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*The author of this computation has been verified*
R Software Module: /rwasp_multipleregression.wasp (opens new window with default values)
Title produced by software: Multiple Regression
Date of computation: Thu, 19 Nov 2009 07:44:25 -0700
 
Cite this page as follows:
Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/19/t1258642864wjsswx725la5ftd.htm/, Retrieved Thu, 19 Nov 2009 16:01:16 +0100
 
BibTeX entries for LaTeX users:
@Manual{KEY,
    author = {{YOUR NAME}},
    publisher = {Office for Research Development and Education},
    title = {Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, URL http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/19/t1258642864wjsswx725la5ftd.htm/},
    year = {2009},
}
@Manual{R,
    title = {R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing},
    author = {{R Development Core Team}},
    organization = {R Foundation for Statistical Computing},
    address = {Vienna, Austria},
    year = {2009},
    note = {{ISBN} 3-900051-07-0},
    url = {http://www.R-project.org},
}
 
Original text written by user:
 
IsPrivate?
No (this computation is public)
 
User-defined keywords:
 
Dataseries X:
» Textbox « » Textfile « » CSV «
286602 0 283042 0 276687 0 277915 0 277128 0 277103 0 275037 0 270150 0 267140 0 264993 0 287259 0 291186 0 292300 0 288186 0 281477 0 282656 0 280190 0 280408 0 276836 0 275216 0 274352 0 271311 0 289802 0 290726 0 292300 0 278506 0 269826 0 265861 0 269034 0 264176 0 255198 0 253353 0 246057 0 235372 0 258556 0 260993 0 254663 0 250643 0 243422 0 247105 0 248541 0 245039 0 237080 0 237085 0 225554 0 226839 0 247934 0 248333 0 246969 1 245098 1 246263 1 255765 1 264319 1 268347 1 273046 1 273963 1 267430 1 271993 1 292710 1 295881 1
 
Output produced by software:

Enter (or paste) a matrix (table) containing all data (time) series. Every column represents a different variable and must be delimited by a space or Tab. Every row represents a period in time (or category) and must be delimited by hard returns. The easiest way to enter data is to copy and paste a block of spreadsheet cells. Please, do not use commas or spaces to seperate groups of digits!


Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time4 seconds
R Server'Gwilym Jenkins' @ 72.249.127.135


Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation
Y[t] = + 266232.75 + 582.583333333325X[t] + e[t]


Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares
VariableParameterS.D.T-STAT
H0: parameter = 0
2-tail p-value1-tail p-value
(Intercept)266232.752616.953032101.733900
X582.5833333333255851.6848730.09960.9210380.460519


Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics
Multiple R0.0130715179340899
R-squared0.000170864581101233
Adjusted R-squared-0.0170675687881900
F-TEST (value)0.00991183928613908
F-TEST (DF numerator)1
F-TEST (DF denominator)58
p-value0.921038382478863
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics
Residual Standard Deviation18130.7824467722
Sum Squared Residuals19066065783.6667


Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals
Time or IndexActualsInterpolation
Forecast
Residuals
Prediction Error
1286602266232.75000000020369.2500000004
2283042266232.7516809.25
3276687266232.7510454.25
4277915266232.7511682.25
5277128266232.7510895.25
6277103266232.7510870.25
7275037266232.758804.25
8270150266232.753917.24999999999
9267140266232.75907.249999999992
10264993266232.75-1239.75000000001
11287259266232.7521026.25
12291186266232.7524953.25
13292300266232.7526067.25
14288186266232.7521953.25
15281477266232.7515244.25
16282656266232.7516423.25
17280190266232.7513957.25
18280408266232.7514175.25
19276836266232.7510603.25
20275216266232.758983.25
21274352266232.758119.25
22271311266232.755078.24999999999
23289802266232.7523569.25
24290726266232.7524493.25
25292300266232.7526067.25
26278506266232.7512273.25
27269826266232.753593.24999999999
28265861266232.75-371.750000000008
29269034266232.752801.24999999999
30264176266232.75-2056.75000000001
31255198266232.75-11034.75
32253353266232.75-12879.75
33246057266232.75-20175.75
34235372266232.75-30860.75
35258556266232.75-7676.75
36260993266232.75-5239.75000000001
37254663266232.75-11569.75
38250643266232.75-15589.75
39243422266232.75-22810.75
40247105266232.75-19127.75
41248541266232.75-17691.75
42245039266232.75-21193.75
43237080266232.75-29152.75
44237085266232.75-29147.75
45225554266232.75-40678.75
46226839266232.75-39393.75
47247934266232.75-18298.75
48248333266232.75-17899.75
49246969266815.333333333-19846.3333333333
50245098266815.333333333-21717.3333333333
51246263266815.333333333-20552.3333333333
52255765266815.333333333-11050.3333333333
53264319266815.333333333-2496.33333333333
54268347266815.3333333331531.66666666667
55273046266815.3333333336230.66666666667
56273963266815.3333333337147.66666666667
57267430266815.333333333614.666666666668
58271993266815.3333333335177.66666666667
59292710266815.33333333325894.6666666667
60295881266815.33333333329065.6666666667


Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
p-valuesAlternative Hypothesis
breakpoint indexgreater2-sidedless
50.02686367979896920.05372735959793850.97313632020103
60.00728563439899680.01457126879799360.992714365601003
70.002496690778613820.004993381557227650.997503309221386
80.002278274856927290.004556549713854570.997721725143073
90.002614476222891750.00522895244578350.997385523777108
100.00290729662880410.00581459325760820.997092703371196
110.003130538482752740.006261076965505480.996869461517247
120.005144039821025750.01028807964205150.994855960178974
130.007622691074696710.01524538214939340.992377308925303
140.006251462138379430.01250292427675890.99374853786162
150.003363272717997830.006726545435995670.996636727282002
160.001900090212562200.003800180425124400.998099909787438
170.0009973107564961630.001994621512992330.999002689243504
180.000532104835381690.001064209670763380.999467895164618
190.0002836311188510840.0005672622377021680.999716368881149
200.0001594414004778320.0003188828009556640.999840558599522
219.35829471347002e-050.0001871658942694000.999906417052865
226.73070376131386e-050.0001346140752262770.999932692962387
230.0001420156837680270.0002840313675360550.999857984316232
240.0004108982401116050.000821796480223210.999589101759888
250.002019165926977140.004038331853954270.997980834073023
260.002528665039218710.005057330078437410.997471334960781
270.003656276852216320.007312553704432630.996343723147784
280.006513632446135180.01302726489227040.993486367553865
290.01010521781422870.02021043562845740.989894782185771
300.01850293511047960.03700587022095930.98149706488952
310.04858647535598960.09717295071197910.95141352464401
320.09730850378415530.1946170075683110.902691496215845
330.2047669374585450.4095338749170910.795233062541455
340.4558064262541250.911612852508250.544193573745875
350.4695232410014750.939046482002950.530476758998525
360.4976248598077460.9952497196154920.502375140192254
370.5177702934666040.9644594130667910.482229706533396
380.5370183524664590.9259632950670820.462981647533541
390.5700744997015580.8598510005968840.429925500298442
400.5737775834998740.8524448330002510.426222416500126
410.571019596446010.8579608071079790.428980403553989
420.5662299233309030.8675401533381950.433770076669097
430.5766034046094440.8467931907811120.423396595390556
440.5700888623278380.8598222753443240.429911137672162
450.6460031402864860.7079937194270290.353996859713514
460.7150046050652130.5699907898695740.284995394934787
470.6433402730268580.7133194539462830.356659726973142
480.5612680463299860.8774639073400280.438731953670014
490.5709062080875780.8581875838248450.429093791912423
500.6441131659724420.7117736680551160.355886834027558
510.7662048420250120.4675903159499770.233795157974988
520.802774411534670.3944511769306620.197225588465331
530.7661497092489020.4677005815021950.233850290751098
540.6898630526186230.6202738947627530.310136947381377
550.5529317241605430.8941365516789140.447068275839457


Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
Description# significant tests% significant testsOK/NOK
1% type I error level180.352941176470588NOK
5% type I error level250.490196078431373NOK
10% type I error level270.529411764705882NOK
 
Charts produced by software:
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/19/t1258642864wjsswx725la5ftd/102sfv1258641860.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/19/t1258642864wjsswx725la5ftd/102sfv1258641860.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/19/t1258642864wjsswx725la5ftd/1tslq1258641859.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/19/t1258642864wjsswx725la5ftd/1tslq1258641859.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/19/t1258642864wjsswx725la5ftd/2zzjx1258641859.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/19/t1258642864wjsswx725la5ftd/2zzjx1258641859.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/19/t1258642864wjsswx725la5ftd/30vhb1258641859.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/19/t1258642864wjsswx725la5ftd/30vhb1258641859.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/19/t1258642864wjsswx725la5ftd/47b8i1258641859.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/19/t1258642864wjsswx725la5ftd/47b8i1258641859.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/19/t1258642864wjsswx725la5ftd/5qapu1258641859.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/19/t1258642864wjsswx725la5ftd/5qapu1258641859.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/19/t1258642864wjsswx725la5ftd/6453d1258641859.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/19/t1258642864wjsswx725la5ftd/6453d1258641859.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/19/t1258642864wjsswx725la5ftd/7ne431258641860.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/19/t1258642864wjsswx725la5ftd/7ne431258641860.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/19/t1258642864wjsswx725la5ftd/8tg2c1258641860.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/19/t1258642864wjsswx725la5ftd/8tg2c1258641860.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/19/t1258642864wjsswx725la5ftd/9eckc1258641860.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Nov/19/t1258642864wjsswx725la5ftd/9eckc1258641860.ps (open in new window)


 
Parameters (Session):
par1 = 1 ; par2 = Do not include Seasonal Dummies ; par3 = No Linear Trend ;
 
Parameters (R input):
par1 = 1 ; par2 = Do not include Seasonal Dummies ; par3 = No Linear Trend ;
 
R code (references can be found in the software module):
library(lattice)
library(lmtest)
n25 <- 25 #minimum number of obs. for Goldfeld-Quandt test
par1 <- as.numeric(par1)
x <- t(y)
k <- length(x[1,])
n <- length(x[,1])
x1 <- cbind(x[,par1], x[,1:k!=par1])
mycolnames <- c(colnames(x)[par1], colnames(x)[1:k!=par1])
colnames(x1) <- mycolnames #colnames(x)[par1]
x <- x1
if (par3 == 'First Differences'){
x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n-1,k), dimnames=list(1:(n-1), paste('(1-B)',colnames(x),sep='')))
for (i in 1:n-1) {
for (j in 1:k) {
x2[i,j] <- x[i+1,j] - x[i,j]
}
}
x <- x2
}
if (par2 == 'Include Monthly Dummies'){
x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,11), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('M', seq(1:11), sep ='')))
for (i in 1:11){
x2[seq(i,n,12),i] <- 1
}
x <- cbind(x, x2)
}
if (par2 == 'Include Quarterly Dummies'){
x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,3), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('Q', seq(1:3), sep ='')))
for (i in 1:3){
x2[seq(i,n,4),i] <- 1
}
x <- cbind(x, x2)
}
k <- length(x[1,])
if (par3 == 'Linear Trend'){
x <- cbind(x, c(1:n))
colnames(x)[k+1] <- 't'
}
x
k <- length(x[1,])
df <- as.data.frame(x)
(mylm <- lm(df))
(mysum <- summary(mylm))
if (n > n25) {
kp3 <- k + 3
nmkm3 <- n - k - 3
gqarr <- array(NA, dim=c(nmkm3-kp3+1,3))
numgqtests <- 0
numsignificant1 <- 0
numsignificant5 <- 0
numsignificant10 <- 0
for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) {
j <- 0
numgqtests <- numgqtests + 1
for (myalt in c('greater', 'two.sided', 'less')) {
j <- j + 1
gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,j] <- gqtest(mylm, point=mypoint, alternative=myalt)$p.value
}
if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.01) numsignificant1 <- numsignificant1 + 1
if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.05) numsignificant5 <- numsignificant5 + 1
if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.10) numsignificant10 <- numsignificant10 + 1
}
gqarr
}
bitmap(file='test0.png')
plot(x[,1], type='l', main='Actuals and Interpolation', ylab='value of Actuals and Interpolation (dots)', xlab='time or index')
points(x[,1]-mysum$resid)
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test1.png')
plot(mysum$resid, type='b', pch=19, main='Residuals', ylab='value of Residuals', xlab='time or index')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test2.png')
hist(mysum$resid, main='Residual Histogram', xlab='values of Residuals')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test3.png')
densityplot(~mysum$resid,col='black',main='Residual Density Plot', xlab='values of Residuals')
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test4.png')
qqnorm(mysum$resid, main='Residual Normal Q-Q Plot')
qqline(mysum$resid)
grid()
dev.off()
(myerror <- as.ts(mysum$resid))
bitmap(file='test5.png')
dum <- cbind(lag(myerror,k=1),myerror)
dum
dum1 <- dum[2:length(myerror),]
dum1
z <- as.data.frame(dum1)
z
plot(z,main=paste('Residual Lag plot, lowess, and regression line'), ylab='values of Residuals', xlab='lagged values of Residuals')
lines(lowess(z))
abline(lm(z))
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test6.png')
acf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Autocorrelation Function')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test7.png')
pacf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Partial Autocorrelation Function')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test8.png')
opar <- par(mfrow = c(2,2), oma = c(0, 0, 1.1, 0))
plot(mylm, las = 1, sub='Residual Diagnostics')
par(opar)
dev.off()
if (n > n25) {
bitmap(file='test9.png')
plot(kp3:nmkm3,gqarr[,2], main='Goldfeld-Quandt test',ylab='2-sided p-value',xlab='breakpoint')
grid()
dev.off()
}
load(file='createtable')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
myeq <- colnames(x)[1]
myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t] = ', sep='')
for (i in 1:k){
if (mysum$coefficients[i,1] > 0) myeq <- paste(myeq, '+', '')
myeq <- paste(myeq, mysum$coefficients[i,1], sep=' ')
if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != '(Intercept)') {
myeq <- paste(myeq, rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i], sep='')
if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != 't') myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t]', sep='')
}
}
myeq <- paste(myeq, ' + e[t]')
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, myeq)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable1.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,hyperlink('http://www.xycoon.com/ols1.htm','Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares',''), 6, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Variable',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Parameter',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'S.D.',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'T-STAT<br />H0: parameter = 0',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'2-tail p-value',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'1-tail p-value',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:k){
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i],header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,mysum$coefficients[i,1])
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,2],6))
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,3],4))
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,4],6))
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,4]/2,6))
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable2.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics', 2, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple R',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, sqrt(mysum$r.squared))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'R-squared',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$r.squared)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Adjusted R-squared',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$adj.r.squared)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (value)',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[1])
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF numerator)',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[2])
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF denominator)',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[3])
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'p-value',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 1-pf(mysum$fstatistic[1],mysum$fstatistic[2],mysum$fstatistic[3]))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics', 2, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Residual Standard Deviation',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$sigma)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Sum Squared Residuals',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, sum(myerror*myerror))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable3.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals', 4, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Time or Index', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 'Actuals', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 'Interpolation<br />Forecast', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 'Residuals<br />Prediction Error', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:n) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,i, 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,x[i])
a<-table.element(a,x[i]-mysum$resid[i])
a<-table.element(a,mysum$resid[i])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable4.tab')
if (n > n25) {
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'p-values',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Alternative Hypothesis',3,header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'breakpoint index',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'greater',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'2-sided',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'less',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,mypoint,header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,1])
a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2])
a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,3])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable5.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Description',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'# significant tests',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'% significant tests',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'OK/NOK',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'1% type I error level',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant1)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant1/numgqtests)
if (numsignificant1/numgqtests < 0.01) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK'
a<-table.element(a,dum)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'5% type I error level',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant5)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant5/numgqtests)
if (numsignificant5/numgqtests < 0.05) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK'
a<-table.element(a,dum)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'10% type I error level',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant10)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant10/numgqtests)
if (numsignificant10/numgqtests < 0.1) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK'
a<-table.element(a,dum)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable6.tab')
}
 





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Software written by Ed van Stee & Patrick Wessa


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