| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.99995830862336 |
| beta | FALSE |
| gamma | FALSE |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 2 | 119.9 | 120.6 | -0.699999999999989 |
| 3 | 119.48 | 119.900029183964 | -0.420029183963649 |
| 4 | 117.45 | 119.480017511595 | -2.03001751159491 |
| 5 | 118.37 | 117.450084634225 | 0.919915365775339 |
| 6 | 117.07 | 118.369961647462 | -1.29996164746201 |
| 7 | 114.98 | 117.070054197191 | -2.09005419719065 |
| 8 | 112.59 | 114.980087137237 | -2.39008713723673 |
| 9 | 111.7 | 112.590099646023 | -0.890099646023046 |
| 10 | 112.04 | 111.70003710948 | 0.339962890520411 |
| 11 | 110.79 | 112.039985826479 | -1.24998582647909 |
| 12 | 110.79 | 110.79005211363 | -5.21136298914371e-05 |
| 13 | 109.82 | 110.790000002173 | -0.970000002172696 |
| 14 | 109.11 | 109.820040440635 | -0.710040440635424 |
| 15 | 109.84 | 109.110029602563 | 0.72997039743656 |
| 16 | 109.31 | 109.839969566529 | -0.529969566529232 |
| 17 | 108.29 | 109.310022095161 | -1.0200220951608 |
| 18 | 107.42 | 108.290042526125 | -0.87004252612536 |
| 19 | 106.71 | 107.420036273271 | -0.71003627327066 |
| 20 | 105.11 | 106.71002960239 | -1.6000296023897 |
| 21 | 104.43 | 105.110066707437 | -0.680066707436779 |
| 22 | 105.11 | 104.430028352917 | 0.679971647082752 |
| 23 | 104.43 | 105.109971651046 | -0.679971651045946 |
| 24 | 105.55 | 104.430028348954 | 1.11997165104579 |
| 25 | 106.12 | 105.54995330684 | 0.570046693159938 |
| 26 | 105.78 | 106.119976233969 | -0.339976233968613 |
| 27 | 105.33 | 105.780014174077 | -0.450014174077225 |
| 28 | 104.63 | 105.33001876171 | -0.700018761710425 |
| 29 | 104.62 | 104.630029184746 | -0.0100291847458465 |
| 30 | 105.57 | 104.620000418131 | 0.949999581869477 |
| 31 | 107.5 | 105.56996039321 | 1.93003960679039 |
| 32 | 107.52 | 107.499919533992 | 0.0200804660081673 |
| 33 | 107.76 | 107.519999162818 | 0.240000837182279 |
| 34 | 106.74 | 107.759989994035 | -1.01998999403472 |
| 35 | 106.21 | 106.740042524787 | -0.530042524787007 |
| 36 | 105.77 | 106.210022098203 | -0.440022098202533 |
| 37 | 105.27 | 105.770018345127 | -0.500018345127032 |
| 38 | 104.35 | 105.270020846453 | -0.920020846453156 |
| 39 | 103.52 | 104.350038356936 | -0.830038356935631 |
| 40 | 102.28 | 103.520034605442 | -1.24003460544176 |
| 41 | 100.93 | 102.28005169875 | -1.35005169874978 |
| 42 | 101.04 | 100.930056285514 | 0.10994371448615 |
| 43 | 99.95 | 101.039995416295 | -1.0899954162952 |
| 44 | 99.55 | 99.9500454434094 | -0.400045443409439 |
| 45 | 99.56 | 99.5500166784452 | 0.00998332155475623 |
| 46 | 99.01 | 99.5599995837816 | -0.549999583781585 |
| 47 | 98.64 | 99.0100229302398 | -0.370022930239799 |
| 48 | 98.98 | 98.6400154267653 | 0.339984573234659 |
| 49 | 100.8 | 98.9799858255751 | 1.82001417442488 |
| 50 | 100.32 | 100.799924121104 | -0.479924121103565 |
| 51 | 100.72 | 100.320020008697 | 0.399979991302715 |
| 52 | 280.8 | 100.719983324284 | 180.080016675716 |
| 53 | 280.4 | 280.792492216199 | -0.3924922161994 |
| 54 | 280.4 | 280.400016363541 | -1.6363540794373e-05 |
| 55 | 280.3 | 280.400000000682 | -0.100000000682201 |
| 56 | 281 | 280.300004169138 | 0.699995830862292 |
| 57 | 280.9 | 280.99997081621 | -0.0999708162102024 |
| 58 | 279.7 | 280.900004167921 | -1.20000416792095 |
| 59 | 283.1 | 279.700050029826 | 3.3999499701743 |
| 60 | 290.6 | 283.099858251405 | 7.50014174859479 |
| 61 | 291.6 | 290.599687308766 | 1.00031269123451 |
| 62 | 291.7 | 291.599958295587 | 0.100041704413115 |
| 63 | 291.8 | 291.699995829124 | 0.100004170876389 |
| 64 | 291.7 | 291.799995830688 | -0.0999958306884423 |
| 65 | 291.5 | 291.700004168964 | -0.200004168963801 |
| 66 | 291.7 | 291.500008338449 | 0.199991661550825 |
| 67 | 293.4 | 291.699991662072 | 1.70000833792767 |
| 68 | 293.1 | 293.399929124312 | -0.29992912431203 |
| 69 | 292.6 | 293.100012504458 | -0.500012504458084 |
| 70 | 292.1 | 292.60002084621 | -0.500020846209623 |
| 71 | 292.2 | 292.100020846557 | 0.0999791534425185 |
| 72 | 292 | 292.199995831731 | -0.199995831731428 |
| 73 | 292.1 | 292.000008338102 | 0.0999916618984571 |
| 74 | 293.4 | 292.09999583121 | 1.30000416879 |
| 75 | 292.2 | 293.399945801037 | -1.19994580103656 |
| 76 | 292.1 | 292.200050027392 | -0.100050027392285 |
| 77 | 291.6 | 292.100004171223 | -0.500004171223395 |
| 78 | 290.9 | 291.600020845862 | -0.700020845862298 |
| 79 | 290.9 | 290.900029184833 | -2.91848327265143e-05 |
| 80 | 290.8 | 290.900000001217 | -0.100000001216699 |
| 81 | 290.5 | 290.800004169138 | -0.300004169137708 |
| 82 | 290 | 290.500012507587 | -0.500012507586803 |
| 83 | 290.2 | 290.00002084621 | 0.199979153790196 |
| 84 | 290.1 | 290.199991662594 | -0.0999916625937658 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 85 | 290.10000416879 | 251.255351242534 | 328.944657095046 |
| 86 | 290.10000416879 | 235.166514313146 | 345.033494024434 |
| 87 | 290.10000416879 | 222.820961707716 | 357.379046629864 |
| 88 | 290.10000416879 | 212.413127534201 | 367.786880803379 |
| 89 | 290.10000416879 | 203.243616677733 | 376.956391659847 |
| 90 | 290.10000416879 | 194.953731016577 | 385.246277321003 |
| 91 | 290.10000416879 | 187.330385401791 | 392.86962293579 |
| 92 | 290.10000416879 | 180.234742196348 | 399.965266141232 |
| 93 | 290.10000416879 | 173.570364012167 | 406.629644325413 |
| 94 | 290.10000416879 | 167.267035134451 | 412.932973203129 |
| 95 | 290.10000416879 | 161.27174822876 | 418.92826010882 |
| 96 | 290.10000416879 | 155.543321780628 | 424.656686556952 |
