Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[384])
372	35.12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
373	33.14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
374	30.29	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
375	28.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
376	26.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
377	25.47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
378	24.96	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
379	25.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
380	27.76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
381	30.13	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
382	32.35	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
383	32.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
384	32.54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
385	29.78	31.3305	29.298	33.582	0.0886	0.1462	0.0576	0.1462
386	28.79	29.8265	27.4239	32.5593	0.2286	0.5133	0.3698	0.0258
387	26.8	27.8983	25.4343	30.7385	0.2243	0.2692	0.4175	7e-04
388	25.41	26.2619	23.8122	29.11	0.2789	0.3556	0.4349	0
389	24.34	25.2309	22.7694	28.1142	0.2724	0.4515	0.4354	0
390	24.39	25.0122	22.4511	28.038	0.3435	0.6684	0.5135	0
391	25	25.6595	22.8778	28.9811	0.3486	0.7731	0.514	0
392	26.27	27.5241	24.3168	31.4106	0.2635	0.8985	0.4527	0.0057
393	27.88	29.7877	26.057	34.381	0.2078	0.9333	0.4419	0.1201
394	29.35	31.8376	27.5904	37.1467	0.1792	0.928	0.425	0.3977
395	29.83	32.7684	28.2028	38.5394	0.1592	0.8772	0.4957	0.5309
396	29.46	32.3297	27.7231	38.1876	0.1685	0.7985	0.4719	0.4719

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
385	0.0367	-0.0495	0	2.404	0	0
386	0.0467	-0.0348	0.0421	1.0744	1.7392	1.3188
387	0.0519	-0.0394	0.0412	1.2062	1.5616	1.2496
388	0.0553	-0.0324	0.039	0.7257	1.3526	1.163
389	0.0583	-0.0353	0.0383	0.7937	1.2408	1.1139
390	0.0617	-0.0249	0.036	0.3871	1.0985	1.0481
391	0.066	-0.0257	0.0346	0.435	1.0037	1.0019
392	0.072	-0.0456	0.0359	1.5729	1.0749	1.0368
393	0.0787	-0.064	0.0391	3.6393	1.3598	1.1661
394	0.0851	-0.0781	0.043	6.1881	1.8426	1.3574
395	0.0899	-0.0897	0.0472	8.6339	2.46	1.5684
396	0.0924	-0.0888	0.0507	8.235	2.9413	1.715