Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 86.5 | NA | NA | -3.44676 | NA |
2 | 86.6 | NA | NA | -1.96273 | NA |
3 | 98.8 | NA | NA | 8.82546 | NA |
4 | 84.4 | NA | NA | -1.51273 | NA |
5 | 91.4 | NA | NA | -1.01829 | NA |
6 | 95.7 | NA | NA | 4.73727 | NA |
7 | 78.5 | 82.0019 | 90.5542 | -8.55231 | -3.50185 |
8 | 81.7 | 82.8595 | 90.9833 | -8.12384 | -1.15949 |
9 | 94.3 | 96.8081 | 91.2917 | 5.51644 | -2.5081 |
10 | 98.5 | 97.6477 | 91.7417 | 5.90602 | 0.852315 |
11 | 95.4 | 92.838 | 92.2 | 0.637963 | 2.56204 |
12 | 91.7 | 91.606 | 92.6125 | -1.00648 | 0.0939815 |
13 | 92.8 | 89.8616 | 93.3083 | -3.44676 | 2.93843 |
14 | 90.6 | 92.1081 | 94.0708 | -1.96273 | -1.5081 |
15 | 102.2 | 103.375 | 94.55 | 8.82546 | -1.17546 |
16 | 91.8 | 93.6081 | 95.1208 | -1.51273 | -1.8081 |
17 | 95 | 94.7484 | 95.7667 | -1.01829 | 0.25162 |
18 | 102 | 100.871 | 96.1333 | 4.73727 | 1.1294 |
19 | 88.9 | 88.0644 | 96.6167 | -8.55231 | 0.835648 |
20 | 89.6 | 89.2637 | 97.3875 | -8.12384 | 0.336343 |
21 | 97.9 | 103.346 | 97.8292 | 5.51644 | -5.4456 |
22 | 108.6 | 104.314 | 98.4083 | 5.90602 | 4.28565 |
23 | 100.8 | 99.7546 | 99.1167 | 0.637963 | 1.04537 |
24 | 95.1 | 98.3894 | 99.3958 | -1.00648 | -3.28935 |
25 | 101 | 96.4032 | 99.85 | -3.44676 | 4.59676 |
26 | 100.9 | 98.1414 | 100.104 | -1.96273 | 2.75856 |
27 | 102.5 | 109.284 | 100.458 | 8.82546 | -6.7838 |
28 | 105.4 | 99.2998 | 100.813 | -1.51273 | 6.10023 |
29 | 98.4 | 99.3859 | 100.404 | -1.01829 | -0.98588 |
30 | 105.3 | 104.821 | 100.083 | 4.73727 | 0.479398 |
31 | 96.5 | 90.8977 | 99.45 | -8.55231 | 5.60231 |
32 | 88.1 | 90.0262 | 98.15 | -8.12384 | -1.92616 |
33 | 107.9 | 102.7 | 97.1833 | 5.51644 | 5.20023 |
34 | 107.1 | 101.964 | 96.0583 | 5.90602 | 5.13565 |
35 | 92.5 | 95.4963 | 94.8583 | 0.637963 | -2.9963 |
36 | 95.7 | 92.956 | 93.9625 | -1.00648 | 2.74398 |
37 | 85.2 | 89.4741 | 92.9208 | -3.44676 | -4.27407 |
38 | 85.5 | 90.1956 | 92.1583 | -1.96273 | -4.6956 |
39 | 94.7 | 100.3 | 91.475 | 8.82546 | -5.60046 |
40 | 86.2 | 89.0414 | 90.5542 | -1.51273 | -2.84144 |
41 | 88.8 | 89.0942 | 90.1125 | -1.01829 | -0.294213 |
42 | 93.4 | 94.7414 | 90.0042 | 4.73727 | -1.34144 |
43 | 83.4 | 81.5394 | 90.0917 | -8.55231 | 1.86065 |
44 | 82.9 | 82.6095 | 90.7333 | -8.12384 | 0.290509 |
45 | 96.7 | 97.2164 | 91.7 | 5.51644 | -0.516435 |
46 | 96.2 | 98.631 | 92.725 | 5.90602 | -2.43102 |
47 | 92.8 | 94.113 | 93.475 | 0.637963 | -1.31296 |
48 | 92.8 | 93.356 | 94.3625 | -1.00648 | -0.556019 |
49 | 90.2 | 91.8949 | 95.3417 | -3.44676 | -1.69491 |
50 | 95.9 | 94.0956 | 96.0583 | -1.96273 | 1.8044 |
51 | 107.5 | 105.734 | 96.9083 | 8.82546 | 1.7662 |
52 | 98 | 96.2498 | 97.7625 | -1.51273 | 1.75023 |
53 | 95 | 97.615 | 98.6333 | -1.01829 | -2.61505 |
54 | 108.5 | 104.304 | 99.5667 | 4.73727 | 4.19606 |
55 | 91.8 | 91.7977 | 100.35 | -8.55231 | 0.00231481 |
56 | 91.7 | 92.847 | 100.971 | -8.12384 | -1.14699 |
57 | 108.3 | 107.329 | 101.813 | 5.51644 | 0.971065 |
58 | 105.1 | 108.481 | 102.575 | 5.90602 | -3.38102 |
59 | 104.8 | 103.984 | 103.346 | 0.637963 | 0.816204 |
60 | 103.2 | 102.794 | 103.8 | -1.00648 | 0.406481 |
61 | 98.6 | 100.187 | 103.633 | -3.44676 | -1.58657 |
62 | 102.4 | 101.958 | 103.921 | -1.96273 | 0.441898 |
63 | 121.2 | 113.213 | 104.387 | 8.82546 | 7.98704 |
64 | 102.6 | 102.996 | 104.508 | -1.51273 | -0.395602 |
65 | 108.9 | 103.403 | 104.421 | -1.01829 | 5.49745 |
66 | 105.5 | 109.025 | 104.287 | 4.73727 | -3.52477 |
67 | 90.8 | 95.681 | 104.233 | -8.55231 | -4.88102 |
68 | 99.6 | 96.0762 | 104.2 | -8.12384 | 3.52384 |
69 | 111.6 | 109.383 | 103.867 | 5.51644 | 2.2169 |
70 | 104.7 | 109.244 | 103.338 | 5.90602 | -4.54352 |
71 | 103.1 | 103.296 | 102.658 | 0.637963 | -0.196296 |
72 | 101.7 | 101.181 | 102.187 | -1.00648 | 0.518981 |
73 | 98.8 | 98.8616 | 102.308 | -3.44676 | -0.0615741 |
74 | 101.4 | 100.283 | 102.246 | -1.96273 | 1.1169 |
75 | 114.2 | 110.475 | 101.65 | 8.82546 | 3.72454 |
76 | 96.9 | 99.7873 | 101.3 | -1.51273 | -2.88727 |
77 | 98.3 | 100.236 | 101.254 | -1.01829 | -1.93588 |
78 | 104.8 | 105.821 | 101.083 | 4.73727 | -1.0206 |
79 | 94.4 | NA | NA | -8.55231 | NA |
80 | 94.5 | NA | NA | -8.12384 | NA |
81 | 102.4 | NA | NA | 5.51644 | NA |
82 | 105.5 | NA | NA | 5.90602 | NA |
83 | 101.2 | NA | NA | 0.637963 | NA |
84 | 99.5 | NA | NA | -1.00648 | NA |