Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha1
beta0.199739945378135
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
335.135.48-0.380000000000003
435.8735.9140988207563-0.0440988207563109
537.1536.67529052470720.474709475292798
637.6138.0501089693727-0.440108969372666
737.9738.4222016278697-0.452201627869748
838.9438.69187889941910.24812110058086
939.1839.7114385944963-0.531438594496322
1039.4939.8452890786598-0.355289078659794
1139.8640.0843236574948-0.224323657494843
1240.0240.4095172623998-0.389517262399792
1340.240.4917151056842-0.291715105684219
1440.8540.61344794640890.236552053591119
1541.4541.31069684067230.139303159327746
1641.741.9385212461074-0.238521246107382
1741.9242.1408790254384-0.220879025438371
1841.9742.3167606609621-0.346760660962133
1942.3142.29749870548230.0125012945177332
2042.6142.6399957133664-0.0299957133664037
2142.8242.934004371217-0.114004371217014
2243.0743.1212331443373-0.0512331443372602
2343.5143.36099983888580.149000161114209
2443.5743.8307611229281-0.260761122928066
2543.8643.83867671047770.0213232895223214
2644.4944.13293582316210.357064176837852
2745.9944.83425580234021.15574419765977
2848.2246.56510408525191.65489591474811
2949.4649.12565290487020.334347095129829
3050.3950.4324353753887-0.0424353753887416
3150.451.3539593358265-0.953959335826497
3250.5951.1734155501955-0.583415550195546
3351.3251.24688416006670.0731158399332585
3451.8651.9914883139413-0.131488313941283
3552.4752.5052248452968-0.0352248452967885
3652.7353.1081890366213-0.378189036621258
3752.7353.2926495791039-0.562649579103912
3853.5953.18026598290670.409734017093335
3954.1154.1221062331005-0.0121062331004609
4054.854.63968813476220.160311865237766
4155.7255.36170881796830.358291182031707
4256.0656.3532738790968-0.293273879096773
4356.6656.63469537050520.0253046294948405
4457.0557.2397497158183-0.189749715818266
4557.3157.5918491179452-0.2818491179452
4657.8957.7955525905220.0944474094780432
4758.3258.3944175109322-0.0744175109322072
4858.7258.8095533613634-0.0895533613634356
4959.0259.1916659778563-0.171665977856264
5059.5459.4573774248160.0826225751840184
5161.4959.99388045347021.49611954652977
5262.2662.24271528997320.0172847100267504
5363.4963.01616773700990.473832262990136
5464.3664.34081096733790.0191890326620836
5565.9365.21464378367370.715356216326313
5666.8266.9275289952486-0.107528995248643
5768.8567.79605115961111.0539488403889
5871.2770.03656684342171.23343315657827
5972.2772.7029327147443-0.432932714744254
6073.473.6164587579488-0.216458757948814
6173.5874.7032232974595-1.12322329745952
6274.8474.65887073737750.181129262622505
6375.7475.9550494864001-0.215049486400105
6477.8176.81209551373290.997904486267061
6578.7479.0814169013125-0.341416901312527
6679.0679.9432223080932-0.883222308093181
6779.4880.0868075325179-0.606807532517905
6881.1980.38560382911770.804396170882256
6985.1182.25627387635212.85372612364786
7086.6486.7462769764137-0.106276976413724
7188.4888.25504921894990.224950781050111
7289.290.1399808756696-0.939980875669605


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
7390.672229146906989.431791157603891.9126671362099
7492.144458293813790.207080016094394.0818365715332
7593.616687440720691.015337874908396.2180370065329
7695.088916587627591.817492382551498.3603407927035
7796.561145734534392.6011204952803100.521170973788
7898.033374881441293.3612720071456102.705477755737
7999.505604028348194.095869519751104.915338536945
80100.97783317525594.8041291445634107.151537205946
81102.45006232216295.4859039171751109.414220727149
82103.92229146906996.141376037479111.703206900658
83105.39452061597696.770900468003114.018140763948
84106.86674976288297.3749208661319116.358578659633