Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 1.94 | NA | NA | 0.994742 | NA |
2 | 1.82 | NA | NA | 0.98125 | NA |
3 | 1.8 | NA | NA | 0.966346 | NA |
4 | 1.79 | NA | NA | 0.957015 | NA |
5 | 1.79 | NA | NA | 0.957076 | NA |
6 | 1.78 | NA | NA | 0.987042 | NA |
7 | 1.81 | 1.82985 | 1.83 | 0.999918 | 0.989152 |
8 | 1.84 | 1.86466 | 1.82542 | 1.0215 | 0.986777 |
9 | 1.87 | 1.92151 | 1.82708 | 1.05168 | 0.973194 |
10 | 1.87 | 1.92324 | 1.82958 | 1.05119 | 0.972317 |
11 | 1.87 | 1.87697 | 1.8325 | 1.02427 | 0.996284 |
12 | 1.84 | 1.85257 | 1.83792 | 1.00797 | 0.993214 |
13 | 1.82 | 1.83489 | 1.84458 | 0.994742 | 0.991888 |
14 | 1.83 | 1.81531 | 1.85 | 0.98125 | 1.00809 |
15 | 1.83 | 1.79459 | 1.85708 | 0.966346 | 1.01973 |
16 | 1.82 | 1.78802 | 1.86833 | 0.957015 | 1.01788 |
17 | 1.83 | 1.80528 | 1.88625 | 0.957076 | 1.01369 |
18 | 1.87 | 1.89677 | 1.92167 | 0.987042 | 0.985889 |
19 | 1.88 | 1.98359 | 1.98375 | 0.999918 | 0.947778 |
20 | 1.9 | 2.10811 | 2.06375 | 1.0215 | 0.90128 |
21 | 1.98 | 2.25936 | 2.14833 | 1.05168 | 0.876355 |
22 | 2.03 | 2.35204 | 2.2375 | 1.05119 | 0.863081 |
23 | 2.14 | 2.3921 | 2.33542 | 1.02427 | 0.894613 |
24 | 2.42 | 2.46324 | 2.44375 | 1.00797 | 0.982448 |
25 | 2.73 | 2.54157 | 2.555 | 0.994742 | 1.07414 |
26 | 2.84 | 2.60563 | 2.65542 | 0.98125 | 1.08995 |
27 | 2.85 | 2.64658 | 2.73875 | 0.966346 | 1.07686 |
28 | 2.94 | 2.68443 | 2.805 | 0.957015 | 1.09521 |
29 | 3.06 | 2.73205 | 2.85458 | 0.957076 | 1.12004 |
30 | 3.24 | 2.83651 | 2.87375 | 0.987042 | 1.14225 |
31 | 3.18 | 2.85268 | 2.85292 | 0.999918 | 1.11474 |
32 | 3.01 | 2.86317 | 2.80292 | 1.0215 | 1.05128 |
33 | 2.87 | 2.87897 | 2.7375 | 1.05168 | 0.996883 |
34 | 2.73 | 2.79923 | 2.66292 | 1.05119 | 0.975267 |
35 | 2.63 | 2.64005 | 2.5775 | 1.02427 | 0.996191 |
36 | 2.39 | 2.49683 | 2.47708 | 1.00797 | 0.957212 |
37 | 2.26 | 2.36003 | 2.3725 | 0.994742 | 0.957617 |
38 | 2.11 | 2.24052 | 2.28333 | 0.98125 | 0.941746 |
39 | 2.01 | 2.14327 | 2.21792 | 0.966346 | 0.937817 |
40 | 1.99 | 2.08071 | 2.17417 | 0.957015 | 0.956404 |
41 | 1.96 | 2.04814 | 2.14 | 0.957076 | 0.956964 |
42 | 1.93 | 2.09047 | 2.11792 | 0.987042 | 0.923236 |
43 | 1.98 | 2.11316 | 2.11333 | 0.999918 | 0.936985 |
44 | 2.07 | 2.1677 | 2.12208 | 1.0215 | 0.954929 |
45 | 2.24 | 2.2541 | 2.14333 | 1.05168 | 0.993744 |
46 | 2.31 | 2.27889 | 2.16792 | 1.05119 | 1.01365 |
47 | 2.23 | 2.244 | 2.19083 | 1.02427 | 0.993759 |
48 | 2.26 | 2.24274 | 2.225 | 1.00797 | 1.0077 |
49 | 2.28 | 2.25931 | 2.27125 | 0.994742 | 1.00916 |
50 | 2.3 | 2.28549 | 2.32917 | 0.98125 | 1.00635 |
51 | 2.33 | 2.32285 | 2.40375 | 0.966346 | 1.00308 |
52 | 2.26 | 2.37499 | 2.48167 | 0.957015 | 0.951582 |
53 | 2.24 | 2.43855 | 2.54792 | 0.957076 | 0.918579 |
54 | 2.47 | 2.56055 | 2.59417 | 0.987042 | 0.964636 |
55 | 2.55 | 2.61645 | 2.61667 | 0.999918 | 0.974602 |
56 | 2.89 | 2.67717 | 2.62083 | 1.0215 | 1.0795 |
57 | 3.21 | 2.75146 | 2.61625 | 1.05168 | 1.16665 |
58 | 3.21 | 2.74361 | 2.61 | 1.05119 | 1.16999 |
59 | 2.92 | 2.66822 | 2.605 | 1.02427 | 1.09436 |
60 | 2.68 | 2.61317 | 2.5925 | 1.00797 | 1.02557 |
61 | 2.4 | 2.55607 | 2.56958 | 0.994742 | 0.93894 |
62 | 2.28 | 2.48256 | 2.53 | 0.98125 | 0.918406 |
63 | 2.24 | 2.37963 | 2.4625 | 0.966346 | 0.941324 |
64 | 2.2 | 2.27929 | 2.38167 | 0.957015 | 0.965212 |
65 | 2.18 | 2.21364 | 2.31292 | 0.957076 | 0.984805 |
66 | 2.23 | 2.23524 | 2.26458 | 0.987042 | 0.997656 |
67 | 2.24 | 2.23523 | 2.23542 | 0.999918 | 1.00213 |
68 | 2.25 | 2.269 | 2.22125 | 1.0215 | 0.991626 |
69 | 2.23 | 2.3264 | 2.21208 | 1.05168 | 0.958561 |
70 | 2.25 | 2.317 | 2.20417 | 1.05119 | 0.971084 |
71 | 2.23 | 2.25211 | 2.19875 | 1.02427 | 0.990181 |
72 | 2.21 | 2.21166 | 2.19417 | 1.00797 | 0.999248 |
73 | 2.17 | 2.18387 | 2.19542 | 0.994742 | 0.993647 |
74 | 2.17 | 2.16815 | 2.20958 | 0.98125 | 1.00085 |
75 | 2.13 | 2.15898 | 2.23417 | 0.966346 | 0.986578 |
76 | 2.12 | 2.16525 | 2.2625 | 0.957015 | 0.979103 |
77 | 2.13 | 2.1929 | 2.29125 | 0.957076 | 0.971316 |
78 | 2.17 | 2.28007 | 2.31 | 0.987042 | 0.951726 |
79 | 2.33 | NA | NA | 0.999918 | NA |
80 | 2.5 | NA | NA | 1.0215 | NA |
81 | 2.57 | NA | NA | 1.05168 | NA |
82 | 2.59 | NA | NA | 1.05119 | NA |
83 | 2.58 | NA | NA | 1.02427 | NA |
84 | 2.31 | NA | NA | 1.00797 | NA |