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PaperTimDamen

*Unverified author*
R Software Module: /rwasp_multipleregression.wasp (opens new window with default values)
Title produced by software: Multiple Regression
Date of computation: Thu, 03 Feb 2011 09:33:21 +0000
 
Cite this page as follows:
Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2011/Feb/03/t129672562075z1k1gd7nqpxdi.htm/, Retrieved Thu, 03 Feb 2011 10:34:03 +0100
 
BibTeX entries for LaTeX users:
@Manual{KEY,
    author = {{YOUR NAME}},
    publisher = {Office for Research Development and Education},
    title = {Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, URL http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2011/Feb/03/t129672562075z1k1gd7nqpxdi.htm/},
    year = {2011},
}
@Manual{R,
    title = {R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing},
    author = {{R Development Core Team}},
    organization = {R Foundation for Statistical Computing},
    address = {Vienna, Austria},
    year = {2011},
    note = {{ISBN} 3-900051-07-0},
    url = {http://www.R-project.org},
}
 
Original text written by user:
 
IsPrivate?
No (this computation is public)
 
User-defined keywords:
 
Dataseries X:
» Textbox « » Textfile « » CSV «
349 336 331 327 323 322 385 405 412 411 410 415 414 411 408 410 411 416 479 498 502 498 499 506 510 509 502 495 490 490 553 570 573 572 575 580 580 574 563 556 546 545 605 628 631 626 614 606 602 589 574 558 552 546 607 636 631 623 618 605 619 596 570 546 528 506 555 568 564 553 541 542 540 521 505 491 482 478 523 531 532 540 525 533 531 508 495 482 470 466 515 518 516 511 500 498 494 476 458 443 430 424 476 481 470 460 451 450 444 429 421 400 389 384 432 446 431 423 416 416 413 399 386 374 365 365 418 428 424 421 417 423 423 419 406 398 390 391 444 460 455 456 452 459 461 451 443 439 430 436 488 506 502 501 501 515 521 520 512 509 505 511 570 592 594 586 586 592 594 594 586 586 572 572 563 563 555 555 554 554 601 601 622 622 617 617 606 606 595 595 599 599 600 600 592 592 575 575 567 567 555 555 555 555 608 etc...
 
Output produced by software:

Enter (or paste) a matrix (table) containing all data (time) series. Every column represents a different variable and must be delimited by a space or Tab. Every row represents a period in time (or category) and must be delimited by hard returns. The easiest way to enter data is to copy and paste a block of spreadsheet cells. Please, do not use commas or spaces to seperate groups of digits!


Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time18 seconds
R Server'Herman Ole Andreas Wold' @ www.yougetit.org


Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation
Werkloosheid[t] = + 499.303271902373 + 0.102201472847776t + e[t]


Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares
VariableParameterS.D.T-STAT
H0: parameter = 0
2-tail p-value1-tail p-value
(Intercept)499.3032719023735.70447687.528300
t0.1022014728477760.0200525.096900


Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics
Multiple R0.224383826261559
R-squared0.0503481014877776
Adjusted R-squared0.048410036388773
F-TEST (value)25.9785398919976
F-TEST (DF numerator)1
F-TEST (DF denominator)490
p-value4.93876434526364e-07
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics
Residual Standard Deviation63.1692789346425
Sum Squared Residuals1955275.32255011


Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals
Time or IndexActualsInterpolation
Forecast
Residuals
Prediction Error
1349499.405473375217-150.405473375217
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354513535.482593290486-22.4825932904855
355503535.584794763333-32.5847947633333
356503535.686996236181-32.6869962361811
357471535.789197709029-64.7891977090288
358471535.891399181877-64.8913991818766
359471535.993600654724-64.9936006547244
360471536.095802127572-65.0958021275722
361476536.19800360042-60.19800360042
362476536.300205073268-60.3002050732677
363475536.402406546115-61.4024065461155
364475536.504608018963-61.5046080189633
365470536.606809491811-66.606809491811
366470536.709010964659-66.7090109646588
367461536.811212437507-75.8112124375066
368461536.913413910354-75.9134139103544
369455537.015615383202-82.0156153832021
370455537.11781685605-82.1178168560499
371456537.220018328898-81.2200183288977
372456537.322219801746-81.3222198017455
373517537.424421274593-20.4244212745933
374517537.526622747441-20.526622747441
375525537.628824220289-12.6288242202888
376525537.731025693137-12.7310256931366
377523537.833227165984-14.8332271659844
378523537.935428638832-14.9354286388321
379519538.03763011168-19.0376301116799
380519538.139831584528-19.1398315845277
381509538.242033057375-29.2420330573755
382509538.344234530223-29.3442345302232
383512538.446436003071-26.446436003071
384512538.548637475919-26.5486374759188
385519538.650838948767-19.6508389487666
386519538.753040421614-19.7530404216143
387517538.855241894462-21.8552418944621
388517538.95744336731-21.9574433673099
389510539.059644840158-29.0596448401577
390510539.161846313005-29.1618463130054
391509539.264047785853-30.2640477858532
392509539.366249258701-30.366249258701
393501539.468450731549-38.4684507315488
394501539.570652204397-38.5706522043965
395507539.672853677244-32.6728536772443
396507539.775055150092-32.7750551500921
397569539.8772566229429.1227433770601
398569539.97945809578829.0205419042123
399580540.08165956863539.9183404313646
400580540.18386104148339.8161389585168
401578540.28606251433137.713937485669
402578540.38826398717937.6117360128212
403565540.49046546002624.5095345399735
404565540.59266693287424.4073330671257
405547540.6948684057226.30513159427792
406547540.797069878576.20293012143014
407555540.89927135141814.1007286485824
408555541.00147282426513.9985271757346
409562541.10367429711320.8963257028868
410561541.20587576996119.794124230039
411555541.30807724280913.6919227571913
412544541.4102787156572.58972128434348
413537541.512480188504-4.51248018850429
414543541.6146816613521.38531833864793
415594541.716883134252.2831168658002
416611541.81908460704869.1809153929524
417613541.92128607989571.0787139201046
418611542.02348755274368.9765124472568
419594542.12568902559151.874310974409
420595542.22789049843952.7721095015613
421591542.33009197128648.6699080287135
422589542.43229344413446.5677065558657
423584542.53449491698241.465505083018
424573542.6366963898330.3633036101702
425567542.73889786267824.2611021373224
426569542.84109933552526.1589006644746
427621542.94330080837378.0566991916268
428629543.04550228122185.954497718779
429628543.14770375406984.8522962459313
430612543.24990522691668.7500947730835
431595543.35210669976451.6478933002357
432597543.45430817261253.545691827388
433593543.5565096454649.4434903545402
434590543.65871111830846.3412888816924
435580543.76091259115536.2390874088446
436574543.86311406400330.1368859359969
437573543.96531553685129.0346844631491
438573544.06751700969928.9324829903013
439620544.16971848254775.8302815174535
440626544.27191995539481.7280800446058
441620544.37412142824275.625878571758
442588544.4763229010943.5236770989102
443566544.57852437393821.4214756260624
444557544.68072584678512.3192741532147
445561544.78292731963316.2170726803669
446549544.8851287924814.1148712075191
447532544.987330265329-12.9873302653287
448526545.089531738176-19.0895317381764
449511545.191733211024-34.1917332110242
450499545.293934683872-46.293934683872
451555545.396136156729.60386384328023
452565545.49833762956819.5016623704324
453542545.600539102415-3.60053910241533
454527545.702740575263-18.7027405752631
455510545.804942048111-35.8049420481109
456514545.907143520959-31.9071435209587
457517546.009344993806-29.0093449938064
458508546.111546466654-38.1115464666542
459493546.213747939502-53.213747939502
460490546.31594941235-56.3159494123498
461469546.418150885198-77.4181508851975
462478546.520352358045-68.5203523580453
463528546.622553830893-18.6225538308931
464534546.724755303741-12.7247553037409
465518546.826956776589-28.8269567765886
466506546.929158249436-40.9291582494364
467502547.031359722284-45.0313597222842
468516547.133561195132-31.133561195132
469528547.23576266798-19.2357626679797
470533547.337964140827-14.3379641408275
471536547.440165613675-11.4401656136753
472537547.542367086523-10.5423670865231
473524547.644568559371-23.6445685593708
474536547.746770032219-11.7467700322186
475587547.84897150506639.1510284949336
476597547.95117297791449.0488270220858
477581548.05337445076232.946625549238
478564548.1555759236115.8444240763903
479558548.2577773964589.7422226035425
480575548.35997886930526.6400211306947
481580548.46218034215331.5378196578469
482575548.56438181500126.4356181849992
483563548.66658328784914.3334167121514
484552548.7687847606963.23121523930362
485537548.870986233544-11.8709862335442
486545548.973187706392-3.97318770639193
487601549.0753891792451.9246108207603
488604549.17759065208754.8224093479125
489586549.27979212493536.7202078750647
490564549.38199359778314.618006402217
491549549.484195070631-0.484195070630809
492551549.5863965434791.41360345652141


Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
p-valuesAlternative Hypothesis
breakpoint indexgreater2-sidedless
50.0002177875053241340.0004355750106482670.999782212494676
62.98122430934567e-055.96244861869135e-050.999970187756906
70.02096143876027290.04192287752054590.979038561239727
80.02680237409518150.05360474819036290.973197625904819
90.01624438324285170.03248876648570350.983755616757148
100.00698758553784210.01397517107568420.993012414462158
110.002800421036365750.00560084207273150.997199578963634
120.001101693728856350.002203387457712710.998898306271144
130.0004759062473691050.000951812494738210.99952409375263
140.0002499588521840430.0004999177043680850.999750041147816
150.0001598831413434890.0003197662826869770.999840116858657
169.84731720873877e-050.0001969463441747750.999901526827913
176.0859639269612e-050.0001217192785392240.99993914036073
183.27885648095231e-056.55771296190462e-050.99996721143519
193.39610289849798e-056.79220579699595e-050.999966038971015
204.23888618908132e-058.47777237816265e-050.99995761113811
213.1166200787469e-056.23324015749381e-050.999968833799213
221.43633313385501e-052.87266626771002e-050.999985636668661
235.80808766839637e-061.16161753367927e-050.999994191912332
242.27118660551288e-064.54237321102575e-060.999997728813395
258.59978158166157e-071.71995631633231e-060.999999140021842
263.40163823412046e-076.80327646824093e-070.999999659836177
271.84223583901102e-073.68447167802205e-070.999999815776416
281.61364189700219e-073.22728379400439e-070.99999983863581
292.07913787879433e-074.15827575758865e-070.999999792086212
302.76491904998908e-075.52983809997816e-070.999999723508095
311.35705497200991e-072.71410994401982e-070.999999864294503
328.34551749968102e-081.6691034999362e-070.999999916544825
334.20935501853848e-088.41871003707696e-080.99999995790645
341.76100088167015e-083.52200176334031e-080.999999982389991
357.01426271557033e-091.40285254311407e-080.999999992985737
362.7531549705997e-095.50630994119939e-090.999999997246845
371.10331981716198e-092.20663963432395e-090.99999999889668
385.5657134313317e-101.11314268626634e-090.999999999443429
395.36885954303008e-101.07377190860602e-090.999999999463114
409.13136140320678e-101.82627228064136e-090.999999999086864
413.1636617468704e-096.3273234937408e-090.999999996836338
421.03291700247593e-082.06583400495186e-080.99999998967083
434.79789310640565e-099.5957862128113e-090.999999995202107
442.64870465111806e-095.29740930223611e-090.999999997351295
451.37915704561972e-092.75831409123945e-090.999999998620843
466.67732383556631e-101.33546476711326e-090.999999999332268
473.98622997788193e-107.97245995576386e-100.999999999601377
483.50365104513371e-107.00730209026742e-100.999999999649635
494.2185670040864e-108.4371340081728e-100.999999999578143
501.11289104055587e-092.22578208111174e-090.999999998887109
517.00477070221146e-091.40095414044229e-080.99999999299523
528.87103961876303e-081.77420792375261e-070.999999911289604
538.99990999247117e-071.79998199849423e-060.999999100009
547.24034035084565e-061.44806807016913e-050.99999275965965
556.47629249411413e-061.29525849882283e-050.999993523707506
564.64787044229095e-069.2957408845819e-060.999995352129558
573.55481574205042e-067.10963148410084e-060.999996445184258
583.12546324310535e-066.2509264862107e-060.999996874536757
593.15694516175968e-066.31389032351937e-060.999996843054838
604.43117373624122e-068.86234747248244e-060.999995568826264
614.7965420593948e-069.5930841187896e-060.99999520345794
629.22862867206865e-061.84572573441373e-050.999990771371328
633.79094721535178e-057.58189443070356e-050.999962090527846
640.0002674753061506610.0005349506123013210.99973252469385
650.001987365900196980.003974731800393950.998012634099803
660.01412393114874270.02824786229748540.985876068851257
670.02365501984830680.04731003969661370.976344980151693
680.03159802159120490.06319604318240990.968401978408795
690.04248512494168090.08497024988336190.957514875058319
700.06111873049483330.1222374609896670.938881269505167
710.0928317635174890.1856635270349780.907168236482511
720.1291102021357890.2582204042715790.87088979786421
730.1715469055510120.3430938111020240.828453094448988
740.2457279699799620.4914559399599250.754272030020038
750.3556169904190230.7112339808380460.644383009580977
760.495097950283460.9901959005669210.50490204971654
770.6366714539605510.7266570920788980.363328546039449
780.7531614739215320.4936770521569350.246838526078468
790.7811847143862580.4376305712274850.218815285613742
800.7973619219604880.4052761560790230.202638078039512
810.8101389430298830.3797221139402340.189861056970117
820.8155483561365530.3689032877268930.184451643863447
830.8298108785256110.3403782429487780.170189121474389
840.8365012819775550.3269974360448910.163498718022445
850.8430635896306810.3138728207386370.156936410369319
860.8630973770901750.273805245819650.136902622909825
870.887798335453770.2244033290924610.112201664546231
880.914573970005660.1708520599886810.0854260299943406
890.9398779603579130.1202440792841740.0601220396420869
900.9583857604780780.08322847904384350.0416142395219218
910.9589657832923460.08206843341530880.0410342167076544
920.9586454871446260.08270902571074880.0413545128553744
930.958370340715850.08325931856829880.0416296592841494
940.9586797352966340.08264052940673280.0413202647033664
950.9607658666177150.07846826676456970.0392341333822848
960.9626815856010320.07463682879793580.0373184143989679
970.9648266250876170.07034674982476550.0351733749123827
980.9699425280247150.06011494395056990.0300574719752849
990.9772227536849360.04555449263012840.0227772463150642
1000.9846447304240390.03071053915192290.0153552695759615
1010.9907892679216250.01842146415675040.0092107320783752
1020.994737136636220.01052572672756110.00526286336378056
1030.9949331870044830.01013362599103430.00506681299551715
1040.9948929014210350.01021419715793020.00510709857896508
1050.9951513109785350.009697378042929330.00484868902146466
1060.9956602664257970.008679467148405720.00433973357420286
1070.996328996023960.00734200795207950.00367100397603975
1080.9968607624093810.006278475181237880.00313923759061894
1090.9974066923459440.005186615308111310.00259330765405566
1100.9981184535260890.003763092947823080.00188154647391154
1110.9987256003741620.002548799251676220.00127439962583811
1120.9993297729276160.001340454144767750.000670227072383874
1130.9996975610736550.0006048778526902580.000302438926345129
1140.9998733737365940.0002532525268115460.000126626263405773
1150.9998945700684670.0002108598630650050.000105429931532502
1160.9998976937478360.0002046125043274420.000102306252163721
1170.9999134843190660.0001730313618680748.65156809340369e-05
1180.999932315476310.0001353690473809196.76845236904595e-05
1190.9999508112956579.8377408685736e-054.9188704342868e-05
1200.9999638609759317.22780481374687e-053.61390240687344e-05
1210.9999742255412165.15489175679483e-052.57744587839741e-05
1220.9999848442222763.03115554485454e-051.51557777242727e-05
1230.999992803110451.43937790993766e-057.19688954968828e-06
1240.999997303611685.39277664028663e-062.69638832014332e-06
1250.9999991882506531.62349869370407e-068.11749346852033e-07
1260.9999997663014994.67397002332378e-072.33698501166189e-07
1270.9999998232354773.53529045987869e-071.76764522993935e-07
1280.9999998478177543.04364492501975e-071.52182246250987e-07
1290.999999876359662.47280679987356e-071.23640339993678e-07
1300.9999999043679671.91264066219824e-079.56320331099122e-08
1310.9999999309312261.38137547378081e-076.90687736890406e-08
1320.9999999462801031.07439794480153e-075.37198972400767e-08
1330.9999999587617688.24764642409551e-084.12382321204776e-08
1340.9999999706019495.87961022459056e-082.93980511229528e-08
1350.9999999834565723.30868549100685e-081.65434274550343e-08
1360.9999999922743971.54512064745247e-087.72560323726236e-09
1370.9999999971043125.79137663900176e-092.89568831950088e-09
1380.9999999989593512.0812976525969e-091.04064882629845e-09
1390.9999999990888141.82237207858421e-099.11186039292107e-10
1400.9999999990732771.85344527271115e-099.26722636355574e-10
1410.9999999991131381.7737236122616e-098.86861806130798e-10
1420.9999999991562131.6875746824287e-098.43787341214351e-10
1430.999999999243051.51390042777791e-097.56950213888955e-10
1440.9999999992827561.43448901691025e-097.17244508455125e-10
1450.9999999993183461.36330724660295e-096.81653623301476e-10
1460.9999999994280831.14383489972522e-095.71917449862609e-10
1470.9999999995780898.43822377747745e-104.21911188873873e-10
1480.9999999997156975.68606507039641e-102.84303253519821e-10
1490.999999999841773.16461384069105e-101.58230692034552e-10
1500.9999999999066131.86773810298955e-109.33869051494777e-11
1510.9999999999051241.89751400563516e-109.48757002817581e-11
1520.999999999899522.00961261079218e-101.00480630539609e-10
1530.99999999989392.12198250100686e-101.06099125050343e-10
1540.999999999888282.23440668144389e-101.11720334072194e-10
1550.9999999998825532.3489395566144e-101.1744697783072e-10
1560.9999999998751962.49606864061746e-101.24803432030873e-10
1570.9999999998677622.64476400552655e-101.32238200276327e-10
1580.9999999998585422.82915033395452e-101.41457516697726e-10
1590.999999999847263.05478723106656e-101.52739361553328e-10
1600.999999999835383.29240747511844e-101.64620373755922e-10
1610.9999999998242253.51549795629487e-101.75774897814743e-10
1620.9999999998101343.79731985399331e-101.89865992699665e-10
1630.9999999998514352.97130719478656e-101.48565359739328e-10
1640.9999999999136981.72603668584012e-108.63018342920058e-11
1650.9999999999492371.0152582144088e-105.076291072044e-11
1660.9999999999642047.15918481275847e-113.57959240637924e-11
1670.999999999973745.25198518907649e-112.62599259453824e-11
1680.9999999999818283.63443907257481e-111.8172195362874e-11
1690.9999999999873562.52882067360452e-111.26441033680226e-11
1700.9999999999908641.82729956554166e-119.1364978277083e-12
1710.999999999992261.54798128667929e-117.73990643339647e-12
1720.9999999999932481.35040439142091e-116.75202195710456e-12
1730.9999999999928241.43513555983988e-117.17567779919938e-12
1740.999999999992231.5541500649351e-117.77075032467552e-12
1750.9999999999907321.85368708529064e-119.2684354264532e-12
1760.9999999999888072.2385333284133e-111.11926666420665e-11
1770.9999999999856252.8749643489174e-111.4374821744587e-11
1780.9999999999813983.7203979808274e-111.8601989904137e-11
1790.9999999999756434.87149610117044e-112.43574805058522e-11
1800.9999999999679126.41768417418698e-113.20884208709349e-11
1810.9999999999733675.32669475935913e-112.66334737967956e-11
1820.9999999999773784.52442461837266e-112.26221230918633e-11
1830.999999999986512.69798419028185e-111.34899209514092e-11
1840.999999999991761.64826126532145e-118.24130632660727e-12
1850.9999999999943161.13674938889501e-115.68374694447503e-12
1860.9999999999967.99788035992252e-123.99894017996126e-12
1870.9999999999965196.9626206390585e-123.48131031952925e-12
1880.9999999999969236.15396964599881e-123.07698482299941e-12
1890.9999999999967576.48616391186473e-123.24308195593236e-12
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4770.9999764074560464.71850879078561e-052.35925439539281e-05
4780.999925751519380.0001484969612394497.42484806197244e-05
4790.999799417824590.0004011643508182550.000200582175409128
4800.9994091547488130.001181690502373440.000590845251186722
4810.9984956217405340.003008756518932370.00150437825946619
4820.9962076287009310.007584742598138310.00379237129906916
4830.9899138503910170.02017229921796530.0100861496089827
4840.9766000099917680.04679998001646310.0233999900082315
4850.9764616230857370.04707675382852620.0235383769142631
4860.999411835349550.001176329300901930.000588164650450966
4870.9970489305696520.005902138860695150.00295106943034758


Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
Description# significant tests% significant testsOK/NOK
1% type I error level4370.904761904761905NOK
5% type I error level4510.933747412008282NOK
10% type I error level4630.958592132505176NOK
 
Charts produced by software:
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2011/Feb/03/t129672562075z1k1gd7nqpxdi/109eam1296725581.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2011/Feb/03/t129672562075z1k1gd7nqpxdi/109eam1296725581.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2011/Feb/03/t129672562075z1k1gd7nqpxdi/1tl341296725581.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2011/Feb/03/t129672562075z1k1gd7nqpxdi/1tl341296725581.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2011/Feb/03/t129672562075z1k1gd7nqpxdi/2kemt1296725581.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2011/Feb/03/t129672562075z1k1gd7nqpxdi/2kemt1296725581.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2011/Feb/03/t129672562075z1k1gd7nqpxdi/3nrt31296725581.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2011/Feb/03/t129672562075z1k1gd7nqpxdi/3nrt31296725581.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2011/Feb/03/t129672562075z1k1gd7nqpxdi/4hba91296725581.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2011/Feb/03/t129672562075z1k1gd7nqpxdi/4hba91296725581.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2011/Feb/03/t129672562075z1k1gd7nqpxdi/5mzeo1296725581.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2011/Feb/03/t129672562075z1k1gd7nqpxdi/5mzeo1296725581.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2011/Feb/03/t129672562075z1k1gd7nqpxdi/6q5jy1296725581.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2011/Feb/03/t129672562075z1k1gd7nqpxdi/6q5jy1296725581.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2011/Feb/03/t129672562075z1k1gd7nqpxdi/7h96i1296725581.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2011/Feb/03/t129672562075z1k1gd7nqpxdi/7h96i1296725581.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2011/Feb/03/t129672562075z1k1gd7nqpxdi/8uuxf1296725581.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2011/Feb/03/t129672562075z1k1gd7nqpxdi/8uuxf1296725581.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2011/Feb/03/t129672562075z1k1gd7nqpxdi/9hygv1296725581.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2011/Feb/03/t129672562075z1k1gd7nqpxdi/9hygv1296725581.ps (open in new window)


 
Parameters (Session):
par1 = 1 ; par2 = Do not include Seasonal Dummies ; par3 = Linear Trend ;
 
Parameters (R input):
par1 = 1 ; par2 = Do not include Seasonal Dummies ; par3 = Linear Trend ;
 
R code (references can be found in the software module):
library(lattice)
library(lmtest)
n25 <- 25 #minimum number of obs. for Goldfeld-Quandt test
par1 <- as.numeric(par1)
x <- t(y)
k <- length(x[1,])
n <- length(x[,1])
x1 <- cbind(x[,par1], x[,1:k!=par1])
mycolnames <- c(colnames(x)[par1], colnames(x)[1:k!=par1])
colnames(x1) <- mycolnames #colnames(x)[par1]
x <- x1
if (par3 == 'First Differences'){
x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n-1,k), dimnames=list(1:(n-1), paste('(1-B)',colnames(x),sep='')))
for (i in 1:n-1) {
for (j in 1:k) {
x2[i,j] <- x[i+1,j] - x[i,j]
}
}
x <- x2
}
if (par2 == 'Include Monthly Dummies'){
x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,11), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('M', seq(1:11), sep ='')))
for (i in 1:11){
x2[seq(i,n,12),i] <- 1
}
x <- cbind(x, x2)
}
if (par2 == 'Include Quarterly Dummies'){
x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,3), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('Q', seq(1:3), sep ='')))
for (i in 1:3){
x2[seq(i,n,4),i] <- 1
}
x <- cbind(x, x2)
}
k <- length(x[1,])
if (par3 == 'Linear Trend'){
x <- cbind(x, c(1:n))
colnames(x)[k+1] <- 't'
}
x
k <- length(x[1,])
df <- as.data.frame(x)
(mylm <- lm(df))
(mysum <- summary(mylm))
if (n > n25) {
kp3 <- k + 3
nmkm3 <- n - k - 3
gqarr <- array(NA, dim=c(nmkm3-kp3+1,3))
numgqtests <- 0
numsignificant1 <- 0
numsignificant5 <- 0
numsignificant10 <- 0
for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) {
j <- 0
numgqtests <- numgqtests + 1
for (myalt in c('greater', 'two.sided', 'less')) {
j <- j + 1
gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,j] <- gqtest(mylm, point=mypoint, alternative=myalt)$p.value
}
if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.01) numsignificant1 <- numsignificant1 + 1
if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.05) numsignificant5 <- numsignificant5 + 1
if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.10) numsignificant10 <- numsignificant10 + 1
}
gqarr
}
bitmap(file='test0.png')
plot(x[,1], type='l', main='Actuals and Interpolation', ylab='value of Actuals and Interpolation (dots)', xlab='time or index')
points(x[,1]-mysum$resid)
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test1.png')
plot(mysum$resid, type='b', pch=19, main='Residuals', ylab='value of Residuals', xlab='time or index')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test2.png')
hist(mysum$resid, main='Residual Histogram', xlab='values of Residuals')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test3.png')
densityplot(~mysum$resid,col='black',main='Residual Density Plot', xlab='values of Residuals')
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test4.png')
qqnorm(mysum$resid, main='Residual Normal Q-Q Plot')
qqline(mysum$resid)
grid()
dev.off()
(myerror <- as.ts(mysum$resid))
bitmap(file='test5.png')
dum <- cbind(lag(myerror,k=1),myerror)
dum
dum1 <- dum[2:length(myerror),]
dum1
z <- as.data.frame(dum1)
z
plot(z,main=paste('Residual Lag plot, lowess, and regression line'), ylab='values of Residuals', xlab='lagged values of Residuals')
lines(lowess(z))
abline(lm(z))
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test6.png')
acf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Autocorrelation Function')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test7.png')
pacf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Partial Autocorrelation Function')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test8.png')
opar <- par(mfrow = c(2,2), oma = c(0, 0, 1.1, 0))
plot(mylm, las = 1, sub='Residual Diagnostics')
par(opar)
dev.off()
if (n > n25) {
bitmap(file='test9.png')
plot(kp3:nmkm3,gqarr[,2], main='Goldfeld-Quandt test',ylab='2-sided p-value',xlab='breakpoint')
grid()
dev.off()
}
load(file='createtable')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
myeq <- colnames(x)[1]
myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t] = ', sep='')
for (i in 1:k){
if (mysum$coefficients[i,1] > 0) myeq <- paste(myeq, '+', '')
myeq <- paste(myeq, mysum$coefficients[i,1], sep=' ')
if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != '(Intercept)') {
myeq <- paste(myeq, rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i], sep='')
if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != 't') myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t]', sep='')
}
}
myeq <- paste(myeq, ' + e[t]')
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, myeq)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable1.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,hyperlink('http://www.xycoon.com/ols1.htm','Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares',''), 6, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Variable',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Parameter',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'S.D.',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'T-STAT<br />H0: parameter = 0',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'2-tail p-value',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'1-tail p-value',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:k){
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i],header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,mysum$coefficients[i,1])
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,2],6))
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,3],4))
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,4],6))
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,4]/2,6))
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable2.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics', 2, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple R',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, sqrt(mysum$r.squared))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'R-squared',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$r.squared)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Adjusted R-squared',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$adj.r.squared)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (value)',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[1])
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF numerator)',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[2])
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF denominator)',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[3])
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'p-value',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 1-pf(mysum$fstatistic[1],mysum$fstatistic[2],mysum$fstatistic[3]))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics', 2, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Residual Standard Deviation',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$sigma)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Sum Squared Residuals',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, sum(myerror*myerror))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable3.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals', 4, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Time or Index', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 'Actuals', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 'Interpolation<br />Forecast', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 'Residuals<br />Prediction Error', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:n) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,i, 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,x[i])
a<-table.element(a,x[i]-mysum$resid[i])
a<-table.element(a,mysum$resid[i])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable4.tab')
if (n > n25) {
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'p-values',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Alternative Hypothesis',3,header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'breakpoint index',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'greater',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'2-sided',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'less',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,mypoint,header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,1])
a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2])
a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,3])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable5.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Description',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'# significant tests',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'% significant tests',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'OK/NOK',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'1% type I error level',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant1)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant1/numgqtests)
if (numsignificant1/numgqtests < 0.01) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK'
a<-table.element(a,dum)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'5% type I error level',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant5)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant5/numgqtests)
if (numsignificant5/numgqtests < 0.05) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK'
a<-table.element(a,dum)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'10% type I error level',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant10)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant10/numgqtests)
if (numsignificant10/numgqtests < 0.1) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK'
a<-table.element(a,dum)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable6.tab')
}
 





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