Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 498.1 | NA | NA | 0.998847 | NA |
2 | 498.76 | NA | NA | 1.00545 | NA |
3 | 498.88 | NA | NA | 1.00558 | NA |
4 | 498.88 | NA | NA | 1.0037 | NA |
5 | 498.88 | NA | NA | 1.00238 | NA |
6 | 498.88 | NA | NA | 1.00056 | NA |
7 | 499.48 | 500.15 | 500.64 | 0.999022 | 0.998661 |
8 | 501.21 | 501.392 | 501.757 | 0.999271 | 0.999638 |
9 | 502.05 | 502.629 | 503.41 | 0.998448 | 0.998848 |
10 | 502.05 | 503.784 | 505.217 | 0.997165 | 0.996557 |
11 | 502.05 | 504.7 | 507.033 | 0.995398 | 0.994749 |
12 | 504.1 | 505.886 | 508.85 | 0.994175 | 0.996469 |
13 | 506.81 | 510.067 | 510.656 | 0.998847 | 0.993614 |
14 | 516.88 | 515.18 | 512.389 | 1.00545 | 1.0033 |
15 | 520.43 | 516.893 | 514.024 | 1.00558 | 1.00684 |
16 | 520.68 | 517.533 | 515.624 | 1.0037 | 1.00608 |
17 | 520.68 | 518.474 | 517.241 | 1.00238 | 1.00425 |
18 | 520.68 | 519.079 | 518.789 | 1.00056 | 1.00308 |
19 | 521.03 | 519.676 | 520.185 | 0.999022 | 1.00261 |
20 | 521.25 | 520.547 | 520.927 | 0.999271 | 1.00135 |
21 | 521.25 | 520.146 | 520.955 | 0.998448 | 1.00212 |
22 | 521.25 | 519.376 | 520.852 | 0.997165 | 1.00361 |
23 | 521.65 | 518.427 | 520.824 | 0.995398 | 1.00622 |
24 | 521.65 | 517.841 | 520.875 | 0.994175 | 1.00736 |
25 | 522.77 | 520.31 | 520.911 | 0.998847 | 1.00473 |
26 | 518.72 | 523.852 | 521.014 | 1.00545 | 0.990203 |
27 | 519.27 | 524.125 | 521.215 | 1.00558 | 0.990738 |
28 | 519.38 | 523.375 | 521.445 | 1.0037 | 0.992368 |
29 | 521.29 | 522.913 | 521.669 | 1.00238 | 0.996897 |
30 | 521.29 | 522.168 | 521.876 | 1.00056 | 0.998318 |
31 | 521.29 | 521.962 | 522.473 | 0.999022 | 0.998713 |
32 | 523.47 | 523.262 | 523.644 | 0.999271 | 1.0004 |
33 | 523.86 | 524.178 | 524.993 | 0.998448 | 0.999393 |
34 | 524.14 | 524.84 | 526.332 | 0.997165 | 0.998667 |
35 | 524.14 | 525.159 | 527.587 | 0.995398 | 0.99806 |
36 | 524.14 | 525.682 | 528.762 | 0.994175 | 0.997067 |
37 | 534.6 | 529.326 | 529.937 | 0.998847 | 1.00996 |
38 | 534.99 | 533.924 | 531.031 | 1.00545 | 1.002 |
39 | 535.39 | 535.017 | 532.048 | 1.00558 | 1.0007 |
40 | 535.39 | 535.099 | 533.126 | 1.0037 | 1.00054 |
41 | 535.39 | 535.538 | 534.264 | 1.00238 | 0.999723 |
42 | 535.39 | 535.702 | 535.402 | 1.00056 | 0.999417 |
43 | 535.39 | 535.583 | 536.107 | 0.999022 | 0.99964 |
44 | 535.64 | 536.243 | 536.634 | 0.999271 | 0.998876 |
45 | 536.08 | 536.598 | 537.432 | 0.998448 | 0.999034 |
46 | 537.8 | 536.699 | 538.225 | 0.997165 | 1.00205 |
47 | 537.8 | 536.516 | 538.997 | 0.995398 | 1.00239 |
48 | 537.8 | 536.624 | 539.768 | 0.994175 | 1.00219 |
49 | 537.85 | 539.962 | 540.585 | 0.998847 | 0.996089 |
50 | 544.39 | 544.52 | 541.57 | 1.00545 | 0.999761 |
51 | 545.15 | 545.773 | 542.743 | 1.00558 | 0.998859 |
52 | 544.65 | 545.935 | 543.922 | 1.0037 | 0.997646 |
53 | 544.65 | 546.34 | 545.04 | 1.00238 | 0.996907 |
54 | 544.65 | 546.464 | 546.158 | 1.00056 | 0.99668 |
55 | 545.73 | 546.818 | 547.354 | 0.999022 | 0.99801 |
56 | 548.94 | 548.464 | 548.864 | 0.999271 | 1.00087 |
57 | 550.94 | 549.783 | 550.637 | 0.998448 | 1.0021 |
58 | 551.22 | 550.89 | 552.457 | 0.997165 | 1.0006 |
59 | 551.22 | 551.748 | 554.299 | 0.995398 | 0.999043 |
60 | 551.22 | 552.904 | 556.143 | 0.994175 | 0.996955 |
61 | 553.12 | 557.299 | 557.942 | 0.998847 | 0.992502 |
62 | 565.37 | 562.61 | 559.562 | 1.00545 | 1.0049 |
63 | 566.73 | 564.103 | 560.972 | 1.00558 | 1.00466 |
64 | 566.73 | 564.374 | 562.293 | 1.0037 | 1.00417 |
65 | 566.78 | 564.946 | 563.602 | 1.00238 | 1.00325 |
66 | 566.78 | 565.228 | 564.911 | 1.00056 | 1.00275 |
67 | 566.78 | 565.898 | 566.452 | 0.999022 | 1.00156 |
68 | 566.78 | 567.3 | 567.714 | 0.999271 | 0.999084 |
69 | 566.93 | 567.527 | 568.41 | 0.998448 | 0.998948 |
70 | 566.93 | 567.435 | 569.049 | 0.997165 | 0.999109 |
71 | 566.93 | 567.064 | 569.686 | 0.995398 | 0.999763 |
72 | 566.93 | 566.999 | 570.321 | 0.994175 | 0.999878 |
73 | 574.38 | 570.302 | 570.96 | 0.998847 | 1.00715 |
74 | 574.4 | 574.717 | 571.603 | 1.00545 | 0.999449 |
75 | 574.4 | 575.441 | 572.248 | 1.00558 | 0.99819 |
76 | 574.4 | 575.013 | 572.892 | 1.0037 | 0.998935 |
77 | 574.4 | 574.904 | 573.536 | 1.00238 | 0.999123 |
78 | 574.4 | 574.514 | 574.192 | 1.00056 | 0.999802 |
79 | 574.5 | 574.035 | 574.598 | 0.999022 | 1.00081 |
80 | 574.5 | 574.624 | 575.043 | 0.999271 | 0.999784 |
81 | 574.67 | 574.93 | 575.824 | 0.998448 | 0.999548 |
82 | 574.66 | 575.001 | 576.636 | 0.997165 | 0.999406 |
83 | 574.66 | 574.791 | 577.449 | 0.995398 | 0.999772 |
84 | 574.94 | 574.893 | 578.261 | 0.994175 | 1.00008 |
85 | 576.1 | 578.443 | 579.111 | 0.998847 | 0.995949 |
86 | 583.38 | 583.157 | 579.998 | 1.00545 | 1.00038 |
87 | 584.15 | 584.141 | 580.899 | 1.00558 | 1.00001 |
88 | 584.15 | 584.004 | 581.85 | 1.0037 | 1.00025 |
89 | 584.15 | 584.239 | 582.85 | 1.00238 | 0.999847 |
90 | 584.15 | 584.179 | 583.852 | 1.00056 | 0.99995 |
91 | 585.14 | NA | NA | 0.999022 | NA |
92 | 585.14 | NA | NA | 0.999271 | NA |
93 | 585.67 | NA | NA | 0.998448 | NA |
94 | 586.49 | NA | NA | 0.997165 | NA |
95 | 586.81 | NA | NA | 0.995398 | NA |
96 | 586.85 | NA | NA | 0.994175 | NA |