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ws 10

*The author of this computation has been verified*
R Software Module: /rwasp_regression_trees1.wasp (opens new window with default values)
Title produced by software: Recursive Partitioning (Regression Trees)
Date of computation: Tue, 14 Dec 2010 10:55:35 +0000
 
Cite this page as follows:
Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/14/t1292324038b0ijsrfjsgjkrm0.htm/, Retrieved Tue, 14 Dec 2010 11:54:04 +0100
 
BibTeX entries for LaTeX users:
@Manual{KEY,
    author = {{YOUR NAME}},
    publisher = {Office for Research Development and Education},
    title = {Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, URL http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/14/t1292324038b0ijsrfjsgjkrm0.htm/},
    year = {2010},
}
@Manual{R,
    title = {R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing},
    author = {{R Development Core Team}},
    organization = {R Foundation for Statistical Computing},
    address = {Vienna, Austria},
    year = {2010},
    note = {{ISBN} 3-900051-07-0},
    url = {http://www.R-project.org},
}
 
Original text written by user:
 
IsPrivate?
No (this computation is public)
 
User-defined keywords:
 
Dataseries X:
» Textbox « » Textfile « » CSV «
0 1 24 14 11 12 24 26 1 1 25 11 7 8 25 23 1 0 17 6 17 8 30 25 0 1 18 12 10 8 19 23 1 0 16 10 12 7 22 29 1 1 20 10 11 4 25 25 1 1 16 11 11 11 23 21 1 1 18 16 12 7 17 22 1 1 17 11 13 7 21 25 0 1 23 13 14 12 19 24 1 1 30 12 16 10 19 18 1 1 18 12 10 8 16 15 0 1 15 11 11 8 23 22 0 1 12 4 15 4 27 28 1 1 21 9 9 9 22 20 0 1 20 8 17 7 22 24 1 1 27 15 11 9 23 21 0 1 34 16 18 11 21 20 1 1 21 9 14 13 19 21 0 1 31 14 10 8 18 23 0 1 19 11 11 8 20 28 1 1 16 8 15 9 23 24 1 1 20 9 15 6 25 24 0 1 21 9 13 9 19 24 0 1 22 9 16 9 24 23 1 1 17 9 13 6 22 23 0 1 24 10 9 6 25 29 1 1 25 16 18 16 26 24 1 1 26 11 18 5 29 18 1 1 25 8 12 7 32 25 1 1 17 9 17 9 25 21 0 1 32 16 9 6 29 26 0 1 33 11 9 6 28 22 0 0 32 12 18 12 28 22 0 1 25 12 12 7 29 23 0 1 29 14 18 10 26 30 1 1 22 9 14 9 25 23 0 1 18 10 15 8 14 17 1 1 17 9 16 5 25 23 0 1 20 10 10 8 26 23 0 1 15 12 11 8 20 25 1 1 20 14 14 10 18 24 0 1 33 14 9 6 32 24 1 1 23 14 17 7 25 21 0 1 26 16 5 4 23 24 0 1 18 9 12 8 21 24 1 1 20 10 12 8 20 28 1 etc...
 
Output produced by software:

Enter (or paste) a matrix (table) containing all data (time) series. Every column represents a different variable and must be delimited by a space or Tab. Every row represents a period in time (or category) and must be delimited by hard returns. The easiest way to enter data is to copy and paste a block of spreadsheet cells. Please, do not use commas or spaces to seperate groups of digits!


Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time8 seconds
R Server'Gwilym Jenkins' @ 72.249.127.135


Goodness of Fit
Correlation0.6076
R-squared0.3691
RMSE2.7913


Actuals, Predictions, and Residuals
#ActualsForecastsResiduals
11117.8333333333333-6.83333333333333
2711.8021978021978-4.8021978021978
31711.80219780219785.1978021978022
41011.8021978021978-1.80219780219780
51211.80219780219780.197802197802197
61111.8021978021978-0.802197802197803
71113-2
81211.80219780219780.197802197802197
91311.80219780219781.19780219780220
1014131
111617.8333333333333-1.83333333333333
121011.8021978021978-1.80219780219780
131111.8021978021978-0.802197802197803
141511.80219780219783.1978021978022
15911.8021978021978-2.8021978021978
161711.80219780219785.1978021978022
171111.8021978021978-0.802197802197803
181817.83333333333330.166666666666668
1914131
201011.8021978021978-1.80219780219780
211111.8021978021978-0.802197802197803
221511.80219780219783.1978021978022
231511.80219780219783.1978021978022
241311.80219780219781.19780219780220
251611.80219780219784.1978021978022
261311.80219780219781.19780219780220
27911.8021978021978-2.8021978021978
281817.83333333333330.166666666666668
291811.80219780219786.1978021978022
301211.80219780219780.197802197802197
311711.80219780219785.1978021978022
32911.8021978021978-2.8021978021978
33911.8021978021978-2.8021978021978
341817.83333333333330.166666666666668
351211.80219780219780.197802197802197
361817.83333333333330.166666666666668
371411.80219780219782.19780219780220
381511.80219780219783.1978021978022
391611.80219780219784.1978021978022
401011.8021978021978-1.80219780219780
411111.8021978021978-0.802197802197803
4214131
43911.8021978021978-2.8021978021978
441711.80219780219785.1978021978022
45511.8021978021978-6.8021978021978
461211.80219780219780.197802197802197
471211.80219780219780.197802197802197
48611.8021978021978-5.8021978021978
492417.83333333333336.16666666666667
501211.80219780219780.197802197802197
511211.80219780219780.197802197802197
521411.80219780219782.19780219780220
53711.8021978021978-4.8021978021978
541211.80219780219780.197802197802197
551411.80219780219782.19780219780220
56811.8021978021978-3.8021978021978
571111.8021978021978-0.802197802197803
58911.8021978021978-2.8021978021978
591111.8021978021978-0.802197802197803
601011.8021978021978-1.80219780219780
611111.8021978021978-0.802197802197803
621211.80219780219780.197802197802197
63911.8021978021978-2.8021978021978
641817.83333333333330.166666666666668
651511.80219780219783.1978021978022
661211.80219780219780.197802197802197
671311.80219780219781.19780219780220
681411.80219780219782.19780219780220
691011.8021978021978-1.80219780219780
701311.80219780219781.19780219780220
7113130
721111.8021978021978-0.802197802197803
731311.80219780219781.19780219780220
7416133
751111.8021978021978-0.802197802197803
761617.8333333333333-1.83333333333333
771411.80219780219782.19780219780220
78811.8021978021978-3.8021978021978
79911.8021978021978-2.8021978021978
801511.80219780219783.1978021978022
811113-2
822117.83333333333333.16666666666667
831411.80219780219782.19780219780220
841817.83333333333330.166666666666668
851211.80219780219780.197802197802197
861311.80219780219781.19780219780220
871211.80219780219780.197802197802197
8819136
891113-2
901317.8333333333333-4.83333333333333
911517.8333333333333-2.83333333333333
921211.80219780219780.197802197802197
931617.8333333333333-1.83333333333333
941817.83333333333330.166666666666668
95813-5
96911.8021978021978-2.8021978021978
971511.80219780219783.1978021978022
98611.8021978021978-5.8021978021978
99811.8021978021978-3.8021978021978
1001011.8021978021978-1.80219780219780
1011111.8021978021978-0.802197802197803
1021411.80219780219782.19780219780220
1031111.8021978021978-0.802197802197803
1041211.80219780219780.197802197802197
1051111.8021978021978-0.802197802197803
106911.8021978021978-2.8021978021978
1071211.80219780219780.197802197802197
1082017.83333333333332.16666666666667
1091311.80219780219781.19780219780220
1101213-1
111911.8021978021978-2.8021978021978
1122417.83333333333336.16666666666667
1131111.8021978021978-0.802197802197803
1141711.80219780219785.1978021978022
1151111.8021978021978-0.802197802197803
1161111.8021978021978-0.802197802197803
1171611.80219780219784.1978021978022
1181311.80219780219781.19780219780220
1191111.8021978021978-0.802197802197803
1201917.83333333333331.16666666666667
 
Charts produced by software:
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/14/t1292324038b0ijsrfjsgjkrm0/27nfk1292324126.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/14/t1292324038b0ijsrfjsgjkrm0/27nfk1292324126.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/14/t1292324038b0ijsrfjsgjkrm0/37nfk1292324126.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/14/t1292324038b0ijsrfjsgjkrm0/37nfk1292324126.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/14/t1292324038b0ijsrfjsgjkrm0/4iwen1292324126.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/14/t1292324038b0ijsrfjsgjkrm0/4iwen1292324126.ps (open in new window)


 
Parameters (Session):
par1 = 5 ; par2 = none ; par4 = no ;
 
Parameters (R input):
par1 = 5 ; par2 = none ; par4 = no ;
 
R code (references can be found in the software module):
library(party)
library(Hmisc)
par1 <- as.numeric(par1)
par3 <- as.numeric(par3)
x <- data.frame(t(y))
is.data.frame(x)
x <- x[!is.na(x[,par1]),]
k <- length(x[1,])
n <- length(x[,1])
colnames(x)[par1]
x[,par1]
if (par2 == 'kmeans') {
cl <- kmeans(x[,par1], par3)
print(cl)
clm <- matrix(cbind(cl$centers,1:par3),ncol=2)
clm <- clm[sort.list(clm[,1]),]
for (i in 1:par3) {
cl$cluster[cl$cluster==clm[i,2]] <- paste('C',i,sep='')
}
cl$cluster <- as.factor(cl$cluster)
print(cl$cluster)
x[,par1] <- cl$cluster
}
if (par2 == 'quantiles') {
x[,par1] <- cut2(x[,par1],g=par3)
}
if (par2 == 'hclust') {
hc <- hclust(dist(x[,par1])^2, 'cen')
print(hc)
memb <- cutree(hc, k = par3)
dum <- c(mean(x[memb==1,par1]))
for (i in 2:par3) {
dum <- c(dum, mean(x[memb==i,par1]))
}
hcm <- matrix(cbind(dum,1:par3),ncol=2)
hcm <- hcm[sort.list(hcm[,1]),]
for (i in 1:par3) {
memb[memb==hcm[i,2]] <- paste('C',i,sep='')
}
memb <- as.factor(memb)
print(memb)
x[,par1] <- memb
}
if (par2=='equal') {
ed <- cut(as.numeric(x[,par1]),par3,labels=paste('C',1:par3,sep=''))
x[,par1] <- as.factor(ed)
}
table(x[,par1])
colnames(x)
colnames(x)[par1]
x[,par1]
if (par2 == 'none') {
m <- ctree(as.formula(paste(colnames(x)[par1],' ~ .',sep='')),data = x)
}
load(file='createtable')
if (par2 != 'none') {
m <- ctree(as.formula(paste('as.factor(',colnames(x)[par1],') ~ .',sep='')),data = x)
if (par4=='yes') {
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'10-Fold Cross Validation',3+2*par3,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Prediction (training)',par3+1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Prediction (testing)',par3+1,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Actual',1,TRUE)
for (jjj in 1:par3) a<-table.element(a,paste('C',jjj,sep=''),1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'CV',1,TRUE)
for (jjj in 1:par3) a<-table.element(a,paste('C',jjj,sep=''),1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'CV',1,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:10) {
ind <- sample(2, nrow(x), replace=T, prob=c(0.9,0.1))
m.ct <- ctree(as.formula(paste('as.factor(',colnames(x)[par1],') ~ .',sep='')),data =x[ind==1,])
if (i==1) {
m.ct.i.pred <- predict(m.ct, newdata=x[ind==1,])
m.ct.i.actu <- x[ind==1,par1]
m.ct.x.pred <- predict(m.ct, newdata=x[ind==2,])
m.ct.x.actu <- x[ind==2,par1]
} else {
m.ct.i.pred <- c(m.ct.i.pred,predict(m.ct, newdata=x[ind==1,]))
m.ct.i.actu <- c(m.ct.i.actu,x[ind==1,par1])
m.ct.x.pred <- c(m.ct.x.pred,predict(m.ct, newdata=x[ind==2,]))
m.ct.x.actu <- c(m.ct.x.actu,x[ind==2,par1])
}
}
print(m.ct.i.tab <- table(m.ct.i.actu,m.ct.i.pred))
numer <- 0
for (i in 1:par3) {
print(m.ct.i.tab[i,i] / sum(m.ct.i.tab[i,]))
numer <- numer + m.ct.i.tab[i,i]
}
print(m.ct.i.cp <- numer / sum(m.ct.i.tab))
print(m.ct.x.tab <- table(m.ct.x.actu,m.ct.x.pred))
numer <- 0
for (i in 1:par3) {
print(m.ct.x.tab[i,i] / sum(m.ct.x.tab[i,]))
numer <- numer + m.ct.x.tab[i,i]
}
print(m.ct.x.cp <- numer / sum(m.ct.x.tab))
for (i in 1:par3) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,paste('C',i,sep=''),1,TRUE)
for (jjj in 1:par3) a<-table.element(a,m.ct.i.tab[i,jjj])
a<-table.element(a,round(m.ct.i.tab[i,i]/sum(m.ct.i.tab[i,]),4))
for (jjj in 1:par3) a<-table.element(a,m.ct.x.tab[i,jjj])
a<-table.element(a,round(m.ct.x.tab[i,i]/sum(m.ct.x.tab[i,]),4))
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Overall',1,TRUE)
for (jjj in 1:par3) a<-table.element(a,'-')
a<-table.element(a,round(m.ct.i.cp,4))
for (jjj in 1:par3) a<-table.element(a,'-')
a<-table.element(a,round(m.ct.x.cp,4))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable3.tab')
}
}
m
bitmap(file='test1.png')
plot(m)
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test1a.png')
plot(x[,par1] ~ as.factor(where(m)),main='Response by Terminal Node',xlab='Terminal Node',ylab='Response')
dev.off()
if (par2 == 'none') {
forec <- predict(m)
result <- as.data.frame(cbind(x[,par1],forec,x[,par1]-forec))
colnames(result) <- c('Actuals','Forecasts','Residuals')
print(result)
}
if (par2 != 'none') {
print(cbind(as.factor(x[,par1]),predict(m)))
myt <- table(as.factor(x[,par1]),predict(m))
print(myt)
}
bitmap(file='test2.png')
if(par2=='none') {
op <- par(mfrow=c(2,2))
plot(density(result$Actuals),main='Kernel Density Plot of Actuals')
plot(density(result$Residuals),main='Kernel Density Plot of Residuals')
plot(result$Forecasts,result$Actuals,main='Actuals versus Predictions',xlab='Predictions',ylab='Actuals')
plot(density(result$Forecasts),main='Kernel Density Plot of Predictions')
par(op)
}
if(par2!='none') {
plot(myt,main='Confusion Matrix',xlab='Actual',ylab='Predicted')
}
dev.off()
if (par2 == 'none') {
detcoef <- cor(result$Forecasts,result$Actuals)
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Goodness of Fit',2,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Correlation',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,round(detcoef,4))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'R-squared',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,round(detcoef*detcoef,4))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'RMSE',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,round(sqrt(mean((result$Residuals)^2)),4))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable1.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Actuals, Predictions, and Residuals',4,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'#',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Actuals',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Forecasts',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Residuals',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:length(result$Actuals)) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,i,header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,result$Actuals[i])
a<-table.element(a,result$Forecasts[i])
a<-table.element(a,result$Residuals[i])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable.tab')
}
if (par2 != 'none') {
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Confusion Matrix (predicted in columns / actuals in rows)',par3+1,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'',1,TRUE)
for (i in 1:par3) {
a<-table.element(a,paste('C',i,sep=''),1,TRUE)
}
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:par3) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,paste('C',i,sep=''),1,TRUE)
for (j in 1:par3) {
a<-table.element(a,myt[i,j])
}
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable2.tab')
}
 





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Software written by Ed van Stee & Patrick Wessa


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