Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 1181 | 0 | 119 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 41 | 22.0593946218796 | 6.79518160335973 | 53.1454237747607 | -18.9406053781204 |
2 | 39 | 33.3985039065677 | -6.58174158136597 | 51.1832376747983 | -5.60149609343232 |
3 | 50 | 59.2375930943927 | -8.45864466922862 | 49.2210515748359 | 9.2375930943927 |
4 | 40 | 59.4475762354992 | -27.0094565654691 | 47.5618803299699 | 19.4475762354992 |
5 | 43 | 74.5575456952934 | -34.4602547803972 | 45.9027090851038 | 31.5575456952934 |
6 | 38 | 65.4629503882897 | -34.2576763681964 | 44.7947259799067 | 27.4629503882897 |
7 | 44 | 27.9683297283034 | 16.344927396987 | 43.6867428747096 | -16.0316702716966 |
8 | 35 | -7.03952802121924 | 34.2465718959565 | 42.7929561252627 | -42.0395280212192 |
9 | 39 | 23.1526175915616 | 12.9482130326226 | 41.8991693758158 | -15.8473824084384 |
10 | 35 | 13.0469687729332 | 15.5716604652364 | 41.3813707618304 | -21.9530312270668 |
11 | 29 | 7.0642134833045 | 10.0722143688505 | 40.863572147845 | -21.9357865166955 |
12 | 49 | 40.5791876641858 | 14.7890127003966 | 42.6317996354176 | -8.4208123358142 |
13 | 50 | 48.80479127365 | 6.79518160335973 | 44.4000271229903 | -1.19520872634999 |
14 | 59 | 77.817697596787 | -6.58174158136597 | 46.7640439845789 | 18.817697596787 |
15 | 63 | 85.330583823061 | -8.45864466922862 | 49.1280608461676 | 22.330583823061 |
16 | 32 | 40.0551044243421 | -27.0094565654691 | 50.954352141127 | 8.0551044243421 |
17 | 39 | 59.6796113443108 | -34.4602547803972 | 52.7806434360864 | 20.6796113443108 |
18 | 47 | 74.1256567175614 | -34.2576763681964 | 54.1320196506349 | 27.1256567175614 |
19 | 53 | 34.1716767378295 | 16.344927396987 | 55.4833958651835 | -18.8283232621705 |
20 | 60 | 29.3873142450029 | 34.2465718959565 | 56.3661138590406 | -30.6126857549971 |
21 | 57 | 43.8029551144798 | 12.9482130326226 | 57.2488318528976 | -13.1970448855202 |
22 | 52 | 28.7314112773043 | 15.5716604652364 | 59.6969282574593 | -23.2685887226957 |
23 | 70 | 67.7827609691285 | 10.0722143688505 | 62.1450246620209 | -2.21723903087145 |
24 | 90 | 98.4484046843869 | 14.7890127003966 | 66.7625826152165 | 8.4484046843869 |
25 | 74 | 69.8246778282282 | 6.79518160335973 | 71.3801405684121 | -4.17532217177182 |
26 | 62 | 53.6132626132285 | -6.58174158136597 | 76.9684789681374 | -8.38673738677147 |
27 | 55 | 35.9018273013658 | -8.45864466922862 | 82.5568173678628 | -19.0981726986342 |
28 | 84 | 107.603930003384 | -27.0094565654691 | 87.4055265620848 | 23.6039300033843 |
29 | 94 | 130.20601902409 | -34.4602547803972 | 92.2542357563068 | 36.2060190240904 |
30 | 70 | 77.0902257082942 | -34.2576763681964 | 97.1674506599022 | 7.09022570829421 |
31 | 108 | 97.5744070395155 | 16.344927396987 | 102.080665563497 | -10.4255929604845 |
32 | 139 | 136.743169091254 | 34.2465718959565 | 107.010259012789 | -2.2568309087459 |
33 | 120 | 115.111934505296 | 12.9482130326226 | 111.939852462081 | -4.88806549470389 |
34 | 97 | 62.7602355054496 | 15.5716604652364 | 115.668104029314 | -34.2397644945504 |
35 | 126 | 122.531430034603 | 10.0722143688505 | 119.396355596547 | -3.46856996539741 |
36 | 149 | 161.783275900701 | 14.7890127003966 | 121.427711398903 | 12.7832759007009 |
37 | 158 | 185.745751195382 | 6.79518160335973 | 123.459067201258 | 27.745751195382 |
38 | 124 | 130.683879823375 | -6.58174158136597 | 123.897861757991 | 6.68387982337487 |
39 | 140 | 164.121988354505 | -8.45864466922862 | 124.336656314724 | 24.1219883545047 |
40 | 109 | 122.875355204528 | -27.0094565654691 | 122.134101360941 | 13.8753552045278 |
41 | 114 | 142.528708373239 | -34.4602547803972 | 119.931546407159 | 28.5287083732385 |
42 | 77 | 72.757795633904 | -34.2576763681964 | 115.499880734292 | -4.24220436609605 |
43 | 120 | 112.586857541587 | 16.344927396987 | 111.068215061426 | -7.41314245841315 |
44 | 133 | 124.645251601426 | 34.2465718959565 | 107.108176502618 | -8.35474839857415 |
45 | 110 | 103.903649023568 | 12.9482130326226 | 103.148137943809 | -6.09635097643171 |
46 | 92 | 66.5443170870764 | 15.5716604652364 | 101.884022447687 | -25.4556829129236 |
47 | 97 | 83.3078786795841 | 10.0722143688505 | 100.619906951565 | -13.6921213204159 |
48 | 78 | 38.2610173913151 | 14.7890127003966 | 102.949969908288 | -39.7389826086849 |
49 | 99 | 85.9247855316289 | 6.79518160335973 | 105.280032865011 | -13.0752144683711 |
50 | 107 | 108.967821911018 | -6.58174158136597 | 111.613919670348 | 1.96782191101769 |
51 | 112 | 114.510838193543 | -8.45864466922862 | 117.947806475685 | 2.51083819354339 |
52 | 90 | 80.7456934959123 | -27.0094565654691 | 126.263763069557 | -9.25430650408774 |
53 | 98 | 95.8805351169688 | -34.4602547803972 | 134.579719663428 | -2.11946488303124 |
54 | 125 | 142.679677729237 | -34.2576763681964 | 141.57799863896 | 17.6796777292367 |
55 | 155 | 145.078794988522 | 16.344927396987 | 148.576277614491 | -9.92120501147787 |
56 | 190 | 192.359586299834 | 34.2465718959565 | 153.393841804209 | 2.35958629983415 |
57 | 236 | 300.84038097345 | 12.9482130326226 | 158.211405993928 | 64.8403809734496 |
58 | 189 | 199.85370927155 | 15.5716604652364 | 162.574630263213 | 10.8537092715502 |
59 | 174 | 170.98993109865 | 10.0722143688505 | 166.937854532499 | -3.01006890134954 |
60 | 178 | 169.712542613331 | 14.7890127003966 | 171.498444686273 | -8.2874573866691 |
61 | 136 | 89.1457835565942 | 6.79518160335973 | 176.059034840046 | -46.8542164434058 |
62 | 161 | 148.330738352235 | -6.58174158136597 | 180.251003229131 | -12.6692616477653 |
63 | 171 | 166.015673051012 | -8.45864466922862 | 184.442971618216 | -4.98432694898781 |
64 | 149 | 134.665732703634 | -27.0094565654691 | 190.343723861835 | -14.3342672963661 |
65 | 184 | 206.215778674943 | -34.4602547803972 | 196.244476105454 | 22.2157786749434 |
66 | 155 | 140.023297484199 | -34.2576763681964 | 204.234378883997 | -14.976702515801 |
67 | 276 | 323.430790940472 | 16.344927396987 | 212.224281662541 | 47.430790940472 |
68 | 224 | 193.965435477743 | 34.2465718959565 | 219.787992626301 | -30.0345645222571 |
69 | 213 | 185.700083377317 | 12.9482130326226 | 227.35170359006 | -27.2999166226827 |
70 | 279 | 308.457385744453 | 15.5716604652364 | 233.97095379031 | 29.4573857444535 |
71 | 268 | 285.337581640589 | 10.0722143688505 | 240.59020399056 | 17.3375816405893 |
72 | 287 | 311.729888908314 | 14.7890127003966 | 247.48109839129 | 24.7298889083135 |
73 | 238 | 214.832825604621 | 6.79518160335973 | 254.37199279202 | -23.1671743953793 |
74 | 213 | 171.875556313757 | -6.58174158136597 | 260.706185267609 | -41.124443686243 |
75 | 257 | 255.41826692603 | -8.45864466922862 | 267.040377743198 | -1.58173307396959 |
76 | 293 | 342.449570121257 | -27.0094565654691 | 270.559886444212 | 49.4495701212568 |
77 | 212 | 184.380859635171 | -34.4602547803972 | 274.079395145226 | -27.619140364829 |
78 | 246 | 249.833922160369 | -34.2576763681964 | 276.423754207827 | 3.8339221603689 |
79 | 353 | 410.886959332584 | 16.344927396987 | 278.768113270429 | 57.8869593325843 |
80 | 339 | 362.281536794663 | 34.2465718959565 | 281.47189130938 | 23.2815367946635 |
81 | 308 | 318.876117619046 | 12.9482130326226 | 284.175669348331 | 10.8761176190461 |
82 | 247 | 192.614173665942 | 15.5716604652364 | 285.814165868822 | -54.3858263340584 |
83 | 257 | 216.475123241837 | 10.0722143688505 | 287.452662389313 | -40.5248767581632 |
84 | 322 | 340.211499917465 | 14.7890127003966 | 288.999487382138 | 18.2114999174651 |
85 | 298 | 298.658506021676 | 6.79518160335973 | 290.546312374964 | 0.65850602167626 |
86 | 273 | 259.207340009135 | -6.58174158136597 | 293.374401572231 | -13.7926599908648 |
87 | 312 | 336.256153899731 | -8.45864466922862 | 296.202490769498 | 24.2561538997311 |
88 | 249 | 224.131445453655 | -27.0094565654691 | 300.878011111814 | -24.8685545463449 |
89 | 286 | 300.906723326267 | -34.4602547803972 | 305.55353145413 | 14.9067233262667 |
90 | 279 | 282.529061322852 | -34.2576763681964 | 309.728615045345 | 3.52906132285159 |
91 | 309 | 287.751373966454 | 16.344927396987 | 313.903698636559 | -21.248626033546 |
92 | 401 | 451.810146422984 | 34.2465718959565 | 315.94328168106 | 50.8101464229835 |
93 | 309 | 287.068922241816 | 12.9482130326226 | 317.982864725561 | -21.9310777581835 |
94 | 328 | 322.955142464377 | 15.5716604652364 | 317.473197070387 | -5.04485753562301 |
95 | 353 | 378.964256215937 | 10.0722143688505 | 316.963529415212 | 25.9642562159372 |
96 | 354 | 376.515162740434 | 14.7890127003966 | 316.69582455917 | 22.5151627404338 |
97 | 327 | 330.776698693513 | 6.79518160335973 | 316.428119703127 | 3.77669869351331 |
98 | 324 | 334.860489413248 | -6.58174158136597 | 319.721252168118 | 10.8604894132476 |
99 | 285 | 255.444260036119 | -8.45864466922862 | 323.01438463311 | -29.555739963881 |
100 | 243 | 182.592164153447 | -27.0094565654691 | 330.417292412022 | -60.4078358465526 |
101 | 241 | 178.640054589463 | -34.4602547803972 | 337.820200190934 | -62.3599454105366 |
102 | 287 | 260.185755969371 | -34.2576763681964 | 348.071920398826 | -26.8142440306293 |
103 | 355 | 335.331431996295 | 16.344927396987 | 358.323640606718 | -19.6685680037045 |
104 | 460 | 515.453917408117 | 34.2465718959565 | 370.299510695927 | 55.4539174081169 |
105 | 364 | 332.776406182242 | 12.9482130326226 | 382.275380785136 | -31.2235938177582 |
106 | 487 | 566.973055031728 | 15.5716604652364 | 391.455284503036 | 79.9730550317277 |
107 | 452 | 493.292597410213 | 10.0722143688505 | 400.635188220936 | 41.2925974102132 |
108 | 391 | 363.6747292513 | 14.7890127003966 | 403.536258048303 | -27.3252707486999 |
109 | 500 | 586.76749052097 | 6.79518160335973 | 406.43732787567 | 86.7674905209699 |
110 | 451 | 504.991633035245 | -6.58174158136597 | 403.590108546121 | 53.9916330352447 |
111 | 375 | 357.715755452656 | -8.45864466922862 | 400.742889216572 | -17.2842445473437 |
112 | 372 | 372.508233194359 | -27.0094565654691 | 398.50122337111 | 0.508233194358638 |
113 | 302 | 242.200697254749 | -34.4602547803972 | 396.259557525648 | -59.7993027452513 |
114 | 316 | 272.974711171435 | -34.2576763681964 | 393.282965196761 | -43.0252888285649 |
115 | 398 | 389.348699735139 | 16.344927396987 | 390.306372867874 | -8.65130026486105 |
116 | 394 | 366.753888820607 | 34.2465718959565 | 386.999539283437 | -27.2461111793933 |
117 | 431 | 465.359081268378 | 12.9482130326226 | 383.692705698999 | 34.3590812683779 |
118 | 431 | 465.933359323267 | 15.5716604652364 | 380.494980211497 | 34.933359323267 |