<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<oai_dc:dc xmlns:oai_dc="http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/oai_dc/" xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xsi:schemaLocation="http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/oai_dc/ http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/oai_dc.xsd">
  <dc:title>Improved Prediction Intervals for ARIMA Processes and Structural
Time Series</dc:title>
  <dc:title>R package tsPI version 1.0.4</dc:title>
  <dc:subject>CRAN Task View: TimeSeries (https://CRAN.R-project.org/view=TimeSeries)</dc:subject>
  <dc:description>Prediction intervals for ARIMA and structural time series
    models using importance sampling approach with uninformative priors for model
    parameters, leading to more accurate coverage probabilities in frequentist
    sense. Instead of sampling the future observations and hidden states of the
    state space representation of the model, only model parameters are sampled,
    and the method is based solving the equations corresponding to the conditional
    coverage probability of the prediction intervals. This makes method relatively
    fast compared to for example MCMC methods, and standard errors of prediction
    limits can also be computed straightforwardly.</dc:description>
  <dc:type>Software</dc:type>
  <dc:relation>Imports: KFAS</dc:relation>
  <dc:relation>Suggests: testthat</dc:relation>
  <dc:creator>Jouni Helske &lt;jouni.helske@iki.fi&gt;</dc:creator>
  <dc:publisher>Comprehensive R Archive Network (CRAN)</dc:publisher>
  <dc:contributor>Jouni Helske</dc:contributor>
  <dc:rights>GPL-3</dc:rights>
  <dc:date>2023-09-04</dc:date>
  <dc:format>application/tgz</dc:format>
  <dc:identifier>https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=tsPI</dc:identifier>
  <dc:identifier>doi:10.32614/CRAN.package.tsPI</dc:identifier>
</oai_dc:dc>
