Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.630518605848567
beta0.0171001057019711
gamma1


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
1338.9738.9261244658120.043875534188011
1438.9538.92930994653140.0206900534686127
1538.9538.93809962907930.011900370920678
1638.9238.9285588955981-0.00855889559805689
1738.9638.990192599127-0.0301925991270195
1838.9739.0011936487655-0.0311936487654521
1938.9738.88789385676080.082106143239244
2038.9538.93316695473750.0168330452625369
2138.9338.91746564277510.0125343572248937
2238.7639.1762724059801-0.41627240598006
2338.8138.8723036380606-0.0623036380606408
2438.8138.73918034377330.0708196562267389
2538.8138.79155186319670.0184481368033289
2638.7838.76673994120090.0132600587991476
2738.7738.76411878816260.00588121183736945
2838.6138.7396801848465-0.129680184846549
2938.6938.7121021294304-0.0221021294304364
3038.6938.7230724508744-0.0330724508744282
3138.6838.64566789651620.0343321034837558
3238.7438.63140397395340.108596026046584
3338.7338.66766462157470.0623353784252672
3438.6238.7956646640305-0.175664664030535
3538.5738.7730115744505-0.203011574450493
3638.5738.5976619313212-0.0276619313211555
3738.5738.56483289607020.00516710392984265
3838.5738.52583116283660.0441688371634186
3938.5638.53640650479950.0235934952004797
4038.5538.46967366636170.0803263336383324
4138.4238.613146249192-0.193146249191969
4238.4738.5092620855925-0.0392620855924903
4338.4738.44983818840820.0201618115918478
4438.4838.4509045959480.0290954040519651
4538.4538.41591482827150.0340851717285489
4638.4338.4338300650281-0.00383006502806893
4738.4338.5069344848408-0.0769344848407911
4838.4838.47474335023070.00525664976929363
4938.4838.47403086368550.00596913631446938
5038.4838.44918494216030.0308150578397246
5138.5138.44283399278740.0671660072126201
5238.4838.42410167912060.0558983208794217
5338.5538.45043104999880.0995689500012205
5438.5538.5904247729672-0.0404247729671923
5538.5538.5546694400758-0.00466944007578007
5638.4938.5455579846309-0.0555579846308802
5738.3738.4603014863425-0.0903014863425327
5838.1438.3857036971746-0.245703697174648
5938.0838.2766077538154-0.196607753815449
6038.0438.1953543672242-0.155354367224206
6138.0438.0879310748953-0.0479310748953381
6238.0338.0319932027169-0.00199320271686076
6337.9838.0117463272137-0.0317463272136891
6438.0337.91877757266970.111222427330326
6538.0537.98901463463930.0609853653607288
6638.0538.04542893567320.00457106432675403
6738.0538.04421370980730.00578629019268817
6838.0538.01596361362880.0340363863711843
6938.0237.96839815363660.0516018463633898
7038.0637.92142202079160.138577979208414
7138.0138.0724733521928-0.0624733521927539
723838.0921932789885-0.0921932789884963
733838.0661228531959-0.0661228531959068
743838.0173294902387-0.0173294902386516
7537.9937.9778957941930.0121042058069989
7637.9637.9673489249363-0.00734892493632344
7737.9637.94493346848880.0150665315111596
7838.0237.9517265469550.0682734530450375
7938.0237.99198819189160.0280118081084453
8038.0237.98929154342120.0307084565787648
813837.94718395111740.0528160488825549
8237.9337.9341886285206-0.00418862852055923
833837.92047810112250.0795218988774806
843838.0198185691035-0.0198185691034709
853838.0508654745878-0.0508654745877664
863838.0317361093852-0.0317361093851929
873837.99595434063680.0040456593631788
8838.0137.97491231698770.0350876830122644
8937.9837.9897670532042-0.00976705320420024
903838.0025243355973-0.00252433559729326
913837.98447066529140.0155293347085887
923837.97596529776890.0240347022311482
9337.9537.93881151845650.0111884815435133
9437.8737.8790516419916-0.00905164199157582
9537.7537.893696513329-0.143696513329033
9637.7537.8136745751137-0.0636745751136942


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
9737.803210756783437.635882843983637.9705386695831
9837.821381950334337.622601856087638.0201620445811
9937.817334249601737.590576962983738.0440915362198
10037.803670355359737.551239842966638.0561008677527
10137.777909893751837.501455692816438.0543640946871
10237.797688071666737.498451273117438.0969248702159
10337.786110291771737.465057519709738.1071630638338
10437.769002283129837.426905663106738.1110989031529
10537.709734915053737.347223099740638.0722467303668
10637.633108687972637.25070111931338.0155162566322
10737.601476151665637.199607013638138.0033452896931
10837.640937620876637.219973141944838.0619020998083