Free Statistics

of Irreproducible Research!

Author's title

Author*Unverified author*
R Software Modulerwasp_rwalk.wasp
Title produced by softwareLaw of Averages
Date of computationTue, 02 Dec 2008 03:17:36 -0700
Cite this page as followsStatistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?v=date/2008/Dec/02/t1228213143odi3s1cmhhkfutz.htm/, Retrieved Sat, 25 May 2024 04:53:34 +0000
Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=27585, Retrieved Sat, 25 May 2024 04:53:34 +0000
QR Codes:

Original text written by user:
IsPrivate?No (this computation is public)
User-defined keywords
Estimated Impact223
Family? (F = Feedback message, R = changed R code, M = changed R Module, P = changed Parameters, D = changed Data)
F     [Law of Averages] [Random Walk Simul...] [2008-11-25 17:50:19] [b98453cac15ba1066b407e146608df68]
F         [Law of Averages] [Workshop 4] [2008-12-02 10:17:36] [d41d8cd98f00b204e9800998ecf8427e] [Current]
Feedback Forum
2008-12-06 17:31:20 [Stefan Temmerman] [reply
De student geeft te weinig uitleg hier: De excess of heads grafiek zegt ons hoeveel meer kop (of let) er gegooid wordt dan let (of kop). De proportion of heads laat ons op zijn beurt het relatieve aantal zien van kop (of let). Deze convergeert rond 0.5, dit is logisch gezien de wet van de grote getallen. In tegenstelling tot wat de student zegt, is er indeze tijdseries geen seizoenaliteit waar te nemen.
Hier is inderdaad geen trend aanwezig zoals de student zegt. Wat hier niet wordt vermeld, is dat je denkt wel een trend te kunnen voorspellen, maar dit mag niet omdat het een simulatie is. Een stijging of daling is hier puur te wijten aan het toeval, niet door gebeurtenissen uit het verleden.

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Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time1 seconds
R Server'Gwilym Jenkins' @ 72.249.127.135

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Summary of computational transaction \tabularnewline
Raw Input & view raw input (R code)  \tabularnewline
Raw Output & view raw output of R engine  \tabularnewline
Computing time & 1 seconds \tabularnewline
R Server & 'Gwilym Jenkins' @ 72.249.127.135 \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=27585&T=0

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Summary of computational transaction[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Raw Input[/C][C]view raw input (R code) [/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Raw Output[/C][C]view raw output of R engine [/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Computing time[/C][C]1 seconds[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]R Server[/C][C]'Gwilym Jenkins' @ 72.249.127.135[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=27585&T=0

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=27585&T=0

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The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time1 seconds
R Server'Gwilym Jenkins' @ 72.249.127.135



Parameters (Session):
par1 = 500 ; par2 = 0.5 ;
Parameters (R input):
par1 = 500 ; par2 = 0.5 ;
R code (references can be found in the software module):
n <- as.numeric(par1)
p <- as.numeric(par2)
heads=rbinom(n-1,1,p)
a=2*(heads)-1
b=diffinv(a,xi=0)
c=1:n
pheads=(diffinv(heads,xi=.5))/c
bitmap(file='test1.png')
op=par(mfrow=c(2,1))
plot(c,b,type='n',main='Law of Averages',xlab='Toss Number',ylab='Excess of Heads',lwd=2,cex.lab=1.5,cex.main=2)
lines(c,b,col='red')
lines(c,rep(0,n),col='black')
plot(c,pheads,type='n',xlab='Toss Number',ylab='Proportion of Heads',lwd=2,cex.lab=1.5)
lines(c,pheads,col='blue')
lines(c,rep(.5,n),col='black')
par(op)
dev.off()