Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 120.6 | NA | NA | 13.7752 | NA |
2 | 119.9 | NA | NA | 11.1026 | NA |
3 | 119.48 | NA | NA | 8.66937 | NA |
4 | 117.45 | NA | NA | 6.31326 | NA |
5 | 118.37 | NA | NA | 3.68361 | NA |
6 | 117.07 | NA | NA | 1.0584 | NA |
7 | 114.98 | 112.677 | 114.92 | -2.24383 | 2.30341 |
8 | 112.59 | 109.213 | 114.022 | -4.80966 | 3.37716 |
9 | 111.7 | 107.267 | 113.18 | -5.91244 | 4.43285 |
10 | 112.04 | 104.567 | 112.374 | -7.80723 | 7.47306 |
11 | 110.79 | 100.861 | 111.536 | -10.6749 | 9.92862 |
12 | 109.82 | 97.4939 | 110.648 | -13.1545 | 12.3261 |
13 | 109.11 | 123.581 | 109.805 | 13.7752 | -14.4706 |
14 | 109.84 | 120.157 | 109.054 | 11.1026 | -10.3168 |
15 | 109.31 | 117.127 | 108.458 | 8.66937 | -7.81729 |
16 | 108.29 | 114.268 | 107.955 | 6.31326 | -5.97826 |
17 | 107.42 | 111.183 | 107.5 | 3.68361 | -3.76319 |
18 | 106.71 | 108.162 | 107.104 | 1.0584 | -1.45215 |
19 | 105.11 | 104.486 | 106.73 | -2.24383 | 0.623825 |
20 | 104.43 | 101.516 | 106.326 | -4.80966 | 2.91383 |
21 | 105.55 | 100.04 | 105.952 | -5.91244 | 5.50994 |
22 | 106.12 | 97.9565 | 105.764 | -7.80723 | 8.16348 |
23 | 105.78 | 95.0601 | 105.735 | -10.6749 | 10.7199 |
24 | 105.33 | 92.6285 | 105.783 | -13.1545 | 12.7015 |
25 | 104.63 | 119.67 | 105.895 | 13.7752 | -15.0398 |
26 | 104.62 | 117.139 | 106.037 | 11.1026 | -12.5193 |
27 | 105.57 | 114.789 | 106.12 | 8.66937 | -9.21937 |
28 | 107.5 | 112.407 | 106.094 | 6.31326 | -4.90701 |
29 | 107.52 | 109.682 | 105.999 | 3.68361 | -2.16236 |
30 | 107.76 | 106.922 | 105.864 | 1.0584 | 0.837853 |
31 | 106.74 | 103.447 | 105.69 | -2.24383 | 3.29341 |
32 | 106.21 | 100.629 | 105.439 | -4.80966 | 5.58091 |
33 | 105.77 | 99.1838 | 105.096 | -5.91244 | 6.58619 |
34 | 105.27 | 96.7857 | 104.593 | -7.80723 | 8.48431 |
35 | 104.35 | 93.2714 | 103.946 | -10.6749 | 11.0786 |
36 | 103.52 | 90.118 | 103.272 | -13.1545 | 13.402 |
37 | 102.28 | 116.384 | 102.609 | 13.7752 | -14.104 |
38 | 100.93 | 113.074 | 101.971 | 11.1026 | -12.1439 |
39 | 101.04 | 110.042 | 101.373 | 8.66937 | -9.00229 |
40 | 99.95 | 107.217 | 100.904 | 6.31326 | -7.26701 |
41 | 99.55 | 104.233 | 100.55 | 3.68361 | -4.68319 |
42 | 99.56 | 101.323 | 100.265 | 1.0584 | -1.7634 |
43 | 99.01 | 105.343 | 107.587 | -2.24383 | -6.33284 |
44 | 98.64 | 117.693 | 122.503 | -4.80966 | -19.0533 |
45 | 98.98 | 131.542 | 137.454 | -5.91244 | -32.5617 |
46 | 100.8 | 144.635 | 152.442 | -7.80723 | -43.8349 |
47 | 100.32 | 156.842 | 167.517 | -10.6749 | -56.5222 |
48 | 100.72 | 169.479 | 182.633 | -13.1545 | -68.7589 |
49 | 280.8 | 211.493 | 197.718 | 13.7752 | 69.3069 |
50 | 280.4 | 224.035 | 212.933 | 11.1026 | 56.3649 |
51 | 280.4 | 237.272 | 228.603 | 8.66937 | 43.1281 |
52 | 280.3 | 250.85 | 244.537 | 6.31326 | 29.4501 |
53 | 281 | 264.144 | 260.461 | 3.68361 | 16.8556 |
54 | 280.9 | 277.455 | 276.397 | 1.0584 | 3.44494 |
55 | 279.7 | 282.569 | 284.812 | -2.24383 | -2.86867 |
56 | 283.1 | 280.92 | 285.729 | -4.80966 | 2.18049 |
57 | 290.6 | 280.75 | 286.662 | -5.91244 | 9.84994 |
58 | 291.6 | 279.872 | 287.679 | -7.80723 | 11.7281 |
59 | 291.7 | 278.054 | 288.729 | -10.6749 | 13.6457 |
60 | 291.8 | 276.587 | 289.742 | -13.1545 | 15.2128 |
61 | 291.7 | 304.563 | 290.787 | 13.7752 | -12.8627 |
62 | 291.5 | 302.803 | 291.7 | 11.1026 | -11.3026 |
63 | 291.7 | 300.811 | 292.142 | 8.66937 | -9.11104 |
64 | 293.4 | 298.538 | 292.225 | 6.31326 | -5.13826 |
65 | 293.1 | 295.942 | 292.258 | 3.68361 | -2.84194 |
66 | 293.1 | 293.4 | 292.342 | 1.0584 | -0.300064 |
67 | 292.6 | 290.185 | 292.429 | -2.24383 | 2.41466 |
68 | 292.1 | 287.665 | 292.475 | -4.80966 | 4.43466 |
69 | 292.2 | 286.583 | 292.496 | -5.91244 | 5.6166 |
70 | 292 | 284.58 | 292.388 | -7.80723 | 7.41973 |
71 | 292.1 | 281.517 | 292.192 | -10.6749 | 10.5832 |
72 | 293.4 | 278.85 | 292.004 | -13.1545 | 14.5503 |
73 | 292.2 | 305.596 | 291.821 | 13.7752 | -13.396 |
74 | 292.1 | 302.748 | 291.646 | 11.1026 | -10.6485 |
75 | 291.6 | 300.144 | 291.475 | 8.66937 | -8.54437 |
76 | 290.9 | 297.626 | 291.312 | 6.31326 | -6.72576 |
77 | 290.9 | 294.871 | 291.188 | 3.68361 | -3.97111 |
78 | 290.8 | 292.133 | 291.075 | 1.0584 | -1.3334 |
79 | 290.5 | NA | NA | -2.24383 | NA |
80 | 290 | NA | NA | -4.80966 | NA |
81 | 290.2 | NA | NA | -5.91244 | NA |
82 | 290.1 | NA | NA | -7.80723 | NA |
83 | 291 | NA | NA | -10.6749 | NA |
84 | 291.8 | NA | NA | -13.1545 | NA |