Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 507 | NA | NA | 114.174 | NA |
2 | 233 | NA | NA | 24.1117 | NA |
3 | 346 | NA | NA | 37.2436 | NA |
4 | 159 | NA | NA | -45.5411 | NA |
5 | 225 | NA | NA | -40.9925 | NA |
6 | 146 | NA | NA | -79.9716 | NA |
7 | 253 | 192.327 | 262.125 | -69.798 | 60.673 |
8 | 169 | 184.528 | 269.458 | -84.93 | -15.5284 |
9 | 246 | 240.299 | 278.833 | -38.5341 | 5.70081 |
10 | 129 | 288.139 | 286.833 | 1.30613 | -159.139 |
11 | 318 | 349.723 | 288.25 | 61.4728 | -31.7228 |
12 | 378 | 409.667 | 288.208 | 121.459 | -31.6672 |
13 | 580 | 402.049 | 287.875 | 114.174 | 177.951 |
14 | 336 | 314.403 | 290.292 | 24.1117 | 21.5966 |
15 | 468 | 331.035 | 293.792 | 37.2436 | 136.965 |
16 | 229 | 255.459 | 301 | -45.5411 | -26.4589 |
17 | 189 | 270.383 | 311.375 | -40.9925 | -81.3825 |
18 | 181 | 229.57 | 309.542 | -79.9716 | -48.57 |
19 | 210 | 226.494 | 296.292 | -69.798 | -16.4936 |
20 | 270 | 199.612 | 284.542 | -84.93 | 70.3883 |
21 | 229 | 239.424 | 277.958 | -38.5341 | -10.4242 |
22 | 319 | 274.014 | 272.708 | 1.30613 | 44.9855 |
23 | 377 | 338.889 | 277.417 | 61.4728 | 38.1105 |
24 | 275 | 406.334 | 284.875 | 121.459 | -131.334 |
25 | 365 | 403.174 | 289 | 114.174 | -38.1742 |
26 | 269 | 312.903 | 288.792 | 24.1117 | -43.9034 |
27 | 377 | 326.16 | 288.917 | 37.2436 | 50.8397 |
28 | 194 | 247.542 | 293.083 | -45.5411 | -53.5422 |
29 | 337 | 261.883 | 302.875 | -40.9925 | 75.1175 |
30 | 212 | 236.153 | 316.125 | -79.9716 | -24.1534 |
31 | 278 | 246.66 | 316.458 | -69.798 | 31.3397 |
32 | 197 | 228.903 | 313.833 | -84.93 | -31.9034 |
33 | 305 | 275.466 | 314 | -38.5341 | 29.5341 |
34 | 343 | 316.264 | 314.958 | 1.30613 | 26.7355 |
35 | 588 | 375.223 | 313.75 | 61.4728 | 212.777 |
36 | 382 | 429.834 | 308.375 | 121.459 | -47.8339 |
37 | 266 | 415.299 | 301.125 | 114.174 | -149.299 |
38 | 305 | 323.57 | 299.458 | 24.1117 | -18.57 |
39 | 345 | 338.535 | 301.292 | 37.2436 | 6.4647 |
40 | 249 | 255.209 | 300.75 | -45.5411 | -6.20891 |
41 | 253 | 250.716 | 291.708 | -40.9925 | 2.28414 |
42 | 167 | 198.862 | 278.833 | -79.9716 | -31.8617 |
43 | 149 | 211.952 | 281.75 | -69.798 | -62.952 |
44 | 286 | 207.07 | 292 | -84.93 | 78.93 |
45 | 260 | 254.508 | 293.042 | -38.5341 | 5.49248 |
46 | 375 | 291.806 | 290.5 | 1.30613 | 83.1939 |
47 | 339 | 357.139 | 295.667 | 61.4728 | -18.1395 |
48 | 322 | 425.084 | 303.625 | 121.459 | -103.084 |
49 | 396 | 429.133 | 314.958 | 114.174 | -33.1325 |
50 | 421 | 344.57 | 320.458 | 24.1117 | 76.43 |
51 | 254 | 358.577 | 321.333 | 37.2436 | -104.577 |
52 | 279 | 280.334 | 325.875 | -45.5411 | -1.33391 |
53 | 347 | 284.924 | 325.917 | -40.9925 | 62.0758 |
54 | 264 | 261.153 | 341.125 | -79.9716 | 2.84664 |
55 | 324 | 295.869 | 365.667 | -69.798 | 28.1314 |
56 | 243 | 286.987 | 371.917 | -84.93 | -43.9867 |
57 | 324 | 331.091 | 369.625 | -38.5341 | -7.09086 |
58 | 420 | 372.723 | 371.417 | 1.30613 | 47.2772 |
59 | 295 | 432.181 | 370.708 | 61.4728 | -137.181 |
60 | 731 | 490.834 | 369.375 | 121.459 | 240.166 |
61 | 576 | 482.633 | 368.458 | 114.174 | 93.3675 |
62 | 391 | 388.112 | 364 | 24.1117 | 2.88831 |
63 | 229 | 399.035 | 361.792 | 37.2436 | -170.035 |
64 | 347 | 311.917 | 357.458 | -45.5411 | 35.0828 |
65 | 262 | 316.674 | 357.667 | -40.9925 | -54.6742 |
66 | 317 | 275.403 | 355.375 | -79.9716 | 41.5966 |
67 | 249 | 274.619 | 344.417 | -69.798 | -25.6186 |
68 | 211 | 253.82 | 338.75 | -84.93 | -42.82 |
69 | 303 | 311.133 | 349.667 | -38.5341 | -8.13252 |
70 | 337 | 364.973 | 363.667 | 1.30613 | -27.9728 |
71 | 383 | 431.764 | 370.292 | 61.4728 | -48.7645 |
72 | 588 | 499.167 | 377.708 | 121.459 | 88.8328 |
73 | 456 | 491.633 | 377.458 | 114.174 | -35.6325 |
74 | 375 | 398.362 | 374.25 | 24.1117 | -23.3617 |
75 | 507 | 411.577 | 374.333 | 37.2436 | 95.423 |
76 | 405 | 337.459 | 383 | -45.5411 | 67.5411 |
77 | 363 | 351.341 | 392.333 | -40.9925 | 11.6591 |
78 | 394 | 318.778 | 398.75 | -79.9716 | 75.2216 |
79 | 166 | NA | NA | -69.798 | NA |
80 | 217 | NA | NA | -84.93 | NA |
81 | 299 | NA | NA | -38.5341 | NA |
82 | 549 | NA | NA | 1.30613 | NA |
83 | 395 | NA | NA | 61.4728 | NA |
84 | 730 | NA | NA | 121.459 | NA |