| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 98.68 | NA | NA | 0.473423611111116 | NA |
| 2 | 99.21 | NA | NA | 0.453256944444448 | NA |
| 3 | 99.36 | NA | NA | 0.327756944444443 | NA |
| 4 | 100.72 | NA | NA | 0.154673611111108 | NA |
| 5 | 102.27 | NA | NA | 0.539090277777777 | NA |
| 6 | 102.62 | NA | NA | -0.295159722222226 | NA |
| 7 | 102.97 | 102.210340277778 | 102.01 | 0.200340277777778 | 0.759659722222224 |
| 8 | 102.88 | 102.207673611111 | 102.4275 | -0.21982638888889 | 0.672326388888891 |
| 9 | 102.9 | 102.389340277778 | 102.8 | -0.410659722222217 | 0.510659722222229 |
| 10 | 103.01 | 102.255756944444 | 103.104583333333 | -0.848826388888892 | 0.754243055555563 |
| 11 | 103.02 | 102.780756944444 | 103.290416666667 | -0.509659722222221 | 0.239243055555562 |
| 12 | 103.73 | 103.543090277778 | 103.4075 | 0.135590277777775 | 0.186909722222225 |
| 13 | 104.18 | 103.981340277778 | 103.507916666667 | 0.473423611111116 | 0.198659722222231 |
| 14 | 103.73 | 104.058673611111 | 103.605416666667 | 0.453256944444448 | -0.328673611111086 |
| 15 | 103.78 | 104.028173611111 | 103.700416666667 | 0.327756944444443 | -0.248173611111099 |
| 16 | 103.61 | 103.963006944444 | 103.808333333333 | 0.154673611111108 | -0.353006944444431 |
| 17 | 103.84 | 104.484506944444 | 103.945416666667 | 0.539090277777777 | -0.644506944444444 |
| 18 | 103.86 | 103.769423611111 | 104.064583333333 | -0.295159722222226 | 0.0905763888888913 |
| 19 | 104.14 | 104.340756944444 | 104.140416666667 | 0.200340277777778 | -0.20075694444445 |
| 20 | 104.05 | 104.017256944444 | 104.237083333333 | -0.21982638888889 | 0.0327430555555566 |
| 21 | 104.01 | 103.953506944444 | 104.364166666667 | -0.410659722222217 | 0.0564930555555634 |
| 22 | 104.49 | 103.673673611111 | 104.5225 | -0.848826388888892 | 0.816326388888896 |
| 23 | 104.83 | 104.232423611111 | 104.742083333333 | -0.509659722222221 | 0.597576388888896 |
| 24 | 104.78 | 105.106840277778 | 104.97125 | 0.135590277777775 | -0.326840277777777 |
| 25 | 104.95 | 105.670090277778 | 105.196666666667 | 0.473423611111116 | -0.720090277777771 |
| 26 | 105.28 | 105.889506944444 | 105.43625 | 0.453256944444448 | -0.609506944444448 |
| 27 | 105.28 | 106.008590277778 | 105.680833333333 | 0.327756944444443 | -0.728590277777769 |
| 28 | 105.91 | 106.056340277778 | 105.901666666667 | 0.154673611111108 | -0.146340277777782 |
| 29 | 106.81 | 106.644090277778 | 106.105 | 0.539090277777777 | 0.165909722222239 |
| 30 | 106.39 | 106.015256944444 | 106.310416666667 | -0.295159722222226 | 0.37474305555557 |
| 31 | 107.02 | 106.716590277778 | 106.51625 | 0.200340277777778 | 0.303409722222227 |
| 32 | 106.92 | 106.537673611111 | 106.7575 | -0.21982638888889 | 0.382326388888899 |
| 33 | 107.01 | 106.614340277778 | 107.025 | -0.410659722222217 | 0.39565972222222 |
| 34 | 106.79 | 106.408673611111 | 107.2575 | -0.848826388888892 | 0.381326388888908 |
| 35 | 107.41 | 106.954923611111 | 107.464583333333 | -0.509659722222221 | 0.455076388888884 |
| 36 | 107.13 | 107.863090277778 | 107.7275 | 0.135590277777775 | -0.733090277777805 |
| 37 | 107.54 | 108.478423611111 | 108.005 | 0.473423611111116 | -0.938423611111105 |
| 38 | 108.48 | 108.709506944444 | 108.25625 | 0.453256944444448 | -0.229506944444452 |
| 39 | 108.5 | 108.817340277778 | 108.489583333333 | 0.327756944444443 | -0.317340277777788 |
| 40 | 108.27 | 108.835506944444 | 108.680833333333 | 0.154673611111108 | -0.565506944444451 |
| 41 | 109.42 | 109.278673611111 | 108.739583333333 | 0.539090277777777 | 0.141326388888899 |
| 42 | 110.09 | 108.435256944444 | 108.730416666667 | -0.295159722222226 | 1.65474305555554 |
| 43 | 109.98 | 108.894506944444 | 108.694166666667 | 0.200340277777778 | 1.08549305555555 |
| 44 | 109.99 | 108.435590277778 | 108.655416666667 | -0.21982638888889 | 1.55440972222222 |
| 45 | 109.54 | 108.368923611111 | 108.779583333333 | -0.410659722222217 | 1.17107638888889 |
| 46 | 108.85 | 108.188673611111 | 109.0375 | -0.848826388888892 | 0.661326388888867 |
| 47 | 106.76 | 108.729506944444 | 109.239166666667 | -0.509659722222221 | -1.96950694444443 |
| 48 | 107.56 | 109.296840277778 | 109.16125 | 0.135590277777775 | -1.73684027777777 |
| 49 | 106.24 | 109.369256944444 | 108.895833333333 | 0.473423611111116 | -3.12925694444444 |
| 50 | 108.85 | 109.036590277778 | 108.583333333333 | 0.453256944444448 | -0.186590277777768 |
| 51 | 111.11 | 108.571923611111 | 108.244166666667 | 0.327756944444443 | 2.5380763888889 |
| 52 | 111.85 | 108.035506944444 | 107.880833333333 | 0.154673611111108 | 3.81449305555556 |
| 53 | 110.68 | 108.222423611111 | 107.683333333333 | 0.539090277777777 | 2.4575763888889 |
| 54 | 106.96 | 107.445673611111 | 107.740833333333 | -0.295159722222226 | -0.48567361111111 |
| 55 | 106.74 | 108.178673611111 | 107.978333333333 | 0.200340277777778 | -1.4386736111111 |
| 56 | 105.73 | 107.862673611111 | 108.0825 | -0.21982638888889 | -2.13267361111109 |
| 57 | 105.66 | 107.284756944444 | 107.695416666667 | -0.410659722222217 | -1.62475694444441 |
| 58 | 104.01 | 106.114090277778 | 106.962916666667 | -0.848826388888892 | -2.10409027777774 |
| 59 | 106.86 | 105.673256944444 | 106.182916666667 | -0.509659722222221 | 1.18674305555558 |
| 60 | 108.84 | 105.721006944444 | 105.585416666667 | 0.135590277777775 | 3.11899305555558 |
| 61 | 110.66 | 105.561756944444 | 105.088333333333 | 0.473423611111116 | 5.09824305555556 |
| 62 | 106.93 | 105.066590277778 | 104.613333333333 | 0.453256944444448 | 1.86340972222223 |
| 63 | 103.74 | 104.474840277778 | 104.147083333333 | 0.327756944444443 | -0.734840277777778 |
| 64 | 101.64 | 103.880506944444 | 103.725833333333 | 0.154673611111108 | -2.24050694444442 |
| 65 | 102.17 | 103.781173611111 | 103.242083333333 | 0.539090277777777 | -1.6111736111111 |
| 66 | 101.13 | 102.255256944444 | 102.550416666667 | -0.295159722222226 | -1.12525694444443 |
| 67 | 100.64 | NA | NA | 0.200340277777778 | NA |
| 68 | 100.43 | NA | NA | -0.21982638888889 | NA |
| 69 | 99.77 | NA | NA | -0.410659722222217 | NA |
| 70 | 99.79 | NA | NA | -0.848826388888892 | NA |
| 71 | 99.47 | NA | NA | -0.509659722222221 | NA |
| 72 | 99.63 | NA | NA | 0.135590277777775 | NA |
