Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 99.42 | NA | NA | -2.80333 | NA |
2 | 99.42 | NA | NA | -2.91027 | NA |
3 | 99.42 | NA | NA | -3.19486 | NA |
4 | 99.42 | NA | NA | -2.69083 | NA |
5 | 99.42 | NA | NA | -2.29013 | NA |
6 | 109.26 | NA | NA | 3.43299 | NA |
7 | 110 | 110.695 | 103.01 | 7.6848 | -0.695214 |
8 | 110 | 110.273 | 103.063 | 7.21001 | -0.272922 |
9 | 109.26 | 106.409 | 103.115 | 3.29313 | 2.85145 |
10 | 100.07 | 101.186 | 103.168 | -1.98173 | -1.11619 |
11 | 100.07 | 100.597 | 103.22 | -2.62312 | -0.527297 |
12 | 100.05 | 100.1 | 103.226 | -3.12666 | -0.0495891 |
13 | 100.05 | 100.458 | 103.261 | -2.80333 | -0.407506 |
14 | 100.05 | 100.472 | 103.383 | -2.91027 | -0.422228 |
15 | 100.05 | 100.223 | 103.418 | -3.19486 | -0.173478 |
16 | 100.05 | 100.824 | 103.515 | -2.69083 | -0.774172 |
17 | 100.05 | 101.469 | 103.759 | -2.29013 | -1.41903 |
18 | 108.77 | 107.421 | 103.988 | 3.43299 | 1.34867 |
19 | 111.32 | 111.898 | 104.213 | 7.6848 | -0.578131 |
20 | 111.6 | 111.648 | 104.438 | 7.21001 | -0.0483391 |
21 | 108.52 | 107.956 | 104.663 | 3.29313 | 0.563536 |
22 | 103.13 | 102.907 | 104.888 | -1.98173 | 0.223397 |
23 | 102.87 | 102.49 | 105.113 | -2.62312 | 0.379786 |
24 | 102.75 | 102.368 | 105.495 | -3.12666 | 0.382078 |
25 | 102.75 | 103.135 | 105.939 | -2.80333 | -0.385422 |
26 | 102.75 | 103.362 | 106.273 | -2.91027 | -0.612228 |
27 | 102.75 | 103.381 | 106.575 | -3.19486 | -0.630561 |
28 | 102.75 | 104.229 | 106.92 | -2.69083 | -1.47917 |
29 | 102.75 | 105.02 | 107.31 | -2.29013 | -2.26987 |
30 | 115.22 | 111.109 | 107.676 | 3.43299 | 4.11076 |
31 | 115.53 | 115.714 | 108.029 | 7.6848 | -0.183547 |
32 | 115.4 | 115.591 | 108.381 | 7.21001 | -0.191256 |
33 | 111.99 | 112.027 | 108.734 | 3.29313 | -0.0368808 |
34 | 107.93 | 107.105 | 109.086 | -1.98173 | 0.82548 |
35 | 107.43 | 106.816 | 109.439 | -2.62312 | 0.614369 |
36 | 106.98 | 106.425 | 109.552 | -3.12666 | 0.554578 |
37 | 106.98 | 106.821 | 109.624 | -2.80333 | 0.159161 |
38 | 106.98 | 106.98 | 109.89 | -2.91027 | 0.000271991 |
39 | 106.98 | 107 | 110.195 | -3.19486 | -0.019728 |
40 | 106.98 | 107.785 | 110.476 | -2.69083 | -0.805422 |
41 | 106.98 | 108.404 | 110.694 | -2.29013 | -1.42362 |
42 | 113.71 | 114.358 | 110.925 | 3.43299 | -0.647992 |
43 | 118.77 | 118.853 | 111.168 | 7.6848 | -0.0831308 |
44 | 118.54 | 118.656 | 111.446 | 7.21001 | -0.115839 |
45 | 116.16 | 115.024 | 111.731 | 3.29313 | 1.13562 |
46 | 110.52 | 110.008 | 111.99 | -1.98173 | 0.512147 |
47 | 110.06 | 109.723 | 112.346 | -2.62312 | 0.336869 |
48 | 109.9 | 109.42 | 112.547 | -3.12666 | 0.479578 |
49 | 109.9 | 109.761 | 112.564 | -2.80333 | 0.139161 |
50 | 110.72 | 109.752 | 112.662 | -2.91027 | 0.967772 |
51 | 110.09 | 109.421 | 112.615 | -3.19486 | 0.669439 |
52 | 110.07 | 109.823 | 112.513 | -2.69083 | 0.247494 |
53 | 112.45 | 110.225 | 112.515 | -2.29013 | 2.22513 |
54 | 113.06 | 115.949 | 112.516 | 3.43299 | -2.88883 |
55 | 119.83 | 120.218 | 112.533 | 7.6848 | -0.388131 |
56 | 119.84 | 119.748 | 112.538 | 7.21001 | 0.0924942 |
57 | 113.73 | 115.836 | 112.543 | 3.29313 | -2.10646 |
58 | 110.5 | 110.685 | 112.666 | -1.98173 | -0.18452 |
59 | 110.12 | 110.131 | 112.754 | -2.62312 | -0.0106308 |
60 | 109.86 | 109.731 | 112.857 | -3.12666 | 0.129161 |
61 | 110.36 | 110.303 | 113.106 | -2.80333 | 0.0570775 |
62 | 110.36 | 110.386 | 113.296 | -2.91027 | -0.0255613 |
63 | 110.59 | 110.194 | 113.389 | -3.19486 | 0.395689 |
64 | 112.52 | 110.777 | 113.468 | -2.69083 | 1.74291 |
65 | 112.1 | 111.244 | 113.535 | -2.29013 | 0.85555 |
66 | 115.9 | 116.986 | 113.553 | 3.43299 | -1.08591 |
67 | 122.96 | 121.318 | 113.633 | 7.6848 | 1.64187 |
68 | 121.26 | 121.01 | 113.8 | 7.21001 | 0.249578 |
69 | 114.55 | 117.244 | 113.95 | 3.29313 | -2.69355 |
70 | 111.57 | 112.117 | 114.098 | -1.98173 | -0.546603 |
71 | 110.65 | 111.729 | 114.352 | -2.62312 | -1.07938 |
72 | 109.77 | 111.552 | 114.679 | -3.12666 | -1.78209 |
73 | 112.38 | 112.229 | 115.032 | -2.80333 | 0.151244 |
74 | 112.35 | 112.544 | 115.455 | -2.91027 | -0.194311 |
75 | 112.2 | 112.728 | 115.922 | -3.19486 | -0.527645 |
76 | 114.46 | 113.678 | 116.369 | -2.69083 | 0.782078 |
77 | 116.26 | 114.514 | 116.805 | -2.29013 | 1.74555 |
78 | 119.57 | 120.693 | 117.26 | 3.43299 | -1.12299 |
79 | 127.77 | NA | NA | 7.6848 | NA |
80 | 126.59 | NA | NA | 7.21001 | NA |
81 | 120.45 | NA | NA | 3.29313 | NA |
82 | 116.38 | NA | NA | -1.98173 | NA |
83 | 116.3 | NA | NA | -2.62312 | NA |
84 | 115.05 | NA | NA | -3.12666 | NA |