| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | -1 | NA | NA | -2.12492 | NA |
| 2 | -2 | NA | NA | -0.98206 | NA |
| 3 | -5 | NA | NA | -0.495949 | NA |
| 4 | -4 | NA | NA | 0.885995 | NA |
| 5 | -6 | NA | NA | 1.19155 | NA |
| 6 | -2 | NA | NA | 1.14988 | NA |
| 7 | -2 | -2.00587 | -2.58333 | 0.577464 | 0.00586971 |
| 8 | -2 | -1.37492 | -2.45833 | 1.08342 | -0.625083 |
| 9 | -2 | -0.309441 | -2.16667 | 1.85723 | -1.69056 |
| 10 | 2 | -0.113013 | -1.75 | 1.63699 | 2.11301 |
| 11 | 1 | -2.64277 | -1.16667 | -1.47611 | 3.64277 |
| 12 | -8 | -4.01182 | -0.708333 | -3.30349 | -3.98818 |
| 13 | -1 | -2.66658 | -0.541667 | -2.12492 | 1.66658 |
| 14 | 1 | -1.48206 | -0.5 | -0.98206 | 2.48206 |
| 15 | -1 | -0.995949 | -0.5 | -0.495949 | -0.00405093 |
| 16 | 2 | 0.260995 | -0.625 | 0.885995 | 1.739 |
| 17 | 2 | 0.0665509 | -1.125 | 1.19155 | 1.93345 |
| 18 | 1 | -0.183449 | -1.33333 | 1.14988 | 1.18345 |
| 19 | -1 | -0.797536 | -1.375 | 0.577464 | -0.202464 |
| 20 | -2 | -0.666584 | -1.75 | 1.08342 | -1.33342 |
| 21 | -2 | -0.142774 | -2 | 1.85723 | -1.85723 |
| 22 | -1 | -0.821346 | -2.45833 | 1.63699 | -0.178654 |
| 23 | -8 | -4.76777 | -3.29167 | -1.47611 | -3.23223 |
| 24 | -4 | -7.55349 | -4.25 | -3.30349 | 3.55349 |
| 25 | -6 | -7.37492 | -5.25 | -2.12492 | 1.37492 |
| 26 | -3 | -7.10706 | -6.125 | -0.98206 | 4.10706 |
| 27 | -3 | -7.28762 | -6.79167 | -0.495949 | 4.28762 |
| 28 | -7 | -6.864 | -7.75 | 0.885995 | -0.135995 |
| 29 | -9 | -7.80845 | -9 | 1.19155 | -1.19155 |
| 30 | -11 | -9.30845 | -10.4583 | 1.14988 | -1.69155 |
| 31 | -13 | -11.3392 | -11.9167 | 0.577464 | -1.6608 |
| 32 | -11 | -12.2916 | -13.375 | 1.08342 | 1.29158 |
| 33 | -9 | -13.2678 | -15.125 | 1.85723 | 4.26777 |
| 34 | -17 | -14.988 | -16.625 | 1.63699 | -2.01199 |
| 35 | -22 | -19.1428 | -17.6667 | -1.47611 | -2.85723 |
| 36 | -25 | -21.6785 | -18.375 | -3.30349 | -3.32151 |
| 37 | -20 | -20.9583 | -18.8333 | -2.12492 | 0.958251 |
| 38 | -24 | -19.9821 | -19 | -0.98206 | -4.01794 |
| 39 | -24 | -19.5793 | -19.0833 | -0.495949 | -4.42072 |
| 40 | -22 | -18.0723 | -18.9583 | 0.885995 | -3.92766 |
| 41 | -19 | -17.0584 | -18.25 | 1.19155 | -1.94155 |
| 42 | -18 | -16.1834 | -17.3333 | 1.14988 | -1.81655 |
| 43 | -17 | -16.1309 | -16.7083 | 0.577464 | -0.86913 |
| 44 | -11 | -15.0416 | -16.125 | 1.08342 | 4.04158 |
| 45 | -11 | -13.4344 | -15.2917 | 1.85723 | 2.43444 |
| 46 | -12 | -12.613 | -14.25 | 1.63699 | 0.613013 |
| 47 | -10 | -14.8928 | -13.4167 | -1.47611 | 4.89277 |
| 48 | -15 | -16.0952 | -12.7917 | -3.30349 | 1.09516 |
| 49 | -15 | -14.1249 | -12 | -2.12492 | -0.875083 |
| 50 | -15 | -12.2737 | -11.2917 | -0.98206 | -2.72627 |
| 51 | -13 | -11.2043 | -10.7083 | -0.495949 | -1.79572 |
| 52 | -8 | -9.114 | -10 | 0.885995 | 1.114 |
| 53 | -13 | -7.97512 | -9.16667 | 1.19155 | -5.02488 |
| 54 | -9 | -7.05845 | -8.20833 | 1.14988 | -1.94155 |
| 55 | -7 | -6.5892 | -7.16667 | 0.577464 | -0.410797 |
| 56 | -4 | -4.91658 | -6 | 1.08342 | 0.916584 |
| 57 | -4 | -3.01777 | -4.875 | 1.85723 | -0.982226 |
| 58 | -2 | -2.48801 | -4.125 | 1.63699 | 0.488013 |
| 59 | 0 | -4.72611 | -3.25 | -1.47611 | 4.72611 |
| 60 | -2 | -5.72016 | -2.41667 | -3.30349 | 3.72016 |
| 61 | -3 | -4.16658 | -2.04167 | -2.12492 | 1.16658 |
| 62 | 1 | -3.10706 | -2.125 | -0.98206 | 4.10706 |
| 63 | -2 | -3.03762 | -2.54167 | -0.495949 | 1.03762 |
| 64 | -1 | -2.07234 | -2.95833 | 0.885995 | 1.07234 |
| 65 | 1 | -2.55845 | -3.75 | 1.19155 | 3.55845 |
| 66 | -3 | -3.60012 | -4.75 | 1.14988 | 0.600116 |
| 67 | -4 | -5.13087 | -5.70833 | 0.577464 | 1.13087 |
| 68 | -9 | -6.04158 | -7.125 | 1.08342 | -2.95842 |
| 69 | -9 | -6.55944 | -8.41667 | 1.85723 | -2.44056 |
| 70 | -7 | -7.65468 | -9.29167 | 1.63699 | 0.654679 |
| 71 | -14 | -11.6844 | -10.2083 | -1.47611 | -2.31556 |
| 72 | -12 | -14.2618 | -10.9583 | -3.30349 | 2.26182 |
| 73 | -16 | -13.7499 | -11.625 | -2.12492 | -2.25008 |
| 74 | -20 | -13.2737 | -12.2917 | -0.98206 | -6.72627 |
| 75 | -12 | -13.2876 | -12.7917 | -0.495949 | 1.28762 |
| 76 | -12 | -12.5307 | -13.4167 | 0.885995 | 0.530671 |
| 77 | -10 | -13.0584 | -14.25 | 1.19155 | 3.05845 |
| 78 | -10 | -14.0584 | -15.2083 | 1.14988 | 4.05845 |
| 79 | -13 | -15.4642 | -16.0417 | 0.577464 | 2.4642 |
| 80 | -16 | -15.1249 | -16.2083 | 1.08342 | -0.875083 |
| 81 | -14 | -14.7261 | -16.5833 | 1.85723 | 0.726108 |
| 82 | -17 | -15.7797 | -17.4167 | 1.63699 | -1.22032 |
| 83 | -24 | -19.6011 | -18.125 | -1.47611 | -4.39889 |
| 84 | -25 | -22.1368 | -18.8333 | -3.30349 | -2.86318 |
| 85 | -23 | -21.4166 | -19.2917 | -2.12492 | -1.58342 |
| 86 | -17 | -20.2321 | -19.25 | -0.98206 | 3.23206 |
| 87 | -24 | NA | NA | -0.495949 | NA |
| 88 | -20 | NA | NA | 0.885995 | NA |
| 89 | -19 | NA | NA | 1.19155 | NA |
| 90 | -18 | NA | NA | 1.14988 | NA |
| 91 | -16 | NA | NA | 0.577464 | NA |
| 92 | -12 | NA | NA | 1.08342 | NA |
