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Author's title

Author*The author of this computation has been verified*
R Software Modulerwasp_variancereduction.wasp
Title produced by softwareVariance Reduction Matrix
Date of computationSat, 06 Dec 2008 02:12:19 -0700
Cite this page as followsStatistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?v=date/2008/Dec/06/t12285547957e5ow3uexij2qp1.htm/, Retrieved Sat, 25 May 2024 21:55:41 +0000
Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=29427, Retrieved Sat, 25 May 2024 21:55:41 +0000
QR Codes:

Original text written by user:
IsPrivate?No (this computation is public)
User-defined keywords
Estimated Impact225
Family? (F = Feedback message, R = changed R code, M = changed R Module, P = changed Parameters, D = changed Data)
-     [Univariate Data Series] [data set] [2008-12-01 19:54:57] [b98453cac15ba1066b407e146608df68]
F RMP     [Variance Reduction Matrix] [step 2] [2008-12-06 09:12:19] [a9e6d7cd6e144e8b311d9f96a24c5a25] [Current]
- RMP       [Spectral Analysis] [step 2] [2008-12-06 18:00:08] [9f5bfe3b95f9ec3d2ed4c0a560a9648a]
F RMPD      [Spectral Analysis] [step 2] [2008-12-06 18:04:18] [9f5bfe3b95f9ec3d2ed4c0a560a9648a]
F RMPD      [Spectral Analysis] [step 2] [2008-12-06 18:06:54] [9f5bfe3b95f9ec3d2ed4c0a560a9648a]
F RMPD      [Spectral Analysis] [step 2] [2008-12-06 18:09:24] [9f5bfe3b95f9ec3d2ed4c0a560a9648a]
F   P         [Spectral Analysis] [step 3] [2008-12-06 18:24:41] [9f5bfe3b95f9ec3d2ed4c0a560a9648a]
F RMPD      [(Partial) Autocorrelation Function] [step 2] [2008-12-06 18:12:25] [9f5bfe3b95f9ec3d2ed4c0a560a9648a]
F RMPD      [(Partial) Autocorrelation Function] [step 2] [2008-12-06 18:14:47] [9f5bfe3b95f9ec3d2ed4c0a560a9648a]
F RMPD      [(Partial) Autocorrelation Function] [step 2] [2008-12-06 18:17:03] [9f5bfe3b95f9ec3d2ed4c0a560a9648a]
F   P         [(Partial) Autocorrelation Function] [step 3] [2008-12-06 18:22:51] [9f5bfe3b95f9ec3d2ed4c0a560a9648a]
Feedback Forum
2008-12-13 10:14:11 [Ken Wright] [reply
Juist, deze calculator gaat trachten de verschillende waarden te zoeken om het best te kunnen differentiëren, dus de beste waarden voor d en D. In de eerste kolom van de geproduceerde tabel zien we de optimale waarden voor d en D. De tweede kolom geeft de bijhorende variantie weer, dus na differentiatie met de gegeven waarden d en D. Om de beste waarden voor d en D te achter halen moeten we kijken naar de rij met de kleinste variantie. . Men moet hier wel oppassen, bij de gewone spreiding wordt de invloed van outliers (=waarden die extreem afwijken van het gemiddelde) mee in acht genomen. Daarom kan men beter gebruikmaken van de trimmed variance, deze houdt namelijk geen rekening met outliers. Vandaar de naam trimmed, dit duidt erop dat de aller grootste waarden en kleinste er worden ‘afgeknipt’. Nog steeds geeft de differentiatie d=1 en D=0 de beste oplossing. Deze calculator geeft eigenlijk alleen maar een aanwijzing hoe men moet differentiëren. Daarom wordt er nog extra gebruik gemaakt van de (partial) autocorrelatie en de spectral analysis.
2008-12-13 10:40:33 [Sam De Cuyper] [reply
Juist maar je zegt niets over de getrimde variantie. De getrimde variantie is de variantie met weglating van de grootste en de kleinste waarnemingen (extrema) in de tijdreeks. Ook de getrimde var is voor bijde d's (1) het kleinst. Met deze calculator kan je enkel berekenen welke differentiatie je moet toepassen om de tijdreeks stationair te maken.
2008-12-16 18:56:21 [Kevin Vermeiren] [reply
De student vermeldt hier goed dat hoe kleiner de variantie hoe minder het risico, de volatiliteit van de tijdreeks en hoe meer het model kan verklaren. Er moet dus inderdaad naar de variantie met de kleinste waarde gezocht worden. Het klopt dat d=1 en D=1. Hier had nog bijgevoegd mogen worden dat indien er sprake zou zijn van outliers, er gekeken dient te worden naar de kolom met de getrimde variantie. De 5% hoogste en laagste waarden worden dan weggelaten. De invloed van outliers op de variantie wordt dus gereduceerd en een betrouwbaarder beeld wordt bekomen.

Post a new message
Dataseries X:
235.1
280.7
264.6
240.7
201.4
240.8
241.1
223.8
206.1
174.7
203.3
220.5
299.5
347.4
338.3
327.7
351.6
396.6
438.8
395.6
363.5
378.8
357
369
464.8
479.1
431.3
366.5
326.3
355.1
331.6
261.3
249
205.5
235.6
240.9
264.9
253.8
232.3
193.8
177
213.2
207.2
180.6
188.6
175.4
199
179.6
225.8
234
200.2
183.6
178.2
203.2
208.5
191.8
172.8
148
159.4
154.5
213.2
196.4
182.8
176.4
153.6
173.2
171
151.2
161.9
157.2
201.7
236.4
356.1
398.3
403.7
384.6
365.8
368.1
367.9
347
343.3
292.9
311.5
300.9
366.9
356.9
329.7
316.2
269
289.3
266.2
253.6
233.8
228.4
253.6
260.1
306.6
309.2
309.5
271
279.9
317.9
298.4
246.7
227.3
209.1
259.9
266
320.6
308.5
282.2
262.7
263.5
313.1
284.3
252.6
250.3
246.5
312.7
333.2
446.4
511.6
515.5
506.4
483.2
522.3
509.8
460.7
405.8
375
378.5
406.8
467.8
469.8
429.8
355.8
332.7
378
360.5
334.7
319.5
323.1
363.6
352.1
411.9
388.6
416.4
360.7
338
417.2
388.4
371.1
331.5
353.7
396.7
447
533.5
565.4
542.3
488.7
467.1
531.3
496.1
444
403.4
386.3
394.1
404.1
462.1
448.1
432.3
386.3
395.2
421.9
382.9
384.2
345.5
323.4
372.6
376
462.7
487
444.2
399.3
394.9
455.4
414
375.5
347
339.4
385.8
378.8
451.8
446.1
422.5
383.1
352.8
445.3
367.5
355.1
326.2
319.8
331.8
340.9
394.1
417.2
369.9
349.2
321.4
405.7
342.9
316.5
284.2
270.9
288.8
278.8
324.4
310.9
299
273
279.3
359.2
305
282.1
250.3
246.5
257.9
266.5
315.9
318.4
295.4
266.4
245.8
362.8
324.9
294.2
289.5
295.2
290.3
272
307.4
328.7
292.9
249.1
230.4
361.5
321.7
277.2
260.7
251
257.6
241.8
287.5
292.3
274.7
254.2
230
339
318.2
287
295.8
284
271
262.7
340.6
379.4
373.3
355.2
338.4
466.9
451
422
429.2
425.9
460.7
463.6
541.4
544.2
517.5
469.4
439.4
549
533
506.1
484
457
481.5
469.5
544.7
541.2
521.5
469.7
434.4
542.6
517.3
485.7
465.8
447
426.6
411.6
467.5
484.5
451.2
417.4
379.9
484.7
455
420.8
416.5
376.3
405.6
405.8
500.8
514
475.5
430.1
414.4
538
526
488.5
520.2
504.4
568.5
610.6
818
830.9
835.9
782
762.3
856.9
820.9
769.6
752.2
724.4
723.1
719.5
817.4
803.3
752.5
689
630.4
765.5
757.7
732.2
702.6
683.3
709.5
702.2
784.8
810.9
755.6
656.8
615.1
745.3
694.1
675.7
643.7
622.1
634.6
588
689.7
673.9
647.9
568.8
545.7
632.6
643.8
593.1
579.7
546
562.9
572.5




Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time2 seconds
R Server'Sir Ronald Aylmer Fisher' @ 193.190.124.24

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Summary of computational transaction \tabularnewline
Raw Input & view raw input (R code)  \tabularnewline
Raw Output & view raw output of R engine  \tabularnewline
Computing time & 2 seconds \tabularnewline
R Server & 'Sir Ronald Aylmer Fisher' @ 193.190.124.24 \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=29427&T=0

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Summary of computational transaction[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Raw Input[/C][C]view raw input (R code) [/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Raw Output[/C][C]view raw output of R engine [/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Computing time[/C][C]2 seconds[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]R Server[/C][C]'Sir Ronald Aylmer Fisher' @ 193.190.124.24[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=29427&T=0

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=29427&T=0

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time2 seconds
R Server'Sir Ronald Aylmer Fisher' @ 193.190.124.24







Variance Reduction Matrix
V(Y[t],d=0,D=0)24040.7319917109Range708.9Trim Var.14891.1423067379
V(Y[t],d=1,D=0)1855.27831616522Range306.2Trim Var.1019.21726473461
V(Y[t],d=2,D=0)3601.51571083278Range388.2Trim Var.1764.07169175190
V(Y[t],d=3,D=0)10155.4683153647Range595.5Trim Var.5250.86267655406
V(Y[t],d=0,D=1)10061.5318845559Range585.7Trim Var.5798.12009737033
V(Y[t],d=1,D=1)795.483036989776Range221.9Trim Var.451.063415764475
V(Y[t],d=2,D=1)1251.20020977106Range223.4Trim Var.751.938251968809
V(Y[t],d=3,D=1)3933.17493248985Range389.7Trim Var.2351.74535475078
V(Y[t],d=0,D=2)23022.65043915Range819Trim Var.13637.4877562041
V(Y[t],d=1,D=2)2352.87163598807Range333.6Trim Var.1332.90434353283
V(Y[t],d=2,D=2)3506.43060400436Range407Trim Var.2059.39114521349
V(Y[t],d=3,D=2)10920.6579647792Range659.1Trim Var.6490.07402051023

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Variance Reduction Matrix \tabularnewline
V(Y[t],d=0,D=0) & 24040.7319917109 & Range & 708.9 & Trim Var. & 14891.1423067379 \tabularnewline
V(Y[t],d=1,D=0) & 1855.27831616522 & Range & 306.2 & Trim Var. & 1019.21726473461 \tabularnewline
V(Y[t],d=2,D=0) & 3601.51571083278 & Range & 388.2 & Trim Var. & 1764.07169175190 \tabularnewline
V(Y[t],d=3,D=0) & 10155.4683153647 & Range & 595.5 & Trim Var. & 5250.86267655406 \tabularnewline
V(Y[t],d=0,D=1) & 10061.5318845559 & Range & 585.7 & Trim Var. & 5798.12009737033 \tabularnewline
V(Y[t],d=1,D=1) & 795.483036989776 & Range & 221.9 & Trim Var. & 451.063415764475 \tabularnewline
V(Y[t],d=2,D=1) & 1251.20020977106 & Range & 223.4 & Trim Var. & 751.938251968809 \tabularnewline
V(Y[t],d=3,D=1) & 3933.17493248985 & Range & 389.7 & Trim Var. & 2351.74535475078 \tabularnewline
V(Y[t],d=0,D=2) & 23022.65043915 & Range & 819 & Trim Var. & 13637.4877562041 \tabularnewline
V(Y[t],d=1,D=2) & 2352.87163598807 & Range & 333.6 & Trim Var. & 1332.90434353283 \tabularnewline
V(Y[t],d=2,D=2) & 3506.43060400436 & Range & 407 & Trim Var. & 2059.39114521349 \tabularnewline
V(Y[t],d=3,D=2) & 10920.6579647792 & Range & 659.1 & Trim Var. & 6490.07402051023 \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=29427&T=1

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Variance Reduction Matrix[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]V(Y[t],d=0,D=0)[/C][C]24040.7319917109[/C][C]Range[/C][C]708.9[/C][C]Trim Var.[/C][C]14891.1423067379[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]V(Y[t],d=1,D=0)[/C][C]1855.27831616522[/C][C]Range[/C][C]306.2[/C][C]Trim Var.[/C][C]1019.21726473461[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]V(Y[t],d=2,D=0)[/C][C]3601.51571083278[/C][C]Range[/C][C]388.2[/C][C]Trim Var.[/C][C]1764.07169175190[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]V(Y[t],d=3,D=0)[/C][C]10155.4683153647[/C][C]Range[/C][C]595.5[/C][C]Trim Var.[/C][C]5250.86267655406[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]V(Y[t],d=0,D=1)[/C][C]10061.5318845559[/C][C]Range[/C][C]585.7[/C][C]Trim Var.[/C][C]5798.12009737033[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]V(Y[t],d=1,D=1)[/C][C]795.483036989776[/C][C]Range[/C][C]221.9[/C][C]Trim Var.[/C][C]451.063415764475[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]V(Y[t],d=2,D=1)[/C][C]1251.20020977106[/C][C]Range[/C][C]223.4[/C][C]Trim Var.[/C][C]751.938251968809[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]V(Y[t],d=3,D=1)[/C][C]3933.17493248985[/C][C]Range[/C][C]389.7[/C][C]Trim Var.[/C][C]2351.74535475078[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]V(Y[t],d=0,D=2)[/C][C]23022.65043915[/C][C]Range[/C][C]819[/C][C]Trim Var.[/C][C]13637.4877562041[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]V(Y[t],d=1,D=2)[/C][C]2352.87163598807[/C][C]Range[/C][C]333.6[/C][C]Trim Var.[/C][C]1332.90434353283[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]V(Y[t],d=2,D=2)[/C][C]3506.43060400436[/C][C]Range[/C][C]407[/C][C]Trim Var.[/C][C]2059.39114521349[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]V(Y[t],d=3,D=2)[/C][C]10920.6579647792[/C][C]Range[/C][C]659.1[/C][C]Trim Var.[/C][C]6490.07402051023[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=29427&T=1

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=29427&T=1

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Variance Reduction Matrix
V(Y[t],d=0,D=0)24040.7319917109Range708.9Trim Var.14891.1423067379
V(Y[t],d=1,D=0)1855.27831616522Range306.2Trim Var.1019.21726473461
V(Y[t],d=2,D=0)3601.51571083278Range388.2Trim Var.1764.07169175190
V(Y[t],d=3,D=0)10155.4683153647Range595.5Trim Var.5250.86267655406
V(Y[t],d=0,D=1)10061.5318845559Range585.7Trim Var.5798.12009737033
V(Y[t],d=1,D=1)795.483036989776Range221.9Trim Var.451.063415764475
V(Y[t],d=2,D=1)1251.20020977106Range223.4Trim Var.751.938251968809
V(Y[t],d=3,D=1)3933.17493248985Range389.7Trim Var.2351.74535475078
V(Y[t],d=0,D=2)23022.65043915Range819Trim Var.13637.4877562041
V(Y[t],d=1,D=2)2352.87163598807Range333.6Trim Var.1332.90434353283
V(Y[t],d=2,D=2)3506.43060400436Range407Trim Var.2059.39114521349
V(Y[t],d=3,D=2)10920.6579647792Range659.1Trim Var.6490.07402051023



Parameters (Session):
par1 = 12 ;
Parameters (R input):
par1 = 12 ;
R code (references can be found in the software module):
par1 <- as.numeric(par1)
n <- length(x)
sx <- sort(x)
load(file='createtable')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Variance Reduction Matrix',6,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (bigd in 0:2) {
for (smalld in 0:3) {
mylabel <- 'V(Y[t],d='
mylabel <- paste(mylabel,as.character(smalld),sep='')
mylabel <- paste(mylabel,',D=',sep='')
mylabel <- paste(mylabel,as.character(bigd),sep='')
mylabel <- paste(mylabel,')',sep='')
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,mylabel,header=TRUE)
myx <- x
if (smalld > 0) myx <- diff(x,lag=1,differences=smalld)
if (bigd > 0) myx <- diff(myx,lag=par1,differences=bigd)
a<-table.element(a,var(myx))
a<-table.element(a,'Range',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,max(myx)-min(myx))
a<-table.element(a,'Trim Var.',header=TRUE)
smyx <- sort(myx)
sn <- length(smyx)
a<-table.element(a,var(smyx[smyx>quantile(smyx,0.05) & smyxa<-table.row.end(a)
}
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable.tab')