Provides tools for interpretable conditional forecasting and scenario analysis in reduced-form vector autoregressive (VAR) models. 
    Implements a Kalman smoothing framework to generate forecasts under 
    path restrictions on selected variables. The package enables decomposition 
    of conditional forecasts into variable-specific contributions, and extraction 
    of observation weights. It also computes measures of overall and marginal variable importance to enhance 
    the economic interpretation of forecast revisions. The framework is 
    structurally agnostic and suited for policy analysis, stress testing, 
    and macro-financial applications. The methodology is described in more detail in
    Caspi and Ginker (2026) <doi:10.13140/RG.2.2.25225.51040>.

Performs forward model selection, using the C-index/concordance
  in survival analysis models.

Estimate the severity of a disease and ascertainment of
    cases, as discussed in Nishiura et al. (2009)
    <doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0006852>.

Developed as a collaboration between Earth lab and the North Central Climate Adaptation Science Center to help users gain insights from available climate data. Includes tools and instructions for downloading climate data via a 'USGS' API and then organizing those data for visualization and analysis that drive insight. Web interface for 'USGS' API can be found at <http://thredds.northwestknowledge.net:8080/thredds/reacch_climate_CMIP5_aggregated_macav2_catalog.html>.

Support for all calendars as specified in the Climate and Forecast 
    (CF) Metadata Conventions for climate and forecasting data. The CF Metadata 
    Conventions is widely used for distributing files with climate observations 
    or projections, including the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) 
    data used by climate change scientists and the Intergovernmental Panel on
    Climate Change (IPCC). This package specifically allows the user to work 
    with any of the CF-compliant calendars (many of which are not compliant with 
    POSIXt). The CF time coordinate is formally defined in the CF Metadata 
    Conventions document available at <https://cf-convention.github.io/Data/cf-conventions/cf-conventions-1.13/cf-conventions.html#time-coordinate>.