| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.926648196365542 |
| beta | 0 |
| gamma | 1 |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 13 | 617.06 | 608.091169871795 | 8.96883012820513 |
| 14 | 617.06 | 616.31213470237 | 0.747865297630256 |
| 15 | 617.06 | 616.915157300308 | 0.144842699692163 |
| 16 | 617.06 | 617.248556762166 | -0.188556762165604 |
| 17 | 617.06 | 617.56217888069 | -0.50217888069028 |
| 18 | 617.06 | 617.585183628744 | -0.525183628743775 |
| 19 | 617.06 | 615.562704401839 | 1.49729559816114 |
| 20 | 617.06 | 616.860185236065 | 0.199814763934455 |
| 21 | 617.06 | 616.955357795437 | 0.104642204562765 |
| 22 | 628.18 | 635.022338874324 | -6.84233887432356 |
| 23 | 628.18 | 628.591912466274 | -0.41191246627443 |
| 24 | 628.18 | 628.120229091105 | 0.0597709088946203 |
| 25 | 628.18 | 628.743510131187 | -0.563510131187172 |
| 26 | 628.18 | 627.528326455315 | 0.651673544684627 |
| 27 | 628.18 | 627.99798034369 | 0.18201965630999 |
| 28 | 628.18 | 628.341374313486 | -0.161374313486021 |
| 29 | 628.18 | 628.657180250999 | -0.477180250998913 |
| 30 | 628.18 | 628.701662494406 | -0.521662494405632 |
| 31 | 628.18 | 626.830798619391 | 1.34920138060897 |
| 32 | 628.18 | 627.895875654659 | 0.284124345340842 |
| 33 | 628.18 | 628.062192456691 | 0.117807543309027 |
| 34 | 641.08 | 645.63179958103 | -4.5517995810302 |
| 35 | 641.08 | 641.795580652985 | -0.715580652984841 |
| 36 | 641.08 | 641.07710252662 | 0.00289747338001689 |
| 37 | 641.08 | 641.6019631118 | -0.521963111799892 |
| 38 | 641.08 | 640.51441482088 | 0.565585179119921 |
| 39 | 641.08 | 640.86984512078 | 0.210154879220113 |
| 40 | 641.08 | 641.214121977098 | -0.134121977098175 |
| 41 | 641.08 | 641.532016307857 | -0.452016307856525 |
| 42 | 641.08 | 641.596553821006 | -0.516553821006028 |
| 43 | 641.08 | 639.86765512857 | 1.2123448714301 |
| 44 | 641.08 | 640.7277890049 | 0.352210995099995 |
| 45 | 641.08 | 640.944998540724 | 0.135001459276054 |
| 46 | 668.21 | 658.188014271448 | 10.0219857285521 |
| 47 | 668.21 | 668.137960792254 | 0.0720392077455472 |
| 48 | 668.21 | 668.202030855698 | 0.00796914430213747 |
| 49 | 668.21 | 668.693091625011 | -0.483091625010729 |
| 50 | 668.21 | 667.721337155893 | 0.488662844107239 |
| 51 | 668.21 | 667.979416059229 | 0.230583940771112 |
| 52 | 668.21 | 668.317370140226 | -0.107370140226294 |
| 53 | 668.21 | 668.636735889845 | -0.426735889845077 |
| 54 | 668.21 | 668.719965513757 | -0.509965513756583 |
| 55 | 668.21 | 667.123989701742 | 1.08601029825832 |
| 56 | 668.21 | 667.803963502508 | 0.406036497492323 |
| 57 | 668.21 | 668.055117631823 | 0.154882368177368 |
| 58 | 665.27 | 686.041784099579 | -20.7717840995791 |
| 59 | 665.27 | 666.726892826485 | -1.4568928264847 |
| 60 | 665.27 | 665.369481123331 | -0.0994811233306336 |
| 61 | 665.27 | 665.724953102819 | -0.454953102819331 |
| 62 | 665.27 | 664.850553087538 | 0.419446912461922 |
| 63 | 665.27 | 665.025562619616 | 0.244437380384397 |
| 64 | 665.27 | 665.351564424057 | -0.0815644240573192 |
| 65 | 665.27 | 665.671416940266 | -0.401416940266472 |
| 66 | 665.27 | 665.772003280109 | -0.502003280109193 |
| 67 | 665.27 | 664.300473361911 | 0.969526638089064 |
| 68 | 665.27 | 664.822630484365 | 0.447369515635273 |
| 69 | 665.27 | 665.093663172017 | 0.176336827983391 |
| 70 | 674.3 | 681.56520164679 | -7.26520164678959 |
| 71 | 674.3 | 676.18294275452 | -1.88294275451995 |
| 72 | 674.3 | 674.530301250691 | -0.230301250691241 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 73 | 674.738474484276 | 667.769013043366 | 681.707935925186 |
| 74 | 674.349794759372 | 664.848097956792 | 683.851491561952 |
| 75 | 674.123287301714 | 662.634549708751 | 685.612024894678 |
| 76 | 674.198868828155 | 661.019341490962 | 687.378396165347 |
| 77 | 674.570841111843 | 659.894029803401 | 689.247652420285 |
| 78 | 675.036021545926 | 659.001133347518 | 691.070909744334 |
| 79 | 674.137611435412 | 656.851012901078 | 691.424209969747 |
| 80 | 673.72305728064 | 655.269457679503 | 692.176656881777 |
| 81 | 673.559655077036 | 654.008588927312 | 693.110721226761 |
| 82 | 689.321941079266 | 668.73182119271 | 709.912060965821 |
| 83 | 691.066766586601 | 669.487566270219 | 712.645966902983 |
| 84 | 691.280174825175 | 668.755283357149 | 713.805066293201 |
