| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.370876029075295 |
| beta | 0.00917590632326767 |
| gamma | 0.738454701826832 |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 13 | 1751 | 1719.32478632479 | 31.6752136752134 |
| 14 | 1688 | 1665.50241953539 | 22.4975804646065 |
| 15 | 1920 | 1906.47785063382 | 13.5221493661791 |
| 16 | 1941 | 1932.75386036755 | 8.24613963245497 |
| 17 | 2311 | 2310.93452052842 | 0.0654794715842399 |
| 18 | 2279 | 2283.62305943502 | -4.62305943501678 |
| 19 | 2638 | 2534.59866547331 | 103.401334526692 |
| 20 | 2448 | 2523.78148398622 | -75.7814839862244 |
| 21 | 2279 | 2262.75179652635 | 16.2482034736495 |
| 22 | 2163 | 2204.03400875496 | -41.0340087549639 |
| 23 | 1941 | 2027.43197776787 | -86.4319777678672 |
| 24 | 1878 | 1860.07378959317 | 17.9262104068273 |
| 25 | 1773 | 1807.86288028189 | -34.8628802818907 |
| 26 | 1688 | 1724.89238920939 | -36.8923892093931 |
| 27 | 1783 | 1939.26259152798 | -156.262591527977 |
| 28 | 1984 | 1899.13147515437 | 84.8685248456334 |
| 29 | 2290 | 2301.20281992852 | -11.2028199285228 |
| 30 | 2511 | 2266.76951606566 | 244.230483934342 |
| 31 | 2712 | 2660.30723897064 | 51.6927610293592 |
| 32 | 2522 | 2546.97432050347 | -24.9743205034697 |
| 33 | 2342 | 2347.62221373666 | -5.62221373665989 |
| 34 | 2195 | 2254.18595057483 | -59.1859505748307 |
| 35 | 1931 | 2049.70394069797 | -118.703940697975 |
| 36 | 1910 | 1918.69281956087 | -8.69281956086888 |
| 37 | 1730 | 1831.82751398168 | -101.827513981682 |
| 38 | 1688 | 1722.59338428064 | -34.5933842806396 |
| 39 | 1899 | 1881.88190797862 | 17.1180920213767 |
| 40 | 1994 | 2018.19078449681 | -24.1907844968107 |
| 41 | 2342 | 2334.92338769707 | 7.07661230293434 |
| 42 | 2553 | 2425.74230927145 | 127.257690728552 |
| 43 | 2712 | 2685.85419645247 | 26.1458035475271 |
| 44 | 2627 | 2526.74728464529 | 100.252715354707 |
| 45 | 2363 | 2382.57435928028 | -19.574359280276 |
| 46 | 2311 | 2258.77636438694 | 52.2236356130593 |
| 47 | 2026 | 2068.03920030668 | -42.0392003066763 |
| 48 | 1910 | 2016.90755308185 | -106.907553081851 |
| 49 | 1762 | 1850.35148721395 | -88.3514872139503 |
| 50 | 1815 | 1777.39996031453 | 37.6000396854679 |
| 51 | 2005 | 1987.78213767819 | 17.2178623218065 |
| 52 | 2089 | 2105.23184533993 | -16.2318453399334 |
| 53 | 2617 | 2439.76459499078 | 177.235405009223 |
| 54 | 2828 | 2650.4262506234 | 177.5737493766 |
| 55 | 2965 | 2883.29711896848 | 81.7028810315164 |
| 56 | 2891 | 2780.48509573632 | 110.514904263682 |
| 57 | 2532 | 2585.74542903569 | -53.7454290356854 |
| 58 | 2363 | 2483.81026330298 | -120.810263302984 |
| 59 | 2216 | 2185.69771117973 | 30.3022888202727 |
| 60 | 2026 | 2132.09678837825 | -106.096788378251 |
| 61 | 1804 | 1975.30245427132 | -171.302454271318 |
| 62 | 1773 | 1930.65888369338 | -157.658883693382 |
| 63 | 2015 | 2059.04855112002 | -44.0485511200168 |
| 64 | 2089 | 2137.9209542699 | -48.9209542699036 |
| 65 | 2627 | 2549.78477077631 | 77.2152292236892 |
| 66 | 2712 | 2722.74189244967 | -10.7418924496706 |
| 67 | 3007 | 2839.8238604137 | 167.176139586301 |
| 68 | 2880 | 2780.98067525607 | 99.0193247439329 |
| 69 | 2490 | 2504.50983878482 | -14.5098387848179 |
| 70 | 2237 | 2384.9470432697 | -147.947043269695 |
| 71 | 2205 | 2145.85934337939 | 59.1406566206088 |
| 72 | 1984 | 2038.56922925054 | -54.5692292505448 |
| 73 | 1868 | 1869.75093895411 | -1.75093895410555 |
| 74 | 1815 | 1894.06441631562 | -79.0644163156167 |
| 75 | 2047 | 2104.38732335893 | -57.3873233589347 |
| 76 | 2142 | 2176.00708122268 | -34.0070812226841 |
| 77 | 2743 | 2652.01114589271 | 90.9888541072869 |
| 78 | 2775 | 2789.26912606169 | -14.269126061688 |
| 79 | 3028 | 2987.74363563661 | 40.2563643633903 |
| 80 | 2965 | 2849.77638984234 | 115.223610157656 |
| 81 | 2501 | 2526.2388556632 | -25.2388556631995 |
| 82 | 2501 | 2340.33506526898 | 160.664934731023 |
| 83 | 2131 | 2312.59344366138 | -181.593443661383 |
| 84 | 2015 | 2063.05486835828 | -48.0548683582751 |
| 85 | 1910 | 1921.07439941135 | -11.07439941135 |
| 86 | 1868 | 1905.86354231503 | -37.8635423150315 |
| 87 | 2121 | 2141.5295861511 | -20.5295861510963 |
| 88 | 2268 | 2237.79839520605 | 30.2016047939451 |
| 89 | 2690 | 2796.02240591415 | -106.022405914146 |
| 90 | 2933 | 2810.97840067866 | 122.021599321339 |
| 91 | 3218 | 3085.46058943942 | 132.539410560581 |
| 92 | 3028 | 3016.99050174716 | 11.0094982528399 |
| 93 | 2659 | 2589.6351470161 | 69.3648529839024 |
| 94 | 2406 | 2525.59533785967 | -119.595337859665 |
| 95 | 2258 | 2234.36252730372 | 23.6374726962813 |
| 96 | 2057 | 2123.1337702703 | -66.1337702702999 |
| 97 | 1889 | 1991.72241417917 | -102.722414179175 |
| 98 | 1984 | 1929.85770211361 | 54.1422978863889 |
| 99 | 2110 | 2207.79450039303 | -97.7945003930263 |
| 100 | 2311 | 2298.80832903545 | 12.1916709645479 |
| 101 | 2785 | 2786.83675686715 | -1.8367568671456 |
| 102 | 3039 | 2946.50261046966 | 92.4973895303424 |
| 103 | 3229 | 3214.9461797676 | 14.0538202324033 |
| 104 | 3070 | 3045.69393537735 | 24.3060646226454 |
| 105 | 2659 | 2650.04753398464 | 8.95246601536473 |
| 106 | 2543 | 2475.27645746955 | 67.7235425304489 |
| 107 | 2237 | 2320.15751414423 | -83.1575141442304 |
| 108 | 2142 | 2127.35048526629 | 14.6495147337059 |
| 109 | 1962 | 2008.91160561495 | -46.9116056149464 |
| 110 | 1910 | 2040.82208208466 | -130.822082084665 |
| 111 | 2216 | 2179.14399834817 | 36.8560016518281 |
| 112 | 2437 | 2371.22273207583 | 65.7772679241652 |
| 113 | 2817 | 2872.81874608675 | -55.8187460867493 |
| 114 | 3123 | 3056.31727570705 | 66.6827242929476 |
| 115 | 3345 | 3278.68326163055 | 66.3167383694522 |
| 116 | 3112 | 3133.6946567199 | -21.6946567199016 |
| 117 | 2659 | 2713.81576912023 | -54.8157691202305 |
| 118 | 2469 | 2542.4424587793 | -73.4424587792955 |
| 119 | 2332 | 2264.13580547722 | 67.8641945227819 |
| 120 | 2110 | 2172.55582976034 | -62.555829760342 |
| 121 | 1910 | 1996.39813698141 | -86.3981369814078 |
| 122 | 1941 | 1974.06137250001 | -33.0613725000071 |
| 123 | 2216 | 2226.25335250864 | -10.2533525086428 |
| 124 | 2342 | 2413.84941662601 | -71.849416626013 |
| 125 | 2923 | 2806.99644133954 | 116.003558660459 |
| 126 | 3229 | 3110.80062709088 | 118.199372909122 |
| 127 | 3513 | 3351.94739455725 | 161.052605442747 |
| 128 | 3355 | 3201.37267605302 | 153.62732394698 |
| 129 | 2849 | 2831.89267812599 | 17.1073218740053 |
| 130 | 2680 | 2679.54866347855 | 0.451336521454778 |
| 131 | 2395 | 2495.55542378413 | -100.555423784134 |
| 132 | 2205 | 2281.60881346916 | -76.6088134691572 |
| 133 | 1994 | 2089.8013748092 | -95.8013748091998 |
| 134 | 1952 | 2089.36316209138 | -137.36316209138 |
| 135 | 2290 | 2313.72011341798 | -23.720113417985 |
| 136 | 2395 | 2467.91144275713 | -72.9114427571285 |
| 137 | 2965 | 2948.13966082451 | 16.8603391754914 |
| 138 | 3239 | 3216.05915863277 | 22.940841367235 |
| 139 | 3608 | 3441.32640449655 | 166.673595503455 |
| 140 | 3524 | 3288.94672005947 | 235.053279940525 |
| 141 | 3018 | 2886.07833579348 | 131.921664206523 |
| 142 | 2648 | 2768.80598583115 | -120.805985831148 |
| 143 | 2363 | 2492.73079014099 | -129.730790140993 |
| 144 | 2247 | 2278.80470787759 | -31.8047078775912 |
| 145 | 1994 | 2094.56590682913 | -100.565906829134 |
| 146 | 1941 | 2072.90401292734 | -131.904012927345 |
| 147 | 2258 | 2351.95257303289 | -93.9525730328892 |
| 148 | 2332 | 2456.8747753331 | -124.874775333102 |
| 149 | 3323 | 2958.99203031108 | 364.007969688918 |
| 150 | 3608 | 3359.12138306392 | 248.878616936075 |
| 151 | 3957 | 3736.36397024969 | 220.636029750312 |
| 152 | 3672 | 3637.35424074456 | 34.6457592554407 |
| 153 | 3155 | 3113.15343762451 | 41.8465623754928 |
| 154 | 2933 | 2845.66252252612 | 87.3374774738827 |
| 155 | 2585 | 2643.94503430739 | -58.9450343073941 |
| 156 | 2384 | 2503.31560835617 | -119.315608356168 |
| 157 | 2057 | 2255.92771506693 | -198.927715066935 |
| 158 | 2100 | 2184.14365374257 | -84.143653742567 |
| 159 | 2458 | 2499.61629644854 | -41.6162964485434 |
| 160 | 2638 | 2610.84050024891 | 27.1594997510911 |
| 161 | 3292 | 3398.24349674399 | -106.243496743993 |
| 162 | 3724 | 3570.65573112627 | 153.344268873727 |
| 163 | 4652 | 3899.19549645225 | 752.804503547752 |
| 164 | 4379 | 3912.80756183053 | 466.192438169474 |
| 165 | 4231 | 3555.13157148651 | 675.868428513486 |
| 166 | 3756 | 3549.20512058659 | 206.794879413407 |
| 167 | 3429 | 3329.52498649878 | 99.4750135012237 |
| 168 | 3461 | 3225.83527882604 | 235.164721173956 |
| 169 | 3345 | 3080.36828030095 | 264.631719699049 |
| 170 | 4220 | 3242.84997435996 | 977.150025640035 |
| 171 | 4874 | 3984.31640185035 | 889.683598149652 |
| 172 | 5064 | 4488.68662852269 | 575.313371477308 |
| 173 | 5951 | 5435.07327439189 | 515.926725608113 |
| 174 | 6774 | 5978.61284371486 | 795.387156285135 |
| 175 | 7997 | 6845.73299066652 | 1151.26700933348 |
| 176 | 7523 | 6897.29225587943 | 625.707744120571 |
| 177 | 7438 | 6720.05181081728 | 717.948189182724 |
| 178 | 6879 | 6535.81692056574 | 343.183079434261 |
| 179 | 6489 | 6341.33259746126 | 147.667402538744 |
| 180 | 6288 | 6343.19027267621 | -55.1902726762082 |
| 181 | 5919 | 6127.37453517964 | -208.374535179635 |
| 182 | 6183 | 6467.48848908012 | -284.488489080119 |
| 183 | 6594 | 6718.15231259718 | -124.152312597184 |
| 184 | 6489 | 6714.75890612939 | -225.758906129388 |
| 185 | 8040 | 7348.02486053446 | 691.975139465537 |
| 186 | 9715 | 8098.85491871892 | 1616.14508128108 |
| 187 | 9714 | 9450.6688998668 | 263.331100133204 |
| 188 | 9756 | 8940.68806664837 | 815.311933351633 |
| 189 | 8595 | 8889.20367662469 | -294.203676624687 |
| 190 | 7861 | 8164.61661726071 | -303.616617260714 |
| 191 | 7753 | 7646.35496899541 | 106.645031004594 |
| 192 | 8154 | 7545.55306139686 | 608.446938603143 |
| 193 | 7778 | 7513.75478047377 | 264.245219526234 |
| 194 | 7402 | 8004.45606828343 | -602.456068283429 |
| 195 | 8903 | 8221.26514786969 | 681.73485213031 |
| 196 | 9742 | 8481.87706050586 | 1260.12293949414 |
| 197 | 11372 | 10109.9635206508 | 1262.03647934925 |
| 198 | 12741 | 11520.888187115 | 1220.11181288498 |
| 199 | 13733 | 12115.3075180928 | 1617.6924819072 |
| 200 | 13691 | 12386.6492371992 | 1304.35076280081 |
| 201 | 12239 | 12025.3269899034 | 213.673010096645 |
| 202 | 12502 | 11510.7021580318 | 991.297841968151 |
| 203 | 11241 | 11693.6751686335 | -452.675168633534 |
| 204 | 10829 | 11647.0410297073 | -818.041029707292 |
| 205 | 11569 | 10949.9082759871 | 619.091724012909 |
| 206 | 10397 | 11194.3943164791 | -797.394316479131 |
| 207 | 12493 | 11959.6833074299 | 533.316692570101 |
| 208 | 11962 | 12457.6216661743 | -495.6216661743 |
| 209 | 13974 | 13453.1224182056 | 520.877581794442 |
| 210 | 14945 | 14584.8583053721 | 360.141694627922 |
| 211 | 16805 | 15057.2832315172 | 1747.71676848282 |
| 212 | 16587 | 15243.958221931 | 1343.04177806901 |
| 213 | 14225 | 14403.0931671908 | -178.093167190824 |
| 214 | 14157 | 14115.9212270044 | 41.0787729956173 |
| 215 | 13016 | 13283.887689737 | -267.887689736966 |
| 216 | 12253 | 13144.9214078973 | -891.921407897347 |
| 217 | 11704 | 13096.6753827099 | -1392.67538270993 |
| 218 | 12275 | 11938.7531770061 | 336.24682299386 |
| 219 | 13695 | 13748.3399439789 | -53.3399439789064 |
| 220 | 14082 | 13554.3175539049 | 527.682446095123 |
| 221 | 16555 | 15408.7043288844 | 1146.29567111564 |
| 222 | 17339 | 16706.9688514463 | 632.031148553728 |
| 223 | 17777 | 17935.0460062555 | -158.046006255514 |
| 224 | 17592 | 17230.6059314316 | 361.394068568396 |
| 225 | 16194 | 15319.3328003875 | 874.667199612461 |
| 226 | 15336 | 15528.3596438031 | -192.359643803104 |
| 227 | 14208 | 14469.3478689959 | -261.347868995912 |
| 228 | 13116 | 14046.0539761182 | -930.05397611823 |
| 229 | 12354 | 13754.0559000449 | -1400.05590004487 |
| 230 | 12682 | 13399.6236914745 | -717.623691474506 |
| 231 | 14141 | 14636.7799948154 | -495.779994815439 |
| 232 | 14989 | 14546.5115349338 | 442.488465066153 |
| 233 | 16159 | 16654.3202515703 | -495.320251570298 |
| 234 | 18276 | 17096.8686653307 | 1179.13133466927 |
| 235 | 19157 | 18154.6969903771 | 1002.30300962293 |
| 236 | 18737 | 18119.7711188158 | 617.228881184175 |
| 237 | 17109 | 16540.5551566073 | 568.444843392663 |
| 238 | 17094 | 16137.9684675178 | 956.031532482239 |
| 239 | 15418 | 15474.4009046987 | -56.4009046987103 |
| 240 | 14312 | 14818.7311743551 | -506.731174355125 |
| 241 | 13260 | 14469.1021449996 | -1209.10214499956 |
| 242 | 14990 | 14506.906048776 | 483.093951224026 |
| 243 | 15975 | 16300.9018704797 | -325.90187047974 |
| 244 | 16770 | 16718.5736752791 | 51.426324720891 |
| 245 | 19819 | 18253.3654272309 | 1565.6345727691 |
| 246 | 20983 | 20252.9076029881 | 730.092397011886 |
| 247 | 22001 | 21075.2382393437 | 925.761760656278 |
| 248 | 22337 | 20845.957920837 | 1491.04207916298 |
| 249 | 20750 | 19584.058390033 | 1165.94160996701 |
| 250 | 19969 | 19601.0712647383 | 367.928735261725 |
| 251 | 17293 | 18264.9711590729 | -971.971159072909 |
| 252 | 16498 | 17073.3444313846 | -575.344431384558 |
| 253 | 15117 | 16384.5479967099 | -1267.5479967099 |
| 254 | 16058 | 17199.2233444287 | -1141.22334442866 |
| 255 | 18137 | 18021.8160476145 | 115.183952385494 |
| 256 | 18471 | 18786.7361936509 | -315.736193650864 |
| 257 | 21398 | 20895.938080381 | 502.06191961898 |
| 258 | 23854 | 22116.3430914674 | 1737.65690853259 |
| 259 | 26025 | 23410.1803545518 | 2614.81964544821 |
| 260 | 25479 | 24082.6179845098 | 1396.3820154902 |
| 261 | 22804 | 22646.9233229846 | 157.07667701539 |
| 262 | 19619 | 21927.9456685221 | -2308.94566852208 |
| 263 | 19627 | 18976.3709398667 | 650.629060133269 |
| 264 | 18488 | 18576.1183379311 | -88.1183379310824 |
| 265 | 17243 | 17753.4227800978 | -510.422780097786 |
| 266 | 18284 | 18917.1461850425 | -633.146185042489 |
| 267 | 20226 | 20523.1633317527 | -297.163331752676 |
| 268 | 20903 | 20944.8434583587 | -41.8434583586968 |
| 269 | 23768 | 23546.3763623475 | 221.623637652472 |
| 270 | 26323 | 25246.6698243547 | 1076.33017564529 |
| 271 | 28038 | 26710.3622695814 | 1327.63773041856 |
| 272 | 26776 | 26342.5868731094 | 433.413126890599 |
| 273 | 22886 | 23973.9502120003 | -1087.95021200026 |
| 274 | 22813 | 21643.2773858084 | 1169.72261419163 |
| 275 | 22404 | 21364.3726026279 | 1039.62739737213 |
| 276 | 19795 | 20774.0643895809 | -979.064389580893 |
| 277 | 18839 | 19430.5934560556 | -591.593456055649 |
| 278 | 18892 | 20512.7707520046 | -1620.77075200456 |
| 279 | 20823 | 21910.8043105459 | -1087.80431054594 |
| 280 | 22212 | 22157.3923196493 | 54.6076803506548 |
| 281 | 25076 | 24916.9475763078 | 159.052423692232 |
| 282 | 26884 | 26990.7506311877 | -106.750631187715 |
| 283 | 30611 | 28128.0295198824 | 2482.97048011758 |
| 284 | 30228 | 27772.8430217129 | 2455.15697828707 |
| 285 | 26762 | 25453.6507780697 | 1308.34922193026 |
| 286 | 25885 | 25075.1538973482 | 809.846102651834 |
| 287 | 23328 | 24615.6925519231 | -1287.69255192306 |
| 288 | 21930 | 22229.8266564079 | -299.826656407859 |
| 289 | 21433 | 21326.0237493026 | 106.976250697448 |
| 290 | 22369 | 22199.2703532565 | 169.729646743497 |
| 291 | 24503 | 24525.177474591 | -22.1774745910116 |
| 292 | 25905 | 25717.5632196437 | 187.436780356293 |
| 293 | 30605 | 28595.1975645597 | 2009.80243544031 |
| 294 | 34984 | 31258.504167837 | 3725.49583216297 |
| 295 | 37060 | 35059.8358938856 | 2000.16410611445 |
| 296 | 34502 | 34550.656457592 | -48.6564575920202 |
| 297 | 31793 | 30799.5455630375 | 993.45443696246 |
| 298 | 29275 | 30101.0649421019 | -826.064942101912 |
| 299 | 28305 | 28083.2401676455 | 221.759832354543 |
| 300 | 25248 | 26744.1034657454 | -1496.10346574541 |
| 301 | 27730 | 25609.5185910008 | 2120.48140899919 |
| 302 | 27424 | 27289.4282562699 | 134.571743730135 |
| 303 | 32684 | 29543.7687014546 | 3140.23129854539 |
| 304 | 31366 | 32047.789292217 | -681.789292217029 |
| 305 | 37459 | 35488.1150035069 | 1970.88499649311 |
| 306 | 41060 | 38972.3643509932 | 2087.63564900677 |
| 307 | 43558 | 41397.4255266695 | 2160.5744733305 |
| 308 | 42398 | 40029.1705772113 | 2368.82942278872 |
| 309 | 33827 | 37700.2899360727 | -3873.28993607272 |
| 310 | 34962 | 34376.4761269119 | 585.523873088088 |
| 311 | 33480 | 33398.7147266862 | 81.2852733137915 |
| 312 | 32445 | 31238.6581133572 | 1206.34188664282 |
| 313 | 30715 | 32824.9964856447 | -2109.99648564472 |
| 314 | 30400 | 32037.3730979046 | -1637.37309790455 |
| 315 | 31451 | 35048.9423224747 | -3597.94232247466 |
| 316 | 31306 | 33273.4050457438 | -1967.40504574377 |
| 317 | 40592 | 37460.03165203 | 3131.96834797 |
| 318 | 44133 | 41423.8169803915 | 2709.18301960848 |
| 319 | 47387 | 44110.0742977843 | 3276.92570221571 |
| 320 | 41310 | 43253.1905666117 | -1943.19056661169 |
| 321 | 37913 | 36411.0420229293 | 1501.95797707074 |
| 322 | 34355 | 37156.463159527 | -2801.46315952705 |
| 323 | 34607 | 34680.9747902938 | -73.9747902938398 |
| 324 | 28729 | 32978.1701481027 | -4249.17014810273 |
| 325 | 26138 | 30974.0770019108 | -4836.0770019108 |
| 326 | 30745 | 29359.2997956496 | 1385.70020435043 |
| 327 | 35018 | 32555.8148933552 | 2462.1851066448 |
| 328 | 34549 | 33780.5720857376 | 768.427914262371 |
| 329 | 40980 | 41355.4527443222 | -375.452744322167 |
| 330 | 42869 | 43814.6006274969 | -945.600627496919 |
| 331 | 45022 | 45389.3086416086 | -367.308641608572 |
| 332 | 40387 | 40723.4653782366 | -336.465378236564 |
| 333 | 38180 | 36050.985072079 | 2129.014927921 |
| 334 | 38608 | 35005.045883826 | 3602.95411617404 |
| 335 | 35308 | 36169.0934747513 | -861.093474751258 |
| 336 | 30234 | 32229.1321008065 | -1995.13210080651 |
| 337 | 28801 | 30790.4905997381 | -1989.49059973807 |
| 338 | 33034 | 33133.7897115563 | -99.7897115563319 |
| 339 | 35294 | 36286.2649532659 | -992.264953265927 |
| 340 | 33181 | 35437.9884113482 | -2256.98841134819 |
| 341 | 40797 | 41344.1191923736 | -547.119192373641 |
| 342 | 42355 | 43458.864935517 | -1103.86493551697 |
| 343 | 46098 | 45227.1444316357 | 870.855568364277 |
| 344 | 42430 | 41022.6546563371 | 1407.34534366291 |
| 345 | 41851 | 38136.0770046775 | 3714.92299532251 |
| 346 | 39331 | 38362.2254720855 | 968.774527914524 |
| 347 | 37328 | 36465.5996759288 | 862.400324071234 |
| 348 | 34514 | 32634.0408602227 | 1879.95913977726 |
| 349 | 32494 | 32644.4373331774 | -150.437333177397 |
| 350 | 33308 | 36563.2107363795 | -3255.21073637953 |
| 351 | 36805 | 38135.5490423122 | -1330.54904231217 |
| 352 | 34221 | 36577.8539916447 | -2356.85399164469 |
| 353 | 41020 | 43244.5850590939 | -2224.58505909388 |
| 354 | 44350 | 44476.1053661071 | -126.105366107106 |
| 355 | 46173 | 47525.3137898347 | -1352.31378983469 |
| 356 | 44435 | 42738.8668208347 | 1696.13317916534 |
| 357 | 40943 | 41025.7506817426 | -82.7506817426329 |
| 358 | 39269 | 38549.008261411 | 719.991738589022 |
| 359 | 35901 | 36491.2286499558 | -590.228649955759 |
| 360 | 32142 | 32569.2511516166 | -427.251151616576 |
| 361 | 31239 | 30748.4157846876 | 490.584215312378 |
| 362 | 32261 | 33432.4337857292 | -1171.43378572917 |
| 363 | 34951 | 36648.7641508871 | -1697.76415088707 |
| 364 | 38109 | 34453.8385106594 | 3655.16148934064 |
| 365 | 43168 | 43407.9520682703 | -239.952068270257 |
| 366 | 45547 | 46353.4105103579 | -806.41051035795 |
| 367 | 49568 | 48581.2981096789 | 986.701890321121 |
| 368 | 45387 | 46087.2014912307 | -700.201491230677 |
| 369 | 41805 | 42659.3735393734 | -854.373539373431 |
| 370 | 41281 | 40267.2308310179 | 1013.7691689821 |
| 371 | 36068 | 37708.5428005429 | -1640.54280054291 |
| 372 | 34879 | 33468.0088037124 | 1410.99119628761 |
| 373 | 32791 | 32756.8606005089 | 34.1393994910977 |
| 374 | 34206 | 34499.4208358435 | -293.42083584347 |
| 375 | 39128 | 37799.8170748599 | 1328.18292514008 |
| 376 | 40249 | 39227.254395078 | 1021.74560492203 |
| 377 | 43519 | 45399.3970820117 | -1880.39708201172 |
| 378 | 46137 | 47471.9962198134 | -1334.99621981337 |
| 379 | 56709 | 50333.7960065733 | 6375.20399342668 |
| 380 | 52306 | 49069.7111651138 | 3236.28883488617 |
| 381 | 49397 | 47058.8506315809 | 2338.14936841909 |
| 382 | 45500 | 46758.1462984039 | -1258.14629840387 |
| 383 | 39857 | 42155.4958491533 | -2298.49584915328 |
| 384 | 37958 | 39118.1596871897 | -1160.15968718975 |
| 385 | 35567 | 36834.5626599704 | -1267.5626599704 |
| 386 | 37696 | 37958.5317631441 | -262.531763144128 |
| 387 | 42319 | 42040.2098375985 | 278.790162401499 |
| 388 | 39137 | 42948.9786761683 | -3811.97867616828 |
| 389 | 47062 | 45976.5736310391 | 1085.42636896094 |
| 390 | 50610 | 49409.0416380025 | 1200.95836199749 |
| 391 | 54457 | 56808.531691442 | -2351.531691442 |
| 392 | 54435 | 50835.0999281789 | 3599.90007182114 |
| 393 | 48516 | 48528.5402285829 | -12.5402285829405 |
| 394 | 43225 | 45663.9597216983 | -2438.95972169832 |
| 395 | 42155 | 40114.7339819851 | 2040.2660180149 |
| 396 | 39995 | 39204.8388763137 | 790.161123686317 |
| 397 | 37541 | 37590.7596216533 | -49.7596216532766 |
| 398 | 37277 | 39633.5315804527 | -2356.53158045268 |
| 399 | 41778 | 43183.1883707204 | -1405.18837072035 |
| 400 | 41666 | 41554.2975406081 | 111.702459391883 |
| 401 | 49616 | 48313.0539667992 | 1302.94603320075 |
| 402 | 57793 | 51881.336790259 | 5911.66320974102 |
| 403 | 61884 | 59394.9994025259 | 2489.0005974741 |
| 404 | 62400 | 58015.6907763804 | 4384.30922361955 |
| 405 | 50820 | 54358.4253914357 | -3538.42539143567 |
| 406 | 51116 | 49083.5563543896 | 2032.44364561039 |
| 407 | 45731 | 47313.4830215686 | -1582.48302156855 |
| 408 | 42528 | 44506.7546835221 | -1978.75468352214 |
| 409 | 40459 | 41493.6486813381 | -1034.64868133811 |
| 410 | 40295 | 42114.2258661348 | -1819.22586613482 |
| 411 | 44147 | 46321.7156465261 | -2174.71564652614 |
| 412 | 42697 | 45126.1078414317 | -2429.10784143174 |
| 413 | 52561 | 51501.2851289884 | 1059.71487101159 |
| 414 | 56572 | 57124.9664589025 | -552.966458902461 |
| 415 | 56858 | 60633.4452266252 | -3775.44522662515 |
| 416 | 58363 | 57772.4981692795 | 590.50183072051 |
| 417 | 45627 | 48975.7219742284 | -3348.72197422841 |
| 418 | 45622 | 46308.2287537234 | -686.228753723357 |
| 419 | 41304 | 41790.0995103474 | -486.099510347383 |
| 420 | 36016 | 39149.280485235 | -3133.280485235 |
| 421 | 35592 | 36086.0585519579 | -494.058551957882 |
| 422 | 35677 | 36483.9265014496 | -806.926501449634 |
| 423 | 39864 | 40846.4429096845 | -982.442909684549 |
| 424 | 41761 | 39923.6348648584 | 1837.36513514162 |
| 425 | 50380 | 49465.2995390156 | 914.700460984437 |
| 426 | 49129 | 54248.8053547255 | -5119.80535472548 |
| 427 | 55066 | 54513.739407733 | 552.260592266975 |
| 428 | 55671 | 55248.1762662529 | 422.823733747064 |
| 429 | 49058 | 44520.570643777 | 4537.42935622296 |
| 430 | 44503 | 46003.0805749423 | -1500.08057494227 |
| 431 | 42145 | 41261.5982638112 | 883.401736188775 |
| 432 | 38698 | 37889.0379566025 | 808.962043397456 |
| 433 | 38963 | 37517.6134580023 | 1445.38654199769 |
| 434 | 38690 | 38499.6088519492 | 190.391148050781 |
| 435 | 39792 | 43164.0449323146 | -3372.04493231464 |
| 436 | 42545 | 42670.4636291153 | -125.463629115293 |
| 437 | 50145 | 51054.2789591982 | -909.278959198244 |
| 438 | 58164 | 52350.3672171017 | 5813.63278289828 |
| 439 | 59035 | 59335.1458124649 | -300.145812464922 |
| 440 | 59408 | 59720.1795577237 | -312.17955772375 |
| 441 | 55988 | 50655.9068798246 | 5332.09312017539 |
| 442 | 47321 | 49655.305618243 | -2334.305618243 |
| 443 | 42269 | 45735.9781539157 | -3466.9781539157 |
| 444 | 39606 | 40724.8099561677 | -1118.80995616772 |
| 445 | 37059 | 39936.9572841454 | -2877.95728414541 |
| 446 | 37963 | 38720.6364536352 | -757.636453635219 |
| 447 | 31043 | 41363.3641667323 | -10320.3641667323 |
| 448 | 41712 | 39762.3944340541 | 1949.60556594591 |
| 449 | 50366 | 48520.0016495552 | 1845.99835044478 |
| 450 | 56977 | 53939.0031447764 | 3037.99685522361 |
| 451 | 56807 | 57022.3021299807 | -215.302129980679 |
| 452 | 54634 | 57401.7742209818 | -2767.77422098182 |
| 453 | 51367 | 50009.1998280503 | 1357.80017194973 |
| 454 | 48073 | 43919.6572567771 | 4153.34274322289 |
| 455 | 46251 | 41848.9856096043 | 4402.01439039571 |
| 456 | 43736 | 40842.6872660914 | 2893.31273390858 |
| 457 | 39975 | 40734.7628053576 | -759.762805357626 |
| 458 | 40478 | 41305.4876778415 | -827.487677841498 |
| 459 | 46895 | 39495.8241938436 | 7399.17580615637 |
| 460 | 46147 | 50243.4486672207 | -4096.44866722068 |
| 461 | 55011 | 56766.4745461254 | -1755.47454612541 |
| 462 | 57799 | 61447.1869940038 | -3648.18699400382 |
| 463 | 62450 | 60560.2033452768 | 1889.79665472322 |
| 464 | 63896 | 60562.6225538568 | 3333.37744614325 |
| 465 | 57784 | 57398.2823368587 | 385.717663141346 |
| 466 | 53231 | 52292.4672296122 | 938.532770387763 |
| 467 | 50354 | 49179.5846353648 | 1174.41536463516 |
| 468 | 38410 | 46298.9085666122 | -7888.90856661221 |
| 469 | 41600 | 40481.8525745161 | 1118.14742548385 |
| 470 | 41471 | 41710.8566013768 | -239.856601376785 |
| 471 | 46287 | 43936.3416901791 | 2350.65830982085 |
| 472 | 49013 | 47449.0498546317 | 1563.95014536826 |
| 473 | 56624 | 57156.3036272144 | -532.303627214438 |
| 474 | 61739 | 61412.8608898858 | 326.139110114178 |
| 475 | 66600 | 64587.7341709244 | 2012.26582907561 |
| 476 | 60054 | 65321.6898295187 | -5267.68982951875 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 477 | 57584.1844194078 | 54398.5999478811 | 60769.7688909345 |
| 478 | 52577.0167804489 | 49175.6166855949 | 55978.416875303 |
| 479 | 49207.3214739346 | 45599.4044064872 | 52815.238541382 |
| 480 | 41658.1315887429 | 37851.4516234684 | 45464.8115540173 |
| 481 | 42955.9073536913 | 38957.0327576983 | 46954.7819496842 |
| 482 | 43140.0418190496 | 38954.6078335685 | 47325.4758045307 |
| 483 | 46659.5259176152 | 42292.4186087752 | 51026.6332264551 |
| 484 | 48928.4848358357 | 44383.9783844528 | 53472.9912872186 |
| 485 | 57070.0501314129 | 52351.9116618566 | 61788.1886009692 |
| 486 | 61912.8722751255 | 57024.4434383175 | 66801.3011119335 |
| 487 | 65739.0497672 | 60683.3112887558 | 70794.7882456442 |
| 488 | 62326.6591099181 | 57106.2826024775 | 67547.0356173588 |
