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*The author of this computation has been verified*
R Software Module: /rwasp_multipleregression.wasp (opens new window with default values)
Title produced by software: Multiple Regression
Date of computation: Tue, 14 Dec 2010 20:55:14 +0000
 
Cite this page as follows:
Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/14/t1292360107jabv53hkzybl3hl.htm/, Retrieved Tue, 14 Dec 2010 21:55:10 +0100
 
BibTeX entries for LaTeX users:
@Manual{KEY,
    author = {{YOUR NAME}},
    publisher = {Office for Research Development and Education},
    title = {Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, URL http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/14/t1292360107jabv53hkzybl3hl.htm/},
    year = {2010},
}
@Manual{R,
    title = {R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing},
    author = {{R Development Core Team}},
    organization = {R Foundation for Statistical Computing},
    address = {Vienna, Austria},
    year = {2010},
    note = {{ISBN} 3-900051-07-0},
    url = {http://www.R-project.org},
}
 
Original text written by user:
 
IsPrivate?
No (this computation is public)
 
User-defined keywords:
 
Dataseries X:
» Textbox « » Textfile « » CSV «
6.3 1000.00 3 2.1 2547000.00 4 9.1 10550.00 4 15.8 0.02 1 5.2 160000.00 4 10.9 3300.00 1 8.3 52160.00 1 11 0.43 4 3.2 465000.00 5 7.6 0.55 2 6.3 0.08 1 8.6 3000.00 2 6.6 0.79 2 9.5 0.20 2 4.8 1410.00 1 12 60000.00 1 3.3 27660.00 5 11 0.12 2 4.7 85000.00 1 10.4 0.10 3 7.4 1040.00 4 2.1 521000.00 5 7.7 0.01 4 17.9 0.01 1 6.1 62000.00 1 8.2 0.12 1 8.4 1350.00 3 11.9 0.02 3 10.8 0.05 3 13.8 1700.00 1 14.3 3500.00 1 15.2 0.48 2 10 10000.00 4 11.9 1620.00 2 6.5 192000.00 4 7.5 2500.00 5 10.6 0.28 3 7.4 4235.00 1 8.4 6800.00 2 5.7 0.75 2 4.9 3600.00 3 3.2 55500.00 5 8.1 0.06 2 11 0.90 2 4.9 2000.00 3 13.2 0.10 2 9.7 4190.00 4 12.8 3500.00 1
 
Output produced by software:

Enter (or paste) a matrix (table) containing all data (time) series. Every column represents a different variable and must be delimited by a space or Tab. Every row represents a period in time (or category) and must be delimited by hard returns. The easiest way to enter data is to copy and paste a block of spreadsheet cells. Please, do not use commas or spaces to seperate groups of digits!


Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time6 seconds
R Server'RServer@AstonUniversity' @ vre.aston.ac.uk


Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation
Cons[t] = + 11.7472992244928 -2.59759973978495e-06Inc[t] -1.10910450405552Price[t] + e[t]


Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares
VariableParameterS.D.T-STAT
H0: parameter = 0
2-tail p-value1-tail p-value
(Intercept)11.74729922449280.97667612.027800
Inc-2.59759973978495e-061e-06-2.06570.0446440.022322
Price-1.109104504055520.346701-3.1990.0025270.001264


Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics
Multiple R0.548131167864913
R-squared0.300447777184954
Adjusted R-squared0.269356567282063
F-TEST (value)9.66343150116579
F-TEST (DF numerator)2
F-TEST (DF denominator)45
p-value0.000322443161042463
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics
Residual Standard Deviation3.13399795049866
Sum Squared Residuals441.987441917842


Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals
Time or IndexActualsInterpolation
Forecast
Residuals
Prediction Error
16.38.4173881125865-2.11738811258649
22.10.694794671038491.40520532896151
39.17.283476531016031.81652346898397
415.810.63819466848535.16180533151467
55.26.89526524990517-1.69526524990517
610.910.6296226412960.270377358703963
78.310.5027039180101-2.20270391801014
8117.310880091302883.68911990869712
93.24.99389282521524-1.79389282521524
107.69.52908878770195-1.92908878770195
116.310.6381945126293-4.33819451262935
128.69.52129741716245-0.921297417162453
136.69.52908816427801-2.92908816427801
149.59.52908969686186-0.0290896968618593
154.810.6345321048042-5.83453210480423
161210.48233873605021.51766126394977
173.36.12992709541279-2.82992709541279
18119.529089904669841.47091009533016
194.710.4173987425556-5.71739874255561
2010.48.419985452566311.98001454743369
217.47.308179704541390.0918202954586114
222.14.84842723978728-2.74842723978728
237.77.310881182294770.389118817705232
2417.910.63819469446137.26180530553867
256.110.4771435365707-4.37714353657066
268.210.6381944087254-2.43819440872536
278.48.41647895267758-0.0164789526775763
2811.98.41998566037433.48001433962571
2910.88.41998558244632.3800144175537
3013.810.63377880087973.16622119912031
3114.310.62910312134813.67089687865192
3215.29.529088969533935.67091103046607
33107.284905210872922.71509478912708
3411.99.524882104803362.37511789519664
356.56.81214205823205-0.312142058232054
367.56.195282704865781.30471729513422
3710.68.419984984998362.18001501500164
387.410.6271938855393-3.22719388553934
398.49.51142653815127-1.11142653815127
405.79.529088268182-3.829088268182
414.98.41063435326306-3.51063435326306
423.26.05760991865718-2.85760991865718
438.19.52909006052582-1.42909006052582
44119.529087878542041.47091212145796
454.98.41479051284672-3.51479051284672
4613.29.529089956621833.67091004337817
479.77.299997265361072.40000273463893
4812.810.62910312134812.17089687865192


Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
p-valuesAlternative Hypothesis
breakpoint indexgreater2-sidedless
60.5480659662410320.9038680675179350.451934033758968
70.5899462053947820.8201075892104350.410053794605218
80.6110781692508910.7778436614982170.388921830749109
90.5283313769515310.9433372460969370.471668623048469
100.4703084229367350.940616845873470.529691577063265
110.5631377432473230.8737245135053530.436862256752677
120.4558859118832350.911771823766470.544114088116765
130.4200069066648140.8400138133296280.579993093335186
140.3238552869058170.6477105738116340.676144713094183
150.4918485408807760.983697081761550.508151459119224
160.4573982315093790.9147964630187570.542601768490621
170.4397488141080820.8794976282161640.560251185891918
180.3853909613219940.7707819226439880.614609038678006
190.5353891141448260.9292217717103480.464610885855174
200.4926936280714610.9853872561429230.507306371928539
210.4053555208929280.8107110417858570.594644479107072
220.3732643044346980.7465286088693960.626735695565302
230.2972627013930480.5945254027860950.702737298606952
240.6724812324139920.6550375351720170.327518767586008
250.7154080503775610.5691838992448780.284591949622439
260.7020343083204130.5959313833591740.297965691679587
270.6246755050680310.7506489898639370.375324494931969
280.6299765257213770.7400469485572470.370023474278623
290.5825956702790910.8348086594418170.417404329720909
300.560523186830670.8789536263386590.43947681316933
310.5695782519620440.8608434960759110.430421748037956
320.748759436172380.5024811276552420.251240563827621
330.7264208025079830.5471583949840330.273579197492017
340.6992655868737510.6014688262524980.300734413126249
350.6826758090098390.6346483819803220.317324190990161
360.58435101132010.83129797735980.4156489886799
370.5328191375083180.9343617249833640.467180862491682
380.5140201503737890.9719596992524220.485979849626211
390.3989116635618780.7978233271237560.601088336438122
400.4640903835360030.9281807670720060.535909616463997
410.4889895971490790.9779791942981580.511010402850921
420.3568481627922890.7136963255845780.643151837207711


Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
Description# significant tests% significant testsOK/NOK
1% type I error level00OK
5% type I error level00OK
10% type I error level00OK
 
Charts produced by software:
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/14/t1292360107jabv53hkzybl3hl/10imzq1292360105.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/14/t1292360107jabv53hkzybl3hl/10imzq1292360105.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/14/t1292360107jabv53hkzybl3hl/1t22f1292360105.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/14/t1292360107jabv53hkzybl3hl/1t22f1292360105.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/14/t1292360107jabv53hkzybl3hl/2t22f1292360105.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/14/t1292360107jabv53hkzybl3hl/2t22f1292360105.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/14/t1292360107jabv53hkzybl3hl/3t22f1292360105.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/14/t1292360107jabv53hkzybl3hl/3t22f1292360105.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/14/t1292360107jabv53hkzybl3hl/44c2h1292360105.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/14/t1292360107jabv53hkzybl3hl/44c2h1292360105.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/14/t1292360107jabv53hkzybl3hl/54c2h1292360105.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/14/t1292360107jabv53hkzybl3hl/54c2h1292360105.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/14/t1292360107jabv53hkzybl3hl/6e31k1292360105.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/14/t1292360107jabv53hkzybl3hl/6e31k1292360105.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/14/t1292360107jabv53hkzybl3hl/7e31k1292360105.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/14/t1292360107jabv53hkzybl3hl/7e31k1292360105.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/14/t1292360107jabv53hkzybl3hl/87uin1292360105.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/14/t1292360107jabv53hkzybl3hl/87uin1292360105.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/14/t1292360107jabv53hkzybl3hl/97uin1292360105.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/14/t1292360107jabv53hkzybl3hl/97uin1292360105.ps (open in new window)


 
Parameters (Session):
par1 = 1 ; par2 = Do not include Seasonal Dummies ; par3 = No Linear Trend ;
 
Parameters (R input):
par1 = 1 ; par2 = Do not include Seasonal Dummies ; par3 = No Linear Trend ;
 
R code (references can be found in the software module):
library(lattice)
library(lmtest)
n25 <- 25 #minimum number of obs. for Goldfeld-Quandt test
par1 <- as.numeric(par1)
x <- t(y)
k <- length(x[1,])
n <- length(x[,1])
x1 <- cbind(x[,par1], x[,1:k!=par1])
mycolnames <- c(colnames(x)[par1], colnames(x)[1:k!=par1])
colnames(x1) <- mycolnames #colnames(x)[par1]
x <- x1
if (par3 == 'First Differences'){
x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n-1,k), dimnames=list(1:(n-1), paste('(1-B)',colnames(x),sep='')))
for (i in 1:n-1) {
for (j in 1:k) {
x2[i,j] <- x[i+1,j] - x[i,j]
}
}
x <- x2
}
if (par2 == 'Include Monthly Dummies'){
x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,11), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('M', seq(1:11), sep ='')))
for (i in 1:11){
x2[seq(i,n,12),i] <- 1
}
x <- cbind(x, x2)
}
if (par2 == 'Include Quarterly Dummies'){
x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,3), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('Q', seq(1:3), sep ='')))
for (i in 1:3){
x2[seq(i,n,4),i] <- 1
}
x <- cbind(x, x2)
}
k <- length(x[1,])
if (par3 == 'Linear Trend'){
x <- cbind(x, c(1:n))
colnames(x)[k+1] <- 't'
}
x
k <- length(x[1,])
df <- as.data.frame(x)
(mylm <- lm(df))
(mysum <- summary(mylm))
if (n > n25) {
kp3 <- k + 3
nmkm3 <- n - k - 3
gqarr <- array(NA, dim=c(nmkm3-kp3+1,3))
numgqtests <- 0
numsignificant1 <- 0
numsignificant5 <- 0
numsignificant10 <- 0
for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) {
j <- 0
numgqtests <- numgqtests + 1
for (myalt in c('greater', 'two.sided', 'less')) {
j <- j + 1
gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,j] <- gqtest(mylm, point=mypoint, alternative=myalt)$p.value
}
if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.01) numsignificant1 <- numsignificant1 + 1
if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.05) numsignificant5 <- numsignificant5 + 1
if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.10) numsignificant10 <- numsignificant10 + 1
}
gqarr
}
bitmap(file='test0.png')
plot(x[,1], type='l', main='Actuals and Interpolation', ylab='value of Actuals and Interpolation (dots)', xlab='time or index')
points(x[,1]-mysum$resid)
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test1.png')
plot(mysum$resid, type='b', pch=19, main='Residuals', ylab='value of Residuals', xlab='time or index')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test2.png')
hist(mysum$resid, main='Residual Histogram', xlab='values of Residuals')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test3.png')
densityplot(~mysum$resid,col='black',main='Residual Density Plot', xlab='values of Residuals')
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test4.png')
qqnorm(mysum$resid, main='Residual Normal Q-Q Plot')
qqline(mysum$resid)
grid()
dev.off()
(myerror <- as.ts(mysum$resid))
bitmap(file='test5.png')
dum <- cbind(lag(myerror,k=1),myerror)
dum
dum1 <- dum[2:length(myerror),]
dum1
z <- as.data.frame(dum1)
z
plot(z,main=paste('Residual Lag plot, lowess, and regression line'), ylab='values of Residuals', xlab='lagged values of Residuals')
lines(lowess(z))
abline(lm(z))
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test6.png')
acf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Autocorrelation Function')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test7.png')
pacf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Partial Autocorrelation Function')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test8.png')
opar <- par(mfrow = c(2,2), oma = c(0, 0, 1.1, 0))
plot(mylm, las = 1, sub='Residual Diagnostics')
par(opar)
dev.off()
if (n > n25) {
bitmap(file='test9.png')
plot(kp3:nmkm3,gqarr[,2], main='Goldfeld-Quandt test',ylab='2-sided p-value',xlab='breakpoint')
grid()
dev.off()
}
load(file='createtable')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
myeq <- colnames(x)[1]
myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t] = ', sep='')
for (i in 1:k){
if (mysum$coefficients[i,1] > 0) myeq <- paste(myeq, '+', '')
myeq <- paste(myeq, mysum$coefficients[i,1], sep=' ')
if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != '(Intercept)') {
myeq <- paste(myeq, rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i], sep='')
if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != 't') myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t]', sep='')
}
}
myeq <- paste(myeq, ' + e[t]')
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, myeq)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable1.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,hyperlink('http://www.xycoon.com/ols1.htm','Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares',''), 6, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Variable',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Parameter',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'S.D.',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'T-STAT<br />H0: parameter = 0',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'2-tail p-value',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'1-tail p-value',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:k){
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i],header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,mysum$coefficients[i,1])
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,2],6))
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,3],4))
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,4],6))
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,4]/2,6))
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable2.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics', 2, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple R',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, sqrt(mysum$r.squared))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'R-squared',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$r.squared)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Adjusted R-squared',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$adj.r.squared)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (value)',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[1])
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF numerator)',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[2])
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF denominator)',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[3])
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'p-value',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 1-pf(mysum$fstatistic[1],mysum$fstatistic[2],mysum$fstatistic[3]))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics', 2, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Residual Standard Deviation',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$sigma)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Sum Squared Residuals',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, sum(myerror*myerror))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable3.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals', 4, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Time or Index', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 'Actuals', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 'Interpolation<br />Forecast', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 'Residuals<br />Prediction Error', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:n) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,i, 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,x[i])
a<-table.element(a,x[i]-mysum$resid[i])
a<-table.element(a,mysum$resid[i])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable4.tab')
if (n > n25) {
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'p-values',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Alternative Hypothesis',3,header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'breakpoint index',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'greater',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'2-sided',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'less',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,mypoint,header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,1])
a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2])
a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,3])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable5.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Description',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'# significant tests',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'% significant tests',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'OK/NOK',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'1% type I error level',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant1)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant1/numgqtests)
if (numsignificant1/numgqtests < 0.01) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK'
a<-table.element(a,dum)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'5% type I error level',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant5)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant5/numgqtests)
if (numsignificant5/numgqtests < 0.05) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK'
a<-table.element(a,dum)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'10% type I error level',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant10)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant10/numgqtests)
if (numsignificant10/numgqtests < 0.1) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK'
a<-table.element(a,dum)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable6.tab')
}
 





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