Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 5731 | NA | NA | 0.940379 | NA |
2 | 5040 | NA | NA | 0.955874 | NA |
3 | 6102 | NA | NA | 1.12551 | NA |
4 | 4904 | NA | NA | 1.06624 | NA |
5 | 5369 | NA | NA | 1.03184 | NA |
6 | 5578 | NA | NA | 1.12248 | NA |
7 | 4619 | 4880.56 | 5048.79 | 0.966678 | 0.946408 |
8 | 4731 | 4730.72 | 4973.12 | 0.951258 | 1.00006 |
9 | 5011 | 4762.02 | 4897.83 | 0.972272 | 1.05228 |
10 | 5227 | 4895.9 | 4827.62 | 1.01414 | 1.06763 |
11 | 4146 | 4184.88 | 4746.5 | 0.881678 | 0.990708 |
12 | 4625 | 4542.2 | 4674.71 | 0.971655 | 1.01823 |
13 | 4736 | 4364.89 | 4641.62 | 0.940379 | 1.08502 |
14 | 4219 | 4418.01 | 4621.96 | 0.955874 | 0.954955 |
15 | 5116 | 5138.51 | 4565.5 | 1.12551 | 0.995619 |
16 | 4205 | 4833.64 | 4533.33 | 1.06624 | 0.869944 |
17 | 4121 | 4700.57 | 4555.54 | 1.03184 | 0.876702 |
18 | 5103 | 5081.12 | 4526.71 | 1.12248 | 1.00431 |
19 | 4300 | 4343.85 | 4493.58 | 0.966678 | 0.989905 |
20 | 4578 | 4299.17 | 4519.46 | 0.951258 | 1.06486 |
21 | 3809 | 4390.82 | 4516.04 | 0.972272 | 0.867492 |
22 | 5657 | 4565.67 | 4502 | 1.01414 | 1.23903 |
23 | 4249 | 3982.21 | 4516.62 | 0.881678 | 1.067 |
24 | 3830 | 4375.77 | 4503.42 | 0.971655 | 0.875275 |
25 | 4736 | 4209.61 | 4476.5 | 0.940379 | 1.12505 |
26 | 4840 | 4235.44 | 4430.96 | 0.955874 | 1.14274 |
27 | 4413 | 4982.16 | 4426.58 | 1.12551 | 0.885761 |
28 | 4571 | 4676.02 | 4385.5 | 1.06624 | 0.977542 |
29 | 4106 | 4449.54 | 4312.25 | 1.03184 | 0.922793 |
30 | 4801 | 4879.68 | 4347.25 | 1.12248 | 0.983875 |
31 | 3956 | 4180.84 | 4324.96 | 0.966678 | 0.946221 |
32 | 3829 | 4003.61 | 4208.75 | 0.951258 | 0.956388 |
33 | 4453 | 4021.28 | 4135.96 | 0.972272 | 1.10736 |
34 | 4027 | 4148.77 | 4090.92 | 1.01414 | 0.970649 |
35 | 4121 | 3568.63 | 4047.54 | 0.881678 | 1.15479 |
36 | 4798 | 3895.97 | 4009.62 | 0.971655 | 1.23153 |
37 | 3233 | 3747.92 | 3985.54 | 0.940379 | 0.862612 |
38 | 3554 | 3818.52 | 3994.79 | 0.955874 | 0.930728 |
39 | 3952 | 4494.86 | 3993.62 | 1.12551 | 0.879227 |
40 | 3951 | 4233.83 | 3970.79 | 1.06624 | 0.933197 |
41 | 3685 | 4056.23 | 3931.08 | 1.03184 | 0.908478 |
42 | 4312 | 4314.84 | 3844.04 | 1.12248 | 0.999341 |
43 | 3867 | 3672.61 | 3799.21 | 0.966678 | 1.05293 |
44 | 4140 | 3643.04 | 3829.71 | 0.951258 | 1.13641 |
45 | 4114 | 3801.34 | 3909.75 | 0.972272 | 1.08225 |
46 | 3818 | 4078.75 | 4021.88 | 1.01414 | 0.93607 |
47 | 3377 | 3659.04 | 4150.08 | 0.881678 | 0.922921 |
48 | 3453 | 4193.01 | 4315.33 | 0.971655 | 0.823513 |
49 | 3502 | 4184.1 | 4449.38 | 0.940379 | 0.836979 |
50 | 4017 | 4250.45 | 4446.67 | 0.955874 | 0.945076 |
51 | 5410 | 4895.17 | 4349.29 | 1.12551 | 1.10517 |
52 | 5184 | 4547.4 | 4264.88 | 1.06624 | 1.13999 |
53 | 5529 | 4336.38 | 4202.58 | 1.03184 | 1.27503 |
54 | 6434 | 4673.52 | 4163.58 | 1.12248 | 1.37669 |
55 | 4962 | 3998.79 | 4136.62 | 0.966678 | 1.24088 |
56 | 2980 | 3887.39 | 4086.58 | 0.951258 | 0.76658 |
57 | 2937 | 3870.74 | 3981.12 | 0.972272 | 0.758771 |
58 | 2969 | 3883.32 | 3829.17 | 1.01414 | 0.764552 |
59 | 2731 | 3252.11 | 3688.54 | 0.881678 | 0.839764 |
60 | 3163 | 3405.73 | 3505.08 | 0.971655 | 0.928729 |
61 | 3145 | 3100.39 | 3296.96 | 0.940379 | 1.01439 |
62 | 3173 | 3107.35 | 3250.79 | 0.955874 | 1.02113 |
63 | 3723 | 3763.84 | 3344.13 | 1.12551 | 0.989149 |
64 | 3224 | 3678.9 | 3450.33 | 1.06624 | 0.876349 |
65 | 4114 | 3653.69 | 3540.96 | 1.03184 | 1.12599 |
66 | 3446 | 4080.01 | 3634.83 | 1.12248 | 0.844605 |
67 | 2955 | 3606.48 | 3730.79 | 0.966678 | 0.81936 |
68 | 3879 | 3620.49 | 3806 | 0.951258 | 1.0714 |
69 | 4278 | 3794.09 | 3902.29 | 0.972272 | 1.12754 |
70 | 4177 | 4104.07 | 4046.83 | 1.01414 | 1.01777 |
71 | 3698 | 3623.62 | 4109.92 | 0.881678 | 1.02053 |
72 | 4449 | 3977.91 | 4093.96 | 0.971655 | 1.11843 |
73 | 4162 | 3883.72 | 4129.96 | 0.940379 | 1.07165 |
74 | 3961 | 3956.76 | 4139.42 | 0.955874 | 1.00107 |
75 | 5246 | 4598.64 | 4085.83 | 1.12551 | 1.14077 |
76 | 5170 | 4313.09 | 4045.12 | 1.06624 | 1.19868 |
77 | 3682 | 4152.41 | 4024.29 | 1.03184 | 0.886714 |
78 | 3495 | 4441.59 | 3956.96 | 1.12248 | 0.78688 |
79 | 3770 | NA | NA | 0.966678 | NA |
80 | 3291 | NA | NA | 0.951258 | NA |
81 | 3580 | NA | NA | 0.972272 | NA |
82 | 3898 | NA | NA | 1.01414 | NA |
83 | 3477 | NA | NA | 0.881678 | NA |
84 | 3054 | NA | NA | 0.971655 | NA |