Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.917973317029507
beta0.0503862068439166
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
3105.82105.93-0.109999999999999
4105.72105.93393508385-0.213935083849549
5105.76105.832565353207-0.0725653532074375
6105.8105.857612883812-0.0576128838122969
7105.09105.893721602487-0.803721602486604
8105.06105.207747735072-0.147747735071917
9105.16105.1171065700440.0428934299564077
10105.2105.203452865751-0.00345286575127091
11105.21105.247094792589-0.0370947925886753
12105.23105.258138575639-0.028138575639062
13105.19105.276102427889-0.0861024278888749
14105.16105.236874498169-0.0768744981692748
15104.88105.20256187067-0.3225618706701
16104.52104.927795274287-0.407795274287139
17104.09104.555924853963-0.46592485396306
18104.35104.1091425181730.240857481827376
19104.48104.3223079352810.157692064718631
20104.47104.4664234801560.00357651984367635
21104.55104.4692304925610.0807695074392569
22104.59104.546634455490.0433655445095553
23104.59104.591708373418-0.00170837341786978
24104.72104.5953266196680.124673380332183
25104.65104.720726485596-0.0707264855956424
26104.72104.6634831626320.0565168373682212
27104.92104.725659899130.194340100870306
28105.05104.9233435642650.126656435734972
29103.74105.064753695428-1.32475369542844
30103.81103.812533965197-0.00253396519705973
31103.79103.7739594625860.0160405374143693
32104.28103.7531777838280.526822216171666
33103.8104.225647266865-0.42564726686507
34103.8103.804087633822-0.00408763382235122
35104.02103.7693194293320.250680570668266
36104.02103.9800164155150.0399835844849576
37104.91103.9991485588710.910851441129282
38104.97104.8598439451760.110156054823761
39103.86104.990617401096-1.13061740109579
40104.17103.9300992666560.239900733344427
41103.21104.13877638516-0.928776385159708
42103.21103.231680218859-0.0216802188589753
43101.91103.156271349846-1.24627134984561
44101.84101.899076468506-0.059076468506035
45101.91101.7289623350250.18103766497471
46101.79101.7876401392580.00235986074244465
47101.79101.6824056379550.107594362045432
48101.79101.6787501837180.111249816281813
49102.09101.6835959982040.406404001796147
50102.18101.9781829623070.201817037693331
51102.2102.0942992348330.105700765167271
52101.97102.127072331784-0.15707233178442
53102.05101.9113616403570.138638359643124
54102.04101.9735179400850.0664820599145912
55101.78101.972511689584-0.192511689584379
56101.79101.724851807350.0651481926498576
57101.8101.7167301338320.0832698661678819
58101.83101.729095170290.100904829709791
59101.83101.7623158033330.0676841966669457
60101.88101.7681713919080.111828608091727
61101.9101.8197228025080.0802771974916396
62101.91101.8460239368060.0639760631935218
63101.17101.860320162007-0.690320162007311
64101.17101.1502630673560.0197369326435961
65101.23101.0929323353260.13706766467422
66101.26101.1496479017740.110352098226144
67101.49101.1869434280180.303056571982168
68101.51101.4151538534860.0948461465141293
69101.61101.4566196012080.153380398792379
70101.39101.558912563907-0.168912563906645
71101.43101.3575364410910.0724635589093907
72101.44101.3810888293950.0589111706054695


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
73101.394925316623100.678834235229102.111016398016
74101.35468292116100.359926273605102.349439568715
75101.314440525697100.084346528844102.54453452255
76101.27419813023499.8299848966705102.718411363798
77101.23395573477299.5878704623732102.88004100717
78101.19371333930999.3533710101365103.034055668481
79101.15347094384699.1237578052368103.183184082455
80101.11322854838398.8972823845659103.329174712201
81101.07298615292198.6727570214296103.473215284411
82101.03274375745898.4493396193802103.616147895535
83100.99250136199598.2264133953343103.758589328656
84100.95225896653298.0035149886501103.901002944414