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*The author of this computation has been verified*
R Software Module: /rwasp_multipleregression.wasp (opens new window with default values)
Title produced by software: Multiple Regression
Date of computation: Thu, 19 Nov 2009 11:46:20 -0700
 
Cite this page as follows:
Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/19/t1258656759wsfywwxal9j95mh.htm/, Retrieved Thu, 19 Nov 2009 19:52:51 +0100
 
BibTeX entries for LaTeX users:
@Manual{KEY,
    author = {{YOUR NAME}},
    publisher = {Office for Research Development and Education},
    title = {Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, URL http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/19/t1258656759wsfywwxal9j95mh.htm/},
    year = {2009},
}
@Manual{R,
    title = {R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing},
    author = {{R Development Core Team}},
    organization = {R Foundation for Statistical Computing},
    address = {Vienna, Austria},
    year = {2009},
    note = {{ISBN} 3-900051-07-0},
    url = {http://www.R-project.org},
}
 
Original text written by user:
 
IsPrivate?
No (this computation is public)
 
User-defined keywords:
 
Dataseries X:
» Textbox « » Textfile « » CSV «
611 0 594 0 595 0 591 0 589 0 584 0 573 0 567 0 569 0 621 0 629 0 628 0 612 0 595 0 597 0 593 0 590 0 580 0 574 0 573 0 573 0 620 0 626 0 620 0 588 0 566 0 557 0 561 0 549 0 532 0 526 0 511 0 499 0 555 0 565 0 542 0 527 0 510 0 514 0 517 0 508 0 493 0 490 0 469 0 478 0 528 0 534 0 518 1 506 1 502 1 516 1 528 1 533 1 536 1 537 1 524 1 536 1 587 1 597 1 581 1
 
Output produced by software:

Enter (or paste) a matrix (table) containing all data (time) series. Every column represents a different variable and must be delimited by a space or Tab. Every row represents a period in time (or category) and must be delimited by hard returns. The easiest way to enter data is to copy and paste a block of spreadsheet cells. Please, do not use commas or spaces to seperate groups of digits!


Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time4 seconds
R Server'Gwilym Jenkins' @ 72.249.127.135


Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation
Y[t] = + 562.191489361702 -23.6530278232406X[t] + e[t]


Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares
VariableParameterS.D.T-STAT
H0: parameter = 0
2-tail p-value1-tail p-value
(Intercept)562.1914893617025.97489694.092300
X-23.653027823240612.836135-1.84270.0704870.035243


Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics
Multiple R0.235171212976024
R-squared0.0553054994126142
Adjusted R-squared0.0390176631955904
F-TEST (value)3.39550930373486
F-TEST (DF numerator)1
F-TEST (DF denominator)58
p-value0.070486897756235
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics
Residual Standard Deviation40.961821451658
Sum Squared Residuals97316.5073649755


Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals
Time or IndexActualsInterpolation
Forecast
Residuals
Prediction Error
1611562.19148936170248.8085106382982
2594562.19148936170231.8085106382979
3595562.19148936170232.8085106382979
4591562.19148936170228.8085106382979
5589562.19148936170226.8085106382979
6584562.19148936170221.8085106382979
7573562.19148936170210.8085106382979
8567562.1914893617024.80851063829787
9569562.1914893617026.80851063829787
10621562.19148936170258.8085106382979
11629562.19148936170266.8085106382979
12628562.19148936170265.8085106382979
13612562.19148936170249.8085106382979
14595562.19148936170232.8085106382979
15597562.19148936170234.8085106382979
16593562.19148936170230.8085106382979
17590562.19148936170227.8085106382979
18580562.19148936170217.8085106382979
19574562.19148936170211.8085106382979
20573562.19148936170210.8085106382979
21573562.19148936170210.8085106382979
22620562.19148936170257.8085106382979
23626562.19148936170263.8085106382979
24620562.19148936170257.8085106382979
25588562.19148936170225.8085106382979
26566562.1914893617023.80851063829787
27557562.191489361702-5.19148936170213
28561562.191489361702-1.19148936170213
29549562.191489361702-13.1914893617021
30532562.191489361702-30.1914893617021
31526562.191489361702-36.1914893617021
32511562.191489361702-51.1914893617021
33499562.191489361702-63.1914893617021
34555562.191489361702-7.19148936170213
35565562.1914893617022.80851063829787
36542562.191489361702-20.1914893617021
37527562.191489361702-35.1914893617021
38510562.191489361702-52.1914893617021
39514562.191489361702-48.1914893617021
40517562.191489361702-45.1914893617021
41508562.191489361702-54.1914893617021
42493562.191489361702-69.1914893617021
43490562.191489361702-72.1914893617021
44469562.191489361702-93.1914893617021
45478562.191489361702-84.1914893617021
46528562.191489361702-34.1914893617021
47534562.191489361702-28.1914893617021
48518538.538461538462-20.5384615384615
49506538.538461538462-32.5384615384615
50502538.538461538462-36.5384615384615
51516538.538461538462-22.5384615384615
52528538.538461538462-10.5384615384615
53533538.538461538462-5.53846153846154
54536538.538461538462-2.53846153846154
55537538.538461538462-1.53846153846154
56524538.538461538462-14.5384615384615
57536538.538461538462-2.53846153846154
58587538.53846153846248.4615384615385
59597538.53846153846258.4615384615385
60581538.53846153846242.4615384615385


Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
p-valuesAlternative Hypothesis
breakpoint indexgreater2-sidedless
50.01911969870863970.03823939741727940.98088030129136
60.007149139417163350.01429827883432670.992850860582837
70.006725359163461960.01345071832692390.993274640836538
80.006704592876393760.01340918575278750.993295407123606
90.004087149149563680.008174298299127360.995912850850436
100.009289861875301650.01857972375060330.990710138124698
110.02112056962945010.04224113925890030.97887943037055
120.0314089670848310.0628179341696620.96859103291517
130.02355369613748260.04710739227496520.976446303862517
140.01381477273624160.02762954547248310.986185227263758
150.00817203062979860.01634406125959720.991827969370201
160.004792746816137890.009585493632275790.995207253183862
170.002849244529707470.005698489059414940.997150755470293
180.001958252905780010.003916505811560020.99804174709422
190.001570343620205170.003140687240410330.998429656379795
200.001258667430772420.002517334861544840.998741332569228
210.00098279647629450.0019655929525890.999017203523705
220.002243949193927430.004487898387854850.997756050806073
230.008908161662134390.01781632332426880.991091838337866
240.02904531567178110.05809063134356220.970954684328219
250.03825080450996640.07650160901993280.961749195490034
260.05505997846925540.1101199569385110.944940021530745
270.08641180396277780.1728236079255560.913588196037222
280.1216002431140900.2432004862281790.87839975688591
290.1818880567881010.3637761135762010.8181119432119
300.2964768612239530.5929537224479060.703523138776047
310.417983428625050.83596685725010.58201657137495
320.5791940383280740.8416119233438520.420805961671926
330.7386463119654490.5227073760691020.261353688034551
340.7563995466860230.4872009066279530.243600453313977
350.8192934694560180.3614130610879640.180706530543982
360.8394505760707870.3210988478584270.160549423929213
370.850404772768510.2991904544629810.149595227231490
380.8644671488009740.2710657023980520.135532851199026
390.8658964967955840.2682070064088320.134103503204416
400.8615796289828730.2768407420342550.138420371017127
410.8558460599677130.2883078800645740.144153940032287
420.8596792003565360.2806415992869280.140320799643464
430.8600980448664980.2798039102670030.139901955133502
440.9103013995940780.1793972008118440.0896986004059222
450.9429963289644220.1140073420711570.0570036710355784
460.9130933941551270.1738132116897450.0869066058448726
470.8686776021384550.262644795723090.131322397861545
480.8236387891671840.3527224216656320.176361210832816
490.8086072903710210.3827854192579580.191392709628979
500.8265152797348840.3469694405302320.173484720265116
510.8068617618041610.3862764763916780.193138238195839
520.7499864819682340.5000270360635320.250013518031766
530.6700334773492160.6599330453015670.329966522650784
540.5707625230049710.8584749539900570.429237476995029
550.4640697445735040.9281394891470090.535930255426496


Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
Description# significant tests% significant testsOK/NOK
1% type I error level80.156862745098039NOK
5% type I error level180.352941176470588NOK
10% type I error level210.411764705882353NOK
 
Charts produced by software:
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/19/t1258656759wsfywwxal9j95mh/10r6rc1258656375.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/19/t1258656759wsfywwxal9j95mh/10r6rc1258656375.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/19/t1258656759wsfywwxal9j95mh/1nkl21258656375.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/19/t1258656759wsfywwxal9j95mh/1nkl21258656375.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/19/t1258656759wsfywwxal9j95mh/26vz11258656375.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/19/t1258656759wsfywwxal9j95mh/26vz11258656375.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/19/t1258656759wsfywwxal9j95mh/3hacy1258656375.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/19/t1258656759wsfywwxal9j95mh/3hacy1258656375.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/19/t1258656759wsfywwxal9j95mh/4b7am1258656375.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/19/t1258656759wsfywwxal9j95mh/4b7am1258656375.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/19/t1258656759wsfywwxal9j95mh/5b9bv1258656375.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/19/t1258656759wsfywwxal9j95mh/5b9bv1258656375.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/19/t1258656759wsfywwxal9j95mh/6wuv01258656375.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/19/t1258656759wsfywwxal9j95mh/6wuv01258656375.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/19/t1258656759wsfywwxal9j95mh/7j86z1258656375.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/19/t1258656759wsfywwxal9j95mh/7j86z1258656375.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/19/t1258656759wsfywwxal9j95mh/81nax1258656375.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/19/t1258656759wsfywwxal9j95mh/81nax1258656375.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/19/t1258656759wsfywwxal9j95mh/9ckag1258656375.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/19/t1258656759wsfywwxal9j95mh/9ckag1258656375.ps (open in new window)


 
Parameters (Session):
par1 = 1 ; par2 = Do not include Seasonal Dummies ; par3 = No Linear Trend ;
 
Parameters (R input):
par1 = 1 ; par2 = Do not include Seasonal Dummies ; par3 = No Linear Trend ;
 
R code (references can be found in the software module):
library(lattice)
library(lmtest)
n25 <- 25 #minimum number of obs. for Goldfeld-Quandt test
par1 <- as.numeric(par1)
x <- t(y)
k <- length(x[1,])
n <- length(x[,1])
x1 <- cbind(x[,par1], x[,1:k!=par1])
mycolnames <- c(colnames(x)[par1], colnames(x)[1:k!=par1])
colnames(x1) <- mycolnames #colnames(x)[par1]
x <- x1
if (par3 == 'First Differences'){
x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n-1,k), dimnames=list(1:(n-1), paste('(1-B)',colnames(x),sep='')))
for (i in 1:n-1) {
for (j in 1:k) {
x2[i,j] <- x[i+1,j] - x[i,j]
}
}
x <- x2
}
if (par2 == 'Include Monthly Dummies'){
x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,11), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('M', seq(1:11), sep ='')))
for (i in 1:11){
x2[seq(i,n,12),i] <- 1
}
x <- cbind(x, x2)
}
if (par2 == 'Include Quarterly Dummies'){
x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,3), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('Q', seq(1:3), sep ='')))
for (i in 1:3){
x2[seq(i,n,4),i] <- 1
}
x <- cbind(x, x2)
}
k <- length(x[1,])
if (par3 == 'Linear Trend'){
x <- cbind(x, c(1:n))
colnames(x)[k+1] <- 't'
}
x
k <- length(x[1,])
df <- as.data.frame(x)
(mylm <- lm(df))
(mysum <- summary(mylm))
if (n > n25) {
kp3 <- k + 3
nmkm3 <- n - k - 3
gqarr <- array(NA, dim=c(nmkm3-kp3+1,3))
numgqtests <- 0
numsignificant1 <- 0
numsignificant5 <- 0
numsignificant10 <- 0
for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) {
j <- 0
numgqtests <- numgqtests + 1
for (myalt in c('greater', 'two.sided', 'less')) {
j <- j + 1
gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,j] <- gqtest(mylm, point=mypoint, alternative=myalt)$p.value
}
if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.01) numsignificant1 <- numsignificant1 + 1
if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.05) numsignificant5 <- numsignificant5 + 1
if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.10) numsignificant10 <- numsignificant10 + 1
}
gqarr
}
bitmap(file='test0.png')
plot(x[,1], type='l', main='Actuals and Interpolation', ylab='value of Actuals and Interpolation (dots)', xlab='time or index')
points(x[,1]-mysum$resid)
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test1.png')
plot(mysum$resid, type='b', pch=19, main='Residuals', ylab='value of Residuals', xlab='time or index')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test2.png')
hist(mysum$resid, main='Residual Histogram', xlab='values of Residuals')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test3.png')
densityplot(~mysum$resid,col='black',main='Residual Density Plot', xlab='values of Residuals')
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test4.png')
qqnorm(mysum$resid, main='Residual Normal Q-Q Plot')
qqline(mysum$resid)
grid()
dev.off()
(myerror <- as.ts(mysum$resid))
bitmap(file='test5.png')
dum <- cbind(lag(myerror,k=1),myerror)
dum
dum1 <- dum[2:length(myerror),]
dum1
z <- as.data.frame(dum1)
z
plot(z,main=paste('Residual Lag plot, lowess, and regression line'), ylab='values of Residuals', xlab='lagged values of Residuals')
lines(lowess(z))
abline(lm(z))
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test6.png')
acf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Autocorrelation Function')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test7.png')
pacf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Partial Autocorrelation Function')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test8.png')
opar <- par(mfrow = c(2,2), oma = c(0, 0, 1.1, 0))
plot(mylm, las = 1, sub='Residual Diagnostics')
par(opar)
dev.off()
if (n > n25) {
bitmap(file='test9.png')
plot(kp3:nmkm3,gqarr[,2], main='Goldfeld-Quandt test',ylab='2-sided p-value',xlab='breakpoint')
grid()
dev.off()
}
load(file='createtable')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
myeq <- colnames(x)[1]
myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t] = ', sep='')
for (i in 1:k){
if (mysum$coefficients[i,1] > 0) myeq <- paste(myeq, '+', '')
myeq <- paste(myeq, mysum$coefficients[i,1], sep=' ')
if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != '(Intercept)') {
myeq <- paste(myeq, rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i], sep='')
if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != 't') myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t]', sep='')
}
}
myeq <- paste(myeq, ' + e[t]')
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, myeq)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable1.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,hyperlink('http://www.xycoon.com/ols1.htm','Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares',''), 6, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Variable',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Parameter',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'S.D.',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'T-STAT<br />H0: parameter = 0',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'2-tail p-value',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'1-tail p-value',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:k){
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i],header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,mysum$coefficients[i,1])
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,2],6))
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,3],4))
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,4],6))
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,4]/2,6))
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable2.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics', 2, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple R',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, sqrt(mysum$r.squared))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'R-squared',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$r.squared)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Adjusted R-squared',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$adj.r.squared)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (value)',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[1])
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF numerator)',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[2])
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF denominator)',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[3])
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'p-value',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 1-pf(mysum$fstatistic[1],mysum$fstatistic[2],mysum$fstatistic[3]))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics', 2, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Residual Standard Deviation',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$sigma)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Sum Squared Residuals',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, sum(myerror*myerror))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable3.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals', 4, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Time or Index', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 'Actuals', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 'Interpolation<br />Forecast', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 'Residuals<br />Prediction Error', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:n) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,i, 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,x[i])
a<-table.element(a,x[i]-mysum$resid[i])
a<-table.element(a,mysum$resid[i])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable4.tab')
if (n > n25) {
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'p-values',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Alternative Hypothesis',3,header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'breakpoint index',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'greater',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'2-sided',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'less',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,mypoint,header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,1])
a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2])
a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,3])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable5.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Description',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'# significant tests',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'% significant tests',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'OK/NOK',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'1% type I error level',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant1)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant1/numgqtests)
if (numsignificant1/numgqtests < 0.01) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK'
a<-table.element(a,dum)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'5% type I error level',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant5)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant5/numgqtests)
if (numsignificant5/numgqtests < 0.05) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK'
a<-table.element(a,dum)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'10% type I error level',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant10)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant10/numgqtests)
if (numsignificant10/numgqtests < 0.1) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK'
a<-table.element(a,dum)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable6.tab')
}
 





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