290.2983038290812580.85084808545937
2530.1587631380405780.3175262760811570.841236861959422
2540.1951690348784500.3903380697569000.80483096512155
2550.1956711288127770.3913422576255540.804328871187223
2560.1821630594529810.3643261189059620.817836940547019
2570.1582487472653500.3164974945307000.84175125273465
2580.1577081419801400.3154162839602790.84229185801986
2590.3006330211190010.6012660422380030.699366978880999
2600.2893428628230670.5786857256461340.710657137176933
2610.2587855535584050.5175711071168110.741214446441595
2620.2240112100386570.4480224200773140.775988789961343
2630.3291754633735010.6583509267470020.670824536626499
2640.4308279947959460.861655989591890.569172005204055
2650.3859581473718810.7719162947437610.614041852628119
2660.4037094815860200.8074189631720410.59629051841398
2670.3953526163132080.7907052326264160.604647383686792
2680.420137495272540.840274990545080.57986250472746
2690.4373554307054270.8747108614108530.562644569294573
2700.4594474080016710.9188948160033420.540552591998329
2710.4158137505663450.831627501132690.584186249433655
2720.3703515036849150.740703007369830.629648496315085
2730.4164801782614440.8329603565228890.583519821738556
2740.3702106486116870.7404212972233740.629789351388313
2750.4032607184976130.8065214369952270.596739281502387
2760.3588621334783330.7177242669566660.641137866521667
2770.4106541491092410.8213082982184810.589345850890759
2780.4709029673710080.9418059347420150.529097032628992
2790.4260367630283830.8520735260567650.573963236971617
2800.3755782041913310.7511564083826630.624421795808669
2810.3642911403781260.7285822807562530.635708859621874
2820.3200976895614540.6401953791229080.679902310438546
2830.2877318300823190.5754636601646380.712268169917681
2840.2413076734671670.4826153469343340.758692326532833
2850.1969945734791660.3939891469583310.803005426520834
2860.1782140057471620.3564280114943240.821785994252838
2870.7756814951245750.448637009750850.224318504875425
2880.7819151121152540.4361697757694910.218084887884746
2890.7844426912791040.4311146174417910.215557308720896
2900.7345002640369560.5309994719260870.265499735963044
2910.6881013028456520.6237973943086960.311898697154348
2920.6169469032714470.7661061934571070.383053096728553
2930.5807466557677340.8385066884645320.419253344232266
2940.6794952463155410.6410095073689170.320504753684459
2950.6876298998581180.6247402002837630.312370100141882
2960.6084150446237920.7831699107524170.391584955376208
2970.6108326565119740.7783346869760520.389167343488026
2980.5275399030055580.9449201939888840.472460096994442
2990.4513562606058880.9027125212117760.548643739394112
3000.365252142977780.730504285955560.63474785702222
3010.2670095880579520.5340191761159040.732990411942048
3020.2351963246892800.4703926493785590.76480367531072
3030.1463134452154140.2926268904308270.853686554784586
3040.08435575291048640.1687115058209730.915644247089514


Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
Description# significant tests% significant testsOK/NOK
1% type I error level00OK
5% type I error level00OK
10% type I error level00OK
 
Charts produced by software:
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/18/t12926808701cmfw7vnstvy3nd/10rkg11292680918.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/18/t12926808701cmfw7vnstvy3nd/10rkg11292680918.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/18/t12926808701cmfw7vnstvy3nd/12jjp1292680918.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/18/t12926808701cmfw7vnstvy3nd/12jjp1292680918.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/18/t12926808701cmfw7vnstvy3nd/22jjp1292680918.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/18/t12926808701cmfw7vnstvy3nd/22jjp1292680918.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/18/t12926808701cmfw7vnstvy3nd/32jjp1292680918.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/18/t12926808701cmfw7vnstvy3nd/32jjp1292680918.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/18/t12926808701cmfw7vnstvy3nd/4daia1292680918.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/18/t12926808701cmfw7vnstvy3nd/4daia1292680918.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/18/t12926808701cmfw7vnstvy3nd/5daia1292680918.png (open in new window)
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Parameters (Session):
par1 = 1 ; par2 = Do not include Seasonal Dummies ; par3 = No Linear Trend ;
 
Parameters (R input):
par1 = 1 ; par2 = Do not include Seasonal Dummies ; par3 = No Linear Trend ;
 
R code (references can be found in the software module):
library(lattice)
library(lmtest)
n25 <- 25 #minimum number of obs. for Goldfeld-Quandt test
par1 <- as.numeric(par1)
x <- t(y)
k <- length(x[1,])
n <- length(x[,1])
x1 <- cbind(x[,par1], x[,1:k!=par1])
mycolnames <- c(colnames(x)[par1], colnames(x)[1:k!=par1])
colnames(x1) <- mycolnames #colnames(x)[par1]
x <- x1
if (par3 == 'First Differences'){
x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n-1,k), dimnames=list(1:(n-1), paste('(1-B)',colnames(x),sep='')))
for (i in 1:n-1) {
for (j in 1:k) {
x2[i,j] <- x[i+1,j] - x[i,j]
}
}
x <- x2
}
if (par2 == 'Include Monthly Dummies'){
x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,11), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('M', seq(1:11), sep ='')))
for (i in 1:11){
x2[seq(i,n,12),i] <- 1
}
x <- cbind(x, x2)
}
if (par2 == 'Include Quarterly Dummies'){
x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,3), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('Q', seq(1:3), sep ='')))
for (i in 1:3){
x2[seq(i,n,4),i] <- 1
}
x <- cbind(x, x2)
}
k <- length(x[1,])
if (par3 == 'Linear Trend'){
x <- cbind(x, c(1:n))
colnames(x)[k+1] <- 't'
}
x
k <- length(x[1,])
df <- as.data.frame(x)
(mylm <- lm(df))
(mysum <- summary(mylm))
if (n > n25) {
kp3 <- k + 3
nmkm3 <- n - k - 3
gqarr <- array(NA, dim=c(nmkm3-kp3+1,3))
numgqtests <- 0
numsignificant1 <- 0
numsignificant5 <- 0
numsignificant10 <- 0
for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) {
j <- 0
numgqtests <- numgqtests + 1
for (myalt in c('greater', 'two.sided', 'less')) {
j <- j + 1
gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,j] <- gqtest(mylm, point=mypoint, alternative=myalt)$p.value
}
if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.01) numsignificant1 <- numsignificant1 + 1
if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.05) numsignificant5 <- numsignificant5 + 1
if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.10) numsignificant10 <- numsignificant10 + 1
}
gqarr
}
bitmap(file='test0.png')
plot(x[,1], type='l', main='Actuals and Interpolation', ylab='value of Actuals and Interpolation (dots)', xlab='time or index')
points(x[,1]-mysum$resid)
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test1.png')
plot(mysum$resid, type='b', pch=19, main='Residuals', ylab='value of Residuals', xlab='time or index')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test2.png')
hist(mysum$resid, main='Residual Histogram', xlab='values of Residuals')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test3.png')
densityplot(~mysum$resid,col='black',main='Residual Density Plot', xlab='values of Residuals')
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test4.png')
qqnorm(mysum$resid, main='Residual Normal Q-Q Plot')
qqline(mysum$resid)
grid()
dev.off()
(myerror <- as.ts(mysum$resid))
bitmap(file='test5.png')
dum <- cbind(lag(myerror,k=1),myerror)
dum
dum1 <- dum[2:length(myerror),]
dum1
z <- as.data.frame(dum1)
z
plot(z,main=paste('Residual Lag plot, lowess, and regression line'), ylab='values of Residuals', xlab='lagged values of Residuals')
lines(lowess(z))
abline(lm(z))
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test6.png')
acf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Autocorrelation Function')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test7.png')
pacf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Partial Autocorrelation Function')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test8.png')
opar <- par(mfrow = c(2,2), oma = c(0, 0, 1.1, 0))
plot(mylm, las = 1, sub='Residual Diagnostics')
par(opar)
dev.off()
if (n > n25) {
bitmap(file='test9.png')
plot(kp3:nmkm3,gqarr[,2], main='Goldfeld-Quandt test',ylab='2-sided p-value',xlab='breakpoint')
grid()
dev.off()
}
load(file='createtable')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
myeq <- colnames(x)[1]
myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t] = ', sep='')
for (i in 1:k){
if (mysum$coefficients[i,1] > 0) myeq <- paste(myeq, '+', '')
myeq <- paste(myeq, mysum$coefficients[i,1], sep=' ')
if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != '(Intercept)') {
myeq <- paste(myeq, rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i], sep='')
if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != 't') myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t]', sep='')
}
}
myeq <- paste(myeq, ' + e[t]')
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, myeq)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable1.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,hyperlink('http://www.xycoon.com/ols1.htm','Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares',''), 6, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Variable',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Parameter',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'S.D.',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'T-STAT<br />H0: parameter = 0',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'2-tail p-value',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'1-tail p-value',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:k){
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i],header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,mysum$coefficients[i,1])
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,2],6))
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,3],4))
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,4],6))
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,4]/2,6))
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable2.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics', 2, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple R',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, sqrt(mysum$r.squared))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'R-squared',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$r.squared)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Adjusted R-squared',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$adj.r.squared)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (value)',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[1])
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF numerator)',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[2])
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF denominator)',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[3])
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'p-value',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 1-pf(mysum$fstatistic[1],mysum$fstatistic[2],mysum$fstatistic[3]))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics', 2, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Residual Standard Deviation',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$sigma)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Sum Squared Residuals',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, sum(myerror*myerror))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable3.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals', 4, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Time or Index', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 'Actuals', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 'Interpolation<br />Forecast', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 'Residuals<br />Prediction Error', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:n) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,i, 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,x[i])
a<-table.element(a,x[i]-mysum$resid[i])
a<-table.element(a,mysum$resid[i])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable4.tab')
if (n > n25) {
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'p-values',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Alternative Hypothesis',3,header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'breakpoint index',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'greater',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'2-sided',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'less',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,mypoint,header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,1])
a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2])
a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,3])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable5.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Description',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'# significant tests',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'% significant tests',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'OK/NOK',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'1% type I error level',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant1)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant1/numgqtests)
if (numsignificant1/numgqtests < 0.01) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK'
a<-table.element(a,dum)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'5% type I error level',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant5)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant5/numgqtests)
if (numsignificant5/numgqtests < 0.05) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK'
a<-table.element(a,dum)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'10% type I error level',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant10)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant10/numgqtests)
if (numsignificant10/numgqtests < 0.1) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK'
a<-table.element(a,dum)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable6.tab')
}
 





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