Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation

time[t] = + 3665.18 + 0.0584901hurricanes[t] + 72.7718temperature[t] -1037.22lnTemp[t] + 0.0345823M1[t] -0.0207052M2[t] + 0.0107776M3[t] + 0.057509M4[t] + 0.0317703M5[t] + 0.00708018M6[t] -0.0149561M7[t] -0.110166M8[t] -0.145549M9[t] + 0.0128011M10[t] -0.0489907M11[t] + 0.0853562t + e[t]

Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares
Variable	Parameter	S.D.	T-STAT H0: parameter = 0	2-tail p-value	1-tail p-value
(Intercept)	3665.18	649.48	5.643	2.50186e-08	1.25093e-08
hurricanes	0.0584901	0.0539424	1.084	0.278635	0.139317
temperature	72.7718	27.8067	2.617	0.00907723	0.00453862
lnTemp	-1037.22	393.597	-2.635	0.00861053	0.00430527
M1	0.0345823	0.257347	0.1344	0.893144	0.446572
M2	-0.0207052	0.259	-0.07994	0.936308	0.468154
M3	0.0107776	0.257957	0.04178	0.966687	0.483343
M4	0.057509	0.257243	0.2236	0.823171	0.411586
M5	0.0317703	0.256752	0.1237	0.90156	0.45078
M6	0.00708018	0.257059	0.02754	0.978035	0.489018
M7	-0.0149561	0.258395	-0.05788	0.953862	0.476931
M8	-0.110166	0.285565	-0.3858	0.699784	0.349892
M9	-0.145549	0.304471	-0.478	0.632785	0.316393
M10	0.0128011	0.269233	0.04755	0.962092	0.481046
M11	-0.0489907	0.259057	-0.1891	0.850065	0.425032
t	0.0853562	0.000373202	228.7	0	0

Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics
Multiple R	0.996656
R-squared	0.993322
Adjusted R-squared	0.993167
F-TEST (value)	6386.54
F-TEST (DF numerator)	15
F-TEST (DF denominator)	644
p-value	0
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics
Residual Standard Deviation	1.34588
Sum Squared Residuals	1166.54

Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals
Time or Index	Actuals	Interpolation Forecast	Residuals Prediction Error
1	1948	1946.69	1.31021
2	1948.08	1946.93	1.15294
3	1948.17	1947.03	1.13498
4	1948.25	1947.12	1.12965
5	1948.33	1947.14	1.19663
6	1948.42	1947.19	1.22652
7	1948.5	1947.45	1.04591
8	1948.58	1947.47	1.11329
9	1948.67	1947.59	1.07209
10	1948.75	1947.62	1.13003
11	1948.83	1947.68	1.14956
12	1948.92	1948.01	0.905718
13	1949	1947.71	1.29098
14	1949.08	1948	1.07884
15	1949.17	1948.04	1.1257
16	1949.25	1948.13	1.11879
17	1949.33	1948.19	1.14251
18	1949.42	1948.47	0.949211
19	1949.5	1948.4	1.09673
20	1949.58	1948.51	1.07555
21	1949.67	1948.84	0.829921
22	1949.75	1948.7	1.04727
23	1949.83	1948.74	1.0958
24	1949.92	1948.95	0.963989
25	1950	1949.35	0.653713
26	1950.08	1949.3	0.782736
27	1950.17	1949.07	1.10143
28	1950.25	1949.43	0.815843
29	1950.33	1949.3	1.02978
30	1950.42	1949.32	1.09906
31	1950.5	1949.46	1.0387
32	1950.58	1949.78	0.804178
33	1950.67	1949.71	0.953894
34	1950.75	1950.23	0.518917
35	1950.83	1950.28	0.550728
36	1950.92	1950	0.91988
37	1951	1950.42	0.576201
38	1951.08	1950.75	0.330151
39	1951.17	1950.35	0.818341
40	1951.25	1950.38	0.874115
41	1951.33	1950.28	1.04836
42	1951.42	1950.33	1.08927
43	1951.5	1950.34	1.16188
44	1951.58	1950.42	1.15954
45	1951.67	1950.52	1.14204
46	1951.75	1950.63	1.11843
47	1951.83	1950.62	1.21096
48	1951.92	1950.65	1.26677
49	1952	1950.78	1.22267
50	1952.08	1950.88	1.20234
51	1952.17	1951.16	1.00627
52	1952.25	1951.11	1.14299
53	1952.33	1951.19	1.1391
54	1952.42	1951.25	1.17149
55	1952.5	1951.31	1.1915
56	1952.58	1951.42	1.16771
57	1952.67	1951.49	1.18109
58	1952.75	1951.8	0.948145
59	1952.83	1951.95	0.881077
60	1952.92	1951.9	1.01491
61	1953	1951.82	1.17722
62	1953.08	1951.82	1.26213
63	1953.17	1951.94	1.22862
64	1953.25	1952.08	1.17341
65	1953.33	1952.22	1.11345
66	1953.42	1952.27	1.14721
67	1953.5	1952.34	1.1575
68	1953.58	1952.5	1.08494
69	1953.67	1952.52	1.14435
70	1953.75	1952.82	0.925485
71	1953.83	1952.78	1.05554
72	1953.92	1952.77	1.14772
73	1954	1953.23	0.769184
74	1954.08	1953.05	1.03784
75	1954.17	1953.26	0.906295
76	1954.25	1953.41	0.839323
77	1954.33	1953.61	0.72048
78	1954.42	1953.59	0.827217
79	1954.5	1953.89	0.611286
80	1954.58	1953.74	0.843896
81	1954.67	1953.8	0.867949
82	1954.75	1953.85	0.899117
83	1954.83	1953.71	1.11961
84	1954.92	1954.15	0.764293
85	1955	1953.85	1.14534
86	1955.08	1954.19	0.897309
87	1955.17	1954.67	0.498863
88	1955.25	1954.6	0.649958
89	1955.33	1954.66	0.673673
90	1955.42	1954.59	0.823401
91	1955.5	1954.68	0.822956
92	1955.58	1954.64	0.94715
93	1955.67	1954.92	0.751427
94	1955.75	1954.92	0.831894
95	1955.83	1955.14	0.695605
96	1955.92	1955.43	0.491435
97	1956	1955.3	0.699193
98	1956.08	1955.66	0.4241
99	1956.17	1955.59	0.578885
100	1956.25	1955.72	0.530131
101	1956.33	1955.83	0.502788
102	1956.42	1955.83	0.590505
103	1956.5	1955.76	0.740815
104	1956.58	1956	0.580166
105	1956.67	1956.02	0.643156
106	1956.75	1956.15	0.599764
107	1956.83	1956.09	0.740555
108	1956.92	1956.07	0.850318
109	1957	1956.17	0.83138
110	1957.08	1956.08	1.00686
111	1957.17	1956.21	0.959938
112	1957.25	1956.31	0.937484
113	1957.33	1956.29	1.04534
114	1957.42	1956.44	0.980526
115	1957.5	1956.47	1.02807
116	1957.58	1956.45	1.13087
117	1957.67	1956.67	1.00123
118	1957.75	1956.83	0.923922
119	1957.83	1956.7	1.12975
120	1957.92	1956.79	1.12656
121	1958	1956.95	1.05376
122	1958.08	1956.94	1.1466
123	1958.17	1957.11	1.05426
124	1958.25	1957.3	0.948704
125	1958.33	1957.29	1.04396
126	1958.42	1957.53	0.888217
127	1958.5	1957.42	1.07954
128	1958.58	1957.72	0.863018
129	1958.67	1957.77	0.896378
130	1958.75	1957.83	0.922784
131	1958.83	1957.77	1.06208
132	1958.92	1957.87	1.04683
133	1959	1957.98	1.01786
134	1959.08	1958.01	1.07823
135	1959.17	1958.08	1.08975
136	1959.25	1958.23	1.02376
137	1959.33	1958.4	0.929613
138	1959.42	1958.53	0.884586
139	1959.5	1958.52	0.980979
140	1959.58	1958.58	1.00239
141	1959.67	1958.76	0.906409
142	1959.75	1958.99	0.764282
143	1959.83	1958.99	0.846176
144	1959.92	1958.96	0.954446
145	1960	1959.11	0.893656
146	1960.08	1958.99	1.08924
147	1960.17	1959.82	0.350043
148	1960.25	1959.52	0.729562
149	1960.33	1959.55	0.787036
150	1960.42	1959.54	0.876739
151	1960.5	1959.65	0.849572
152	1960.58	1959.65	0.93145
153	1960.67	1959.66	1.00687
154	1960.75	1959.82	0.932726
155	1960.83	1959.99	0.839051
156	1960.92	1959.88	1.04081
157	1961	1960.07	0.925908
158	1961.08	1960.02	1.06794
159	1961.17	1960.15	1.01945
160	1961.25	1960.31	0.940317
161	1961.33	1960.34	0.99441
162	1961.42	1960.42	1.00041
163	1961.5	1960.65	0.848293
164	1961.58	1960.54	1.04625
165	1961.67	1960.95	0.717884
166	1961.75	1960.9	0.84827
167	1957.67	1961.03	-3.36314
168	1957.75	1961.08	-3.33109
169	1957.83	1961.05	-3.22163
170	1957.92	1961.04	-3.12054
171	1958	1961.19	-3.19025
172	1958.08	1961.28	-3.19942
173	1958.17	1961.4	-3.23455
174	1958.25	1961.52	-3.26868
175	1958.33	1961.51	-3.17712
176	1958.42	1961.68	-3.26235
177	1958.5	1961.56	-3.05768
178	1958.58	1962.11	-3.52776
179	1958.67	1962.13	-3.46799
180	1958.75	1962.08	-3.33222
181	1958.83	1962.12	-3.28931
182	1958.92	1962.12	-3.20028
183	1959	1962.23	-3.22614
184	1959.08	1962.35	-3.26779
185	1959.17	1962.37	-3.19906
186	1959.25	1962.44	-3.19362
187	1959.33	1962.62	-3.29147
188	1959.42	1962.68	-3.26598
189	1959.5	1962.66	-3.15624
190	1959.58	1962.97	-3.38839
191	1959.67	1963.12	-3.45796
192	1959.75	1963.24	-3.49073
193	1959.83	1963.34	-3.50521
194	1959.92	1963.21	-3.29266
195	1960	1963.35	-3.35035
196	1960.08	1963.34	-3.25678
197	1960.17	1964.11	-3.93876
198	1960.25	1963.74	-3.48782
199	1960.33	1963.77	-3.43405
200	1960.42	1963.69	-3.27382
201	1960.5	1963.79	-3.28765
202	1960.58	1964.04	-3.45933
203	1960.67	1964.02	-3.3575
204	1960.75	1964.07	-3.32228
205	1960.83	1964.35	-3.51233
206	1960.92	1964.12	-3.20629
207	1961	1964.32	-3.3181
208	1961.08	1964.36	-3.27809
209	1961.17	1964.44	-3.26935
210	1961.25	1964.53	-3.27706
211	1961.33	1964.56	-3.22667
212	1961.42	1964.57	-3.15015
213	1961.5	1964.79	-3.28892
214	1961.58	1964.93	-3.34453
215	1961.67	1965.31	-3.64648
216	1961.75	1965.22	-3.47485
217	1961.83	1965.33	-3.50014
218	1961.92	1965.45	-3.53637
219	1962	1965.31	-3.31476
220	1962.08	1965.4	-3.31734
221	1962.17	1965.51	-3.3398
222	1962.25	1965.58	-3.32582
223	1962.33	1965.8	-3.46653
224	1962.42	1965.7	-3.28807
225	1962.5	1965.77	-3.26759
226	1962.58	1966.14	-3.55836
227	1962.67	1966.15	-3.48518
228	1962.75	1966.2	-3.45246
229	1962.83	1966.22	-3.3864
230	1962.92	1966.29	-3.37731
231	1963	1966.48	-3.4779
232	1963.08	1966.41	-3.32961
233	1963.17	1966.67	-3.50294
234	1963.25	1966.72	-3.46579
235	1963.33	1966.71	-3.38134
236	1963.42	1966.69	-3.27685
237	1963.5	1966.72	-3.22383
238	1963.58	1966.93	-3.34815
239	1963.67	1967.19	-3.52429
240	1963.75	1967.17	-3.42232
241	1963.83	1967.17	-3.33238
242	1963.92	1967.31	-3.38976
243	1964	1967.44	-3.43509
244	1964.08	1967.73	-3.64897
245	1964.17	1968	-3.83163
246	1964.25	1968.13	-3.88144
247	1964.33	1968.08	-3.74335
248	1964.42	1967.88	-3.46484
249	1964.5	1968.03	-3.53273
250	1968.75	1968.01	0.73684
251	1968.83	1968.1	0.736506
252	1968.92	1968.38	0.54081
253	1969	1968.53	0.466173
254	1969.08	1968.54	0.538723
255	1969.17	1968.45	0.719132
256	1969.25	1968.46	0.788512
257	1969.33	1968.53	0.800216
258	1969.42	1968.63	0.784869
259	1969.5	1968.82	0.678284
260	1969.58	1969.01	0.569852
261	1969.67	1969.11	0.554443
262	1969.75	1969.26	0.486243
263	1969.83	1969.02	0.814865
264	1969.92	1969.08	0.838648
265	1970	1969.25	0.750844
266	1970.08	1969.23	0.856642
267	1970.17	1969.47	0.694857
268	1970.25	1969.56	0.688166
269	1970.33	1969.77	0.560843
270	1970.42	1969.75	0.668301
271	1970.5	1969.97	0.53109
272	1970.58	1970.04	0.546572
273	1970.67	1969.97	0.695917
274	1970.75	1970.25	0.497265
275	1970.83	1970.13	0.701372
276	1970.92	1970.5	0.41403
277	1971	1970.41	0.586395
278	1971.08	1970.79	0.297137
279	1971.17	1970.9	0.263631
280	1971.25	1970.84	0.407915
281	1971.33	1970.92	0.412345
282	1971.42	1971.2	0.2124
283	1971.5	1971.08	0.415821
284	1971.58	1971.18	0.405318
285	1971.67	1971.31	0.354377
286	1971.75	1971.31	0.436626
287	1971.83	1971.27	0.561764
288	1971.92	1971.43	0.486204
289	1972	1971.88	0.119679
290	1972.08	1971.83	0.248702
291	1972.17	1971.57	0.595823
292	1972.25	1971.7	0.547069
293	1972.33	1971.82	0.512295
294	1972.42	1971.82	0.596757
295	1972.5	1971.86	0.639766
296	1972.58	1971.85	0.729613
297	1972.67	1972.02	0.649333
298	1972.75	1972.08	0.672188
299	1972.83	1972.19	0.642713
300	1972.92	1972.16	0.753526
301	1973	1972.27	0.730444
302	1973.08	1972.31	0.775564
303	1973.17	1972.42	0.750203
304	1973.25	1972.56	0.694385
305	1973.33	1972.62	0.711642
306	1973.42	1972.7	0.715189
307	1973.5	1972.93	0.573963
308	1973.58	1973	0.578813
309	1973.67	1973.01	0.660553
310	1973.75	1973.21	0.540138
311	1973.83	1973.2	0.628549
312	1973.92	1973.43	0.489081
313	1974	1973.76	0.240273
314	1974.08	1973.99	0.0980457
315	1974.17	1973.73	0.438477
316	1974.25	1973.88	0.372055
317	1974.33	1973.94	0.395771
318	1974.42	1974.07	0.341731
319	1974.5	1974.05	0.447457
320	1974.58	1974.12	0.462802
321	1974.67	1974.37	0.294075
322	1974.75	1974.44	0.309172
323	1974.83	1974.41	0.427431
324	1974.92	1974.58	0.337297
325	1975	1974.45	0.553727
326	1975.08	1974.57	0.513077
327	1975.17	1974.56	0.605827
328	1975.25	1974.79	0.460302
329	1975.33	1974.73	0.599714
330	1975.42	1975.01	0.403169
331	1975.5	1975.08	0.423183
332	1975.58	1975.33	0.25159
333	1975.67	1975.25	0.416679
334	1975.75	1975.48	0.265613
335	1975.83	1975.55	0.279344
336	1975.92	1975.82	0.100616
337	1976	1975.63	0.370169
338	1976.08	1975.7	0.387549
339	1976.17	1976.21	-0.0383451
340	1976.25	1976	0.247422
341	1976.33	1976.37	-0.0411881
342	1976.42	1976.14	0.273441
343	1976.5	1976.19	0.313196
344	1976.58	1976.57	0.0147984
345	1976.67	1976.29	0.381252
346	1976.75	1976.81	-0.058682
347	1976.83	1976.49	0.339762
348	1976.92	1976.45	0.462871
349	1977	1976.57	0.426266
350	1977.08	1976.43	0.653969
351	1977.17	1976.53	0.639583
352	1977.25	1976.66	0.586822
353	1977.33	1976.71	0.621003
354	1977.42	1976.78	0.633205
355	1977.5	1976.86	0.643658
356	1977.58	1976.94	0.645385
357	1977.67	1977.16	0.504965
358	1977.75	1977.38	0.367589
359	1977.83	1977.16	0.669601
360	1977.92	1977.4	0.517509
361	1978	1977.57	0.433723
362	1978.08	1977.53	0.556258
363	1978.17	1977.58	0.583517
364	1978.25	1977.74	0.511861
365	1978.33	1977.92	0.411195
366	1978.42	1978.04	0.372767
367	1978.5	1978.03	0.471124
368	1978.58	1978.48	0.104133
369	1978.67	1978.2	0.469382
370	1978.75	1978.49	0.258524
371	1978.83	1978.24	0.595515
372	1978.92	1978.45	0.46905
373	1979	1978.53	0.467939
374	1979.08	1978.77	0.314726
375	1979.17	1978.63	0.536341
376	1979.25	1978.81	0.438944
377	1979.33	1978.96	0.372438
378	1979.42	1978.95	0.466794
379	1979.5	1979.17	0.326565
380	1979.58	1979.1	0.487494
381	1979.67	1979.06	0.609721
382	1979.75	1979.23	0.516361
383	1979.83	1979.2	0.63462
384	1979.92	1979.36	0.556327
385	1980	1979.45	0.547001
386	1980.08	1979.47	0.61113
387	1980.17	1979.63	0.541569
388	1980.25	1979.73	0.524465
389	1980.33	1979.78	0.555355
390	1980.42	1979.87	0.545269
391	1980.5	1979.99	0.512345
392	1980.58	1980.05	0.535419
393	1980.67	1980.29	0.371961
394	1980.75	1980.31	0.437393
395	1980.83	1980.33	0.505664
396	1980.92	1980.4	0.520432
397	1981	1980.52	0.481598
398	1981.08	1980.5	0.584021
399	1981.17	1980.65	0.521385
400	1981.25	1980.74	0.506957
401	1981.33	1980.89	0.439838
402	1981.42	1980.94	0.477617
403	1981.5	1980.94	0.563617
404	1981.58	1981.09	0.491071
405	1981.67	1981.25	0.413815
406	1981.75	1981.35	0.39523
407	1981.83	1981.38	0.455524
408	1981.92	1981.37	0.546856
409	1982	1981.62	0.383807
410	1982.08	1981.61	0.469412
411	1982.17	1981.89	0.278041
412	1982.25	1981.87	0.376901
413	1982.33	1981.87	0.461382
414	1982.42	1982.17	0.247144
415	1982.5	1982	0.504062
416	1982.58	1982.18	0.40542
417	1982.67	1982.28	0.383594
418	1982.75	1982.34	0.409472
419	1982.83	1982.35	0.479492
420	1982.92	1982.41	0.509354
421	1983	1982.61	0.389659
422	1983.08	1982.59	0.493488
423	1983.17	1982.71	0.459982
424	1983.25	1982.79	0.457482
425	1983.33	1982.85	0.482532
426	1983.42	1982.94	0.477999
427	1983.5	1983.02	0.479788
428	1983.58	1983.08	0.50131
429	1983.67	1983.13	0.532944
430	1983.75	1983.3	0.445962
431	1983.83	1983.29	0.547686
432	1983.92	1983.46	0.454718
433	1984	1983.54	0.460768
434	1984.08	1983.63	0.448475
435	1984.17	1983.7	0.465656
436	1984.25	1983.97	0.282078
437	1984.33	1983.88	0.455488
438	1984.42	1984.13	0.288217
439	1984.5	1984.04	0.455514
440	1984.58	1984.29	0.291839
441	1984.67	1984.44	0.224012
442	1984.75	1984.45	0.302433
443	1984.83	1984.59	0.246199
444	1984.92	1985.01	-0.0942318
445	1985	1984.63	0.370936
446	1985.08	1984.97	0.111214
447	1985.17	1984.77	0.398851
448	1985.25	1984.92	0.333256
449	1985.33	1984.97	0.365657
450	1985.42	1985.04	0.379639
451	1985.5	1985.38	0.12195
452	1985.58	1985.27	0.31737
453	1985.67	1985.4	0.262391
454	1985.75	1985.53	0.219669
455	1985.83	1985.58	0.251409
456	1985.92	1985.58	0.334624
457	1986	1985.59	0.414581
458	1986.08	1985.62	0.466418
459	1986.17	1985.73	0.433413
460	1986.25	1985.89	0.363838
461	1986.33	1985.98	0.357176
462	1986.42	1986.19	0.229181
463	1986.5	1986.13	0.366174
464	1986.58	1986.17	0.410075
465	1986.67	1986.34	0.32185
466	1986.75	1986.41	0.341552
467	1986.83	1986.57	0.267379
468	1986.92	1986.57	0.350308
469	1987	1986.61	0.38938
470	1987.08	1986.69	0.39639
471	1987.17	1986.8	0.371649
472	1987.25	1986.89	0.357006
473	1987.33	1986.95	0.380722
474	1987.42	1987.01	0.407992
475	1987.5	1987.1	0.399051
476	1987.58	1987.25	0.3322
477	1987.67	1987.31	0.359974
478	1987.75	1987.41	0.33569
479	1987.83	1987.38	0.451289
480	1987.92	1987.62	0.294732
481	1988	1987.8	0.199853
482	1988.08	1987.68	0.4083
483	1988.17	1987.87	0.297721
484	1988.25	1987.94	0.313553
485	1988.33	1987.98	0.355557
486	1988.42	1988.04	0.372423
487	1988.5	1988.1	0.403434
488	1988.58	1988.32	0.26235
489	1988.67	1988.49	0.179338
490	1988.75	1988.44	0.311415
491	1988.83	1988.57	0.265105
492	1988.92	1988.54	0.376002
493	1989	1988.71	0.289633
494	1989.08	1988.69	0.395431
495	1989.17	1988.8	0.361815
496	1989.25	1988.96	0.291015
497	1989.33	1989.08	0.250671
498	1989.42	1989.21	0.205126
499	1989.5	1989.3	0.201327
500	1989.58	1989.29	0.296877
501	1989.67	1989.28	0.389134
502	1989.75	1989.46	0.285917
503	1989.83	1989.52	0.314267
504	1989.92	1989.57	0.351026
505	1990	1989.7	0.302829
506	1990.08	1989.73	0.351938
507	1990.17	1990.22	-0.0573537
508	1990.25	1990.04	0.209594
509	1990.33	1990.03	0.301208
510	1990.42	1990.09	0.327024
511	1990.5	1990.34	0.160605
512	1990.58	1990.43	0.154195
513	1990.67	1990.3	0.363525
514	1990.75	1990.72	0.0327443
515	1990.83	1990.55	0.283084
516	1990.92	1990.63	0.282634
517	1991	1990.73	0.269725
518	1991.08	1990.82	0.267579
519	1991.17	1990.86	0.309906
520	1991.25	1991.05	0.202177
521	1991.33	1991.05	0.280083
522	1991.42	1991.23	0.18189
523	1991.5	1991.25	0.251716
524	1991.58	1991.22	0.360113
525	1991.67	1991.41	0.253031
526	1991.75	1991.63	0.118953
527	1991.83	1991.5	0.334806
528	1991.92	1991.62	0.298774
529	1992	1991.77	0.22843
530	1992.08	1991.8	0.287873
531	1992.17	1991.9	0.269884
532	1992.25	1992.08	0.171713
533	1992.33	1992.07	0.261294
534	1992.42	1992.16	0.25953
535	1992.5	1992.36	0.141395
536	1992.58	1992.39	0.188978
537	1992.67	1992.72	-0.0544734
538	1992.75	1992.7	0.0490789
539	1992.83	1992.77	0.0622737
540	1992.92	1992.67	0.242849
541	1993	1992.76	0.243234
542	1993.08	1992.79	0.298223
543	1993.17	1992.91	0.259224
544	1993.25	1993.05	0.20244
545	1993.33	1993.11	0.226156
546	1993.42	1993.27	0.143796
547	1993.5	1993.29	0.214143
548	1993.58	1993.57	0.0134183
549	1993.67	1993.57	0.0934398
550	1993.75	1993.52	0.226488
551	1993.83	1993.69	0.143064
552	1993.92	1993.69	0.224646
553	1994	1993.78	0.218959
554	1994.08	1994.06	0.0202548
555	1994.17	1993.93	0.240554
556	1994.25	1994.06	0.191689
557	1994.33	1994.12	0.212746
558	1994.42	1994.24	0.176222
559	1994.5	1994.25	0.251021
560	1994.58	1994.36	0.224259
561	1994.67	1994.4	0.267763
562	1994.75	1994.57	0.183457
563	1994.83	1994.7	0.132424
564	1994.92	1994.69	0.229655
565	1995	1994.89	0.108042
566	1995.08	1995.33	-0.249857
567	1995.17	1995.04	0.127801
568	1995.25	1995.1	0.148307
569	1995.33	1995.19	0.138707
570	1995.42	1995.28	0.140356
571	1995.5	1995.67	-0.166842
572	1995.58	1995.7	-0.117056
573	1995.67	1995.48	0.18459
574	1995.75	1995.85	-0.104489
575	1995.83	1995.61	0.22513
576	1995.92	1995.71	0.208741
577	1996	1995.83	0.170911
578	1996.08	1995.94	0.146208
579	1996.17	1995.97	0.192005
580	1996.25	1996.11	0.136076
581	1996.33	1996.17	0.162254
582	1996.42	1996.3	0.11751
583	1996.5	1996.41	0.0870636
584	1996.58	1996.53	0.0574698
585	1996.67	1996.47	0.197058
586	1996.75	1996.78	-0.0268492
587	1996.83	1996.66	0.175265
588	1996.92	1996.74	0.176322
589	1997	1996.85	0.147253
590	1997.08	1996.89	0.192981
591	1997.17	1997.11	0.0594173
592	1997.25	1997.15	0.103914
593	1997.33	1997.2	0.134437
594	1997.42	1997.39	0.0275666
595	1997.5	1997.49	0.00806752
596	1997.58	1997.33	0.249496
597	1997.67	1997.51	0.155277
598	1997.75	1997.87	-0.11938
599	1997.83	1997.84	-0.0107683
600	1997.92	1997.95	-0.0330478
601	1998	1998.1	-0.098387
602	1998.08	1998.73	-0.650663
603	1998.17	1998.26	-0.0937263
604	1998.25	1998.42	-0.17414
605	1998.33	1998.5	-0.166995
606	1998.42	1998.56	-0.144328
607	1998.5	1998.83	-0.332809
608	1998.58	1998.87	-0.282135
609	1998.67	1998.81	-0.142598
610	1998.75	1998.75	-0.00184207
611	1998.83	1998.76	0.0737891
612	1998.92	1998.95	-0.0305587
613	1999	1999	0.00127087
614	1999.08	1999.31	-0.222841
615	1999.17	1999.05	0.118464
616	1999.25	1999.18	0.0685926
617	1999.33	1999.24	0.0928091
618	1999.42	1999.36	0.0564857
619	1999.5	1999.36	0.136714
620	1999.58	1999.59	-0.00466701
621	1999.67	1999.58	0.0879012
622	1999.75	1999.83	-0.078075
623	1999.83	1999.74	0.0928728
624	1999.92	1999.84	0.0770195
625	2000	1999.93	0.070436
626	2000.08	2000.1	-0.0133809
627	2000.17	2000.18	-0.0134055
628	2000.25	2000.36	-0.107793
629	2000.33	2000.27	0.0642659
630	2000.42	2000.33	0.0842815
631	2000.5	2000.39	0.110715
632	2000.58	2000.65	-0.0629571
633	2000.67	2000.84	-0.173804
634	2000.75	2000.91	-0.159949
635	2000.83	2000.7	0.13378
636	2000.92	2000.84	0.0773351
637	2001	2000.99	0.00996186
638	2001.08	2001.03	0.0493765
639	2001.17	2001.33	-0.166549
640	2001.25	2001.3	-0.0487456
641	2001.33	2001.41	-0.0733876
642	2001.42	2001.51	-0.0883799
643	2001.5	2001.58	-0.0785276
644	2001.58	2001.68	-0.0921591
645	2001.67	2001.84	-0.17578
646	2001.75	2002.07	-0.317303
647	2001.83	2002.29	-0.459106
648	2001.92	2001.97	-0.0557773
649	2002	2002.57	-0.565381
650	2002.08	2002.62	-0.536404
651	2002.17	2002.89	-0.725585
652	2002.25	2002.46	-0.209869
653	2002.33	2002.48	-0.145266
654	2002.42	2002.45	-0.0353147
655	2002.5	2002.69	-0.187839
656	2002.58	2002.68	-0.097584
657	2002.67	2003.05	-0.385686
658	2002.75	2002.85	-0.0999638
659	2002.83	2002.91	-0.0766423
660	2002.92	2002.89	0.0238687

Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
p-values	Alternative Hypothesis
breakpoint index	greater	2-sided	less
19	4.07314e-40	8.14627e-40	1
20	3.96978e-53	7.93956e-53	1
21	2.18818e-66	4.37635e-66	1
22	3.19964e-76	6.39929e-76	1
23	4.87883e-88	9.75766e-88	1
24	1.18457e-106	2.36915e-106	1
25	1.77644e-112	3.55288e-112	1
26	3.72863e-129	7.45725e-129	1
27	9.53992e-154	1.90798e-153	1
28	1.36884e-153	2.73769e-153	1
29	2.07885e-176	4.1577e-176	1
30	2.85174e-176	5.70349e-176	1
31	2.32992e-206	4.65985e-206	1
32	3.73823e-205	7.47646e-205	1
33	1.31907e-210	2.63814e-210	1
34	2.90285e-224	5.8057e-224	1
35	2.69901e-238	5.39802e-238	1
36	1.8811e-247	3.7622e-247	1
37	5.9822e-287	1.19644e-286	1
38	1.60236e-274	3.20472e-274	1
39	2.98514e-291	5.97029e-291	1
40	3.96397e-309	7.92795e-309	1
41	2.93674102084974e-318	5.87348204169949e-318	1
42	0	0	1
43	0	0	1
44	0	0	1
45	0	0	1
46	0	0	1
47	0	0	1
48	0	0	1
49	0	0	1
50	0	0	1
51	0	0	1
52	0	0	1
53	0	0	1
54	0	0	1
55	0	0	1
56	0	0	1
57	0	0	1
58	0	0	1
59	0	0	1
60	0	0	1
61	0	0	1
62	0	0	1
63	0	0	1
64	0	0	1
65	0	0	1
66	0	0	1
67	0	0	1
68	0	0	1
69	0	0	1
70	0	0	1
71	0	0	1
72	0	0	1
73	0	0	1
74	0	0	1
75	0	0	1
76	0	0	1
77	0	0	1
78	0	0	1
79	0	0	1
80	0	0	1
81	0	0	1
82	0	0	1
83	0	0	1
84	0	0	1
85	0	0	1
86	0	0	1
87	0	0	1
88	0	0	1
89	0	0	1
90	0	0	1
91	0	0	1
92	0	0	1
93	0	0	1
94	0	0	1
95	0	0	1
96	0	0	1
97	0	0	1
98	0	0	1
99	0	0	1
100	0	0	1
101	0	0	1
102	0	0	1
103	0	0	1
104	0	0	1
105	0	0	1
106	0	0	1
107	0	0	1
108	0	0	1
109	0	0	1
110	0	0	1
111	0	0	1
112	0	0	1
113	0	0	1
114	0	0	1
115	0	0	1
116	0	0	1
117	0	0	1
118	0	0	1
119	0	0	1
120	0	0	1
121	0	0	1
122	0	0	1
123	0	0	1
124	0	0	1
125	0	0	1
126	0	0	1
127	0	0	1
128	0	0	1
129	0	0	1
130	0	0	1
131	0	0	1
132	0	0	1
133	0	0	1
134	0	0	1
135	0	0	1
136	0	0	1
137	0	0	1
138	0	0	1
139	0	0	1
140	0	0	1
141	0	0	1
142	0	0	1
143	0	0	1
144	0	0	1
145	0	0	1
146	0	0	1
147	0	0	1
148	0	0	1
149	0	0	1
150	0	0	1
151	0	0	1
152	0	0	1
153	0	0	1
154	0	0	1
155	0	0	1
156	0	0	1
157	0	0	1
158	0	0	1
159	0	0	1
160	0	0	1
161	0	0	1
162	0	0	1
163	0	0	1
164	0	0	1
165	0	0	1
166	0	0	1
167	3.26808e-52	6.53616e-52	1
168	2.40388e-33	4.80777e-33	1
169	2.44633e-23	4.89266e-23	1
170	6.04489e-17	1.20898e-16	1
171	2.81631e-13	5.63263e-13	1
172	1.1864e-10	2.3728e-10	1
173	3.23482e-08	6.46964e-08	1
174	2.60922e-06	5.21845e-06	0.999997
175	5.08989e-05	0.000101798	0.999949
176	0.00071217	0.00142434	0.999288
177	0.00392972	0.00785945	0.99607
178	0.0168054	0.0336107	0.983195
179	0.0370833	0.0741665	0.962917
180	0.0757185	0.151437	0.924282
181	0.137546	0.275092	0.862454
182	0.214072	0.428144	0.785928
183	0.300226	0.600453	0.699774
184	0.391041	0.782081	0.608959
185	0.469345	0.93869	0.530655
186	0.550591	0.898818	0.449409
187	0.630595	0.738811	0.369405
188	0.706435	0.587131	0.293565
189	0.778107	0.443787	0.221893
190	0.837398	0.325205	0.162602
191	0.869758	0.260483	0.130242
192	0.898951	0.202098	0.101049
193	0.927141	0.145718	0.0728592
194	0.944991	0.110019	0.0550093
195	0.958894	0.0822118	0.0411059
196	0.967365	0.0652693	0.0326347
197	0.980045	0.0399109	0.0199554
198	0.986215	0.0275691	0.0137845
199	0.990454	0.0190929	0.00954644
200	0.993146	0.0137074	0.00685368
201	0.995099	0.00980283	0.00490142
202	0.996603	0.00679335	0.00339667
203	0.997414	0.00517191	0.00258595
204	0.998115	0.00376955	0.00188478
205	0.998749	0.00250149	0.00125075
206	0.999064	0.00187111	0.000935557
207	0.99935	0.00130058	0.000650291
208	0.999522	0.000956728	0.000478364
209	0.999652	0.000695594	0.000347797
210	0.999757	0.000485909	0.000242955
211	0.999829	0.000341295	0.000170647
212	0.999884	0.000232214	0.000116107
213	0.999929	0.000142794	7.13971e-05
214	0.999959	8.24737e-05	4.12369e-05
215	0.999977	4.63458e-05	2.31729e-05
216	0.999988	2.46537e-05	1.23268e-05
217	0.999994	1.19162e-05	5.95808e-06
218	0.999997	5.03411e-06	2.51705e-06
219	0.999999	2.34657e-06	1.17328e-06
220	0.999999	1.11214e-06	5.56071e-07
221	1	4.82884e-07	2.41442e-07
222	1	1.96783e-07	9.83916e-08
223	1	6.7676e-08	3.3838e-08
224	1	2.44391e-08	1.22196e-08
225	1	7.73893e-09	3.86947e-09
226	1	1.68628e-09	8.43141e-10
227	1	3.15141e-10	1.5757e-10
228	1	4.9537e-11	2.47685e-11
229	1	6.50611e-12	3.25306e-12
230	1	6.10942e-13	3.05471e-13
231	1	4.14301e-14	2.07151e-14
232	1	2.83607e-15	1.41803e-15
233	1	1.12783e-16	5.63913e-17
234	1	3.12576e-18	1.56288e-18
235	1	5.78967e-20	2.89484e-20
236	1	7.27725e-22	3.63862e-22
237	1	4.14252e-24	2.07126e-24
238	1	5.75949e-27	2.87974e-27
239	1	1.55462e-30	7.7731e-31
240	1	4.89193e-35	2.44596e-35
241	1	2.15897e-40	1.07949e-40
242	1	4.43864e-47	2.21932e-47
243	1	2.18923e-55	1.09462e-55
244	1	2.21836e-65	1.10918e-65
245	1	5.99911e-78	2.99955e-78
246	1	1.86806e-95	9.34031e-96
247	1	6.7057e-123	3.35285e-123
248	1	4.20165e-174	2.10083e-174
249	1	0	0
250	1	0	0
251	1	0	0
252	1	0	0
253	1	0	0
254	1	0	0
255	1	0	0
256	1	0	0
257	1	0	0
258	1	0	0
259	1	0	0
260	1	0	0
261	1	0	0
262	1	0	0
263	1	0	0
264	1	0	0
265	1	0	0
266	1	0	0
267	1	0	0
268	1	0	0
269	1	0	0
270	1	0	0
271	1	0	0
272	1	0	0
273	1	0	0
274	1	0	0
275	1	0	0
276	1	0	0
277	1	0	0
278	1	0	0
279	1	0	0
280	1	0	0
281	1	0	0
282	1	0	0
283	1	0	0
284	1	0	0
285	1	0	0
286	1	0	0
287	1	0	0
288	1	0	0
289	1	0	0
290	1	0	0
291	1	0	0
292	1	0	0
293	1	0	0
294	1	0	0
295	1	0	0
296	1	0	0
297	1	0	0
298	1	0	0
299	1	0	0
300	1	0	0
301	1	0	0
302	1	0	0
303	1	0	0
304	1	0	0
305	1	0	0
306	1	0	0
307	1	0	0
308	1	0	0
309	1	0	0
310	1	0	0
311	1	0	0
312	1	0	0
313	1	0	0
314	1	0	0
315	1	0	0
316	1	0	0
317	1	0	0
318	1	0	0
319	1	0	0
320	1	0	0
321	1	0	0
322	1	0	0
323	1	0	0
324	1	0	0
325	1	0	0
326	1	0	0
327	1	0	0
328	1	0	0
329	1	0	0
330	1	0	0
331	1	0	0
332	1	0	0
333	1	0	0
334	1	0	0
335	1	0	0
336	1	0	0
337	1	0	0
338	1	0	0
339	1	0	0
340	1	0	0
341	1	0	0
342	1	0	0
343	1	0	0
344	1	0	0
345	1	0	0
346	1	0	0
347	1	0	0
348	1	0	0
349	1	0	0
350	1	0	0
351	1	0	0
352	1	0	0
353	1	0	0
354	1	0	0
355	1	0	0
356	1	0	0
357	1	0	0
358	1	0	0
359	1	0	0
360	1	0	0
361	1	0	0
362	1	0	0
363	1	0	0
364	1	0	0
365	1	0	0
366	1	0	0
367	1	0	0
368	1	0	0
369	1	0	0
370	1	0	0
371	1	0	0
372	1	0	0
373	1	0	0
374	1	0	0
375	1	0	0
376	1	0	0
377	1	0	0
378	1	0	0
379	1	0	0
380	1	0	0
381	1	0	0
382	1	0	0
383	1	0	0
384	1	0	0
385	1	0	0
386	1	0	0
387	1	0	0
388	1	0	0
389	1	0	0
390	1	0	0
391	1	0	0
392	1	0	0
393	1	0	0
394	1	0	0
395	1	0	0
396	1	0	0
397	1	0	0
398	1	0	0
399	1	0	0
400	1	0	0
401	1	0	0
402	1	0	0
403	1	0	0
404	1	0	0
405	1	0	0
406	1	0	0
407	1	0	0
408	1	0	0
409	1	0	0
410	1	0	0
411	1	0	0
412	1	0	0
413	1	0	0
414	1	0	0
415	1	0	0
416	1	0	0
417	1	0	0
418	1	0	0
419	1	0	0
420	1	0	0
421	1	0	0
422	1	0	0
423	1	0	0
424	1	0	0
425	1	0	0
426	1	0	0
427	1	0	0
428	1	0	0
429	1	0	0
430	1	0	0
431	1	0	0
432	1	0	0
433	1	0	0
434	1	0	0
435	1	0	0
436	1	0	0
437	1	0	0
438	1	0	0
439	1	0	0
440	1	0	0
441	1	0	0
442	1	0	0
443	1	0	0
444	1	0	0
445	1	0	0
446	1	0	0
447	1	0	0
448	1	0	0
449	1	0	0
450	1	0	0
451	1	0	0
452	1	0	0
453	1	0	0
454	1	0	0
455	1	0	0
456	1	0	0
457	1	0	0
458	1	0	0
459	1	0	0
460	1	0	0
461	1	0	0
462	1	0	0
463	1	0	0
464	1	0	0
465	1	0	0
466	1	0	0
467	1	0	0
468	1	0	0
469	1	0	0
470	1	0	0
471	1	0	0
472	1	0	0
473	1	0	0
474	1	0	0
475	1	0	0
476	1	0	0
477	1	0	0
478	1	0	0
479	1	0	0
480	1	0	0
481	1	0	0
482	1	0	0
483	1	0	0
484	1	0	0
485	1	0	0
486	1	0	0
487	1	0	0
488	1	0	0
489	1	0	0
490	1	0	0
491	1	0	0
492	1	0	0
493	1	0	0
494	1	0	0
495	1	0	0
496	1	0	0
497	1	0	0
498	1	0	0
499	1	0	0
500	1	0	0
501	1	0	0
502	1	0	0
503	1	0	0
504	1	0	0
505	1	0	0
506	1	0	0
507	1	0	0
508	1	0	0
509	1	0	0
510	1	0	0
511	1	0	0
512	1	0	0
513	1	0	0
514	1	0	0
515	1	0	0
516	1	0	0
517	1	0	0
518	1	0	0
519	1	0	0
520	1	0	0
521	1	0	0
522	1	0	0
523	1	0	0
524	1	0	0
525	1	0	0
526	1	0	0
527	1	0	0
528	1	0	0
529	1	0	0
530	1	0	0
531	1	0	0
532	1	0	0
533	1	0	0
534	1	0	0
535	1	0	0
536	1	0	0
537	1	0	0
538	1	0	0
539	1	0	0
540	1	0	0
541	1	0	0
542	1	0	0
543	1	0	0
544	1	0	0
545	1	0	0
546	1	0	0
547	1	0	0
548	1	0	0
549	1	0	0
550	1	0	0
551	1	0	0
552	1	0	0
553	1	0	0
554	1	0	0
555	1	0	0
556	1	0	0
557	1	0	0
558	1	0	0
559	1	0	0
560	1	0	0
561	1	0	0
562	1	0	0
563	1	0	0
564	1	0	0
565	1	0	0
566	1	0	0
567	1	0	0
568	1	0	0
569	1	0	0
570	1	0	0
571	1	0	0
572	1	0	0
573	1	0	0
574	1	0	0
575	1	0	0
576	1	0	0
577	1	0	0
578	1	0	0
579	1	0	0
580	1	0	0
581	1	0	0
582	1	0	0
583	1	0	0
584	1	0	0
585	1	0	0
586	1	0	0
587	1	0	0
588	1	0	0
589	1	0	0
590	1	0	0
591	1	0	0
592	1	0	0
593	1	0	0
594	1	0	0
595	1	0	0
596	1	0	0
597	1	0	0
598	1	0	0
599	1	0	0
600	1	0	0
601	1	0	0
602	1	0	0
603	1	0	0
604	1	0	0
605	1	0	0
606	1	0	0
607	1	0	0
608	1	0	0
609	1	0	0
610	1	0	0
611	1	0	0
612	1	0	0
613	1	0	0
614	1	0	0
615	1	0	0
616	1	0	0
617	1	0	0
618	1	0	0
619	1	0	0
620	1	9.35901000002148e-313	4.67949999999229e-313
621	1	1.50803e-309	7.54015000000001e-310
622	1	1.43236e-273	7.16181e-274
623	1	1.75402e-274	8.77008e-275
624	1	1.35663e-247	6.78315e-248
625	1	5.76413e-240	2.88207e-240
626	1	9.29173e-232	4.64586e-232
627	1	5.53668e-216	2.76834e-216
628	1	2.27289e-201	1.13644e-201
629	1	2.33962e-201	1.16981e-201
630	1	1.20579e-183	6.02895e-184
631	1	2.73938e-169	1.36969e-169
632	1	3.2836e-150	1.6418e-150
633	1	2.82797e-148	1.41399e-148
634	1	6.41216e-128	3.20608e-128
635	1	3.82443e-114	1.91222e-114
636	1	6.98934e-104	3.49467e-104
637	1	3.48735e-91	1.74368e-91
638	1	1.00875e-82	5.04373e-83
639	1	1.99155e-73	9.95774e-74
640	1	1.45585e-50	7.27926e-51
641	1	5.25753e-41	2.62877e-41

Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
Description	# significant tests	% significant tests	OK/NOK
1% type I error level	600	0.963082	NOK
5% type I error level	605	0.971108	NOK
10% type I error level	608	0.975923	NOK