Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 655362 | NA | NA | -789447 | NA |
2 | 873127 | NA | NA | -566057 | NA |
3 | 1107897 | NA | NA | -338946 | NA |
4 | 1555964 | NA | NA | 81817.9 | NA |
5 | 1671159 | NA | NA | 104641 | NA |
6 | 1493308 | NA | NA | 71623.2 | NA |
7 | 2957796 | 2975050 | 1443990 | 1531070 | -17258.1 |
8 | 2638691 | 2630380 | 1445570 | 1184810 | 8313.2 |
9 | 1305669 | 1366510 | 1447290 | -80779.7 | -60843.7 |
10 | 1280496 | 1343600 | 1447310 | -103709 | -63108.4 |
11 | 921900 | 947732 | 1448480 | -500748 | -25832.1 |
12 | 867888 | 856055 | 1450320 | -594270 | 11833.2 |
13 | 652586 | 674516 | 1463960 | -789447 | -21930.4 |
14 | 913831 | 901969 | 1468030 | -566057 | 11861.8 |
15 | 1108544 | 1120470 | 1459420 | -338946 | -11925.6 |
16 | 1555827 | 1545070 | 1463250 | 81817.9 | 10758.5 |
17 | 1699283 | 1571960 | 1467320 | 104641 | 127326 |
18 | 1509458 | 1535590 | 1463970 | 71623.2 | -26134.2 |
19 | 3268975 | 2991100 | 1460040 | 1531070 | 277871 |
20 | 2425016 | 2641840 | 1457040 | 1184810 | -216828 |
21 | 1312703 | 1374910 | 1455690 | -80779.7 | -62202.4 |
22 | 1365498 | 1357600 | 1461310 | -103709 | 7897.3 |
23 | 934453 | 954870 | 1455620 | -500748 | -20417.5 |
24 | 775019 | 857594 | 1451860 | -594270 | -82575.3 |
25 | 651142 | 653944 | 1443390 | -789447 | -2801.57 |
26 | 843192 | 874465 | 1440520 | -566057 | -31272.9 |
27 | 1146766 | 1119240 | 1458190 | -338946 | 27522.2 |
28 | 1652601 | 1547970 | 1466150 | 81817.9 | 104630 |
29 | 1465906 | 1576200 | 1471560 | 104641 | -110292 |
30 | 1652734 | 1553450 | 1481820 | 71623.2 | 99287.9 |
31 | 2922334 | 3022030 | 1490960 | 1531070 | -99692.7 |
32 | 2702805 | 2679930 | 1495120 | 1184810 | 22873.4 |
33 | 1458956 | 1414140 | 1494910 | -80779.7 | 44820.8 |
34 | 1410363 | 1386060 | 1489770 | -103709 | 24302.5 |
35 | 1019279 | 986755 | 1487500 | -500748 | 32524.3 |
36 | 936574 | 887310 | 1481580 | -594270 | 49263.6 |
37 | 708917 | 683637 | 1473080 | -789447 | 25279.7 |
38 | 885295 | 904295 | 1470350 | -566057 | -18999.8 |
39 | 1099663 | 1128060 | 1467000 | -338946 | -28394.9 |
40 | 1576220 | 1543800 | 1461980 | 81817.9 | 32421 |
41 | 1487870 | 1560440 | 1455800 | 104641 | -72568.8 |
42 | 1488635 | 1521330 | 1449700 | 71623.2 | -32690.6 |
43 | 2882530 | 2974740 | 1443680 | 1531070 | -92210.9 |
44 | 2677026 | 2627970 | 1443160 | 1184810 | 49056.2 |
45 | 1404398 | 1367760 | 1448540 | -80779.7 | 36635.6 |
46 | 1344370 | 1340050 | 1443760 | -103709 | 4323.8 |
47 | 936865 | 942926 | 1443670 | -500748 | -6061.08 |
48 | 872705 | 856919 | 1451190 | -594270 | 15786.2 |
49 | 628151 | 663532 | 1452980 | -789447 | -35380.9 |
50 | 953712 | 892543 | 1458600 | -566057 | 61168.8 |
51 | 1160384 | 1123870 | 1462820 | -338946 | 36510.4 |
52 | 1400618 | 1545820 | 1464010 | 81817.9 | -145205 |
53 | 1661511 | 1570880 | 1466230 | 104641 | 90635.4 |
54 | 1495347 | 1538100 | 1466480 | 71623.2 | -42752.5 |
55 | 2918786 | 2998920 | 1467860 | 1531070 | -80135 |
56 | 2775677 | 2650520 | 1465710 | 1184810 | 125159 |
57 | 1407026 | 1376860 | 1457640 | -80779.7 | 30163.8 |
58 | 1370199 | 1355040 | 1458750 | -103709 | 15158.8 |
59 | 964526 | 956166 | 1456910 | -500748 | 8360.42 |
60 | 850851 | 856585 | 1450850 | -594270 | -5733.72 |
61 | 683118 | 659711 | 1449160 | -789447 | 23407.2 |
62 | 847224 | 881408 | 1447460 | -566057 | -34183.7 |
63 | 1073256 | 1108390 | 1447340 | -338946 | -35138.1 |
64 | 1514326 | 1528360 | 1446540 | 81817.9 | -14030 |
65 | 1503734 | 1550260 | 1445620 | 104641 | -46526.6 |
66 | 1507712 | 1516850 | 1445230 | 71623.2 | -9136.54 |
67 | 2865698 | NA | NA | 1531070 | NA |
68 | 2788128 | NA | NA | 1184810 | NA |
69 | 1391596 | NA | NA | -80779.7 | NA |
70 | 1366378 | NA | NA | -103709 | NA |
71 | 946295 | NA | NA | -500748 | NA |
72 | 859626 | NA | NA | -594270 | NA |