Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 155.28 | NA | NA | -3.75641 | NA |
2 | 173.24 | NA | NA | -5.22634 | NA |
3 | 180.16 | NA | NA | -6.57571 | NA |
4 | 181.52 | NA | NA | -3.1653 | NA |
5 | 182.25 | NA | NA | -2.23099 | NA |
6 | 182.19 | NA | NA | 6.47047 | NA |
7 | 182 | 185.952 | 179.593 | 6.35859 | -3.95193 |
8 | 181.65 | 188.238 | 180.973 | 7.26429 | -6.58762 |
9 | 180.07 | 184.231 | 181.335 | 2.89679 | -4.16137 |
10 | 182.62 | 184.454 | 182.633 | 1.82123 | -1.83415 |
11 | 180.38 | 184.362 | 185.631 | -1.26932 | -3.98151 |
12 | 181.15 | 186.637 | 189.225 | -2.58731 | -5.48727 |
13 | 180.5 | 189.197 | 192.953 | -3.75641 | -8.69693 |
14 | 181.14 | 191.684 | 196.91 | -5.22634 | -10.5437 |
15 | 180.93 | 194.591 | 201.166 | -6.57571 | -13.6605 |
16 | 211.91 | 202.238 | 205.403 | -3.1653 | 9.67196 |
17 | 223.81 | 207.243 | 209.474 | -2.23099 | 16.5672 |
18 | 226.88 | 219.825 | 213.355 | 6.47047 | 7.05453 |
19 | 226.8 | 223.479 | 217.121 | 6.35859 | 3.32057 |
20 | 231.81 | 227.888 | 220.623 | 7.26429 | 3.92238 |
21 | 232.06 | 226.738 | 223.841 | 2.89679 | 5.32238 |
22 | 232.32 | 227.398 | 225.577 | 1.82123 | 4.9221 |
23 | 228.37 | 224.027 | 225.297 | -1.26932 | 4.34266 |
24 | 226.31 | 221.744 | 224.331 | -2.58731 | 4.56648 |
25 | 225.72 | 219.475 | 223.232 | -3.75641 | 6.24474 |
26 | 219.98 | 216.693 | 221.92 | -5.22634 | 3.28675 |
27 | 219.31 | 214.012 | 220.588 | -6.57571 | 5.2978 |
28 | 215.19 | 216.338 | 219.504 | -3.1653 | -1.14845 |
29 | 213.81 | 216.455 | 218.686 | -2.23099 | -2.64484 |
30 | 213.7 | 224.555 | 218.085 | 6.47047 | -10.8555 |
31 | 213.6 | 223.873 | 217.515 | 6.35859 | -10.2732 |
32 | 213.52 | 224.442 | 217.178 | 7.26429 | -10.9222 |
33 | 218.39 | 219.91 | 217.013 | 2.89679 | -1.5197 |
34 | 219.97 | 218.775 | 216.953 | 1.82123 | 1.19543 |
35 | 221.09 | 215.758 | 217.028 | -1.26932 | 5.33182 |
36 | 219.17 | 216.813 | 219.4 | -2.58731 | 2.35689 |
37 | 219.17 | 220.447 | 224.204 | -3.75641 | -1.27734 |
38 | 218.45 | 224.225 | 229.451 | -5.22634 | -5.77491 |
39 | 216.88 | 227.998 | 234.574 | -6.57571 | -11.118 |
40 | 216.19 | 235.783 | 238.949 | -3.1653 | -19.5935 |
41 | 214.59 | 240.447 | 242.678 | -2.23099 | -25.8569 |
42 | 269.87 | 252.708 | 246.237 | 6.47047 | 17.1624 |
43 | 272.71 | 256.289 | 249.931 | 6.35859 | 16.4206 |
44 | 280.35 | 260.869 | 253.605 | 7.26429 | 19.4807 |
45 | 274.5 | 260.296 | 257.399 | 2.89679 | 14.2045 |
46 | 268.86 | 263.283 | 261.462 | 1.82123 | 5.57668 |
47 | 261.7 | 264.531 | 265.8 | -1.26932 | -2.83068 |
48 | 263.98 | 265.35 | 267.937 | -2.58731 | -1.36977 |
49 | 263.01 | 263.852 | 267.609 | -3.75641 | -0.842344 |
50 | 262.79 | 261.633 | 266.86 | -5.22634 | 1.15675 |
51 | 263.59 | 259.495 | 266.07 | -6.57571 | 4.0953 |
52 | 267 | 262.629 | 265.795 | -3.1653 | 4.37071 |
53 | 267.89 | 263.954 | 266.185 | -2.23099 | 3.93557 |
54 | 267.86 | 273.359 | 266.888 | 6.47047 | -5.4988 |
55 | 266.84 | 273.927 | 267.568 | 6.35859 | -7.08693 |
56 | 268.24 | 275.709 | 268.445 | 7.26429 | -7.46929 |
57 | 267.67 | 272.404 | 269.507 | 2.89679 | -4.73387 |
58 | 269.07 | 272.251 | 270.43 | 1.82123 | -3.18123 |
59 | 270.87 | 269.973 | 271.242 | -1.26932 | 0.89724 |
60 | 271.68 | 269.555 | 272.142 | -2.58731 | 2.12481 |
61 | 271.63 | 269.371 | 273.128 | -3.75641 | 2.25891 |
62 | 275.21 | 268.873 | 274.099 | -5.22634 | 6.33717 |
63 | 276.66 | 267.771 | 274.346 | -6.57571 | 8.88946 |
64 | 276.08 | 270.703 | 273.868 | -3.1653 | 5.37696 |
65 | 278.3 | 270.942 | 273.173 | -2.23099 | 7.35807 |
66 | 279.06 | 278.697 | 272.227 | 6.47047 | 0.362865 |
67 | 279.28 | 277.604 | 271.245 | 6.35859 | 1.67641 |
68 | 279.12 | 277.438 | 270.174 | 7.26429 | 1.68155 |
69 | 262.72 | 271.726 | 268.83 | 2.89679 | -9.00637 |
70 | 262.55 | 269.123 | 267.302 | 1.82123 | -6.57332 |
71 | 260.7 | 264.354 | 265.623 | -1.26932 | -3.65401 |
72 | 259.14 | 261.226 | 263.813 | -2.58731 | -2.08561 |
73 | 260.61 | 258.192 | 261.948 | -3.75641 | 2.41849 |
74 | 260.53 | 254.887 | 260.113 | -5.22634 | 5.64342 |
75 | 259.07 | 252.468 | 259.044 | -6.57571 | 6.60155 |
76 | 257.01 | 255.582 | 258.748 | -3.1653 | 1.4278 |
77 | 257.08 | 256.334 | 258.565 | -2.23099 | 0.746406 |
78 | 256.83 | 264.95 | 258.48 | 6.47047 | -8.12005 |
79 | 256.75 | NA | NA | 6.35859 | NA |
80 | 257.61 | NA | NA | 7.26429 | NA |
81 | 258.58 | NA | NA | 2.89679 | NA |
82 | 259.57 | NA | NA | 1.82123 | NA |
83 | 259.29 | NA | NA | -1.26932 | NA |
84 | 258.51 | NA | NA | -2.58731 | NA |