| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.2291 | -0.2435 | -0.1831 | -0.1685 | -0.4626 | -0.0676 | -0.1685 |
| (p-val) | (0.8974 ) | (0.8296 ) | (0.8345 ) | (0.9431 ) | (0.8128 ) | (0.9227 ) | (0.9431 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.2095 | -0.237 | -0.1905 | 0 | -0.5286 | -0.0988 | -0.2514 |
| (p-val) | (0.9095 ) | (0.841 ) | (0.8389 ) | (NA ) | (0.7577 ) | (0.8367 ) | (0.7745 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | -0.1538 | -0.2939 | 0 | -0.5722 | -0.2122 | 0.0013 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.5641 ) | (0.0945 ) | (NA ) | (0.5667 ) | (0.6371 ) | (0.999 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | -0.1536 | -0.2938 | 0 | -0.571 | -0.2117 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.4786 ) | (0.0621 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.3539 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | 0 | -0.352 | 0 | -0.5621 | -0.3346 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0029 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.0053 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 0.0369999746409443 |
| -5.9788260993911 |
| 13.2326659864855 |
| -4.89065154715986 |
| -7.97861500135054 |
| 11.0260606011445 |
| 42.9875575979118 |
| -18.2360876713008 |
| 0.476982029759466 |
| -22.1726558030614 |
| 12.1641290931707 |
| 89.2987570123368 |
| -7.87443816646138 |
| -31.8727562463738 |
| 6.76292754382407 |
| 2.48086558048848 |
| 5.7449527914586 |
| -11.5666027421916 |
| 73.8201747316708 |
| -20.4486113099643 |
| 21.8000329634804 |
| -27.1977267950616 |
| -48.2917822747903 |
| -9.52421336883806 |
| 12.371569562996 |
| 3.23042137259639 |
| -15.6279991403241 |
| 28.2744358519461 |
| -21.632148610225 |
| 30.9061449217619 |
| 7.97241765941931 |
| -16.0458996741479 |
| -6.48652341340767 |
| -14.6501557007084 |
| -35.4992359320581 |
| 21.8235643006317 |
| 6.61106463471603 |
| -7.4705717456512 |
| -12.8528350204583 |
| 15.1146083603297 |
| 9.84246586256988 |
| 32.4568221662862 |
| -13.2949213950463 |
| 37.2890706584655 |
| 1.34396922716284 |
| -6.58786087590239 |
| -4.49305969442355 |
| 20.5442897339218 |
| 29.8490417370505 |
| -6.20790809521093 |
| -19.154621626737 |
| -7.67992578941498 |
| -24.7563643668653 |
| -45.4475664211461 |
| -27.4153272882316 |
| -29.1492373741064 |
| -3.24447746401397 |
| -12.5178451240732 |
| 1.33304750721963 |
| 18.5080647676684 |
| -21.6219836198498 |
| -2.68037238124473 |
| -15.4964830420381 |
| -5.16879640457591 |
| 0.373593855453976 |
| -13.0480568148802 |
| -1.82901048420911 |
| -3.65623673766761 |
| -1.03500562243322 |
| 0.544842602214881 |
| -7.62316019452506 |
| 4.52764171140171 |
| 10.4414344035459 |
| -6.17509080948551 |
| -7.84638535701176 |
| -4.28717150170863 |
| -1.85990259183404 |
| -5.6471838307484 |
| 0.115527225084431 |
| -5.81171159140988 |
