Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha1
beta0.363567034461946
gamma0.0331063466428148


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
1323.7423.34551282051280.394487179487182
1423.8724.0209050514619-0.15090505146193
1524.1324.2331242827499-0.103124282749924
1624.2324.2964650264229-0.0664650264228541
1724.2724.3081338672042-0.0381338672041913
1824.4124.4271863168589-0.0171863168588686
1924.3924.4296879386052-0.0396879386051658
2024.3424.4348420457959-0.0948420457959074
2124.3124.3311939377969-0.021193937796923
2224.3424.22640518735020.113594812649808
2324.4124.33645451651550.0735454834844518
2424.3924.27735989651070.11264010348928
2524.5424.47706212489780.0629378751021861
2624.924.75952759483740.140472405162619
2725.6325.30768206393940.322317936060575
2826.725.99569957344020.704300426559801
2927.1227.2575933242282-0.137593324228156
3027.6827.7204855940434-0.0404855940434388
3127.8428.1345163666786-0.294516366678632
3227.8428.2270232579781-0.387023257978104
3327.7728.0671476931405-0.297147693140541
3427.827.8220312542149-0.0220312542148946
3527.8227.8827714164545-0.0627714164545132
3627.7227.7241164653918-0.00411646539183153
3727.8727.80136985427690.0686301457231373
3827.8328.0859048461654-0.25590484616545
3928.0728.089949613474-0.0199496134739654
4028.0528.1635299249979-0.113529924997913
4128.1528.03808752017710.111912479822934
4228.328.27169187525220.0283081247477597
4328.4128.3007337762180.109266223782036
4428.4328.4900427064986-0.0600427064985816
4528.4328.4690464910892-0.0390464910891595
4628.2928.3877671407844-0.0977671407843985
4728.1928.2509722313416-0.0609722313415944
4827.5327.9729714046749-0.442971404674864
4927.9227.33067160472580.589328395274212
5027.9828.0445153150532-0.0645153150531819
5127.9228.2181430066153-0.298143006615252
5227.8927.8905813711879-0.000581371187912794
5327.9527.79620333712250.153796662877468
5428.0228.00503540042170.0149645995782954
5527.9727.94922603551230.0207739644877023
5627.8127.9463620975084-0.136362097508439
5727.7827.71761866743760.0623813325623814
5827.5627.6432151301898-0.0832151301897817
5927.5227.43171085208430.0882891479156811
6027.1827.2679765424339-0.0879765424338537
6127.1827.0747411717990.105258828201027
6227.2627.22259314515230.0374068548477133
6327.3827.4532763777712-0.0732763777711547
6427.3127.3874688357421-0.0774688357421169
6527.4327.22513705420150.204862945798535
6627.427.5125351345432-0.112535134543251
6727.3227.31037106940460.00962893059541869
6827.3127.27345516447950.0365448355204698
6927.3427.25757499528790.0824250047120572
7027.327.25045867648330.049541323516717
7127.327.26722026855760.0327797314424174
7226.9427.1233045649752-0.18330456497522


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
7326.875411067883926.49983876100627.2509833747617
7426.92040546910126.28533112641527.5554798117871
7527.102483203651526.194692450843528.0102739564596
7627.125394271535425.925128505181628.3256600378892
7727.084138672752625.570774718021528.5975026274836
7827.135799740636425.289107789760728.9824916915121
7927.056210808520324.85668143215829.2557401848825
8027.016205209737424.445109165365829.5873012541091
8126.95703294428823.996395040239529.9176708483365
8226.830777345505123.463323600055130.1982310909552
8326.743271746722322.952371046663730.5341724467809
8426.499932814606222.269540819705930.7303248095064