Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 120.6 | NA | NA | 1.07574 | NA |
2 | 119.9 | NA | NA | 1.05864 | NA |
3 | 119.48 | NA | NA | 1.04579 | NA |
4 | 117.45 | NA | NA | 1.03418 | NA |
5 | 118.37 | NA | NA | 1.02219 | NA |
6 | 117.07 | NA | NA | 1.01224 | NA |
7 | 114.98 | 113.875 | 114.92 | 0.990906 | 1.0097 |
8 | 112.59 | 110.562 | 114.022 | 0.969647 | 1.01835 |
9 | 111.7 | 108.807 | 113.18 | 0.961367 | 1.02659 |
10 | 112.04 | 107.241 | 112.374 | 0.954319 | 1.04475 |
11 | 110.79 | 105.055 | 111.536 | 0.941895 | 1.05459 |
12 | 109.82 | 103.244 | 110.648 | 0.933082 | 1.06369 |
13 | 109.11 | 118.122 | 109.805 | 1.07574 | 0.923703 |
14 | 109.84 | 115.449 | 109.054 | 1.05864 | 0.951416 |
15 | 109.31 | 113.425 | 108.458 | 1.04579 | 0.963725 |
16 | 108.29 | 111.645 | 107.955 | 1.03418 | 0.969951 |
17 | 107.42 | 109.885 | 107.5 | 1.02219 | 0.977564 |
18 | 106.71 | 108.414 | 107.104 | 1.01224 | 0.98428 |
19 | 105.11 | 105.759 | 106.73 | 0.990906 | 0.99386 |
20 | 104.43 | 103.098 | 106.326 | 0.969647 | 1.01292 |
21 | 105.55 | 101.859 | 105.952 | 0.961367 | 1.03623 |
22 | 106.12 | 100.932 | 105.764 | 0.954319 | 1.0514 |
23 | 105.78 | 99.5913 | 105.735 | 0.941895 | 1.06214 |
24 | 105.33 | 98.7042 | 105.783 | 0.933082 | 1.06713 |
25 | 104.63 | 113.915 | 105.895 | 1.07574 | 0.918489 |
26 | 104.62 | 112.255 | 106.037 | 1.05864 | 0.931989 |
27 | 105.57 | 110.98 | 106.12 | 1.04579 | 0.951256 |
28 | 107.5 | 109.72 | 106.094 | 1.03418 | 0.979767 |
29 | 107.52 | 108.351 | 105.999 | 1.02219 | 0.992328 |
30 | 107.76 | 107.159 | 105.864 | 1.01224 | 1.00561 |
31 | 106.74 | 104.729 | 105.69 | 0.990906 | 1.0192 |
32 | 106.21 | 102.238 | 105.439 | 0.969647 | 1.03885 |
33 | 105.77 | 101.036 | 105.096 | 0.961367 | 1.04685 |
34 | 105.27 | 99.815 | 104.593 | 0.954319 | 1.05465 |
35 | 104.35 | 97.9065 | 103.946 | 0.941895 | 1.06581 |
36 | 103.52 | 96.3617 | 103.272 | 0.933082 | 1.07429 |
37 | 102.28 | 110.381 | 102.609 | 1.07574 | 0.926611 |
38 | 100.93 | 107.951 | 101.971 | 1.05864 | 0.934963 |
39 | 101.04 | 106.015 | 101.373 | 1.04579 | 0.953072 |
40 | 99.95 | 104.353 | 100.904 | 1.03418 | 0.957811 |
41 | 99.55 | 102.781 | 100.55 | 1.02219 | 0.968563 |
42 | 99.56 | 101.492 | 100.265 | 1.01224 | 0.980966 |
43 | 99.01 | 106.608 | 107.587 | 0.990906 | 0.928727 |
44 | 98.64 | 118.785 | 122.503 | 0.969647 | 0.830411 |
45 | 98.98 | 132.144 | 137.454 | 0.961367 | 0.749032 |
46 | 100.8 | 145.478 | 152.442 | 0.954319 | 0.692887 |
47 | 100.32 | 157.784 | 167.517 | 0.941895 | 0.635808 |
48 | 100.72 | 170.412 | 182.633 | 0.933082 | 0.591038 |
49 | 280.8 | 212.694 | 197.718 | 1.07574 | 1.32021 |
50 | 280.4 | 225.419 | 212.933 | 1.05864 | 1.24391 |
51 | 280.4 | 239.071 | 228.603 | 1.04579 | 1.17287 |
52 | 280.3 | 252.895 | 244.537 | 1.03418 | 1.10837 |
53 | 281 | 266.241 | 260.461 | 1.02219 | 1.05543 |
54 | 280.9 | 279.779 | 276.397 | 1.01224 | 1.00401 |
55 | 279.7 | 282.222 | 284.812 | 0.990906 | 0.991062 |
56 | 283.1 | 277.056 | 285.729 | 0.969647 | 1.02181 |
57 | 290.6 | 275.588 | 286.662 | 0.961367 | 1.05447 |
58 | 291.6 | 274.538 | 287.679 | 0.954319 | 1.06215 |
59 | 291.7 | 271.953 | 288.729 | 0.941895 | 1.07261 |
60 | 291.8 | 270.353 | 289.742 | 0.933082 | 1.07933 |
61 | 291.7 | 312.813 | 290.787 | 1.07574 | 0.932507 |
62 | 291.5 | 308.805 | 291.7 | 1.05864 | 0.943961 |
63 | 291.7 | 305.52 | 292.142 | 1.04579 | 0.954767 |
64 | 293.4 | 302.213 | 292.225 | 1.03418 | 0.970839 |
65 | 293.1 | 298.745 | 292.258 | 1.02219 | 0.981105 |
66 | 293.1 | 295.919 | 292.342 | 1.01224 | 0.990475 |
67 | 292.6 | 289.77 | 292.429 | 0.990906 | 1.00977 |
68 | 292.1 | 283.597 | 292.475 | 0.969647 | 1.02998 |
69 | 292.2 | 281.196 | 292.496 | 0.961367 | 1.03913 |
70 | 292 | 279.031 | 292.388 | 0.954319 | 1.04648 |
71 | 292.1 | 275.214 | 292.192 | 0.941895 | 1.06136 |
72 | 293.4 | 272.464 | 292.004 | 0.933082 | 1.07684 |
73 | 292.2 | 313.924 | 291.821 | 1.07574 | 0.930798 |
74 | 292.1 | 308.748 | 291.646 | 1.05864 | 0.94608 |
75 | 291.6 | 304.823 | 291.475 | 1.04579 | 0.956622 |
76 | 290.9 | 301.269 | 291.312 | 1.03418 | 0.965581 |
77 | 290.9 | 297.65 | 291.188 | 1.02219 | 0.977322 |
78 | 290.8 | 294.637 | 291.075 | 1.01224 | 0.986979 |
79 | 290.5 | NA | NA | 0.990906 | NA |
80 | 290 | NA | NA | 0.969647 | NA |
81 | 290.2 | NA | NA | 0.961367 | NA |
82 | 290.1 | NA | NA | 0.954319 | NA |
83 | 291 | NA | NA | 0.941895 | NA |
84 | 291.8 | NA | NA | 0.933082 | NA |