Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha1
beta0.029820328520941
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
30.610.580.03
40.610.6008946098556280.00910539014437173
50.60.601166135581045-0.00116613558104472
60.60.5911313610349180.00886863896508194
70.580.59139582676239-0.0113958267623904
80.630.5710559994645680.0589440005354319
90.650.6228137289248730.0271862710751267
100.620.643624432459593-0.0236244324595929
110.610.612919944122527-0.00291994412252705
120.670.602832870429530.0671671295704696
130.660.664835816299131-0.00483581629913055
140.590.654691610668424-0.0646916106684235
150.540.582762485585742-0.0427624855857422
160.530.531487294217204-0.00148729421720351
170.50.521442942615039-0.0214429426150392
180.50.4908035070218030.00919649297819697
190.520.4910777494636530.0289222505363466
200.530.5119402204762120.0180597795237878
210.540.5224787690346270.0175212309653727
220.540.5330012578981060.006998742101894
230.550.5332099626868180.0167900373131822
240.520.543710647115376-0.0237106471153758
250.470.513003587828951-0.0430035878289512
260.470.4617212067123130.00827879328768727
270.440.461968083047908-0.0219680830479085
280.450.4313129875944450.0186870124055554
290.430.441870240443453-0.0118702404434531
300.410.421516265973807-0.0115162659738068
310.40.401172847139133-0.00117284713913329
320.370.39113787245214-0.0211378724521396
330.370.3605075341513830.00949246584861702
340.40.3607906026014630.0392093973985375
350.450.3919598397129950.0580401602870049
360.40.443690616360162-0.0436906163601616
370.380.392387747827019-0.0123877478270192
380.430.3720183411171830.057981658882817
390.530.4237473732332580.106252626766742
400.590.5269158614696550.0630841385303451
410.570.58879705120509-0.0187970512050903
420.610.568236516962930.0417634830370704
430.570.609481917747274-0.0394819177472738
440.560.568304553989413-0.00830455398941321
450.530.558056909461229-0.0280569094612291
460.550.5272202432038130.022779756796187
470.550.5478995430351020.00210045696489769
480.580.547962179351840.0320378206481602
490.580.5789175576886630.00108244231133714
500.560.578949836473992-0.0189498364739917
510.520.558384746124919-0.0383847461249194
520.490.517240100385281-0.0272401003852814
530.480.486427791642849-0.00642779164284885
540.460.476236112784395-0.0162361127843949
550.470.4557519465672610.0142480534327388
560.440.466176828201409-0.0261768282014094
570.450.4353962265848070.0146037734151929
580.450.4458317159056940.00416828409430642
590.430.445956015506754-0.0159560155067544
600.440.4254802018824580.0145197981175423
610.450.4359131870323810.0140868129676194
620.450.4463332604228880.00366673957711194
630.450.4464426038016780.00355739619832174
640.460.4465486865249910.0134513134750086
650.460.4569498091118540.00305019088814568
660.450.45704076680619-0.00704076680619037
670.430.44683080882699-0.0168308088269905
680.440.4263289085784960.0136710914215036
690.470.4367365850159250.0332634149840745
700.470.4677285109784790.00227148902152102
710.50.4677962475273320.0322037524726675
720.510.4987565740056740.0112434259943255


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
730.5090918566625260.4508158158497380.567367897475314
740.5081837133250520.424531102462960.591836324187144
750.5072755699875780.4032994809784930.611251658996664
760.5063674266501050.3845399246257750.628194928674434
770.5054592833126310.3672690565686040.643649510056657
780.5045511399751570.3509905245433660.658111755406948
790.5036429966376830.3354141294534370.671871863821929
800.5027348533002090.3203538066796480.685115899920771
810.5018267099627350.3056824114968530.697971008428617
820.5009185666252610.2913089039452890.710528229305234
830.5000104232877880.2771657223349490.722855124240626
840.4991022799503140.2632012923422690.735003267558359