Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
Parameter | Value |
alpha | 1 |
beta | 0 |
gamma | FALSE |
Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
3 | 19.4 | 19.4 | 0 |
4 | 19.5 | 19.4 | 0.100000000000001 |
5 | 19.5 | 19.5 | 0 |
6 | 19.5 | 19.5 | 0 |
7 | 28.7 | 19.5 | 9.2 |
8 | 28.7 | 28.7 | 0 |
9 | 28.7 | 28.7 | 0 |
10 | 21.8 | 28.7 | -6.9 |
11 | 21.8 | 21.8 | 0 |
12 | 21.8 | 21.8 | 0 |
13 | 20 | 21.8 | -1.8 |
14 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
15 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
16 | 22.6 | 20 | 2.6 |
17 | 22.6 | 22.6 | 0 |
18 | 22.6 | 22.6 | 0 |
19 | 22.4 | 22.6 | -0.200000000000003 |
20 | 22.4 | 22.4 | 0 |
21 | 22.4 | 22.4 | 0 |
22 | 18.6 | 22.4 | -3.8 |
23 | 18.6 | 18.6 | 0 |
24 | 18.6 | 18.6 | 0 |
25 | 16.2 | 18.6 | -2.4 |
26 | 16.2 | 16.2 | 0 |
27 | 16.2 | 16.2 | 0 |
28 | 13.8 | 16.2 | -2.4 |
29 | 13.8 | 13.8 | 0 |
30 | 13.8 | 13.8 | 0 |
31 | 24.1 | 13.8 | 10.3 |
32 | 24.1 | 24.1 | 0 |
33 | 24.1 | 24.1 | 0 |
34 | 19.9 | 24.1 | -4.2 |
35 | 19.9 | 19.9 | 0 |
36 | 19.9 | 19.9 | 0 |
37 | 22.3 | 19.9 | 2.4 |
38 | 22.3 | 22.3 | 0 |
39 | 22.3 | 22.3 | 0 |
40 | 20.9 | 22.3 | -1.4 |
41 | 20.9 | 20.9 | 0 |
42 | 20.9 | 20.9 | 0 |
43 | 23.5 | 20.9 | 2.6 |
44 | 23.5 | 23.5 | 0 |
45 | 23.5 | 23.5 | 0 |
46 | 23.1 | 23.5 | -0.399999999999999 |
47 | 23.1 | 23.1 | 0 |
48 | 23.1 | 23.1 | 0 |
49 | 25.7 | 23.1 | 2.6 |
50 | 25.7 | 25.7 | 0 |
51 | 25.7 | 25.7 | 0 |
52 | 19.7 | 25.7 | -6 |
53 | 19.7 | 19.7 | 0 |
54 | 19.7 | 19.7 | 0 |
55 | 23.1 | 19.7 | 3.4 |
56 | 23.1 | 23.1 | 0 |
57 | 23.1 | 23.1 | 0 |
58 | 20.7 | 23.1 | -2.4 |
59 | 20.7 | 20.7 | 0 |
60 | 20.7 | 20.7 | 0 |
61 | 18 | 20.7 | -2.7 |
62 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
63 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
64 | 16.9 | 18 | -1.1 |
65 | 16.9 | 16.9 | 0 |
66 | 16.9 | 16.9 | 0 |
67 | 24.4 | 16.9 | 7.5 |
68 | 24.4 | 24.4 | 0 |
69 | 24.4 | 24.4 | 0 |
70 | 15.5 | 24.4 | -8.9 |
71 | 15.5 | 15.5 | 0 |
72 | 15.5 | 15.5 | 0 |
73 | 18.4 | 15.5 | 2.9 |
74 | 18.4 | 18.4 | 0 |
75 | 18.4 | 18.4 | 0 |
76 | 16.2 | 18.4 | -2.2 |
77 | 16.2 | 16.2 | 0 |
78 | 16.2 | 16.2 | 0 |
79 | 20.6 | 16.2 | 4.4 |
80 | 20.6 | 20.6 | 0 |
81 | 20.6 | 20.6 | 0 |
82 | 19.8 | 20.6 | -0.800000000000001 |
83 | 19.8 | 19.8 | 0 |
84 | 19.8 | 19.8 | 0 |
Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
85 | 19.8 | 14.7210689539384 | 24.8789310460616 |
86 | 19.8 | 12.6173068323019 | 26.9826931676981 |
87 | 19.8 | 11.0030333800823 | 28.5969666199177 |
88 | 19.8 | 9.64213790787674 | 29.9578620921233 |
89 | 19.8 | 8.44316492797209 | 31.1568350720279 |
90 | 19.8 | 7.35921049836901 | 32.240789501631 |
91 | 19.8 | 6.3624115260758 | 33.2375884739242 |
92 | 19.8 | 5.43461366460375 | 34.1653863353962 |
93 | 19.8 | 4.56320686181512 | 35.0367931381849 |
94 | 19.8 | 3.7390098155037 | 35.8609901844963 |
95 | 19.8 | 2.95509138412632 | 36.6449086158737 |
96 | 19.8 | 2.20606676016463 | 37.3939332398354 |