Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 125 | NA | NA | 0.998818 | NA |
2 | 123 | NA | NA | 0.974412 | NA |
3 | 117 | NA | NA | 0.934317 | NA |
4 | 114 | NA | NA | 0.906059 | NA |
5 | 111 | NA | NA | 0.845258 | NA |
6 | 112 | NA | NA | 0.858911 | NA |
7 | 144 | 141.676 | 126.167 | 1.12293 | 1.0164 |
8 | 150 | 147.413 | 125.333 | 1.17616 | 1.01755 |
9 | 149 | 143.083 | 124.333 | 1.1508 | 1.04136 |
10 | 134 | 130.236 | 123.333 | 1.05597 | 1.0289 |
11 | 123 | 121.322 | 122.167 | 0.993085 | 1.01383 |
12 | 116 | 118.69 | 120.708 | 0.983283 | 0.977333 |
13 | 117 | 118.943 | 119.083 | 0.998818 | 0.983668 |
14 | 111 | 114.412 | 117.417 | 0.974412 | 0.970176 |
15 | 105 | 107.953 | 115.542 | 0.934317 | 0.97265 |
16 | 102 | 103.026 | 113.708 | 0.906059 | 0.990037 |
17 | 95 | 94.845 | 112.208 | 0.845258 | 1.00163 |
18 | 93 | 95.3749 | 111.042 | 0.858911 | 0.9751 |
19 | 124 | 123.616 | 110.083 | 1.12293 | 1.00311 |
20 | 130 | 128.398 | 109.167 | 1.17616 | 1.01248 |
21 | 124 | 124.67 | 108.333 | 1.1508 | 0.994627 |
22 | 115 | 113.561 | 107.542 | 1.05597 | 1.01267 |
23 | 106 | 105.97 | 106.708 | 0.993085 | 1.00028 |
24 | 105 | 104.228 | 106 | 0.983283 | 1.00741 |
25 | 105 | 105.292 | 105.417 | 0.998818 | 0.997226 |
26 | 101 | 101.988 | 104.667 | 0.974412 | 0.990308 |
27 | 95 | 97.13 | 103.958 | 0.934317 | 0.97807 |
28 | 93 | 93.7016 | 103.417 | 0.906059 | 0.992512 |
29 | 84 | 87.1672 | 103.125 | 0.845258 | 0.963665 |
30 | 87 | 88.6109 | 103.167 | 0.858911 | 0.98182 |
31 | 116 | 116.129 | 103.417 | 1.12293 | 0.998886 |
32 | 120 | 122.223 | 103.917 | 1.17616 | 0.981811 |
33 | 117 | 120.594 | 104.792 | 1.1508 | 0.970197 |
34 | 109 | 111.845 | 105.917 | 1.05597 | 0.974566 |
35 | 105 | 106.384 | 107.125 | 0.993085 | 0.986989 |
36 | 107 | 106.604 | 108.417 | 0.983283 | 1.00371 |
37 | 109 | 109.579 | 109.708 | 0.998818 | 0.994719 |
38 | 109 | 108.2 | 111.042 | 0.974412 | 1.00739 |
39 | 108 | 105.111 | 112.5 | 0.934317 | 1.02749 |
40 | 107 | 103.177 | 113.875 | 0.906059 | 1.03705 |
41 | 99 | 97.2399 | 115.042 | 0.845258 | 1.0181 |
42 | 103 | 99.7768 | 116.167 | 0.858911 | 1.0323 |
43 | 131 | 131.663 | 117.25 | 1.12293 | 0.994963 |
44 | 137 | 138.934 | 118.125 | 1.17616 | 0.986077 |
45 | 135 | 136.609 | 118.708 | 1.1508 | 0.988219 |
46 | 124 | 125.572 | 118.917 | 1.05597 | 0.987479 |
47 | 118 | 118.136 | 118.958 | 0.993085 | 0.998851 |
48 | 121 | 116.97 | 118.958 | 0.983283 | 1.03446 |
49 | 121 | 118.734 | 118.875 | 0.998818 | 1.01908 |
50 | 118 | 115.752 | 118.792 | 0.974412 | 1.01942 |
51 | 113 | 110.872 | 118.667 | 0.934317 | 1.01919 |
52 | 107 | 107.292 | 118.417 | 0.906059 | 0.997274 |
53 | 100 | 99.7405 | 118 | 0.845258 | 1.0026 |
54 | 102 | 100.707 | 117.25 | 0.858911 | 1.01284 |
55 | 130 | 130.587 | 116.292 | 1.12293 | 0.995504 |
56 | 136 | 135.651 | 115.333 | 1.17616 | 1.00257 |
57 | 133 | 131.623 | 114.375 | 1.1508 | 1.01046 |
58 | 120 | 119.896 | 113.542 | 1.05597 | 1.00086 |
59 | 112 | 112.053 | 112.833 | 0.993085 | 0.999527 |
60 | 109 | 110.21 | 112.083 | 0.983283 | 0.989025 |
61 | 110 | 111.118 | 111.25 | 0.998818 | 0.989934 |
62 | 106 | 107.632 | 110.458 | 0.974412 | 0.984838 |
63 | 102 | 102.502 | 109.708 | 0.934317 | 0.995099 |
64 | 98 | 98.8359 | 109.083 | 0.906059 | 0.991542 |
65 | 92 | 91.8514 | 108.667 | 0.845258 | 1.00162 |
66 | 92 | 93.0844 | 108.375 | 0.858911 | 0.98835 |
67 | 120 | 121.604 | 108.292 | 1.12293 | 0.986813 |
68 | 127 | 127.614 | 108.5 | 1.17616 | 0.99519 |
69 | 124 | 125.149 | 108.75 | 1.1508 | 0.990816 |
70 | 114 | 115.013 | 108.917 | 1.05597 | 0.991196 |
71 | 108 | 108.412 | 109.167 | 0.993085 | 0.996202 |
72 | 106 | 107.751 | 109.583 | 0.983283 | 0.983746 |
73 | 111 | 109.787 | 109.917 | 0.998818 | 1.01105 |
74 | 110 | 107.47 | 110.292 | 0.974412 | 1.02355 |
75 | 104 | 103.67 | 110.958 | 0.934317 | 1.00318 |
76 | 100 | 101.29 | 111.792 | 0.906059 | 0.987266 |
77 | 96 | 95.2324 | 112.667 | 0.845258 | 1.00806 |
78 | 98 | 97.4863 | 113.5 | 0.858911 | 1.00527 |
79 | 122 | NA | NA | 1.12293 | NA |
80 | 134 | NA | NA | 1.17616 | NA |
81 | 133 | NA | NA | 1.1508 | NA |
82 | 125 | NA | NA | 1.05597 | NA |
83 | 118 | NA | NA | 0.993085 | NA |
84 | 116 | NA | NA | 0.983283 | NA |