Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 41 | NA | NA | 1.05343 | NA |
2 | 39 | NA | NA | 0.991123 | NA |
3 | 50 | NA | NA | 0.990745 | NA |
4 | 40 | NA | NA | 0.84949 | NA |
5 | 43 | NA | NA | 0.861401 | NA |
6 | 38 | NA | NA | 0.821821 | NA |
7 | 44 | 44.3332 | 40.5417 | 1.09352 | 0.992484 |
8 | 35 | 48.5692 | 41.75 | 1.16334 | 0.720621 |
9 | 39 | 45.6448 | 43.125 | 1.05843 | 0.854424 |
10 | 35 | 43.1858 | 43.3333 | 0.996595 | 0.810451 |
11 | 29 | 43.5068 | 42.8333 | 1.01572 | 0.666562 |
12 | 49 | 47.5347 | 43.0417 | 1.10439 | 1.03083 |
13 | 50 | 46.1313 | 43.7917 | 1.05343 | 1.08386 |
14 | 59 | 44.807 | 45.2083 | 0.991123 | 1.31676 |
15 | 63 | 46.565 | 47 | 0.990745 | 1.35295 |
16 | 32 | 41.1648 | 48.4583 | 0.84949 | 0.777362 |
17 | 39 | 43.8238 | 50.875 | 0.861401 | 0.889928 |
18 | 47 | 44.618 | 54.2917 | 0.821821 | 1.05339 |
19 | 53 | 62.3307 | 57 | 1.09352 | 0.850303 |
20 | 60 | 67.6189 | 58.125 | 1.16334 | 0.887326 |
21 | 57 | 61.3007 | 57.9167 | 1.05843 | 0.929842 |
22 | 52 | 59.5466 | 59.75 | 0.996595 | 0.873266 |
23 | 70 | 65.2179 | 64.2083 | 1.01572 | 1.07332 |
24 | 90 | 74.5001 | 67.4583 | 1.10439 | 1.20805 |
25 | 74 | 74.4861 | 70.7083 | 1.05343 | 0.993474 |
26 | 62 | 75.6145 | 76.2917 | 0.991123 | 0.819949 |
27 | 55 | 81.4475 | 82.2083 | 0.990745 | 0.675282 |
28 | 84 | 73.6578 | 86.7083 | 0.84949 | 1.14041 |
29 | 94 | 78.3157 | 90.9167 | 0.861401 | 1.20027 |
30 | 70 | 78.6551 | 95.7083 | 0.821821 | 0.889962 |
31 | 108 | 111.175 | 101.667 | 1.09352 | 0.971444 |
32 | 139 | 125.349 | 107.75 | 1.16334 | 1.1089 |
33 | 120 | 120.529 | 113.875 | 1.05843 | 0.995613 |
34 | 97 | 118.055 | 118.458 | 0.996595 | 0.821651 |
35 | 126 | 122.225 | 120.333 | 1.01572 | 1.03088 |
36 | 149 | 134.137 | 121.458 | 1.10439 | 1.1108 |
37 | 158 | 128.782 | 122.25 | 1.05343 | 1.22688 |
38 | 124 | 121.413 | 122.5 | 0.991123 | 1.02131 |
39 | 140 | 120.706 | 121.833 | 0.990745 | 1.15985 |
40 | 109 | 102.965 | 121.208 | 0.84949 | 1.05861 |
41 | 114 | 103.189 | 119.792 | 0.861401 | 1.10477 |
42 | 77 | 95.023 | 115.625 | 0.821821 | 0.81033 |
43 | 120 | 120.515 | 110.208 | 1.09352 | 0.995725 |
44 | 133 | 124.525 | 107.042 | 1.16334 | 1.06806 |
45 | 110 | 111.312 | 105.167 | 1.05843 | 0.988217 |
46 | 92 | 102.857 | 103.208 | 0.996595 | 0.894446 |
47 | 97 | 103.35 | 101.75 | 1.01572 | 0.938559 |
48 | 78 | 113.844 | 103.083 | 1.10439 | 0.685149 |
49 | 99 | 112.234 | 106.542 | 1.05343 | 0.882086 |
50 | 107 | 109.395 | 110.375 | 0.991123 | 0.978105 |
51 | 112 | 116.908 | 118 | 0.990745 | 0.958019 |
52 | 90 | 108.133 | 127.292 | 0.84949 | 0.832309 |
53 | 98 | 115.894 | 134.542 | 0.861401 | 0.845598 |
54 | 125 | 116.63 | 141.917 | 0.821821 | 1.07177 |
55 | 155 | 161.431 | 147.625 | 1.09352 | 0.960162 |
56 | 190 | 176.148 | 151.417 | 1.16334 | 1.07864 |
57 | 236 | 165.247 | 156.125 | 1.05843 | 1.42816 |
58 | 189 | 160.493 | 161.042 | 0.996595 | 1.17762 |
59 | 174 | 169.71 | 167.083 | 1.01572 | 1.02528 |
60 | 178 | 189.863 | 171.917 | 1.10439 | 0.93752 |
61 | 136 | 187.73 | 178.208 | 1.05343 | 0.724446 |
62 | 161 | 183.027 | 184.667 | 0.991123 | 0.879649 |
63 | 171 | 183.412 | 185.125 | 0.990745 | 0.932329 |
64 | 149 | 159.633 | 187.917 | 0.84949 | 0.93339 |
65 | 184 | 168.476 | 195.583 | 0.861401 | 1.09215 |
66 | 155 | 167.686 | 204.042 | 0.821821 | 0.924349 |
67 | 276 | 232.738 | 212.833 | 1.09352 | 1.18588 |
68 | 224 | 255.061 | 219.25 | 1.16334 | 0.878221 |
69 | 213 | 238.147 | 225 | 1.05843 | 0.894406 |
70 | 279 | 233.785 | 234.583 | 0.996595 | 1.19341 |
71 | 268 | 245.551 | 241.75 | 1.01572 | 1.09142 |
72 | 287 | 272.461 | 246.708 | 1.10439 | 1.05336 |
73 | 238 | 267.263 | 253.708 | 1.05343 | 0.890507 |
74 | 213 | 259.385 | 261.708 | 0.991123 | 0.821172 |
75 | 257 | 267.955 | 270.458 | 0.990745 | 0.959116 |
76 | 293 | 231.981 | 273.083 | 0.84949 | 1.26303 |
77 | 212 | 233.691 | 271.292 | 0.861401 | 0.907181 |
78 | 246 | 223.775 | 272.292 | 0.821821 | 1.09932 |
79 | 353 | 302.085 | 276.25 | 1.09352 | 1.16854 |
80 | 339 | 327.188 | 281.25 | 1.16334 | 1.0361 |
81 | 308 | 302.755 | 286.042 | 1.05843 | 1.01732 |
82 | 247 | 285.525 | 286.5 | 0.996595 | 0.865074 |
83 | 257 | 292.274 | 287.75 | 1.01572 | 0.87931 |
84 | 322 | 322.711 | 292.208 | 1.10439 | 0.997797 |
85 | 298 | 307.337 | 291.75 | 1.05343 | 0.969618 |
86 | 273 | 289.904 | 292.5 | 0.991123 | 0.941692 |
87 | 312 | 292.393 | 295.125 | 0.990745 | 1.06706 |
88 | 249 | 253.608 | 298.542 | 0.84949 | 0.98183 |
89 | 286 | 263.517 | 305.917 | 0.861401 | 1.08532 |
90 | 279 | 255.792 | 311.25 | 0.821821 | 1.09073 |
91 | 309 | 343.138 | 313.792 | 1.09352 | 0.900512 |
92 | 401 | 368.923 | 317.125 | 1.16334 | 1.08695 |
93 | 309 | 336.713 | 318.125 | 1.05843 | 0.917695 |
94 | 328 | 315.672 | 316.75 | 0.996595 | 1.03905 |
95 | 353 | 319.572 | 314.625 | 1.01572 | 1.1046 |
96 | 354 | 345.765 | 313.083 | 1.10439 | 1.02382 |
97 | 327 | 332.181 | 315.333 | 1.05343 | 0.984404 |
98 | 324 | 316.87 | 319.708 | 0.991123 | 1.0225 |
99 | 285 | 321.455 | 324.458 | 0.990745 | 0.886593 |
100 | 243 | 283.199 | 333.375 | 0.84949 | 0.858055 |
101 | 241 | 296.43 | 344.125 | 0.861401 | 0.813009 |
102 | 287 | 287.466 | 349.792 | 0.821821 | 0.998379 |
103 | 355 | 392.073 | 358.542 | 1.09352 | 0.905443 |
104 | 460 | 431.646 | 371.042 | 1.16334 | 1.06569 |
105 | 364 | 402.292 | 380.083 | 1.05843 | 0.904816 |
106 | 487 | 387.883 | 389.208 | 0.996595 | 1.25553 |
107 | 452 | 403.369 | 397.125 | 1.01572 | 1.12056 |
108 | 391 | 442.721 | 400.875 | 1.10439 | 0.883174 |
109 | 500 | 425.453 | 403.875 | 1.05343 | 1.17522 |
110 | 451 | 399.34 | 402.917 | 0.991123 | 1.12936 |
111 | 375 | 399.229 | 402.958 | 0.990745 | 0.939311 |
112 | 372 | 342.698 | 403.417 | 0.84949 | 1.0855 |
113 | 302 | NA | NA | 0.861401 | NA |
114 | 316 | NA | NA | 0.821821 | NA |
115 | 398 | NA | NA | 1.09352 | NA |
116 | 394 | NA | NA | 1.16334 | NA |
117 | 431 | NA | NA | 1.05843 | NA |
118 | 431 | NA | NA | 0.996595 | NA |