Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[63])
51	9946	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	9701	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	9049	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	10190	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	9706	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	9765	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	9893	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	9994	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	10433	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	10073	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	10112	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	9266	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
63	9820	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
64	10097	9656.2208	9027.2409	10285.2008	0.0848	0.3049	0.4445	0.3049
65	9115	9033.0859	8365.566	9700.6059	0.405	9e-04	0.4814	0.0104
66	10411	10184.3443	9512.1138	10856.5748	0.2544	0.9991	0.4934	0.856
67	9678	9703.99	9031.1669	10376.8131	0.4698	0.0197	0.4977	0.3677
68	10408	9764.2857	9091.3878	10437.1836	0.0304	0.5992	0.4992	0.4355
69	10153	9892.7461	9219.8388	10565.6535	0.2242	0.0667	0.4997	0.5839
70	10368	9993.9098	9321.0012	10666.8183	0.1379	0.3215	0.4999	0.6938
71	10581	10432.9679	9760.0592	11105.8766	0.3332	0.575	0.5	0.9629
72	10597	10072.9886	9400.0799	10745.8973	0.0635	0.0695	0.5	0.7694
73	10680	10111.996	9439.0872	10784.9047	0.049	0.0789	0.5	0.8025
74	9738	9265.9986	8593.0898	9938.9073	0.0846	0	0.5	0.0533
75	9556	9819.9995	9147.0908	10492.9082	0.221	0.5944	0.5	0.5

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
64	0.0332	0.0456	0	194286.2634	0	0
65	0.0377	0.0091	0.0274	6709.9147	100498.0891	317.0143
66	0.0337	0.0223	0.0257	51372.8077	84122.9953	290.0396
67	0.0354	-0.0027	0.0199	675.4811	63261.1167	251.5176
68	0.0352	0.0659	0.0291	414368.1352	133482.5204	365.3526
69	0.0347	0.0263	0.0286	67732.0742	122524.1127	350.0344
70	0.0344	0.0374	0.0299	139943.4935	125012.5957	353.5712
71	0.0329	0.0142	0.0279	21913.4919	112125.2077	334.851
72	0.0341	0.052	0.0306	274587.9422	130176.6227	360.8
73	0.034	0.0562	0.0332	322628.6005	149421.8204	386.5512
74	0.0371	0.0509	0.0348	222785.3586	156091.233	395.0838
75	0.035	-0.0269	0.0341	69695.7299	148891.6077	385.8648