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Author's title

Author*The author of this computation has been verified*
R Software Modulerwasp_structuraltimeseries.wasp
Title produced by softwareStructural Time Series Models
Date of computationWed, 21 Jan 2015 09:14:58 +0000
Cite this page as followsStatistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?v=date/2015/Jan/21/t1421831719u72e8gsrus6ydtk.htm/, Retrieved Tue, 14 May 2024 18:38:52 +0000
Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=276023, Retrieved Tue, 14 May 2024 18:38:52 +0000
QR Codes:

Original text written by user:
IsPrivate?No (this computation is public)
User-defined keywords
Estimated Impact63
Family? (F = Feedback message, R = changed R code, M = changed R Module, P = changed Parameters, D = changed Data)
-       [Structural Time Series Models] [Vraag5a] [2015-01-21 09:14:58] [4d754bf6e19324217bcb21f53e4ec277] [Current]
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Dataseries X:
67
72
74
62
56
66
65
59
61
69
74
69
66
68
58
64
66
57
68
62
59
73
61
61
57
58
57
67
81
79
76
78
74
67
84
85
79
82
87
90
87
93
92
82
80
79
77
72
65
73
76
77
76
76
76
75
78
73
80
77
83
84
85
81
84
83
83
88
92
92
89
82
73
81
91
80
81
82
84
87
85
74
81
82
86
85
82
86
88
86
83
81
81
81
82
86
85
87
89
90
90
92
86
86
82
80
79
77
79
76
78
78
77
72
75
79
81
86
88
97
94
96
94
91
92
93
93
87
84
80
78
75
73
81
76
77
71
71
78
67
76
68
82
64
71
81
69
63
70
77
75
76
68




Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time6 seconds
R Server'Gwilym Jenkins' @ jenkins.wessa.net

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Summary of computational transaction \tabularnewline
Raw Input & view raw input (R code)  \tabularnewline
Raw Output & view raw output of R engine  \tabularnewline
Computing time & 6 seconds \tabularnewline
R Server & 'Gwilym Jenkins' @ jenkins.wessa.net \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=276023&T=0

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Summary of computational transaction[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Raw Input[/C][C]view raw input (R code) [/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Raw Output[/C][C]view raw output of R engine [/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Computing time[/C][C]6 seconds[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]R Server[/C][C]'Gwilym Jenkins' @ jenkins.wessa.net[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=276023&T=0

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=276023&T=0

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time6 seconds
R Server'Gwilym Jenkins' @ jenkins.wessa.net







Structural Time Series Model
tObservedLevelSlopeSeasonalStand. Residuals
16767000
27270.61787589047840.2453481800789870.2453481809480090.725047167296225
37472.70230547838050.3083014758706560.3083014758706550.514380412819951
46265.94899280924130.164551155877870.164551155877867-2.07517233259466
55659.72198142733690.0681697738691330.0681697738691338-1.89814072763337
66663.60701918746650.1179214782596880.117921478259691.13679916329896
76564.44397600215310.1266861833119660.1266861833119650.214356148500732
85961.03039061169560.08494294244295790.0849429424429582-1.05577078594767
96160.99087974625250.08350425357934870.0835042535793487-0.0371191976684661
106965.94776785342440.1390275032908730.1390275032908731.4536030768884
117470.91819412461280.1933899487341060.1933899487341061.44112252107158
126969.67904795562610.1774574099623460.177457409962346-0.427308847556443
136669.08084102118910.235712326653087-2.59283559534614-0.29318628888886
146868.26683955965340.2023135663113660.202313567964383-0.259527963471829
155861.73719344557570.09570723888676150.0957072388867615-1.94500025818412
166463.12595543493810.1079715650489820.1079715650489810.38309815192998
176664.89032512179130.1196983531460510.1196983531460520.493335135038887
185759.94572985870190.08849389657201880.088493896572019-1.51044692209552
196864.94087612543650.1169485357189680.1169485357189681.46408504729841
206263.08033290576990.1057868164395330.105786816439533-0.59015275616978
215960.51278507821850.09090344997855150.0909034499785514-0.797864170799382
227368.26852376865040.1332100158426030.1332100158426032.28764635626085
236163.70829167651990.1074761870392540.107476187039254-1.40081975042254
246161.99488728884970.09755117336151670.0975511733615166-0.54346909434036
255760.09439547735330.169600739382856-1.86560813904001-0.675867371219569
265858.66413546098850.1362112970116310.136211302004237-0.424431147020079
275757.58318483406620.1236745556781370.123674555678138-0.355816103774606
286763.43085897735050.1590526505391380.1590526505391391.70058625296296
298174.34646565359480.2087998029523880.2087998029523883.20666748108312
307977.19589744581140.2194522158099680.2194522158099680.78792553954336
317676.39628909656790.2155752012211210.215575201221121-0.304161291742526
327877.3427750807390.2182870238635970.2182870238635980.218179022803578
337475.20522293227010.2096491677210720.209649167721072-0.703251911791177
346770.03880225877720.1900696265087870.190069626508788-1.60485843451647
358478.69462157513230.2207543467103060.2207543467103052.52720259138582
368582.57063559295630.2339495138511650.2339495138511651.09117468888908
377982.14675257858680.24955719104728-2.74512910264231-0.213848973404279
388281.97740878993930.2430525795120910.243052580407758-0.114757640337272
398785.06668237170160.2647749264041350.264774926404140.836704830670475
409088.08049320032060.2773760583801340.2773760583801330.817824080140711
418787.33794150779770.2738735586053850.273873558605386-0.304190302277821
429390.80114444498380.2834371354527810.2834371354527840.95185158225336
439291.478674200790.2845527369032490.2845527369032490.117641912893809
448285.49767327284610.2672392064069330.267239206406933-1.87049399251426
458082.00341474036730.2569576635219760.256957663521977-1.12297464002687
467980.06705141253550.2509971976071760.250997197607176-0.65481120085816
477778.09247388590030.2449724445351130.244972444535112-0.664443513951042
487274.23279073367530.2338957335889060.233895733588908-1.22544423641301
496570.64273193652280.301499153590485-3.31649068972884-1.21787184757929
507372.07305771749330.3154549158120930.3154549166683340.31498201419157
517674.45431464030240.3279774274853570.327977427485360.609271874598881
527775.96195014274960.3322745829830210.3322745829830210.351218173594776
537675.90339913722350.3312072649368760.331207264936877-0.116593422635784
547675.88168620334620.3303651414541280.33036514145413-0.105341877835165
557675.87373629195130.3296025948719670.329602594871966-0.100999793292155
567575.24722410045310.3274977644322670.327497764432267-0.28545356534207
577876.88313118837620.3303485478076680.3303485478076680.390641870095608
587374.37944133025990.3242060268368660.324206026836867-0.846144685002127
598077.80483704273740.3309052814083060.3309052814083050.925909961974673
607777.22097445457780.3289342981794310.328934298179431-0.273119072231903
618382.69653179353880.256427263216746-2.820699894628491.61873441817424
628483.45905931853870.2616248849811750.2616248845082790.142913657926496
638584.35808960021540.2648294278904060.264829427890410.188394873356552
648182.19600380469830.2574947766047090.257494776604708-0.722936593687251
658483.25770522732330.2593177510450860.2593177510450870.239957669690643
668383.03272181543060.2583581312426150.258358131242617-0.1445693247621
678382.9483361400960.2577163775913970.257716377591395-0.102327452765728
688886.03576694282580.2628932392379080.2628932392379070.844864268051462
699289.69117291302490.2690382036038780.2690382036038791.01291701693603
709291.06480871761740.2710292495909730.2710292495909730.329806761327225
718989.70966790425480.2681067232017360.268106723201735-0.485537368904644
728284.83396816778530.2588829569586080.258882956958611-1.53582549305122
737379.76417972186970.321281389738995-3.53409528701191-1.66190989727903
748180.46383225415380.3246046048230980.3246046049194350.107742102156151
759186.97788589350970.3511862703312550.3511862703312551.83215876071106
768082.53469266274930.3388055739243090.338805573924307-1.42868737843286
778181.4931367814410.3361311091193810.336131109119381-0.411920714514037
788281.72607764051080.3359562924160320.335956292416034-0.0308052630027747
798483.06148232996560.3375567342054060.3375567342054040.298400485675008
808785.43497019119590.3407430130849550.3407430130849550.607884179123581
818585.07919392580780.3396634653220440.339663465322044-0.207968597752925
827478.08311418331640.3283461013628860.328346101362885-2.19033910751673
838179.82151939880510.3305156345750990.3305156345750960.421022785561924
848281.09872162011290.3319693469107760.3319693469107780.282666902775438
858686.22212969716040.283965683975488-3.12362252187191.48530674933473
868585.36754288240410.2752305946323830.275230592127522-0.326217097868443
878283.19090460478270.266040208978370.26604020897837-0.726604052954072
888684.87836524883720.269244426769370.2692444267693670.423687862536257
898886.7594556120860.2719712773753750.2719712773753760.481043660524676
908686.21819436676180.2707680453728510.270768045372852-0.242784028862689
918384.14319438673690.2674867545661110.267486754566109-0.70038463364776
928182.11581565826080.2643488137161970.264348813716196-0.68521209472818
938181.35412905245150.2629591069286110.262959106928611-0.306362865843436
948181.06801412868490.2622187028806470.262218702880646-0.1639483109912
958281.58450822872830.2625607250442340.2625607250442320.0759243853167143
968684.27432886040950.2658197926104230.2658197926104250.724758992758391
978586.52902663623260.248408702593943-2.732495727366780.613716880664773
988786.76103225794910.248296986176110.24829698500016-0.0047222310173554
998988.09939380183410.2519217624024040.2519217624024040.323318998369775
1009089.22324102732190.2536657109394580.2536657109394550.259952917942112
1019089.64503362043540.2539181244864430.2539181244864430.0501798356313908
1029291.0515018476540.2554317101925740.2554317101925760.344096302122603
1038687.83626169538320.2511219273339560.251121927333956-1.03627426215337
1048686.62826683070520.2493504852150830.249350485215082-0.435677987449732
1058283.67863696966830.245502902521280.24550290252128-0.955195874674302
1068081.32248463074730.2423871076097020.2423871076097-0.776841864368349
1077979.81327761937690.2402942966351480.240294296635147-0.523018614462446
1087777.99835732433440.237842716800290.237842716800292-0.613678881430529
1097980.23594643082350.222298274090872-2.445281014391620.614865176516947
1107677.49253778661670.2041386564793670.204138654171933-0.857020986711096
1117877.75871470964670.2043240302833070.2043240302833060.0184136544407165
1127877.85856295235280.2041362372871970.204136237287194-0.0311533113392577
1137777.2721447916090.2030694378738280.203069437873828-0.235965571363356
1147273.93198617780510.1988864986068870.198886498606889-1.05786711344919
1157574.54909329474630.1993534138702540.1993534138702530.124874644375383
1167977.27694835542530.2021136396246570.2021136396246560.754996623156478
1178179.54994721148790.204353545181850.2043535451818510.618361666323503
1188683.52398822680560.2084139955269020.20841399552691.12562486676948
1198886.26525800066640.2111361261323130.2111361261323110.756309403174165
1209792.91118729449470.2180413458885160.2180413458885181.92142716674019
1219495.07363526497730.204450135213088-2.248951483543690.596133696329709
1229695.60551266380740.2062712117589290.2062712081469130.0949101168860215
1239494.54975831767970.2028474279888590.202847427988861-0.374795266166153
1249192.28342380077870.1988174111703540.19881741117035-0.736378990808995
1259292.0572211358710.1982965710758480.198296571075849-0.126866387128905
1269392.59634820445090.1986620090092020.1986620090092040.10176070488943
1279392.79895880777360.1986660131858460.1986660131858460.00117901030417295
1288789.13109726099730.1948317283172030.194831728317202-1.15453724146931
1298485.88094143747820.1914465121839110.191446512183912-1.02867649129432
1308082.1637189219470.1876212106204240.187621210620421-1.16713659864505
1317879.51900151698230.1848551972174840.184855197217483-0.845743367381554
1327576.65327079365350.1818802493969390.181880249396942-0.9109131123932
1337375.73934311098420.188838642048117-2.07722506259314-0.335171159978692
1348179.01437096626250.2045617082476460.2045617100908780.896863700302394
1357677.07831494346390.199244001136150.199244001136151-0.636017560710025
1367776.9799158479450.1987991339040060.198799133904003-0.0887756312705839
1377173.1986742787240.1943322140398470.194332214039848-1.18806848635937
1387171.77840714746590.1927465681765180.192746568176519-0.48207482743743
1397875.61305320482250.1961295732728770.1961295732728761.08744737321083
1406770.18962435974510.1910244538675230.191024453867523-1.67800497111829
1417673.76806721269120.1940740614488950.1940740614488961.01149525614104
1426870.12050225664940.190629250597030.190629250597028-1.14713109946882
1438277.48633360150020.197050075560690.1970500755606872.14255124596136
1446469.02162782265210.1893092895137890.189309289513794-2.58644506375134
1457171.53192153474310.175807072325265-1.933877800284280.708514478602756
1468177.46404710304530.2028613022832810.2028613103163021.67641163150066
1476972.12159082240390.1901568159203940.190156815920395-1.64827098339775
1486366.38020609259480.1819801537972240.18198015379722-1.769324390449
1497068.59411133930190.1840836420649440.1840836420649450.606562945843826
1507773.79417433121610.1886276930007110.1886276930007131.49765644985769
1517574.49986850355330.1890707901843230.1890707901843210.154394233921521
1527675.3891105445620.1896576261391320.1896576261391310.20907345227583
1536870.73093319386610.1856308078349130.185630807834914-1.44759171892638

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Structural Time Series Model \tabularnewline
t & Observed & Level & Slope & Seasonal & Stand. Residuals \tabularnewline
1 & 67 & 67 & 0 & 0 & 0 \tabularnewline
2 & 72 & 70.6178758904784 & 0.245348180078987 & 0.245348180948009 & 0.725047167296225 \tabularnewline
3 & 74 & 72.7023054783805 & 0.308301475870656 & 0.308301475870655 & 0.514380412819951 \tabularnewline
4 & 62 & 65.9489928092413 & 0.16455115587787 & 0.164551155877867 & -2.07517233259466 \tabularnewline
5 & 56 & 59.7219814273369 & 0.068169773869133 & 0.0681697738691338 & -1.89814072763337 \tabularnewline
6 & 66 & 63.6070191874665 & 0.117921478259688 & 0.11792147825969 & 1.13679916329896 \tabularnewline
7 & 65 & 64.4439760021531 & 0.126686183311966 & 0.126686183311965 & 0.214356148500732 \tabularnewline
8 & 59 & 61.0303906116956 & 0.0849429424429579 & 0.0849429424429582 & -1.05577078594767 \tabularnewline
9 & 61 & 60.9908797462525 & 0.0835042535793487 & 0.0835042535793487 & -0.0371191976684661 \tabularnewline
10 & 69 & 65.9477678534244 & 0.139027503290873 & 0.139027503290873 & 1.4536030768884 \tabularnewline
11 & 74 & 70.9181941246128 & 0.193389948734106 & 0.193389948734106 & 1.44112252107158 \tabularnewline
12 & 69 & 69.6790479556261 & 0.177457409962346 & 0.177457409962346 & -0.427308847556443 \tabularnewline
13 & 66 & 69.0808410211891 & 0.235712326653087 & -2.59283559534614 & -0.29318628888886 \tabularnewline
14 & 68 & 68.2668395596534 & 0.202313566311366 & 0.202313567964383 & -0.259527963471829 \tabularnewline
15 & 58 & 61.7371934455757 & 0.0957072388867615 & 0.0957072388867615 & -1.94500025818412 \tabularnewline
16 & 64 & 63.1259554349381 & 0.107971565048982 & 0.107971565048981 & 0.38309815192998 \tabularnewline
17 & 66 & 64.8903251217913 & 0.119698353146051 & 0.119698353146052 & 0.493335135038887 \tabularnewline
18 & 57 & 59.9457298587019 & 0.0884938965720188 & 0.088493896572019 & -1.51044692209552 \tabularnewline
19 & 68 & 64.9408761254365 & 0.116948535718968 & 0.116948535718968 & 1.46408504729841 \tabularnewline
20 & 62 & 63.0803329057699 & 0.105786816439533 & 0.105786816439533 & -0.59015275616978 \tabularnewline
21 & 59 & 60.5127850782185 & 0.0909034499785515 & 0.0909034499785514 & -0.797864170799382 \tabularnewline
22 & 73 & 68.2685237686504 & 0.133210015842603 & 0.133210015842603 & 2.28764635626085 \tabularnewline
23 & 61 & 63.7082916765199 & 0.107476187039254 & 0.107476187039254 & -1.40081975042254 \tabularnewline
24 & 61 & 61.9948872888497 & 0.0975511733615167 & 0.0975511733615166 & -0.54346909434036 \tabularnewline
25 & 57 & 60.0943954773533 & 0.169600739382856 & -1.86560813904001 & -0.675867371219569 \tabularnewline
26 & 58 & 58.6641354609885 & 0.136211297011631 & 0.136211302004237 & -0.424431147020079 \tabularnewline
27 & 57 & 57.5831848340662 & 0.123674555678137 & 0.123674555678138 & -0.355816103774606 \tabularnewline
28 & 67 & 63.4308589773505 & 0.159052650539138 & 0.159052650539139 & 1.70058625296296 \tabularnewline
29 & 81 & 74.3464656535948 & 0.208799802952388 & 0.208799802952388 & 3.20666748108312 \tabularnewline
30 & 79 & 77.1958974458114 & 0.219452215809968 & 0.219452215809968 & 0.78792553954336 \tabularnewline
31 & 76 & 76.3962890965679 & 0.215575201221121 & 0.215575201221121 & -0.304161291742526 \tabularnewline
32 & 78 & 77.342775080739 & 0.218287023863597 & 0.218287023863598 & 0.218179022803578 \tabularnewline
33 & 74 & 75.2052229322701 & 0.209649167721072 & 0.209649167721072 & -0.703251911791177 \tabularnewline
34 & 67 & 70.0388022587772 & 0.190069626508787 & 0.190069626508788 & -1.60485843451647 \tabularnewline
35 & 84 & 78.6946215751323 & 0.220754346710306 & 0.220754346710305 & 2.52720259138582 \tabularnewline
36 & 85 & 82.5706355929563 & 0.233949513851165 & 0.233949513851165 & 1.09117468888908 \tabularnewline
37 & 79 & 82.1467525785868 & 0.24955719104728 & -2.74512910264231 & -0.213848973404279 \tabularnewline
38 & 82 & 81.9774087899393 & 0.243052579512091 & 0.243052580407758 & -0.114757640337272 \tabularnewline
39 & 87 & 85.0666823717016 & 0.264774926404135 & 0.26477492640414 & 0.836704830670475 \tabularnewline
40 & 90 & 88.0804932003206 & 0.277376058380134 & 0.277376058380133 & 0.817824080140711 \tabularnewline
41 & 87 & 87.3379415077977 & 0.273873558605385 & 0.273873558605386 & -0.304190302277821 \tabularnewline
42 & 93 & 90.8011444449838 & 0.283437135452781 & 0.283437135452784 & 0.95185158225336 \tabularnewline
43 & 92 & 91.47867420079 & 0.284552736903249 & 0.284552736903249 & 0.117641912893809 \tabularnewline
44 & 82 & 85.4976732728461 & 0.267239206406933 & 0.267239206406933 & -1.87049399251426 \tabularnewline
45 & 80 & 82.0034147403673 & 0.256957663521976 & 0.256957663521977 & -1.12297464002687 \tabularnewline
46 & 79 & 80.0670514125355 & 0.250997197607176 & 0.250997197607176 & -0.65481120085816 \tabularnewline
47 & 77 & 78.0924738859003 & 0.244972444535113 & 0.244972444535112 & -0.664443513951042 \tabularnewline
48 & 72 & 74.2327907336753 & 0.233895733588906 & 0.233895733588908 & -1.22544423641301 \tabularnewline
49 & 65 & 70.6427319365228 & 0.301499153590485 & -3.31649068972884 & -1.21787184757929 \tabularnewline
50 & 73 & 72.0730577174933 & 0.315454915812093 & 0.315454916668334 & 0.31498201419157 \tabularnewline
51 & 76 & 74.4543146403024 & 0.327977427485357 & 0.32797742748536 & 0.609271874598881 \tabularnewline
52 & 77 & 75.9619501427496 & 0.332274582983021 & 0.332274582983021 & 0.351218173594776 \tabularnewline
53 & 76 & 75.9033991372235 & 0.331207264936876 & 0.331207264936877 & -0.116593422635784 \tabularnewline
54 & 76 & 75.8816862033462 & 0.330365141454128 & 0.33036514145413 & -0.105341877835165 \tabularnewline
55 & 76 & 75.8737362919513 & 0.329602594871967 & 0.329602594871966 & -0.100999793292155 \tabularnewline
56 & 75 & 75.2472241004531 & 0.327497764432267 & 0.327497764432267 & -0.28545356534207 \tabularnewline
57 & 78 & 76.8831311883762 & 0.330348547807668 & 0.330348547807668 & 0.390641870095608 \tabularnewline
58 & 73 & 74.3794413302599 & 0.324206026836866 & 0.324206026836867 & -0.846144685002127 \tabularnewline
59 & 80 & 77.8048370427374 & 0.330905281408306 & 0.330905281408305 & 0.925909961974673 \tabularnewline
60 & 77 & 77.2209744545778 & 0.328934298179431 & 0.328934298179431 & -0.273119072231903 \tabularnewline
61 & 83 & 82.6965317935388 & 0.256427263216746 & -2.82069989462849 & 1.61873441817424 \tabularnewline
62 & 84 & 83.4590593185387 & 0.261624884981175 & 0.261624884508279 & 0.142913657926496 \tabularnewline
63 & 85 & 84.3580896002154 & 0.264829427890406 & 0.26482942789041 & 0.188394873356552 \tabularnewline
64 & 81 & 82.1960038046983 & 0.257494776604709 & 0.257494776604708 & -0.722936593687251 \tabularnewline
65 & 84 & 83.2577052273233 & 0.259317751045086 & 0.259317751045087 & 0.239957669690643 \tabularnewline
66 & 83 & 83.0327218154306 & 0.258358131242615 & 0.258358131242617 & -0.1445693247621 \tabularnewline
67 & 83 & 82.948336140096 & 0.257716377591397 & 0.257716377591395 & -0.102327452765728 \tabularnewline
68 & 88 & 86.0357669428258 & 0.262893239237908 & 0.262893239237907 & 0.844864268051462 \tabularnewline
69 & 92 & 89.6911729130249 & 0.269038203603878 & 0.269038203603879 & 1.01291701693603 \tabularnewline
70 & 92 & 91.0648087176174 & 0.271029249590973 & 0.271029249590973 & 0.329806761327225 \tabularnewline
71 & 89 & 89.7096679042548 & 0.268106723201736 & 0.268106723201735 & -0.485537368904644 \tabularnewline
72 & 82 & 84.8339681677853 & 0.258882956958608 & 0.258882956958611 & -1.53582549305122 \tabularnewline
73 & 73 & 79.7641797218697 & 0.321281389738995 & -3.53409528701191 & -1.66190989727903 \tabularnewline
74 & 81 & 80.4638322541538 & 0.324604604823098 & 0.324604604919435 & 0.107742102156151 \tabularnewline
75 & 91 & 86.9778858935097 & 0.351186270331255 & 0.351186270331255 & 1.83215876071106 \tabularnewline
76 & 80 & 82.5346926627493 & 0.338805573924309 & 0.338805573924307 & -1.42868737843286 \tabularnewline
77 & 81 & 81.493136781441 & 0.336131109119381 & 0.336131109119381 & -0.411920714514037 \tabularnewline
78 & 82 & 81.7260776405108 & 0.335956292416032 & 0.335956292416034 & -0.0308052630027747 \tabularnewline
79 & 84 & 83.0614823299656 & 0.337556734205406 & 0.337556734205404 & 0.298400485675008 \tabularnewline
80 & 87 & 85.4349701911959 & 0.340743013084955 & 0.340743013084955 & 0.607884179123581 \tabularnewline
81 & 85 & 85.0791939258078 & 0.339663465322044 & 0.339663465322044 & -0.207968597752925 \tabularnewline
82 & 74 & 78.0831141833164 & 0.328346101362886 & 0.328346101362885 & -2.19033910751673 \tabularnewline
83 & 81 & 79.8215193988051 & 0.330515634575099 & 0.330515634575096 & 0.421022785561924 \tabularnewline
84 & 82 & 81.0987216201129 & 0.331969346910776 & 0.331969346910778 & 0.282666902775438 \tabularnewline
85 & 86 & 86.2221296971604 & 0.283965683975488 & -3.1236225218719 & 1.48530674933473 \tabularnewline
86 & 85 & 85.3675428824041 & 0.275230594632383 & 0.275230592127522 & -0.326217097868443 \tabularnewline
87 & 82 & 83.1909046047827 & 0.26604020897837 & 0.26604020897837 & -0.726604052954072 \tabularnewline
88 & 86 & 84.8783652488372 & 0.26924442676937 & 0.269244426769367 & 0.423687862536257 \tabularnewline
89 & 88 & 86.759455612086 & 0.271971277375375 & 0.271971277375376 & 0.481043660524676 \tabularnewline
90 & 86 & 86.2181943667618 & 0.270768045372851 & 0.270768045372852 & -0.242784028862689 \tabularnewline
91 & 83 & 84.1431943867369 & 0.267486754566111 & 0.267486754566109 & -0.70038463364776 \tabularnewline
92 & 81 & 82.1158156582608 & 0.264348813716197 & 0.264348813716196 & -0.68521209472818 \tabularnewline
93 & 81 & 81.3541290524515 & 0.262959106928611 & 0.262959106928611 & -0.306362865843436 \tabularnewline
94 & 81 & 81.0680141286849 & 0.262218702880647 & 0.262218702880646 & -0.1639483109912 \tabularnewline
95 & 82 & 81.5845082287283 & 0.262560725044234 & 0.262560725044232 & 0.0759243853167143 \tabularnewline
96 & 86 & 84.2743288604095 & 0.265819792610423 & 0.265819792610425 & 0.724758992758391 \tabularnewline
97 & 85 & 86.5290266362326 & 0.248408702593943 & -2.73249572736678 & 0.613716880664773 \tabularnewline
98 & 87 & 86.7610322579491 & 0.24829698617611 & 0.24829698500016 & -0.0047222310173554 \tabularnewline
99 & 89 & 88.0993938018341 & 0.251921762402404 & 0.251921762402404 & 0.323318998369775 \tabularnewline
100 & 90 & 89.2232410273219 & 0.253665710939458 & 0.253665710939455 & 0.259952917942112 \tabularnewline
101 & 90 & 89.6450336204354 & 0.253918124486443 & 0.253918124486443 & 0.0501798356313908 \tabularnewline
102 & 92 & 91.051501847654 & 0.255431710192574 & 0.255431710192576 & 0.344096302122603 \tabularnewline
103 & 86 & 87.8362616953832 & 0.251121927333956 & 0.251121927333956 & -1.03627426215337 \tabularnewline
104 & 86 & 86.6282668307052 & 0.249350485215083 & 0.249350485215082 & -0.435677987449732 \tabularnewline
105 & 82 & 83.6786369696683 & 0.24550290252128 & 0.24550290252128 & -0.955195874674302 \tabularnewline
106 & 80 & 81.3224846307473 & 0.242387107609702 & 0.2423871076097 & -0.776841864368349 \tabularnewline
107 & 79 & 79.8132776193769 & 0.240294296635148 & 0.240294296635147 & -0.523018614462446 \tabularnewline
108 & 77 & 77.9983573243344 & 0.23784271680029 & 0.237842716800292 & -0.613678881430529 \tabularnewline
109 & 79 & 80.2359464308235 & 0.222298274090872 & -2.44528101439162 & 0.614865176516947 \tabularnewline
110 & 76 & 77.4925377866167 & 0.204138656479367 & 0.204138654171933 & -0.857020986711096 \tabularnewline
111 & 78 & 77.7587147096467 & 0.204324030283307 & 0.204324030283306 & 0.0184136544407165 \tabularnewline
112 & 78 & 77.8585629523528 & 0.204136237287197 & 0.204136237287194 & -0.0311533113392577 \tabularnewline
113 & 77 & 77.272144791609 & 0.203069437873828 & 0.203069437873828 & -0.235965571363356 \tabularnewline
114 & 72 & 73.9319861778051 & 0.198886498606887 & 0.198886498606889 & -1.05786711344919 \tabularnewline
115 & 75 & 74.5490932947463 & 0.199353413870254 & 0.199353413870253 & 0.124874644375383 \tabularnewline
116 & 79 & 77.2769483554253 & 0.202113639624657 & 0.202113639624656 & 0.754996623156478 \tabularnewline
117 & 81 & 79.5499472114879 & 0.20435354518185 & 0.204353545181851 & 0.618361666323503 \tabularnewline
118 & 86 & 83.5239882268056 & 0.208413995526902 & 0.2084139955269 & 1.12562486676948 \tabularnewline
119 & 88 & 86.2652580006664 & 0.211136126132313 & 0.211136126132311 & 0.756309403174165 \tabularnewline
120 & 97 & 92.9111872944947 & 0.218041345888516 & 0.218041345888518 & 1.92142716674019 \tabularnewline
121 & 94 & 95.0736352649773 & 0.204450135213088 & -2.24895148354369 & 0.596133696329709 \tabularnewline
122 & 96 & 95.6055126638074 & 0.206271211758929 & 0.206271208146913 & 0.0949101168860215 \tabularnewline
123 & 94 & 94.5497583176797 & 0.202847427988859 & 0.202847427988861 & -0.374795266166153 \tabularnewline
124 & 91 & 92.2834238007787 & 0.198817411170354 & 0.19881741117035 & -0.736378990808995 \tabularnewline
125 & 92 & 92.057221135871 & 0.198296571075848 & 0.198296571075849 & -0.126866387128905 \tabularnewline
126 & 93 & 92.5963482044509 & 0.198662009009202 & 0.198662009009204 & 0.10176070488943 \tabularnewline
127 & 93 & 92.7989588077736 & 0.198666013185846 & 0.198666013185846 & 0.00117901030417295 \tabularnewline
128 & 87 & 89.1310972609973 & 0.194831728317203 & 0.194831728317202 & -1.15453724146931 \tabularnewline
129 & 84 & 85.8809414374782 & 0.191446512183911 & 0.191446512183912 & -1.02867649129432 \tabularnewline
130 & 80 & 82.163718921947 & 0.187621210620424 & 0.187621210620421 & -1.16713659864505 \tabularnewline
131 & 78 & 79.5190015169823 & 0.184855197217484 & 0.184855197217483 & -0.845743367381554 \tabularnewline
132 & 75 & 76.6532707936535 & 0.181880249396939 & 0.181880249396942 & -0.9109131123932 \tabularnewline
133 & 73 & 75.7393431109842 & 0.188838642048117 & -2.07722506259314 & -0.335171159978692 \tabularnewline
134 & 81 & 79.0143709662625 & 0.204561708247646 & 0.204561710090878 & 0.896863700302394 \tabularnewline
135 & 76 & 77.0783149434639 & 0.19924400113615 & 0.199244001136151 & -0.636017560710025 \tabularnewline
136 & 77 & 76.979915847945 & 0.198799133904006 & 0.198799133904003 & -0.0887756312705839 \tabularnewline
137 & 71 & 73.198674278724 & 0.194332214039847 & 0.194332214039848 & -1.18806848635937 \tabularnewline
138 & 71 & 71.7784071474659 & 0.192746568176518 & 0.192746568176519 & -0.48207482743743 \tabularnewline
139 & 78 & 75.6130532048225 & 0.196129573272877 & 0.196129573272876 & 1.08744737321083 \tabularnewline
140 & 67 & 70.1896243597451 & 0.191024453867523 & 0.191024453867523 & -1.67800497111829 \tabularnewline
141 & 76 & 73.7680672126912 & 0.194074061448895 & 0.194074061448896 & 1.01149525614104 \tabularnewline
142 & 68 & 70.1205022566494 & 0.19062925059703 & 0.190629250597028 & -1.14713109946882 \tabularnewline
143 & 82 & 77.4863336015002 & 0.19705007556069 & 0.197050075560687 & 2.14255124596136 \tabularnewline
144 & 64 & 69.0216278226521 & 0.189309289513789 & 0.189309289513794 & -2.58644506375134 \tabularnewline
145 & 71 & 71.5319215347431 & 0.175807072325265 & -1.93387780028428 & 0.708514478602756 \tabularnewline
146 & 81 & 77.4640471030453 & 0.202861302283281 & 0.202861310316302 & 1.67641163150066 \tabularnewline
147 & 69 & 72.1215908224039 & 0.190156815920394 & 0.190156815920395 & -1.64827098339775 \tabularnewline
148 & 63 & 66.3802060925948 & 0.181980153797224 & 0.18198015379722 & -1.769324390449 \tabularnewline
149 & 70 & 68.5941113393019 & 0.184083642064944 & 0.184083642064945 & 0.606562945843826 \tabularnewline
150 & 77 & 73.7941743312161 & 0.188627693000711 & 0.188627693000713 & 1.49765644985769 \tabularnewline
151 & 75 & 74.4998685035533 & 0.189070790184323 & 0.189070790184321 & 0.154394233921521 \tabularnewline
152 & 76 & 75.389110544562 & 0.189657626139132 & 0.189657626139131 & 0.20907345227583 \tabularnewline
153 & 68 & 70.7309331938661 & 0.185630807834913 & 0.185630807834914 & -1.44759171892638 \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=276023&T=1

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Structural Time Series Model[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]t[/C][C]Observed[/C][C]Level[/C][C]Slope[/C][C]Seasonal[/C][C]Stand. Residuals[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]1[/C][C]67[/C][C]67[/C][C]0[/C][C]0[/C][C]0[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]2[/C][C]72[/C][C]70.6178758904784[/C][C]0.245348180078987[/C][C]0.245348180948009[/C][C]0.725047167296225[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]3[/C][C]74[/C][C]72.7023054783805[/C][C]0.308301475870656[/C][C]0.308301475870655[/C][C]0.514380412819951[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]4[/C][C]62[/C][C]65.9489928092413[/C][C]0.16455115587787[/C][C]0.164551155877867[/C][C]-2.07517233259466[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]5[/C][C]56[/C][C]59.7219814273369[/C][C]0.068169773869133[/C][C]0.0681697738691338[/C][C]-1.89814072763337[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]6[/C][C]66[/C][C]63.6070191874665[/C][C]0.117921478259688[/C][C]0.11792147825969[/C][C]1.13679916329896[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]7[/C][C]65[/C][C]64.4439760021531[/C][C]0.126686183311966[/C][C]0.126686183311965[/C][C]0.214356148500732[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]8[/C][C]59[/C][C]61.0303906116956[/C][C]0.0849429424429579[/C][C]0.0849429424429582[/C][C]-1.05577078594767[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]9[/C][C]61[/C][C]60.9908797462525[/C][C]0.0835042535793487[/C][C]0.0835042535793487[/C][C]-0.0371191976684661[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]10[/C][C]69[/C][C]65.9477678534244[/C][C]0.139027503290873[/C][C]0.139027503290873[/C][C]1.4536030768884[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]11[/C][C]74[/C][C]70.9181941246128[/C][C]0.193389948734106[/C][C]0.193389948734106[/C][C]1.44112252107158[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]12[/C][C]69[/C][C]69.6790479556261[/C][C]0.177457409962346[/C][C]0.177457409962346[/C][C]-0.427308847556443[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]13[/C][C]66[/C][C]69.0808410211891[/C][C]0.235712326653087[/C][C]-2.59283559534614[/C][C]-0.29318628888886[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]14[/C][C]68[/C][C]68.2668395596534[/C][C]0.202313566311366[/C][C]0.202313567964383[/C][C]-0.259527963471829[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]15[/C][C]58[/C][C]61.7371934455757[/C][C]0.0957072388867615[/C][C]0.0957072388867615[/C][C]-1.94500025818412[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]16[/C][C]64[/C][C]63.1259554349381[/C][C]0.107971565048982[/C][C]0.107971565048981[/C][C]0.38309815192998[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]17[/C][C]66[/C][C]64.8903251217913[/C][C]0.119698353146051[/C][C]0.119698353146052[/C][C]0.493335135038887[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]18[/C][C]57[/C][C]59.9457298587019[/C][C]0.0884938965720188[/C][C]0.088493896572019[/C][C]-1.51044692209552[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]19[/C][C]68[/C][C]64.9408761254365[/C][C]0.116948535718968[/C][C]0.116948535718968[/C][C]1.46408504729841[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]20[/C][C]62[/C][C]63.0803329057699[/C][C]0.105786816439533[/C][C]0.105786816439533[/C][C]-0.59015275616978[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]21[/C][C]59[/C][C]60.5127850782185[/C][C]0.0909034499785515[/C][C]0.0909034499785514[/C][C]-0.797864170799382[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]22[/C][C]73[/C][C]68.2685237686504[/C][C]0.133210015842603[/C][C]0.133210015842603[/C][C]2.28764635626085[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]23[/C][C]61[/C][C]63.7082916765199[/C][C]0.107476187039254[/C][C]0.107476187039254[/C][C]-1.40081975042254[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]24[/C][C]61[/C][C]61.9948872888497[/C][C]0.0975511733615167[/C][C]0.0975511733615166[/C][C]-0.54346909434036[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]25[/C][C]57[/C][C]60.0943954773533[/C][C]0.169600739382856[/C][C]-1.86560813904001[/C][C]-0.675867371219569[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]26[/C][C]58[/C][C]58.6641354609885[/C][C]0.136211297011631[/C][C]0.136211302004237[/C][C]-0.424431147020079[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]27[/C][C]57[/C][C]57.5831848340662[/C][C]0.123674555678137[/C][C]0.123674555678138[/C][C]-0.355816103774606[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]28[/C][C]67[/C][C]63.4308589773505[/C][C]0.159052650539138[/C][C]0.159052650539139[/C][C]1.70058625296296[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]29[/C][C]81[/C][C]74.3464656535948[/C][C]0.208799802952388[/C][C]0.208799802952388[/C][C]3.20666748108312[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]30[/C][C]79[/C][C]77.1958974458114[/C][C]0.219452215809968[/C][C]0.219452215809968[/C][C]0.78792553954336[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]31[/C][C]76[/C][C]76.3962890965679[/C][C]0.215575201221121[/C][C]0.215575201221121[/C][C]-0.304161291742526[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]32[/C][C]78[/C][C]77.342775080739[/C][C]0.218287023863597[/C][C]0.218287023863598[/C][C]0.218179022803578[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]33[/C][C]74[/C][C]75.2052229322701[/C][C]0.209649167721072[/C][C]0.209649167721072[/C][C]-0.703251911791177[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]34[/C][C]67[/C][C]70.0388022587772[/C][C]0.190069626508787[/C][C]0.190069626508788[/C][C]-1.60485843451647[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]35[/C][C]84[/C][C]78.6946215751323[/C][C]0.220754346710306[/C][C]0.220754346710305[/C][C]2.52720259138582[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]36[/C][C]85[/C][C]82.5706355929563[/C][C]0.233949513851165[/C][C]0.233949513851165[/C][C]1.09117468888908[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]37[/C][C]79[/C][C]82.1467525785868[/C][C]0.24955719104728[/C][C]-2.74512910264231[/C][C]-0.213848973404279[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]38[/C][C]82[/C][C]81.9774087899393[/C][C]0.243052579512091[/C][C]0.243052580407758[/C][C]-0.114757640337272[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]39[/C][C]87[/C][C]85.0666823717016[/C][C]0.264774926404135[/C][C]0.26477492640414[/C][C]0.836704830670475[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]40[/C][C]90[/C][C]88.0804932003206[/C][C]0.277376058380134[/C][C]0.277376058380133[/C][C]0.817824080140711[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]41[/C][C]87[/C][C]87.3379415077977[/C][C]0.273873558605385[/C][C]0.273873558605386[/C][C]-0.304190302277821[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]42[/C][C]93[/C][C]90.8011444449838[/C][C]0.283437135452781[/C][C]0.283437135452784[/C][C]0.95185158225336[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]43[/C][C]92[/C][C]91.47867420079[/C][C]0.284552736903249[/C][C]0.284552736903249[/C][C]0.117641912893809[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]44[/C][C]82[/C][C]85.4976732728461[/C][C]0.267239206406933[/C][C]0.267239206406933[/C][C]-1.87049399251426[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]45[/C][C]80[/C][C]82.0034147403673[/C][C]0.256957663521976[/C][C]0.256957663521977[/C][C]-1.12297464002687[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]46[/C][C]79[/C][C]80.0670514125355[/C][C]0.250997197607176[/C][C]0.250997197607176[/C][C]-0.65481120085816[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]47[/C][C]77[/C][C]78.0924738859003[/C][C]0.244972444535113[/C][C]0.244972444535112[/C][C]-0.664443513951042[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]48[/C][C]72[/C][C]74.2327907336753[/C][C]0.233895733588906[/C][C]0.233895733588908[/C][C]-1.22544423641301[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]49[/C][C]65[/C][C]70.6427319365228[/C][C]0.301499153590485[/C][C]-3.31649068972884[/C][C]-1.21787184757929[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]50[/C][C]73[/C][C]72.0730577174933[/C][C]0.315454915812093[/C][C]0.315454916668334[/C][C]0.31498201419157[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]51[/C][C]76[/C][C]74.4543146403024[/C][C]0.327977427485357[/C][C]0.32797742748536[/C][C]0.609271874598881[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]52[/C][C]77[/C][C]75.9619501427496[/C][C]0.332274582983021[/C][C]0.332274582983021[/C][C]0.351218173594776[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]53[/C][C]76[/C][C]75.9033991372235[/C][C]0.331207264936876[/C][C]0.331207264936877[/C][C]-0.116593422635784[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]54[/C][C]76[/C][C]75.8816862033462[/C][C]0.330365141454128[/C][C]0.33036514145413[/C][C]-0.105341877835165[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]55[/C][C]76[/C][C]75.8737362919513[/C][C]0.329602594871967[/C][C]0.329602594871966[/C][C]-0.100999793292155[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]56[/C][C]75[/C][C]75.2472241004531[/C][C]0.327497764432267[/C][C]0.327497764432267[/C][C]-0.28545356534207[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]57[/C][C]78[/C][C]76.8831311883762[/C][C]0.330348547807668[/C][C]0.330348547807668[/C][C]0.390641870095608[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]58[/C][C]73[/C][C]74.3794413302599[/C][C]0.324206026836866[/C][C]0.324206026836867[/C][C]-0.846144685002127[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]59[/C][C]80[/C][C]77.8048370427374[/C][C]0.330905281408306[/C][C]0.330905281408305[/C][C]0.925909961974673[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]60[/C][C]77[/C][C]77.2209744545778[/C][C]0.328934298179431[/C][C]0.328934298179431[/C][C]-0.273119072231903[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]61[/C][C]83[/C][C]82.6965317935388[/C][C]0.256427263216746[/C][C]-2.82069989462849[/C][C]1.61873441817424[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]62[/C][C]84[/C][C]83.4590593185387[/C][C]0.261624884981175[/C][C]0.261624884508279[/C][C]0.142913657926496[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]63[/C][C]85[/C][C]84.3580896002154[/C][C]0.264829427890406[/C][C]0.26482942789041[/C][C]0.188394873356552[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]64[/C][C]81[/C][C]82.1960038046983[/C][C]0.257494776604709[/C][C]0.257494776604708[/C][C]-0.722936593687251[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]65[/C][C]84[/C][C]83.2577052273233[/C][C]0.259317751045086[/C][C]0.259317751045087[/C][C]0.239957669690643[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]66[/C][C]83[/C][C]83.0327218154306[/C][C]0.258358131242615[/C][C]0.258358131242617[/C][C]-0.1445693247621[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]67[/C][C]83[/C][C]82.948336140096[/C][C]0.257716377591397[/C][C]0.257716377591395[/C][C]-0.102327452765728[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]68[/C][C]88[/C][C]86.0357669428258[/C][C]0.262893239237908[/C][C]0.262893239237907[/C][C]0.844864268051462[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]69[/C][C]92[/C][C]89.6911729130249[/C][C]0.269038203603878[/C][C]0.269038203603879[/C][C]1.01291701693603[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]70[/C][C]92[/C][C]91.0648087176174[/C][C]0.271029249590973[/C][C]0.271029249590973[/C][C]0.329806761327225[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]71[/C][C]89[/C][C]89.7096679042548[/C][C]0.268106723201736[/C][C]0.268106723201735[/C][C]-0.485537368904644[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]72[/C][C]82[/C][C]84.8339681677853[/C][C]0.258882956958608[/C][C]0.258882956958611[/C][C]-1.53582549305122[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]73[/C][C]73[/C][C]79.7641797218697[/C][C]0.321281389738995[/C][C]-3.53409528701191[/C][C]-1.66190989727903[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]74[/C][C]81[/C][C]80.4638322541538[/C][C]0.324604604823098[/C][C]0.324604604919435[/C][C]0.107742102156151[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]75[/C][C]91[/C][C]86.9778858935097[/C][C]0.351186270331255[/C][C]0.351186270331255[/C][C]1.83215876071106[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]76[/C][C]80[/C][C]82.5346926627493[/C][C]0.338805573924309[/C][C]0.338805573924307[/C][C]-1.42868737843286[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]77[/C][C]81[/C][C]81.493136781441[/C][C]0.336131109119381[/C][C]0.336131109119381[/C][C]-0.411920714514037[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]78[/C][C]82[/C][C]81.7260776405108[/C][C]0.335956292416032[/C][C]0.335956292416034[/C][C]-0.0308052630027747[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]79[/C][C]84[/C][C]83.0614823299656[/C][C]0.337556734205406[/C][C]0.337556734205404[/C][C]0.298400485675008[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]80[/C][C]87[/C][C]85.4349701911959[/C][C]0.340743013084955[/C][C]0.340743013084955[/C][C]0.607884179123581[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]81[/C][C]85[/C][C]85.0791939258078[/C][C]0.339663465322044[/C][C]0.339663465322044[/C][C]-0.207968597752925[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]82[/C][C]74[/C][C]78.0831141833164[/C][C]0.328346101362886[/C][C]0.328346101362885[/C][C]-2.19033910751673[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]83[/C][C]81[/C][C]79.8215193988051[/C][C]0.330515634575099[/C][C]0.330515634575096[/C][C]0.421022785561924[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]84[/C][C]82[/C][C]81.0987216201129[/C][C]0.331969346910776[/C][C]0.331969346910778[/C][C]0.282666902775438[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]85[/C][C]86[/C][C]86.2221296971604[/C][C]0.283965683975488[/C][C]-3.1236225218719[/C][C]1.48530674933473[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]86[/C][C]85[/C][C]85.3675428824041[/C][C]0.275230594632383[/C][C]0.275230592127522[/C][C]-0.326217097868443[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]87[/C][C]82[/C][C]83.1909046047827[/C][C]0.26604020897837[/C][C]0.26604020897837[/C][C]-0.726604052954072[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]88[/C][C]86[/C][C]84.8783652488372[/C][C]0.26924442676937[/C][C]0.269244426769367[/C][C]0.423687862536257[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]89[/C][C]88[/C][C]86.759455612086[/C][C]0.271971277375375[/C][C]0.271971277375376[/C][C]0.481043660524676[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]90[/C][C]86[/C][C]86.2181943667618[/C][C]0.270768045372851[/C][C]0.270768045372852[/C][C]-0.242784028862689[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]91[/C][C]83[/C][C]84.1431943867369[/C][C]0.267486754566111[/C][C]0.267486754566109[/C][C]-0.70038463364776[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]92[/C][C]81[/C][C]82.1158156582608[/C][C]0.264348813716197[/C][C]0.264348813716196[/C][C]-0.68521209472818[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]93[/C][C]81[/C][C]81.3541290524515[/C][C]0.262959106928611[/C][C]0.262959106928611[/C][C]-0.306362865843436[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]94[/C][C]81[/C][C]81.0680141286849[/C][C]0.262218702880647[/C][C]0.262218702880646[/C][C]-0.1639483109912[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]95[/C][C]82[/C][C]81.5845082287283[/C][C]0.262560725044234[/C][C]0.262560725044232[/C][C]0.0759243853167143[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]96[/C][C]86[/C][C]84.2743288604095[/C][C]0.265819792610423[/C][C]0.265819792610425[/C][C]0.724758992758391[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]97[/C][C]85[/C][C]86.5290266362326[/C][C]0.248408702593943[/C][C]-2.73249572736678[/C][C]0.613716880664773[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]98[/C][C]87[/C][C]86.7610322579491[/C][C]0.24829698617611[/C][C]0.24829698500016[/C][C]-0.0047222310173554[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]99[/C][C]89[/C][C]88.0993938018341[/C][C]0.251921762402404[/C][C]0.251921762402404[/C][C]0.323318998369775[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]100[/C][C]90[/C][C]89.2232410273219[/C][C]0.253665710939458[/C][C]0.253665710939455[/C][C]0.259952917942112[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]101[/C][C]90[/C][C]89.6450336204354[/C][C]0.253918124486443[/C][C]0.253918124486443[/C][C]0.0501798356313908[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]102[/C][C]92[/C][C]91.051501847654[/C][C]0.255431710192574[/C][C]0.255431710192576[/C][C]0.344096302122603[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]103[/C][C]86[/C][C]87.8362616953832[/C][C]0.251121927333956[/C][C]0.251121927333956[/C][C]-1.03627426215337[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]104[/C][C]86[/C][C]86.6282668307052[/C][C]0.249350485215083[/C][C]0.249350485215082[/C][C]-0.435677987449732[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]105[/C][C]82[/C][C]83.6786369696683[/C][C]0.24550290252128[/C][C]0.24550290252128[/C][C]-0.955195874674302[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]106[/C][C]80[/C][C]81.3224846307473[/C][C]0.242387107609702[/C][C]0.2423871076097[/C][C]-0.776841864368349[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]107[/C][C]79[/C][C]79.8132776193769[/C][C]0.240294296635148[/C][C]0.240294296635147[/C][C]-0.523018614462446[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]108[/C][C]77[/C][C]77.9983573243344[/C][C]0.23784271680029[/C][C]0.237842716800292[/C][C]-0.613678881430529[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]109[/C][C]79[/C][C]80.2359464308235[/C][C]0.222298274090872[/C][C]-2.44528101439162[/C][C]0.614865176516947[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]110[/C][C]76[/C][C]77.4925377866167[/C][C]0.204138656479367[/C][C]0.204138654171933[/C][C]-0.857020986711096[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]111[/C][C]78[/C][C]77.7587147096467[/C][C]0.204324030283307[/C][C]0.204324030283306[/C][C]0.0184136544407165[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]112[/C][C]78[/C][C]77.8585629523528[/C][C]0.204136237287197[/C][C]0.204136237287194[/C][C]-0.0311533113392577[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]113[/C][C]77[/C][C]77.272144791609[/C][C]0.203069437873828[/C][C]0.203069437873828[/C][C]-0.235965571363356[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]114[/C][C]72[/C][C]73.9319861778051[/C][C]0.198886498606887[/C][C]0.198886498606889[/C][C]-1.05786711344919[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]115[/C][C]75[/C][C]74.5490932947463[/C][C]0.199353413870254[/C][C]0.199353413870253[/C][C]0.124874644375383[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]116[/C][C]79[/C][C]77.2769483554253[/C][C]0.202113639624657[/C][C]0.202113639624656[/C][C]0.754996623156478[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]117[/C][C]81[/C][C]79.5499472114879[/C][C]0.20435354518185[/C][C]0.204353545181851[/C][C]0.618361666323503[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]118[/C][C]86[/C][C]83.5239882268056[/C][C]0.208413995526902[/C][C]0.2084139955269[/C][C]1.12562486676948[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]119[/C][C]88[/C][C]86.2652580006664[/C][C]0.211136126132313[/C][C]0.211136126132311[/C][C]0.756309403174165[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]120[/C][C]97[/C][C]92.9111872944947[/C][C]0.218041345888516[/C][C]0.218041345888518[/C][C]1.92142716674019[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]121[/C][C]94[/C][C]95.0736352649773[/C][C]0.204450135213088[/C][C]-2.24895148354369[/C][C]0.596133696329709[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]122[/C][C]96[/C][C]95.6055126638074[/C][C]0.206271211758929[/C][C]0.206271208146913[/C][C]0.0949101168860215[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]123[/C][C]94[/C][C]94.5497583176797[/C][C]0.202847427988859[/C][C]0.202847427988861[/C][C]-0.374795266166153[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]124[/C][C]91[/C][C]92.2834238007787[/C][C]0.198817411170354[/C][C]0.19881741117035[/C][C]-0.736378990808995[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]125[/C][C]92[/C][C]92.057221135871[/C][C]0.198296571075848[/C][C]0.198296571075849[/C][C]-0.126866387128905[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]126[/C][C]93[/C][C]92.5963482044509[/C][C]0.198662009009202[/C][C]0.198662009009204[/C][C]0.10176070488943[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]127[/C][C]93[/C][C]92.7989588077736[/C][C]0.198666013185846[/C][C]0.198666013185846[/C][C]0.00117901030417295[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]128[/C][C]87[/C][C]89.1310972609973[/C][C]0.194831728317203[/C][C]0.194831728317202[/C][C]-1.15453724146931[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]129[/C][C]84[/C][C]85.8809414374782[/C][C]0.191446512183911[/C][C]0.191446512183912[/C][C]-1.02867649129432[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]130[/C][C]80[/C][C]82.163718921947[/C][C]0.187621210620424[/C][C]0.187621210620421[/C][C]-1.16713659864505[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]131[/C][C]78[/C][C]79.5190015169823[/C][C]0.184855197217484[/C][C]0.184855197217483[/C][C]-0.845743367381554[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]132[/C][C]75[/C][C]76.6532707936535[/C][C]0.181880249396939[/C][C]0.181880249396942[/C][C]-0.9109131123932[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]133[/C][C]73[/C][C]75.7393431109842[/C][C]0.188838642048117[/C][C]-2.07722506259314[/C][C]-0.335171159978692[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]134[/C][C]81[/C][C]79.0143709662625[/C][C]0.204561708247646[/C][C]0.204561710090878[/C][C]0.896863700302394[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]135[/C][C]76[/C][C]77.0783149434639[/C][C]0.19924400113615[/C][C]0.199244001136151[/C][C]-0.636017560710025[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]136[/C][C]77[/C][C]76.979915847945[/C][C]0.198799133904006[/C][C]0.198799133904003[/C][C]-0.0887756312705839[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]137[/C][C]71[/C][C]73.198674278724[/C][C]0.194332214039847[/C][C]0.194332214039848[/C][C]-1.18806848635937[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]138[/C][C]71[/C][C]71.7784071474659[/C][C]0.192746568176518[/C][C]0.192746568176519[/C][C]-0.48207482743743[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]139[/C][C]78[/C][C]75.6130532048225[/C][C]0.196129573272877[/C][C]0.196129573272876[/C][C]1.08744737321083[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]140[/C][C]67[/C][C]70.1896243597451[/C][C]0.191024453867523[/C][C]0.191024453867523[/C][C]-1.67800497111829[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]141[/C][C]76[/C][C]73.7680672126912[/C][C]0.194074061448895[/C][C]0.194074061448896[/C][C]1.01149525614104[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]142[/C][C]68[/C][C]70.1205022566494[/C][C]0.19062925059703[/C][C]0.190629250597028[/C][C]-1.14713109946882[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]143[/C][C]82[/C][C]77.4863336015002[/C][C]0.19705007556069[/C][C]0.197050075560687[/C][C]2.14255124596136[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]144[/C][C]64[/C][C]69.0216278226521[/C][C]0.189309289513789[/C][C]0.189309289513794[/C][C]-2.58644506375134[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]145[/C][C]71[/C][C]71.5319215347431[/C][C]0.175807072325265[/C][C]-1.93387780028428[/C][C]0.708514478602756[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]146[/C][C]81[/C][C]77.4640471030453[/C][C]0.202861302283281[/C][C]0.202861310316302[/C][C]1.67641163150066[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]147[/C][C]69[/C][C]72.1215908224039[/C][C]0.190156815920394[/C][C]0.190156815920395[/C][C]-1.64827098339775[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]148[/C][C]63[/C][C]66.3802060925948[/C][C]0.181980153797224[/C][C]0.18198015379722[/C][C]-1.769324390449[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]149[/C][C]70[/C][C]68.5941113393019[/C][C]0.184083642064944[/C][C]0.184083642064945[/C][C]0.606562945843826[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]150[/C][C]77[/C][C]73.7941743312161[/C][C]0.188627693000711[/C][C]0.188627693000713[/C][C]1.49765644985769[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]151[/C][C]75[/C][C]74.4998685035533[/C][C]0.189070790184323[/C][C]0.189070790184321[/C][C]0.154394233921521[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]152[/C][C]76[/C][C]75.389110544562[/C][C]0.189657626139132[/C][C]0.189657626139131[/C][C]0.20907345227583[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]153[/C][C]68[/C][C]70.7309331938661[/C][C]0.185630807834913[/C][C]0.185630807834914[/C][C]-1.44759171892638[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=276023&T=1

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=276023&T=1

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Structural Time Series Model
tObservedLevelSlopeSeasonalStand. Residuals
16767000
27270.61787589047840.2453481800789870.2453481809480090.725047167296225
37472.70230547838050.3083014758706560.3083014758706550.514380412819951
46265.94899280924130.164551155877870.164551155877867-2.07517233259466
55659.72198142733690.0681697738691330.0681697738691338-1.89814072763337
66663.60701918746650.1179214782596880.117921478259691.13679916329896
76564.44397600215310.1266861833119660.1266861833119650.214356148500732
85961.03039061169560.08494294244295790.0849429424429582-1.05577078594767
96160.99087974625250.08350425357934870.0835042535793487-0.0371191976684661
106965.94776785342440.1390275032908730.1390275032908731.4536030768884
117470.91819412461280.1933899487341060.1933899487341061.44112252107158
126969.67904795562610.1774574099623460.177457409962346-0.427308847556443
136669.08084102118910.235712326653087-2.59283559534614-0.29318628888886
146868.26683955965340.2023135663113660.202313567964383-0.259527963471829
155861.73719344557570.09570723888676150.0957072388867615-1.94500025818412
166463.12595543493810.1079715650489820.1079715650489810.38309815192998
176664.89032512179130.1196983531460510.1196983531460520.493335135038887
185759.94572985870190.08849389657201880.088493896572019-1.51044692209552
196864.94087612543650.1169485357189680.1169485357189681.46408504729841
206263.08033290576990.1057868164395330.105786816439533-0.59015275616978
215960.51278507821850.09090344997855150.0909034499785514-0.797864170799382
227368.26852376865040.1332100158426030.1332100158426032.28764635626085
236163.70829167651990.1074761870392540.107476187039254-1.40081975042254
246161.99488728884970.09755117336151670.0975511733615166-0.54346909434036
255760.09439547735330.169600739382856-1.86560813904001-0.675867371219569
265858.66413546098850.1362112970116310.136211302004237-0.424431147020079
275757.58318483406620.1236745556781370.123674555678138-0.355816103774606
286763.43085897735050.1590526505391380.1590526505391391.70058625296296
298174.34646565359480.2087998029523880.2087998029523883.20666748108312
307977.19589744581140.2194522158099680.2194522158099680.78792553954336
317676.39628909656790.2155752012211210.215575201221121-0.304161291742526
327877.3427750807390.2182870238635970.2182870238635980.218179022803578
337475.20522293227010.2096491677210720.209649167721072-0.703251911791177
346770.03880225877720.1900696265087870.190069626508788-1.60485843451647
358478.69462157513230.2207543467103060.2207543467103052.52720259138582
368582.57063559295630.2339495138511650.2339495138511651.09117468888908
377982.14675257858680.24955719104728-2.74512910264231-0.213848973404279
388281.97740878993930.2430525795120910.243052580407758-0.114757640337272
398785.06668237170160.2647749264041350.264774926404140.836704830670475
409088.08049320032060.2773760583801340.2773760583801330.817824080140711
418787.33794150779770.2738735586053850.273873558605386-0.304190302277821
429390.80114444498380.2834371354527810.2834371354527840.95185158225336
439291.478674200790.2845527369032490.2845527369032490.117641912893809
448285.49767327284610.2672392064069330.267239206406933-1.87049399251426
458082.00341474036730.2569576635219760.256957663521977-1.12297464002687
467980.06705141253550.2509971976071760.250997197607176-0.65481120085816
477778.09247388590030.2449724445351130.244972444535112-0.664443513951042
487274.23279073367530.2338957335889060.233895733588908-1.22544423641301
496570.64273193652280.301499153590485-3.31649068972884-1.21787184757929
507372.07305771749330.3154549158120930.3154549166683340.31498201419157
517674.45431464030240.3279774274853570.327977427485360.609271874598881
527775.96195014274960.3322745829830210.3322745829830210.351218173594776
537675.90339913722350.3312072649368760.331207264936877-0.116593422635784
547675.88168620334620.3303651414541280.33036514145413-0.105341877835165
557675.87373629195130.3296025948719670.329602594871966-0.100999793292155
567575.24722410045310.3274977644322670.327497764432267-0.28545356534207
577876.88313118837620.3303485478076680.3303485478076680.390641870095608
587374.37944133025990.3242060268368660.324206026836867-0.846144685002127
598077.80483704273740.3309052814083060.3309052814083050.925909961974673
607777.22097445457780.3289342981794310.328934298179431-0.273119072231903
618382.69653179353880.256427263216746-2.820699894628491.61873441817424
628483.45905931853870.2616248849811750.2616248845082790.142913657926496
638584.35808960021540.2648294278904060.264829427890410.188394873356552
648182.19600380469830.2574947766047090.257494776604708-0.722936593687251
658483.25770522732330.2593177510450860.2593177510450870.239957669690643
668383.03272181543060.2583581312426150.258358131242617-0.1445693247621
678382.9483361400960.2577163775913970.257716377591395-0.102327452765728
688886.03576694282580.2628932392379080.2628932392379070.844864268051462
699289.69117291302490.2690382036038780.2690382036038791.01291701693603
709291.06480871761740.2710292495909730.2710292495909730.329806761327225
718989.70966790425480.2681067232017360.268106723201735-0.485537368904644
728284.83396816778530.2588829569586080.258882956958611-1.53582549305122
737379.76417972186970.321281389738995-3.53409528701191-1.66190989727903
748180.46383225415380.3246046048230980.3246046049194350.107742102156151
759186.97788589350970.3511862703312550.3511862703312551.83215876071106
768082.53469266274930.3388055739243090.338805573924307-1.42868737843286
778181.4931367814410.3361311091193810.336131109119381-0.411920714514037
788281.72607764051080.3359562924160320.335956292416034-0.0308052630027747
798483.06148232996560.3375567342054060.3375567342054040.298400485675008
808785.43497019119590.3407430130849550.3407430130849550.607884179123581
818585.07919392580780.3396634653220440.339663465322044-0.207968597752925
827478.08311418331640.3283461013628860.328346101362885-2.19033910751673
838179.82151939880510.3305156345750990.3305156345750960.421022785561924
848281.09872162011290.3319693469107760.3319693469107780.282666902775438
858686.22212969716040.283965683975488-3.12362252187191.48530674933473
868585.36754288240410.2752305946323830.275230592127522-0.326217097868443
878283.19090460478270.266040208978370.26604020897837-0.726604052954072
888684.87836524883720.269244426769370.2692444267693670.423687862536257
898886.7594556120860.2719712773753750.2719712773753760.481043660524676
908686.21819436676180.2707680453728510.270768045372852-0.242784028862689
918384.14319438673690.2674867545661110.267486754566109-0.70038463364776
928182.11581565826080.2643488137161970.264348813716196-0.68521209472818
938181.35412905245150.2629591069286110.262959106928611-0.306362865843436
948181.06801412868490.2622187028806470.262218702880646-0.1639483109912
958281.58450822872830.2625607250442340.2625607250442320.0759243853167143
968684.27432886040950.2658197926104230.2658197926104250.724758992758391
978586.52902663623260.248408702593943-2.732495727366780.613716880664773
988786.76103225794910.248296986176110.24829698500016-0.0047222310173554
998988.09939380183410.2519217624024040.2519217624024040.323318998369775
1009089.22324102732190.2536657109394580.2536657109394550.259952917942112
1019089.64503362043540.2539181244864430.2539181244864430.0501798356313908
1029291.0515018476540.2554317101925740.2554317101925760.344096302122603
1038687.83626169538320.2511219273339560.251121927333956-1.03627426215337
1048686.62826683070520.2493504852150830.249350485215082-0.435677987449732
1058283.67863696966830.245502902521280.24550290252128-0.955195874674302
1068081.32248463074730.2423871076097020.2423871076097-0.776841864368349
1077979.81327761937690.2402942966351480.240294296635147-0.523018614462446
1087777.99835732433440.237842716800290.237842716800292-0.613678881430529
1097980.23594643082350.222298274090872-2.445281014391620.614865176516947
1107677.49253778661670.2041386564793670.204138654171933-0.857020986711096
1117877.75871470964670.2043240302833070.2043240302833060.0184136544407165
1127877.85856295235280.2041362372871970.204136237287194-0.0311533113392577
1137777.2721447916090.2030694378738280.203069437873828-0.235965571363356
1147273.93198617780510.1988864986068870.198886498606889-1.05786711344919
1157574.54909329474630.1993534138702540.1993534138702530.124874644375383
1167977.27694835542530.2021136396246570.2021136396246560.754996623156478
1178179.54994721148790.204353545181850.2043535451818510.618361666323503
1188683.52398822680560.2084139955269020.20841399552691.12562486676948
1198886.26525800066640.2111361261323130.2111361261323110.756309403174165
1209792.91118729449470.2180413458885160.2180413458885181.92142716674019
1219495.07363526497730.204450135213088-2.248951483543690.596133696329709
1229695.60551266380740.2062712117589290.2062712081469130.0949101168860215
1239494.54975831767970.2028474279888590.202847427988861-0.374795266166153
1249192.28342380077870.1988174111703540.19881741117035-0.736378990808995
1259292.0572211358710.1982965710758480.198296571075849-0.126866387128905
1269392.59634820445090.1986620090092020.1986620090092040.10176070488943
1279392.79895880777360.1986660131858460.1986660131858460.00117901030417295
1288789.13109726099730.1948317283172030.194831728317202-1.15453724146931
1298485.88094143747820.1914465121839110.191446512183912-1.02867649129432
1308082.1637189219470.1876212106204240.187621210620421-1.16713659864505
1317879.51900151698230.1848551972174840.184855197217483-0.845743367381554
1327576.65327079365350.1818802493969390.181880249396942-0.9109131123932
1337375.73934311098420.188838642048117-2.07722506259314-0.335171159978692
1348179.01437096626250.2045617082476460.2045617100908780.896863700302394
1357677.07831494346390.199244001136150.199244001136151-0.636017560710025
1367776.9799158479450.1987991339040060.198799133904003-0.0887756312705839
1377173.1986742787240.1943322140398470.194332214039848-1.18806848635937
1387171.77840714746590.1927465681765180.192746568176519-0.48207482743743
1397875.61305320482250.1961295732728770.1961295732728761.08744737321083
1406770.18962435974510.1910244538675230.191024453867523-1.67800497111829
1417673.76806721269120.1940740614488950.1940740614488961.01149525614104
1426870.12050225664940.190629250597030.190629250597028-1.14713109946882
1438277.48633360150020.197050075560690.1970500755606872.14255124596136
1446469.02162782265210.1893092895137890.189309289513794-2.58644506375134
1457171.53192153474310.175807072325265-1.933877800284280.708514478602756
1468177.46404710304530.2028613022832810.2028613103163021.67641163150066
1476972.12159082240390.1901568159203940.190156815920395-1.64827098339775
1486366.38020609259480.1819801537972240.18198015379722-1.769324390449
1497068.59411133930190.1840836420649440.1840836420649450.606562945843826
1507773.79417433121610.1886276930007110.1886276930007131.49765644985769
1517574.49986850355330.1890707901843230.1890707901843210.154394233921521
1527675.3891105445620.1896576261391320.1896576261391310.20907345227583
1536870.73093319386610.1856308078349130.185630807834914-1.44759171892638



Parameters (Session):
par1 = 12 ;
Parameters (R input):
par1 = 12 ;
R code (references can be found in the software module):
par1 <- as.numeric(par1)
nx <- length(x)
x <- ts(x,frequency=par1)
m <- StructTS(x,type='BSM')
m$coef
m$fitted
m$resid
mylevel <- as.numeric(m$fitted[,'level'])
myslope <- as.numeric(m$fitted[,'slope'])
myseas <- as.numeric(m$fitted[,'sea'])
myresid <- as.numeric(m$resid)
myfit <- mylevel+myseas
mylagmax <- nx/2
bitmap(file='test2.png')
op <- par(mfrow = c(2,2))
acf(as.numeric(x),lag.max = mylagmax,main='Observed')
acf(mylevel,na.action=na.pass,lag.max = mylagmax,main='Level')
acf(myseas,na.action=na.pass,lag.max = mylagmax,main='Seasonal')
acf(myresid,na.action=na.pass,lag.max = mylagmax,main='Standardized Residals')
par(op)
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test3.png')
op <- par(mfrow = c(2,2))
spectrum(as.numeric(x),main='Observed')
spectrum(mylevel,main='Level')
spectrum(myseas,main='Seasonal')
spectrum(myresid,main='Standardized Residals')
par(op)
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test4.png')
op <- par(mfrow = c(2,2))
cpgram(as.numeric(x),main='Observed')
cpgram(mylevel,main='Level')
cpgram(myseas,main='Seasonal')
cpgram(myresid,main='Standardized Residals')
par(op)
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test1.png')
plot(as.numeric(m$resid),main='Standardized Residuals',ylab='Residuals',xlab='time',type='b')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test5.png')
op <- par(mfrow = c(2,2))
hist(m$resid,main='Residual Histogram')
plot(density(m$resid),main='Residual Kernel Density')
qqnorm(m$resid,main='Residual Normal QQ Plot')
qqline(m$resid)
plot(m$resid^2, myfit^2,main='Sq.Resid vs. Sq.Fit',xlab='Squared residuals',ylab='Squared Fit')
par(op)
dev.off()
load(file='createtable')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Structural Time Series Model',6,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'t',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Observed',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Level',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Slope',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Seasonal',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Stand. Residuals',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:nx) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,i,header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,x[i])
a<-table.element(a,mylevel[i])
a<-table.element(a,myslope[i])
a<-table.element(a,myseas[i])
a<-table.element(a,myresid[i])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable.tab')