Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
Parameter | Value |
alpha | 1 |
beta | 0 |
gamma | FALSE |
Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
3 | 47.01 | 46.88 | 0.130000000000003 |
4 | 47.26 | 47.17 | 0.0900000000000034 |
5 | 47.49 | 47.42 | 0.0700000000000074 |
6 | 47.51 | 47.65 | -0.140000000000001 |
7 | 47.52 | 47.67 | -0.149999999999991 |
8 | 47.66 | 47.68 | -0.0200000000000031 |
9 | 47.71 | 47.82 | -0.109999999999992 |
10 | 47.87 | 47.87 | 0 |
11 | 48 | 48.03 | -0.029999999999994 |
12 | 48 | 48.16 | -0.159999999999997 |
13 | 48.05 | 48.16 | -0.109999999999999 |
14 | 48.25 | 48.21 | 0.0400000000000063 |
15 | 48.72 | 48.41 | 0.310000000000002 |
16 | 48.94 | 48.88 | 0.0600000000000023 |
17 | 49.16 | 49.1 | 0.0600000000000023 |
18 | 49.18 | 49.32 | -0.139999999999993 |
19 | 49.25 | 49.34 | -0.0899999999999963 |
20 | 49.34 | 49.41 | -0.0699999999999932 |
21 | 49.49 | 49.5 | -0.00999999999999801 |
22 | 49.57 | 49.65 | -0.0799999999999983 |
23 | 49.63 | 49.73 | -0.0999999999999943 |
24 | 49.67 | 49.79 | -0.119999999999997 |
25 | 49.7 | 49.83 | -0.129999999999995 |
26 | 49.8 | 49.86 | -0.0600000000000023 |
27 | 50.09 | 49.96 | 0.13000000000001 |
28 | 50.49 | 50.25 | 0.240000000000002 |
29 | 50.73 | 50.65 | 0.0799999999999983 |
30 | 51.12 | 50.89 | 0.230000000000004 |
31 | 51.15 | 51.28 | -0.129999999999995 |
32 | 51.41 | 51.31 | 0.100000000000001 |
33 | 51.61 | 51.57 | 0.0400000000000063 |
34 | 52.06 | 51.77 | 0.290000000000006 |
35 | 52.17 | 52.22 | -0.0499999999999972 |
36 | 52.18 | 52.33 | -0.149999999999999 |
37 | 52.19 | 52.34 | -0.149999999999999 |
38 | 52.74 | 52.35 | 0.390000000000008 |
39 | 53.05 | 52.9 | 0.149999999999999 |
40 | 53.38 | 53.21 | 0.170000000000009 |
41 | 53.78 | 53.54 | 0.240000000000002 |
42 | 53.82 | 53.94 | -0.119999999999997 |
43 | 53.88 | 53.98 | -0.0999999999999943 |
44 | 53.96 | 54.04 | -0.0799999999999983 |
45 | 54.14 | 54.12 | 0.0200000000000031 |
46 | 54.2 | 54.3 | -0.0999999999999943 |
47 | 54.35 | 54.36 | -0.00999999999999801 |
48 | 54.36 | 54.51 | -0.149999999999999 |
49 | 54.39 | 54.52 | -0.129999999999995 |
50 | 54.77 | 54.55 | 0.220000000000006 |
51 | 54.91 | 54.93 | -0.0200000000000031 |
52 | 55.06 | 55.07 | -0.00999999999999091 |
53 | 55.38 | 55.22 | 0.160000000000004 |
54 | 55.41 | 55.54 | -0.130000000000003 |
55 | 55.47 | 55.57 | -0.0999999999999943 |
56 | 55.58 | 55.63 | -0.0499999999999972 |
57 | 55.67 | 55.74 | -0.0699999999999932 |
58 | 55.97 | 55.83 | 0.140000000000001 |
59 | 56.03 | 56.13 | -0.0999999999999943 |
60 | 56.06 | 56.19 | -0.129999999999995 |
61 | 56.08 | 56.22 | -0.140000000000001 |
62 | 56.43 | 56.24 | 0.190000000000005 |
63 | 56.65 | 56.59 | 0.0600000000000023 |
64 | 56.96 | 56.81 | 0.150000000000006 |
65 | 57.37 | 57.12 | 0.25 |
66 | 57.51 | 57.53 | -0.019999999999996 |
67 | 57.61 | 57.67 | -0.0599999999999952 |
68 | 57.7 | 57.77 | -0.0699999999999932 |
69 | 57.91 | 57.86 | 0.0499999999999972 |
70 | 58.12 | 58.07 | 0.0500000000000043 |
71 | 58.18 | 58.28 | -0.0999999999999943 |
72 | 58.16 | 58.34 | -0.18 |
Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
73 | 58.32 | 58.0506861981497 | 58.5893138018503 |
74 | 58.48 | 58.099132768889 | 58.8608672311109 |
75 | 58.64 | 58.1735348120157 | 59.1064651879842 |
76 | 58.8 | 58.2613723962994 | 59.3386276037006 |
77 | 58.96 | 58.3577960317838 | 59.5622039682162 |
78 | 59.12 | 58.4603186047777 | 59.7796813952222 |
79 | 59.28 | 58.5674626556668 | 59.9925373443332 |
80 | 59.44 | 58.6782655377781 | 60.2017344622219 |
81 | 59.6 | 58.7920585944491 | 60.4079414055509 |
82 | 59.76 | 58.9083549808337 | 60.6116450191662 |
83 | 59.92 | 59.0267871683984 | 60.8132128316015 |
84 | 60.08 | 59.1470696240314 | 61.0129303759685 |