Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 462.23 | NA | NA | -2.45008 | NA |
2 | 464.79 | NA | NA | 1.42256 | NA |
3 | 465.22 | NA | NA | 2.972 | NA |
4 | 468.52 | NA | NA | 2.65596 | NA |
5 | 469.02 | NA | NA | 2.7095 | NA |
6 | 469.15 | NA | NA | 2.00541 | NA |
7 | 469.15 | 469.444 | 468.212 | 1.23263 | -0.294294 |
8 | 469.15 | 469.326 | 469.049 | 0.276933 | -0.1761 |
9 | 469.15 | 469.362 | 470.139 | -0.77647 | -0.21228 |
10 | 469.41 | 469.126 | 471.208 | -2.08272 | 0.284387 |
11 | 469.45 | 468.972 | 472.186 | -3.2139 | 0.478067 |
12 | 469.45 | 468.442 | 473.194 | -4.75182 | 1.00807 |
13 | 469.93 | 471.858 | 474.308 | -2.45008 | -1.92784 |
14 | 477.19 | 476.913 | 475.491 | 1.42256 | 0.276609 |
15 | 478.97 | 479.658 | 476.686 | 2.972 | -0.687836 |
16 | 480.44 | 480.532 | 477.876 | 2.65596 | -0.091794 |
17 | 480.56 | 481.765 | 479.056 | 2.7095 | -1.20534 |
18 | 481.8 | 482.24 | 480.234 | 2.00541 | -0.439572 |
19 | 483.24 | 482.991 | 481.758 | 1.23263 | 0.249456 |
20 | 483.45 | 483.741 | 483.464 | 0.276933 | -0.2911 |
21 | 483.53 | 484.306 | 485.082 | -0.77647 | -0.77603 |
22 | 483.59 | 484.652 | 486.735 | -2.08272 | -1.06228 |
23 | 483.59 | 485.137 | 488.351 | -3.2139 | -1.54693 |
24 | 483.59 | 485.167 | 489.919 | -4.75182 | -1.57735 |
25 | 492.36 | 488.938 | 491.388 | -2.45008 | 3.42216 |
26 | 495.71 | 494.228 | 492.805 | 1.42256 | 1.48203 |
27 | 499.29 | 497.196 | 494.224 | 2.972 | 2.09383 |
28 | 499.78 | 498.23 | 495.574 | 2.65596 | 1.55029 |
29 | 500 | 499.566 | 496.856 | 2.7095 | 0.434248 |
30 | 500 | 500.049 | 498.043 | 2.00541 | -0.0487384 |
31 | 500.29 | 500.071 | 498.838 | 1.23263 | 0.219456 |
32 | 500.42 | 499.598 | 499.321 | 0.276933 | 0.821817 |
33 | 500.61 | 499.031 | 499.807 | -0.77647 | 1.57939 |
34 | 498.9 | 498.241 | 500.324 | -2.08272 | 0.65897 |
35 | 499.06 | 497.63 | 500.844 | -3.2139 | 1.42973 |
36 | 496.61 | 496.648 | 501.4 | -4.75182 | -0.0381829 |
37 | 498.41 | 499.533 | 501.983 | -2.45008 | -1.12284 |
38 | 501.26 | 503.977 | 502.554 | 1.42256 | -2.71672 |
39 | 505.4 | 506.092 | 503.12 | 2.972 | -0.692419 |
40 | 506.07 | 506.414 | 503.758 | 2.65596 | -0.344294 |
41 | 506.2 | 507.155 | 504.445 | 2.7095 | -0.954919 |
42 | 507.14 | 507.212 | 505.207 | 2.00541 | -0.0720718 |
43 | 507.14 | 507.358 | 506.125 | 1.23263 | -0.218044 |
44 | 507.28 | 507.497 | 507.22 | 0.276933 | -0.216933 |
45 | 507.34 | 507.618 | 508.394 | -0.77647 | -0.277697 |
46 | 507.48 | 507.463 | 509.545 | -2.08272 | 0.0173032 |
47 | 506.97 | 507.544 | 510.757 | -3.2139 | -0.5736 |
48 | 506.97 | 507.212 | 511.964 | -4.75182 | -0.24235 |
49 | 510.1 | 510.676 | 513.126 | -2.45008 | -0.575752 |
50 | 515.84 | 515.708 | 514.285 | 1.42256 | 0.132442 |
51 | 519 | 518.407 | 515.435 | 2.972 | 0.592998 |
52 | 520.1 | 519.234 | 516.578 | 2.65596 | 0.865706 |
53 | 521.26 | 520.448 | 517.739 | 2.7095 | 0.811748 |
54 | 521.04 | 520.925 | 518.919 | 2.00541 | 0.115428 |
55 | 521.12 | 521.245 | 520.012 | 1.23263 | -0.124711 |
56 | 521.12 | 521.44 | 521.163 | 0.276933 | -0.31985 |
57 | 521.1 | 521.581 | 522.357 | -0.77647 | -0.48103 |
58 | 521.16 | 521.373 | 523.456 | -2.08272 | -0.213113 |
59 | 521.14 | 521.396 | 524.61 | -3.2139 | -0.2561 |
60 | 521.13 | 521.094 | 525.846 | -4.75182 | 0.0355671 |
61 | 522.17 | 524.66 | 527.11 | -2.45008 | -2.49034 |
62 | 531.39 | 529.812 | 528.389 | 1.42256 | 1.57828 |
63 | 532.12 | 532.662 | 529.69 | 2.972 | -0.542002 |
64 | 533.34 | 533.65 | 530.994 | 2.65596 | -0.309711 |
65 | 535.72 | 535.015 | 532.305 | 2.7095 | 0.705081 |
66 | 536.25 | 535.632 | 533.627 | 2.00541 | 0.617928 |
67 | 536.25 | 536.362 | 535.13 | 1.23263 | -0.112211 |
68 | 536.68 | 536.778 | 536.501 | 0.276933 | -0.0981829 |
69 | 536.76 | 536.873 | 537.649 | -0.77647 | -0.112697 |
70 | 536.79 | 536.756 | 538.838 | -2.08272 | 0.0343866 |
71 | 536.99 | 536.802 | 540.015 | -3.2139 | 0.188484 |
72 | 536.99 | 536.456 | 541.208 | -4.75182 | 0.5339 |
73 | 542.38 | 539.966 | 542.416 | -2.45008 | 2.41425 |
74 | 544.1 | 545.133 | 543.71 | 1.42256 | -1.03297 |
75 | 546.96 | 548.005 | 545.033 | 2.972 | -1.04492 |
76 | 547.04 | 548.991 | 546.335 | 2.65596 | -1.95054 |
77 | 550.27 | 550.341 | 547.632 | 2.7095 | -0.071169 |
78 | 550.32 | 550.773 | 548.768 | 2.00541 | -0.453322 |
79 | 551.17 | NA | NA | 1.23263 | NA |
80 | 552.83 | NA | NA | 0.276933 | NA |
81 | 552.35 | NA | NA | -0.77647 | NA |
82 | 552.44 | NA | NA | -2.08272 | NA |
83 | 552.47 | NA | NA | -3.2139 | NA |
84 | 548.78 | NA | NA | -4.75182 | NA |