| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 112 | NA | NA | -24.7487 | NA |
| 2 | 118 | NA | NA | -36.1881 | NA |
| 3 | 132 | NA | NA | -2.24116 | NA |
| 4 | 129 | NA | NA | -8.03662 | NA |
| 5 | 121 | NA | NA | -4.50631 | NA |
| 6 | 135 | NA | NA | 35.4028 | NA |
| 7 | 148 | 190.622 | 126.792 | 63.8308 | -42.6225 |
| 8 | 148 | 190.073 | 127.25 | 62.8232 | -42.0732 |
| 9 | 136 | 144.479 | 127.958 | 16.5202 | -8.47854 |
| 10 | 119 | 107.941 | 128.583 | -20.6427 | 11.0593 |
| 11 | 104 | 75.4066 | 129 | -53.5934 | 28.5934 |
| 12 | 118 | 101.13 | 129.75 | -28.6199 | 16.8699 |
| 13 | 115 | 106.501 | 131.25 | -24.7487 | 8.49874 |
| 14 | 126 | 96.8952 | 133.083 | -36.1881 | 29.1048 |
| 15 | 141 | 132.676 | 134.917 | -2.24116 | 8.32449 |
| 16 | 135 | 128.38 | 136.417 | -8.03662 | 6.61995 |
| 17 | 125 | 132.91 | 137.417 | -4.50631 | -7.91035 |
| 18 | 149 | 174.153 | 138.75 | 35.4028 | -25.1528 |
| 19 | 170 | 204.747 | 140.917 | 63.8308 | -34.7475 |
| 20 | 170 | 205.99 | 143.167 | 62.8232 | -35.9899 |
| 21 | 158 | 162.229 | 145.708 | 16.5202 | -4.22854 |
| 22 | 133 | 127.774 | 148.417 | -20.6427 | 5.22601 |
| 23 | 114 | 97.9482 | 151.542 | -53.5934 | 16.0518 |
| 24 | 140 | 126.088 | 154.708 | -28.6199 | 13.9116 |
| 25 | 145 | 132.376 | 157.125 | -24.7487 | 12.6237 |
| 26 | 150 | 123.354 | 159.542 | -36.1881 | 26.6465 |
| 27 | 178 | 159.592 | 161.833 | -2.24116 | 18.4078 |
| 28 | 163 | 156.088 | 164.125 | -8.03662 | 6.91162 |
| 29 | 172 | 162.16 | 166.667 | -4.50631 | 9.83965 |
| 30 | 178 | 204.486 | 169.083 | 35.4028 | -26.4861 |
| 31 | 199 | 235.081 | 171.25 | 63.8308 | -36.0808 |
| 32 | 199 | 236.407 | 173.583 | 62.8232 | -37.4066 |
| 33 | 184 | 191.979 | 175.458 | 16.5202 | -7.97854 |
| 34 | 162 | 156.191 | 176.833 | -20.6427 | 5.80934 |
| 35 | 146 | 124.448 | 178.042 | -53.5934 | 21.5518 |
| 36 | 166 | 151.547 | 180.167 | -28.6199 | 14.4533 |
| 37 | 171 | 158.376 | 183.125 | -24.7487 | 12.6237 |
| 38 | 180 | 150.02 | 186.208 | -36.1881 | 29.9798 |
| 39 | 193 | 186.801 | 189.042 | -2.24116 | 6.19949 |
| 40 | 181 | 183.255 | 191.292 | -8.03662 | -2.25505 |
| 41 | 183 | 189.077 | 193.583 | -4.50631 | -6.07702 |
| 42 | 218 | 231.236 | 195.833 | 35.4028 | -13.2361 |
| 43 | 230 | 261.872 | 198.042 | 63.8308 | -31.8725 |
| 44 | 242 | 262.573 | 199.75 | 62.8232 | -20.5732 |
| 45 | 209 | 218.729 | 202.208 | 16.5202 | -9.72854 |
| 46 | 191 | 185.607 | 206.25 | -20.6427 | 5.39268 |
| 47 | 172 | 156.823 | 210.417 | -53.5934 | 15.1768 |
| 48 | 194 | 184.755 | 213.375 | -28.6199 | 9.24495 |
| 49 | 196 | 191.085 | 215.833 | -24.7487 | 4.9154 |
| 50 | 196 | 182.312 | 218.5 | -36.1881 | 13.6881 |
| 51 | 236 | 218.676 | 220.917 | -2.24116 | 17.3245 |
| 52 | 235 | 214.88 | 222.917 | -8.03662 | 20.1199 |
| 53 | 229 | 219.577 | 224.083 | -4.50631 | 9.42298 |
| 54 | 243 | 260.111 | 224.708 | 35.4028 | -17.1111 |
| 55 | 264 | 289.164 | 225.333 | 63.8308 | -25.1641 |
| 56 | 272 | 288.157 | 225.333 | 62.8232 | -16.1566 |
| 57 | 237 | 241.479 | 224.958 | 16.5202 | -4.47854 |
| 58 | 211 | 203.941 | 224.583 | -20.6427 | 7.05934 |
| 59 | 180 | 170.865 | 224.458 | -53.5934 | 9.1351 |
| 60 | 201 | 196.922 | 225.542 | -28.6199 | 4.07828 |
| 61 | 204 | 203.251 | 228 | -24.7487 | 0.748737 |
| 62 | 188 | 194.27 | 230.458 | -36.1881 | -6.2702 |
| 63 | 235 | 230.009 | 232.25 | -2.24116 | 4.99116 |
| 64 | 227 | 225.88 | 233.917 | -8.03662 | 1.11995 |
| 65 | 234 | 231.119 | 235.625 | -4.50631 | 2.88131 |
| 66 | 264 | 273.153 | 237.75 | 35.4028 | -9.15278 |
| 67 | 302 | 304.331 | 240.5 | 63.8308 | -2.33081 |
| 68 | 293 | 306.782 | 243.958 | 62.8232 | -13.7816 |
| 69 | 259 | 263.687 | 247.167 | 16.5202 | -4.68687 |
| 70 | 229 | 229.607 | 250.25 | -20.6427 | -0.607323 |
| 71 | 203 | 199.907 | 253.5 | -53.5934 | 3.09343 |
| 72 | 229 | 228.505 | 257.125 | -28.6199 | 0.494949 |
| 73 | 242 | 237.085 | 261.833 | -24.7487 | 4.9154 |
| 74 | 233 | 230.479 | 266.667 | -36.1881 | 2.52146 |
| 75 | 267 | 268.884 | 271.125 | -2.24116 | -1.88384 |
| 76 | 269 | 267.172 | 275.208 | -8.03662 | 1.82828 |
| 77 | 270 | 273.994 | 278.5 | -4.50631 | -3.99369 |
| 78 | 315 | 317.361 | 281.958 | 35.4028 | -2.36111 |
| 79 | 364 | 349.581 | 285.75 | 63.8308 | 14.4192 |
| 80 | 347 | 352.157 | 289.333 | 62.8232 | -5.15657 |
| 81 | 312 | 309.77 | 293.25 | 16.5202 | 2.2298 |
| 82 | 274 | 276.524 | 297.167 | -20.6427 | -2.52399 |
| 83 | 237 | 247.407 | 301 | -53.5934 | -10.4066 |
| 84 | 278 | 276.838 | 305.458 | -28.6199 | 1.16162 |
| 85 | 284 | 285.21 | 309.958 | -24.7487 | -1.2096 |
| 86 | 277 | 278.229 | 314.417 | -36.1881 | -1.22854 |
| 87 | 317 | 316.384 | 318.625 | -2.24116 | 0.616162 |
| 88 | 313 | 313.713 | 321.75 | -8.03662 | -0.713384 |
| 89 | 318 | 319.994 | 324.5 | -4.50631 | -1.99369 |
| 90 | 374 | 362.486 | 327.083 | 35.4028 | 11.5139 |
| 91 | 413 | 393.372 | 329.542 | 63.8308 | 19.6275 |
| 92 | 405 | 394.657 | 331.833 | 62.8232 | 10.3434 |
| 93 | 355 | 350.979 | 334.458 | 16.5202 | 4.02146 |
| 94 | 306 | 316.899 | 337.542 | -20.6427 | -10.899 |
| 95 | 271 | 286.948 | 340.542 | -53.5934 | -15.9482 |
| 96 | 306 | 315.463 | 344.083 | -28.6199 | -9.46338 |
| 97 | 315 | 323.501 | 348.25 | -24.7487 | -8.50126 |
| 98 | 301 | 316.812 | 353 | -36.1881 | -15.8119 |
| 99 | 356 | 355.384 | 357.625 | -2.24116 | 0.616162 |
| 100 | 348 | 353.338 | 361.375 | -8.03662 | -5.33838 |
| 101 | 355 | 359.994 | 364.5 | -4.50631 | -4.99369 |
| 102 | 422 | 402.569 | 367.167 | 35.4028 | 19.4306 |
| 103 | 465 | 433.289 | 369.458 | 63.8308 | 31.7109 |
| 104 | 467 | 434.032 | 371.208 | 62.8232 | 32.9684 |
| 105 | 404 | 388.687 | 372.167 | 16.5202 | 15.3131 |
| 106 | 347 | 351.774 | 372.417 | -20.6427 | -4.77399 |
| 107 | 305 | 319.157 | 372.75 | -53.5934 | -14.1566 |
| 108 | 336 | 345.005 | 373.625 | -28.6199 | -9.00505 |
| 109 | 340 | 350.501 | 375.25 | -24.7487 | -10.5013 |
| 110 | 318 | 341.729 | 377.917 | -36.1881 | -23.7285 |
| 111 | 362 | 377.259 | 379.5 | -2.24116 | -15.2588 |
| 112 | 348 | 371.963 | 380 | -8.03662 | -23.9634 |
| 113 | 363 | 376.202 | 380.708 | -4.50631 | -13.202 |
| 114 | 435 | 416.361 | 380.958 | 35.4028 | 18.6389 |
| 115 | 491 | 445.664 | 381.833 | 63.8308 | 45.3359 |
| 116 | 505 | 446.49 | 383.667 | 62.8232 | 58.5101 |
| 117 | 404 | 403.02 | 386.5 | 16.5202 | 0.979798 |
| 118 | 359 | 369.691 | 390.333 | -20.6427 | -10.6907 |
| 119 | 310 | 341.115 | 394.708 | -53.5934 | -31.1149 |
| 120 | 337 | 370.005 | 398.625 | -28.6199 | -33.0051 |
| 121 | 360 | 377.793 | 402.542 | -24.7487 | -17.7929 |
| 122 | 342 | 370.979 | 407.167 | -36.1881 | -28.9785 |
| 123 | 406 | 409.634 | 411.875 | -2.24116 | -3.63384 |
| 124 | 396 | 408.297 | 416.333 | -8.03662 | -12.2967 |
| 125 | 420 | 415.994 | 420.5 | -4.50631 | 4.00631 |
| 126 | 472 | 460.903 | 425.5 | 35.4028 | 11.0972 |
| 127 | 548 | 494.539 | 430.708 | 63.8308 | 53.4609 |
| 128 | 559 | 497.948 | 435.125 | 62.8232 | 61.0518 |
| 129 | 463 | 454.229 | 437.708 | 16.5202 | 8.77146 |
| 130 | 407 | 420.316 | 440.958 | -20.6427 | -13.3157 |
| 131 | 362 | 392.24 | 445.833 | -53.5934 | -30.2399 |
| 132 | 405 | 422.005 | 450.625 | -28.6199 | -17.0051 |
| 133 | 417 | 431.585 | 456.333 | -24.7487 | -14.5846 |
| 134 | 391 | 425.187 | 461.375 | -36.1881 | -34.1869 |
| 135 | 419 | 462.967 | 465.208 | -2.24116 | -43.9672 |
| 136 | 461 | 461.297 | 469.333 | -8.03662 | -0.296717 |
| 137 | 472 | 468.244 | 472.75 | -4.50631 | 3.75631 |
| 138 | 535 | 510.444 | 475.042 | 35.4028 | 24.5556 |
| 139 | 622 | NA | NA | 63.8308 | NA |
| 140 | 606 | NA | NA | 62.8232 | NA |
| 141 | 508 | NA | NA | 16.5202 | NA |
| 142 | 461 | NA | NA | -20.6427 | NA |
| 143 | 390 | NA | NA | -53.5934 | NA |
| 144 | 432 | NA | NA | -28.6199 | NA |
