| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.24 | 0.2222 | -0.2215 | 0.3349 | -0.1666 | -0.805 |
| (p-val) | (0.5225 ) | (0.0706 ) | (0.5566 ) | (0.2106 ) | (0.3878 ) | (0.0321 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.029 | 0.2266 | 0 | 0.3255 | -0.1977 | -0.7943 |
| (p-val) | (0.7896 ) | (0.0572 ) | (NA ) | (0.2138 ) | (0.2759 ) | (0.0314 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | 0.228 | 0 | 0.3259 | -0.2026 | -0.7839 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.0557 ) | (NA ) | (0.2151 ) | (0.2579 ) | (0.0285 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0.2402 | 0 | 0.4179 | 0 | -1.0011 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.0362 ) | (NA ) | (0.0033 ) | (NA ) | (0.0248 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -509.209747324231 |
| -2234.51240535904 |
| 6510.96208302559 |
| -1796.74607008503 |
| -2009.47151623521 |
| 604.147756858646 |
| -3583.0017130358 |
| -2483.89542767683 |
| 518.142041705935 |
| 418.467698011994 |
| -4716.67735128997 |
| 4965.76510819978 |
| 3336.89792453856 |
| 4102.70855324382 |
| 13.8621755069702 |
| -113.65049220311 |
| -288.388016049003 |
| 1107.17431390744 |
| -2505.12592891552 |
| 3520.2808441047 |
| -1856.76800555509 |
| -2499.0840735785 |
| 2346.58814913919 |
| 2091.3967822958 |
| 5094.32614505207 |
| 3209.91812546848 |
| 3497.29730154538 |
| 1867.24058379238 |
| 4324.69607751491 |
| -609.662451741188 |
| -1336.22359521316 |
| 1232.2464500507 |
| -1934.53925623562 |
| 1366.12055505238 |
| 149.839003216163 |
| -934.40015442193 |
| 1488.48183549695 |
| 3723.45381608104 |
| -1207.85691536752 |
| -1540.40512981174 |
| -2618.29465062346 |
| -2725.83127000367 |
| -374.060140378226 |
| 101.285400816888 |
| -163.047655848969 |
| -1367.41041181247 |
| 24.5529537896983 |
| -582.293848320443 |
| 438.663819307319 |
| -2643.69285621342 |
| 1927.80145692327 |
| 242.720390579358 |
| 1835.67167410971 |
| -184.306943964761 |
| 844.921194187068 |
| -1688.5712540004 |
| -1778.00869564709 |
| 1690.34609387795 |
| 1006.19858281735 |
| 1450.38231691608 |
| 2096.81736129266 |
| 118.819865764992 |
| 5023.6083617235 |
| 1827.763553789 |
| -2979.86310569907 |
| -1528.20190212709 |
| 2869.51354299082 |
| 737.409190677288 |
| -5131.92937159629 |
| 6082.43308274994 |
| 2724.7551784236 |
| 270.329912427514 |
| -561.998768866118 |
| -862.390847543715 |
| -469.351673982212 |
| -157.305574362058 |
| 1167.92444371862 |
| 318.57607804618 |
| -943.514070834687 |
| -2091.37043212954 |
| 730.407533256489 |
| -2206.24634076163 |
| 3083.71633377554 |
| -162.095998724052 |
| -326.048400645533 |
