Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
Parameter | Value |
alpha | 1 |
beta | 0 |
gamma | FALSE |
Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
3 | 107.72 | 107.92 | -0.200000000000003 |
4 | 108.14 | 108.08 | 0.0600000000000023 |
5 | 108.16 | 108.5 | -0.340000000000003 |
6 | 108.16 | 108.52 | -0.359999999999999 |
7 | 108.16 | 108.52 | -0.359999999999999 |
8 | 108.1 | 108.52 | -0.420000000000002 |
9 | 108.95 | 108.46 | 0.490000000000009 |
10 | 110.49 | 109.31 | 1.17999999999999 |
11 | 110.72 | 110.85 | -0.129999999999995 |
12 | 110.82 | 111.08 | -0.260000000000005 |
13 | 110.82 | 111.18 | -0.359999999999999 |
14 | 110.75 | 111.18 | -0.429999999999993 |
15 | 110.71 | 111.11 | -0.400000000000006 |
16 | 110.86 | 111.07 | -0.209999999999994 |
17 | 110.84 | 111.22 | -0.379999999999995 |
18 | 110.84 | 111.2 | -0.359999999999999 |
19 | 110.84 | 111.2 | -0.359999999999999 |
20 | 110.92 | 111.2 | -0.280000000000001 |
21 | 111.46 | 111.28 | 0.179999999999993 |
22 | 112.46 | 111.82 | 0.640000000000001 |
23 | 113.04 | 112.82 | 0.220000000000013 |
24 | 113.15 | 113.4 | -0.25 |
25 | 113.15 | 113.51 | -0.359999999999999 |
26 | 113.21 | 113.51 | -0.300000000000011 |
27 | 113.37 | 113.57 | -0.199999999999989 |
28 | 113.47 | 113.73 | -0.260000000000005 |
29 | 113.71 | 113.83 | -0.120000000000005 |
30 | 113.71 | 114.07 | -0.359999999999999 |
31 | 113.71 | 114.07 | -0.359999999999999 |
32 | 113.8 | 114.07 | -0.269999999999996 |
33 | 115.46 | 114.16 | 1.3 |
34 | 117 | 115.82 | 1.18000000000001 |
35 | 117.94 | 117.36 | 0.579999999999998 |
36 | 118.08 | 118.3 | -0.219999999999999 |
37 | 118.08 | 118.44 | -0.359999999999999 |
38 | 118.47 | 118.44 | 0.0300000000000011 |
39 | 118.49 | 118.83 | -0.340000000000003 |
40 | 118.45 | 118.85 | -0.399999999999991 |
41 | 118.54 | 118.81 | -0.269999999999996 |
42 | 118.55 | 118.9 | -0.350000000000009 |
43 | 118.55 | 118.91 | -0.359999999999999 |
44 | 118.55 | 118.91 | -0.359999999999999 |
45 | 119.04 | 118.91 | 0.13000000000001 |
46 | 121.37 | 119.4 | 1.97 |
47 | 122 | 121.73 | 0.269999999999996 |
48 | 122.14 | 122.36 | -0.219999999999999 |
49 | 122.14 | 122.5 | -0.359999999999999 |
50 | 122.03 | 122.5 | -0.469999999999999 |
51 | 121.91 | 122.39 | -0.480000000000004 |
52 | 122.23 | 122.27 | -0.039999999999992 |
53 | 121.73 | 122.59 | -0.859999999999999 |
54 | 121.83 | 122.09 | -0.260000000000005 |
55 | 121.83 | 122.19 | -0.359999999999999 |
56 | 122.49 | 122.19 | 0.299999999999997 |
57 | 123.02 | 122.85 | 0.170000000000002 |
58 | 125.98 | 123.38 | 2.60000000000001 |
59 | 126.13 | 126.34 | -0.210000000000008 |
60 | 126.39 | 126.49 | -0.0999999999999943 |
61 | 126.39 | 126.75 | -0.359999999999999 |
62 | 126.57 | 126.75 | -0.180000000000007 |
63 | 126.87 | 126.93 | -0.0599999999999881 |
64 | 127.26 | 127.23 | 0.0300000000000011 |
65 | 126.82 | 127.62 | -0.800000000000011 |
66 | 126.7 | 127.18 | -0.47999999999999 |
67 | 126.7 | 127.06 | -0.359999999999999 |
68 | 126.7 | 127.06 | -0.359999999999999 |
69 | 128.53 | 127.06 | 1.47 |
70 | 130.37 | 128.89 | 1.48000000000002 |
71 | 130.39 | 130.73 | -0.340000000000032 |
72 | 130.65 | 130.75 | -0.0999999999999943 |
73 | 130.65 | 131.01 | -0.359999999999985 |
74 | 130.65 | 131.01 | -0.359999999999985 |
75 | 130.85 | 131.01 | -0.159999999999997 |
76 | 130.89 | 131.21 | -0.319999999999993 |
77 | 130.85 | 131.25 | -0.400000000000006 |
78 | 131.6 | 131.21 | 0.390000000000015 |
79 | 131.6 | 131.96 | -0.359999999999985 |
80 | 131.6 | 131.96 | -0.359999999999985 |
81 | 132.53 | 131.96 | 0.570000000000022 |
82 | 133.05 | 132.89 | 0.160000000000025 |
83 | 133.49 | 133.41 | 0.0799999999999841 |
84 | 133.46 | 133.85 | -0.390000000000015 |
Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
85 | 133.82 | 132.659059657706 | 134.980940342294 |
86 | 134.18 | 132.538182422821 | 135.821817577179 |
87 | 134.54 | 132.52919234259 | 136.55080765741 |
88 | 134.9 | 132.578119315412 | 137.221880684588 |
89 | 135.26 | 132.664058476808 | 137.855941523192 |
90 | 135.62 | 132.776288539567 | 138.463711460433 |
91 | 135.98 | 132.908440567307 | 139.051559432693 |
92 | 136.34 | 133.056364845643 | 139.623635154357 |
93 | 136.7 | 133.217178973117 | 140.182821026883 |
94 | 137.06 | 133.388784290775 | 140.731215709225 |
95 | 137.42 | 133.569596480623 | 141.270403519377 |
96 | 137.78 | 133.75838468518 | 141.80161531482 |