Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 20 | NA | NA | 5.2296 | NA |
2 | 23 | NA | NA | 4.50564 | NA |
3 | 27 | NA | NA | 2.93793 | NA |
4 | 23 | NA | NA | -0.046441 | NA |
5 | 21 | NA | NA | -2.42144 | NA |
6 | 18 | NA | NA | 0.255642 | NA |
7 | 16 | 13.2088 | 16.125 | -2.91623 | 2.79123 |
8 | 11 | 13.0213 | 15.25 | -2.22873 | -2.02127 |
9 | 14 | 11.5525 | 14.0833 | -2.53082 | 2.44748 |
10 | -3 | 7.71918 | 12.5833 | -4.86415 | -10.7192 |
11 | 2 | 10.6515 | 11.2083 | -0.556858 | -8.65148 |
12 | 26 | 12.8859 | 10.25 | 2.63585 | 13.1141 |
13 | 11 | 14.6879 | 9.45833 | 5.2296 | -3.68793 |
14 | 11 | 13.2556 | 8.75 | 4.50564 | -2.25564 |
15 | 11 | 10.9379 | 8 | 2.93793 | 0.062066 |
16 | 3 | 7.37023 | 7.41667 | -0.046441 | -4.37023 |
17 | 8 | 4.74523 | 7.16667 | -2.42144 | 3.25477 |
18 | 8 | 6.04731 | 5.79167 | 0.255642 | 1.95269 |
19 | 7 | 1.33377 | 4.25 | -2.91623 | 5.66623 |
20 | 3 | 1.27127 | 3.5 | -2.22873 | 1.72873 |
21 | 4 | -0.155816 | 2.375 | -2.53082 | 4.15582 |
22 | -7 | -3.07248 | 1.79167 | -4.86415 | -3.92752 |
23 | 0 | 1.23481 | 1.79167 | -0.556858 | -1.23481 |
24 | -5 | 4.30252 | 1.66667 | 2.63585 | -9.30252 |
25 | 5 | 7.06293 | 1.83333 | 5.2296 | -2.06293 |
26 | -1 | 7.29731 | 2.79167 | 4.50564 | -8.29731 |
27 | -4 | 7.14627 | 4.20833 | 2.93793 | -11.1463 |
28 | 4 | 6.70356 | 6.75 | -0.046441 | -2.70356 |
29 | 7 | 8.32856 | 10.75 | -2.42144 | -1.32856 |
30 | 6 | 15.839 | 15.5833 | 0.255642 | -9.83898 |
31 | 13 | 17.8754 | 20.7917 | -2.91623 | -4.87543 |
32 | 20 | 24.1879 | 26.4167 | -2.22873 | -4.18793 |
33 | 21 | 30.0942 | 32.625 | -2.53082 | -9.09418 |
34 | 37 | 33.5942 | 38.4583 | -4.86415 | 3.40582 |
35 | 52 | 42.9431 | 43.5 | -0.556858 | 9.05686 |
36 | 59 | 51.0525 | 48.4167 | 2.63585 | 7.94748 |
37 | 66 | 58.1046 | 52.875 | 5.2296 | 7.8954 |
38 | 73 | 60.5056 | 56 | 4.50564 | 12.4944 |
39 | 71 | 61.3963 | 58.4583 | 2.93793 | 9.60373 |
40 | 69 | 60.1619 | 60.2083 | -0.046441 | 8.83811 |
41 | 63 | 58.1202 | 60.5417 | -2.42144 | 4.87977 |
42 | 68 | 60.6306 | 60.375 | 0.255642 | 7.36936 |
43 | 58 | 57.3338 | 60.25 | -2.91623 | 0.666233 |
44 | 50 | 57.4379 | 59.6667 | -2.22873 | -7.43793 |
45 | 50 | 56.0942 | 58.625 | -2.53082 | -6.09418 |
46 | 50 | 51.8442 | 56.7083 | -4.86415 | -1.84418 |
47 | 47 | 54.1098 | 54.6667 | -0.556858 | -7.10981 |
48 | 60 | 55.3442 | 52.7083 | 2.63585 | 4.65582 |
49 | 62 | 55.3963 | 50.1667 | 5.2296 | 6.60373 |
50 | 63 | 52.2973 | 47.7917 | 4.50564 | 10.7027 |
51 | 56 | 48.3963 | 45.4583 | 2.93793 | 7.60373 |
52 | 38 | 42.6202 | 42.6667 | -0.046441 | -4.62023 |
53 | 45 | 37.0369 | 39.4583 | -2.42144 | 7.96311 |
54 | 39 | 35.6723 | 35.4167 | 0.255642 | 3.32769 |
55 | 26 | 27.7921 | 30.7083 | -2.91623 | -1.7921 |
56 | 25 | 23.3546 | 25.5833 | -2.22873 | 1.6454 |
57 | 19 | 17.7609 | 20.2917 | -2.53082 | 1.23915 |
58 | 14 | 11.3025 | 16.1667 | -4.86415 | 2.69748 |
59 | 6 | 11.9015 | 12.4583 | -0.556858 | -5.90148 |
60 | 4 | 11.5109 | 8.875 | 2.63585 | -7.51085 |
61 | 5 | 11.4379 | 6.20833 | 5.2296 | -6.43793 |
62 | -3 | 9.04731 | 4.54167 | 4.50564 | -12.0473 |
63 | -5 | 6.89627 | 3.95833 | 2.93793 | -11.8963 |
64 | 0 | 3.91189 | 3.95833 | -0.046441 | -3.91189 |
65 | -6 | 2.45356 | 4.875 | -2.42144 | -8.45356 |
66 | 4 | 6.79731 | 6.54167 | 0.255642 | -2.79731 |
67 | -3 | 5.5421 | 8.45833 | -2.91623 | -8.5421 |
68 | 14 | 9.52127 | 11.75 | -2.22873 | 4.47873 |
69 | 16 | 12.9692 | 15.5 | -2.53082 | 3.03082 |
70 | 17 | 13.4275 | 18.2917 | -4.86415 | 3.57248 |
71 | 25 | 20.3181 | 20.875 | -0.556858 | 4.68186 |
72 | 25 | 26.0942 | 23.4583 | 2.63585 | -1.09418 |
73 | 30 | 31.7296 | 26.5 | 5.2296 | -1.7296 |
74 | 51 | 34.1723 | 29.6667 | 4.50564 | 16.8277 |
75 | 31 | 35.0629 | 32.125 | 2.93793 | -4.06293 |
76 | 31 | 34.3702 | 34.4167 | -0.046441 | -3.37023 |
77 | 25 | 34.7452 | 37.1667 | -2.42144 | -9.74523 |
78 | 35 | 40.1723 | 39.9167 | 0.255642 | -5.17231 |
79 | 39 | 39.6254 | 42.5417 | -2.91623 | -0.625434 |
80 | 48 | 41.4379 | 43.6667 | -2.22873 | 6.56207 |
81 | 41 | 42.1775 | 44.7083 | -2.53082 | -1.17752 |
82 | 47 | 42.1359 | 47 | -4.86415 | 4.86415 |
83 | 61 | 48.4848 | 49.0417 | -0.556858 | 12.5152 |
84 | 55 | 53.4275 | 50.7917 | 2.63585 | 1.57248 |
85 | 63 | 56.9796 | 51.75 | 5.2296 | 6.0204 |
86 | 45 | 56.0056 | 51.5 | 4.50564 | -11.0056 |
87 | 62 | 53.8963 | 50.9583 | 2.93793 | 8.10373 |
88 | 55 | 50.2452 | 50.2917 | -0.046441 | 4.75477 |
89 | 50 | 45.9119 | 48.3333 | -2.42144 | 4.08811 |
90 | 52 | 45.964 | 45.7083 | 0.255642 | 6.03602 |
91 | 45 | 40.0421 | 42.9583 | -2.91623 | 4.9579 |
92 | 36 | 38.5213 | 40.75 | -2.22873 | -2.52127 |
93 | 40 | 36.2609 | 38.7917 | -2.53082 | 3.73915 |
94 | 32 | 31.8025 | 36.6667 | -4.86415 | 0.197483 |
95 | 29 | 34.1098 | 34.6667 | -0.556858 | -5.10981 |
96 | 24 | 35.1359 | 32.5 | 2.63585 | -11.1359 |
97 | 28 | 36.3546 | 31.125 | 5.2296 | -8.3546 |
98 | 27 | 35.1723 | 30.6667 | 4.50564 | -8.17231 |
99 | 33 | 33.0213 | 30.0833 | 2.93793 | -0.0212674 |
100 | 33 | 29.3702 | 29.4167 | -0.046441 | 3.62977 |
101 | 24 | 26.4119 | 28.8333 | -2.42144 | -2.41189 |
102 | 26 | 28.6306 | 28.375 | 0.255642 | -2.63064 |
103 | 38 | NA | NA | -2.91623 | NA |
104 | 32 | NA | NA | -2.22873 | NA |
105 | 30 | NA | NA | -2.53082 | NA |
106 | 26 | NA | NA | -4.86415 | NA |
107 | 21 | NA | NA | -0.556858 | NA |
108 | 21 | NA | NA | 2.63585 | NA |