Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 299.81 | NA | NA | 0.863309 | NA |
2 | 299.01 | NA | NA | -0.999846 | NA |
3 | 296.82 | NA | NA | -2.12562 | NA |
4 | 296.67 | NA | NA | -1.62877 | NA |
5 | 296.95 | NA | NA | -0.916989 | NA |
6 | 296.8 | NA | NA | 0.252059 | NA |
7 | 296.8 | 296.073 | 294.092 | 1.98015 | 0.727346 |
8 | 295.93 | 294.257 | 292.587 | 1.66992 | 1.673 |
9 | 293.77 | 291.988 | 290.737 | 1.25134 | 1.78199 |
10 | 291.02 | 288.994 | 288.65 | 0.34313 | 2.02645 |
11 | 288.61 | 286.069 | 286.354 | -0.284668 | 2.54092 |
12 | 284.55 | 283.523 | 283.927 | -0.404013 | 1.02693 |
13 | 284.55 | 282.32 | 281.456 | 0.863309 | 2.23044 |
14 | 278.14 | 277.952 | 278.952 | -0.999846 | 0.18818 |
15 | 273.28 | 274.223 | 276.348 | -2.12562 | -0.942713 |
16 | 270.14 | 271.947 | 273.576 | -1.62877 | -1.80748 |
17 | 268.36 | 269.737 | 270.654 | -0.916989 | -1.37676 |
18 | 267.15 | 268.03 | 267.778 | 0.252059 | -0.880392 |
19 | 267.15 | 266.977 | 264.997 | 1.98015 | 0.17318 |
20 | 265.47 | 263.864 | 262.195 | 1.66992 | 1.6055 |
21 | 261.75 | 260.671 | 259.419 | 1.25134 | 1.07949 |
22 | 256.51 | 257.097 | 256.754 | 0.34313 | -0.587297 |
23 | 252.98 | 253.882 | 254.166 | -0.284668 | -0.901582 |
24 | 251.17 | 251.173 | 251.577 | -0.404013 | -0.0034871 |
25 | 251.17 | 249.837 | 248.974 | 0.863309 | 1.33252 |
26 | 244.27 | 245.253 | 246.253 | -0.999846 | -0.983487 |
27 | 240.54 | 241.175 | 243.3 | -2.12562 | -0.634797 |
28 | 238.92 | 238.708 | 240.337 | -1.62877 | 0.212108 |
29 | 237.47 | 236.576 | 237.493 | -0.916989 | 0.893656 |
30 | 235.91 | 234.943 | 234.691 | 0.252059 | 0.967108 |
31 | 235.91 | 233.893 | 231.912 | 1.98015 | 2.01735 |
32 | 231.41 | 231.052 | 229.382 | 1.66992 | 0.357584 |
33 | 224.94 | 228.381 | 227.129 | 1.25134 | -3.44051 |
34 | 222.19 | 225.276 | 224.932 | 0.34313 | -3.08563 |
35 | 219.06 | 222.585 | 222.87 | -0.284668 | -3.52492 |
36 | 217.83 | 220.628 | 221.033 | -0.404013 | -2.79849 |
37 | 217.83 | 220.179 | 219.316 | 0.863309 | -2.34914 |
38 | 216.89 | 216.736 | 217.736 | -0.999846 | 0.154013 |
39 | 213.84 | 214.421 | 216.546 | -2.12562 | -0.58063 |
40 | 212.9 | 214.006 | 215.635 | -1.62877 | -1.10581 |
41 | 213.98 | 213.871 | 214.788 | -0.916989 | 0.108656 |
42 | 215.31 | 214.2 | 213.948 | 0.252059 | 1.10961 |
43 | 215.31 | 215.053 | 213.073 | 1.98015 | 0.256513 |
44 | 214.09 | 213.717 | 212.047 | 1.66992 | 0.373418 |
45 | 213.71 | 212.143 | 210.892 | 1.25134 | 1.56699 |
46 | 211.54 | 210.089 | 209.746 | 0.34313 | 1.45062 |
47 | 209.4 | 208.25 | 208.535 | -0.284668 | 1.14967 |
48 | 207.33 | 206.796 | 207.2 | -0.404013 | 0.534013 |
49 | 207.33 | 206.657 | 205.793 | 0.863309 | 0.673358 |
50 | 202.75 | 203.323 | 204.323 | -0.999846 | -0.57307 |
51 | 200.26 | 200.669 | 202.795 | -2.12562 | -0.40938 |
52 | 198.99 | 199.66 | 201.289 | -1.62877 | -0.669975 |
53 | 198.82 | 198.876 | 199.792 | -0.916989 | -0.0555109 |
54 | 198.43 | 198.56 | 198.307 | 0.252059 | -0.129559 |
55 | 198.43 | 198.819 | 196.839 | 1.98015 | -0.38932 |
56 | 195.68 | 197.056 | 195.386 | 1.66992 | -1.37575 |
57 | 195.45 | 195.199 | 193.948 | 1.25134 | 0.250739 |
58 | 193.65 | 192.88 | 192.537 | 0.34313 | 0.769787 |
59 | 191.38 | 190.843 | 191.128 | -0.284668 | 0.537168 |
60 | 189.71 | 189.327 | 189.731 | -0.404013 | 0.38318 |
61 | 189.71 | 189.236 | 188.372 | 0.863309 | 0.474191 |
62 | 185.49 | 186.074 | 187.074 | -0.999846 | -0.583904 |
63 | 183.01 | 183.695 | 185.821 | -2.12562 | -0.685213 |
64 | 182.38 | 182.983 | 184.612 | -1.62877 | -0.603309 |
65 | 181.6 | 182.583 | 183.5 | -0.916989 | -0.983011 |
66 | 182.13 | 182.732 | 182.48 | 0.252059 | -0.602059 |
67 | 182.13 | 183.493 | 181.513 | 1.98015 | -1.36349 |
68 | 180.81 | 182.392 | 180.722 | 1.66992 | -1.582 |
69 | 180.25 | 181.437 | 180.185 | 1.25134 | -1.18676 |
70 | 179.84 | 180.09 | 179.747 | 0.34313 | -0.249797 |
71 | 178.5 | 178.999 | 179.284 | -0.284668 | -0.499082 |
72 | 178.11 | 178.372 | 178.776 | -0.404013 | -0.26182 |
73 | 178.11 | 179.126 | 178.263 | 0.863309 | -1.01623 |
74 | 178.1 | 176.783 | 177.782 | -0.999846 | 1.31735 |
75 | 177.52 | 175.236 | 177.361 | -2.12562 | 2.28437 |
76 | 177.34 | 175.28 | 176.909 | -1.62877 | 2.05961 |
77 | 175.53 | 175.541 | 176.458 | -0.916989 | -0.0105109 |
78 | 176.01 | 176.325 | 176.073 | 0.252059 | -0.315392 |
79 | 175.94 | 177.613 | 175.633 | 1.98015 | -1.67307 |
80 | 175.47 | 176.773 | 175.103 | 1.66992 | -1.30325 |
81 | 175.48 | 175.783 | 174.532 | 1.25134 | -0.303428 |
82 | 173.76 | 174.336 | 173.992 | 0.34313 | -0.57563 |
83 | 173.74 | 173.294 | 173.578 | -0.284668 | 0.446334 |
84 | 173.65 | 172.782 | 173.186 | -0.404013 | 0.86818 |
85 | 172 | 173.597 | 172.733 | 0.863309 | -1.59664 |
86 | 171.5 | 171.271 | 172.27 | -0.999846 | 0.22943 |
87 | 170.41 | 169.693 | 171.819 | -2.12562 | 0.71687 |
88 | 171.5 | 169.837 | 171.465 | -1.62877 | 1.66336 |
89 | 171.43 | 170.258 | 171.175 | -0.916989 | 1.17199 |
90 | 170.69 | 171.091 | 170.839 | 0.252059 | -0.400809 |
91 | 170.4 | NA | NA | 1.98015 | NA |
92 | 169.9 | NA | NA | 1.66992 | NA |
93 | 170.21 | NA | NA | 1.25134 | NA |
94 | 170.55 | NA | NA | 0.34313 | NA |
95 | 169.98 | NA | NA | -0.284668 | NA |
96 | 169.34 | NA | NA | -0.404013 | NA |