Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha1
beta0
gamma0.193401272931234


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
130.67130.688632131410256-0.0173321314102565
140.68490.6795994609557110.00530053904428895
150.70030.6944077942890440.00589220571095594
160.73090.7263452942890440.00455470571095573
170.73640.7315536276223780.00484637237762242
180.74390.7402536276223780.00364637237762222
190.79280.7480077942890440.0447922057109557
200.81880.7815202942890440.0372797057109557
210.7840.821941127622377-0.0379411276223774
220.77460.780445294289044-0.00584529428904434
230.76770.7654161276223780.00228387237762251
240.71970.759111960955711-0.0394119609557109
250.73040.7152411276223780.0151588723776224
260.75670.7386994609557110.018000539044289
270.7490.766207794289044-0.0172077942890442
280.73280.775045294289044-0.0422452942890442
290.71420.733453627622378-0.0192536276223777
300.69270.718053627622378-0.0253536276223777
310.69740.6968077942890440.000592205710955751
320.69530.6861202942890440.00917970571095572
330.6990.6984411276223780.000558872377622421
340.69710.6954452942890440.00165470571095583
350.72460.6879161276223780.0366838723776224
360.73010.7160119609557110.0140880390442891
370.7360.7256411276223780.0103588723776223
380.75850.7442994609557110.014200539044289
390.77560.7680077942890440.00759220571095587
400.75640.801645294289044-0.0452452942890442
410.75680.757053627622378-0.000253627622377572
420.75930.760653627622378-0.00135362762237778
430.7790.7634077942890440.0155922057109558
440.79780.7677202942890440.0300797057109556
450.81250.8009411276223770.0115588723776225
460.80750.808945294289044-0.00144529428904427
470.77810.798316127622378-0.0202161276223776
480.7710.7695119609557110.00148803904428918
490.77960.7665411276223780.0130588723776223
500.7630.787899460955711-0.0248994609557109
510.75310.772507794289044-0.0194077942890442
520.74730.779145294289044-0.0318452942890443
530.77070.7479536276223780.0227463723776224
540.76840.774553627622378-0.00615362762237781
550.77020.772507794289044-0.00230779428904426
560.7590.7589202942890447.97057109557242e-05
570.76490.7621411276223780.00275887237762251
580.75080.761345294289044-0.0105452942890443
590.74940.7416161276223780.00778387237762235
600.73340.740811960955711-0.00741196095571073


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
610.7289411276223780.6893357881512050.768546467093551
620.7372405885780890.6812301803555650.793250996800612
630.7467483828671330.6781499226520480.815346843082218
640.7727936771561770.6935829982138310.852004356098523
650.7734473047785550.6848870734490560.862007536108053
660.7773009324009320.6802880596068480.874313805195017
670.7814087266899770.6766228478589620.886194605520991
680.7701290209790210.6581082045339740.882149837424068
690.7732701486013990.6544541301878790.892086167014918
700.7697154428904430.6444723626573670.894958523123519
710.760531570512820.6291755197922860.891887621233355
720.7519435314685310.6147466110383610.889140451898701